Costly Self-Control and Limited Willpower

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Costly Self-Control and Limited Willpower"

Transcription

1 Costly Self-Control and Limited Willpower Simon Grant, Sung-Lin Hsieh and Meng-Yu Liang NASMES, June

2 Temptation and Self-control 1 / 13

3 Temptation and Self-control Strotz (1956) and O Donoghue & Rabin (1999) model intra-personal conflict as a game between current self (in cold state) and future self (in hot state). But growing body of evidence from neuroimaging supports hypothesis that automatic and deliberative modes of thought may coexist and jointly determine behavior. E.g. survey of Monterosso & Luo (2010). Gul & Pesendorfer (2001) [Hereafter GP] Suggest preferences of current self in cold state more sensibly defined over menus ( budget sets ). See explicitly: 1. any preference / desire for commitment 2. any cost associated with self-control 2 / 13

4 GP s model of costly self-control GP s axioms imply over menus in cold state represented by function: U (A) = max[u (x) + v (x)] x A }{{} Compromise utility (maximized in hot state) max y A v (y) Notice for any singleton menu {x}: U({x}) = u(x) + v(x) v(x) = u(x). So, re-arranging ( ) U(A) = max u(x) [maxv(y) v(x)] x A }{{} y A Normative utility }{{} (utility) cost of self-control 3 / 13

5 GP s model of costly self-control GP s axioms imply over menus in cold state represented by function: U (A) = max[u (x) + v (x)] x A }{{} Compromise utility (maximized in hot state) max y A v (y) Notice for any singleton menu {x}: U({x}) = u(x) + v(x) v(x) = u(x). So, re-arranging ( ) U(A) = max u(x) [maxv(y) v(x)] x A }{{} y A Normative utility }{{} (utility) cost of self-control 3 / 13

6 (u( ),v( )) utility pairs in GP s framework 4 / 13

7 Addiction Elster & Skog (1999) note that for something to be considered addictive requires an inability of the DM to resist choosing it in hot state. DM, addicted in this sense, may be: consonant, i.e., one who willingly indulges in his temptation. dissonant, i.e., one who wishes to resist temptation (albeit in vain). Dissonant addict evokes St Paul s sentiment of a wretched man : I do not do the good I want, but the evil I do not want I do. 5 / 13

8 Our Contribution - costly self-control with limited willpower axiomatize preferences over menus that admit representation: [ ( )] U(A) =max u(x) max v(y) v(x) x A y A s.t. maxv(y) v(x) w ( stock of willpower) y A e.g. Suppose However, we have u(0) v(x ) v (0) > u(x ). }{{} =0 U({0,x }) = U({x }) = u(x ), because v(x ) > w! Insufficient willpower to resist tempting cup-of-coffee. 6 / 13

9 Our Contribution - costly self-control with limited willpower axiomatize preferences over menus that admit representation: [ ( )] U(A) =max u(x) max v(y) v(x) x A y A s.t. maxv(y) v(x) w ( stock of willpower) y A e.g. Suppose However, we have u(0) v(x ) v (0) > u(x ). }{{} =0 U({0,x }) = U({x }) = u(x ), because v(x ) > w! Insufficient willpower to resist tempting cup-of-coffee. 6 / 13

10 Our Contribution - costly self-control with limited willpower axiomatize preferences over menus that admit representation: [ ( )] U(A) =max u(x) max v(y) v(x) x A y A s.t. maxv(y) v(x) w ( stock of willpower) y A e.g. Suppose However, we have u(0) v(x ) v (0) > u(x ). }{{} =0 U({0,x }) = U({x }) = u(x ), because v(x ) > w! Insufficient willpower to resist tempting cup-of-coffee. 6 / 13

11 Adding the Willpower Constraint 7 / 13

12 When does one DM exhibits more self-control than another? Related Literature 8 / 13

13 Q. How do we obtain representation? Step 1: Key assumption: set betweenness A B implies A A B B Key Lemma: If U( ) represents that satisfies set betweenness, key lemma :: then for any finite set A : U(A) = max min x A y A U({x,y}) = min y A max x A U({x,y}) 9 / 13

14 Q. How do we obtain representation? Step 1: Key assumption: set betweenness A B implies A A B B Key Lemma: If U( ) represents that satisfies set betweenness, key lemma :: then for any finite set A : U(A) = max min x A y A U({x,y}) = min y A max x A U({x,y}) 9 / 13

15 Q. How do we obtain representation? Step 1: Key assumption: set betweenness A B implies A A B B Key Lemma: If U( ) represents that satisfies set betweenness, key lemma :: then for any finite set A : U(A) = max min x A y A U({x,y}) = min y A max x A U({x,y}) 9 / 13

16 Q. How do we obtain representation? Step 2: Another key assumption for GP is independence A B implies αa + (1 α)c αb + (1 α)c for any α (0,1) Note: αa + (1 α)c = {αx + (1 α)y : x A,y B} But limited willpower involves violations of independence. Let b, y and i respectively denote broccoli, yoghurt and icecream, and suppose we have: {[b]} {[y]} {[y],[i ]} {[i]} {[b] [i ]} Then for sufficiently small α (that is, α(v (i) v (b)) w), U (α{[b],[i ]} + (1 α){[i ]}) = α(u (b) + v (b) v (i)) + (1 α)u (i ) > α(u (y) + v (y) v (i )) + (1 α)u (i ) = U (α{[y],[i ]} + (1 α){[i ]}). 10 / 13

17 Q. How do we obtain representation? Step 2: Another key assumption for GP is independence A B implies αa + (1 α)c αb + (1 α)c for any α (0,1) Note: αa + (1 α)c = {αx + (1 α)y : x A,y B} But limited willpower involves violations of independence. Let b, y and i respectively denote broccoli, yoghurt and icecream, and suppose we have: {[b]} {[y]} {[y],[i ]} {[i]} {[b] [i ]} Then for sufficiently small α (that is, α(v (i) v (b)) w), U (α{[b],[i ]} + (1 α){[i ]}) = α(u (b) + v (b) v (i)) + (1 α)u (i ) > α(u (y) + v (y) v (i )) + (1 α)u (i ) = U (α{[y],[i ]} + (1 α){[i ]}). 10 / 13

18 Q. How do we obtain representation? Step 2: Another key assumption for GP is independence A B implies αa + (1 α)c αb + (1 α)c for any α (0,1) Note: αa + (1 α)c = {αx + (1 α)y : x A,y B} But limited willpower involves violations of independence. Let b, y and i respectively denote broccoli, yoghurt and icecream, and suppose we have: {[b]} {[y]} {[y],[i ]} {[i]} {[b] [i ]} Then for sufficiently small α (that is, α(v (i) v (b)) w), U (α{[b],[i ]} + (1 α){[i ]}) = α(u (b) + v (b) v (i)) + (1 α)u (i ) > α(u (y) + v (y) v (i )) + (1 α)u (i ) = U (α{[y],[i ]} + (1 α){[i ]}). 10 / 13

19 Q. How do we obtain representation? Step 2: Another key assumption for GP is independence A B implies αa + (1 α)c αb + (1 α)c for any α (0,1) Note: αa + (1 α)c = {αx + (1 α)y : x A,y B} But limited willpower involves violations of independence. Let b, y and i respectively denote broccoli, yoghurt and icecream, and suppose we have: {[b]} {[y]} {[y],[i ]} {[i]} {[b] [i ]} Then for sufficiently small α (that is, α(v (i) v (b)) w), U (α{[b],[i ]} + (1 α){[i ]}) = α(u (b) + v (b) v (i)) + (1 α)u (i ) > α(u (y) + v (y) v (i )) + (1 α)u (i ) = U (α{[y],[i ]} + (1 α){[i ]}). 10 / 13

20 Q. How do we obtain representation? Restrict independence to singleton menus & any two-element menu so long as any failure of self-control is not attributable to lack of willpower. 2 nd innovation: show when one can infer exercise of self-control exhausts DM s stock of willpower. motivates our new axiom (Axiom 5) which guarantees stock of willpower is menu-independent. 11 / 13

21 Q. How do we obtain representation? Restrict independence to singleton menus & any two-element menu so long as any failure of self-control is not attributable to lack of willpower. 2 nd innovation: show when one can infer exercise of self-control exhausts DM s stock of willpower. motivates our new axiom (Axiom 5) which guarantees stock of willpower is menu-independent. 11 / 13

22 Related Literature Gul & Pesendorfer (2004), (2007) Chatterjee & Krishna (2009), Dekel et al (2009), Kopylov (2009) and Stovall (2010) generalize GP s model by relaxing Set Betweenness while maintaining Independence model agents who are uncertain about temptation and/or face multiple temptations Noor & Takeoka (2010) Uphill self-control model generalize GP s model by maintaining Set Betweenness and relaxing Independence Convex self-control representation [ ( )] U(A) = max u(x) φ max v(y) v(x) x A y A Masatlioglu et al (2014) Revealed Willpower U(A) =max x A u(x) s.t. maxv(y) v(x) w y A 12 / 13

23 Conclusion Adapted Gul and Pesendorfer s framework to allow for temptation with costly self-control and limited willpower. Given strictly positive willpower w > 0 discontinuity in preferences over menus arises from insufficient willpower to resist tempting alternative. Measures to increase normative utility of unpleasant task will be to no avail ( pushing on a string ). Rather should endeavor to increase temptation utility of task. Strength of individual s willpower may be key indicator of ability to make important trade-offs between small immediate gratifications and large long-term rewards. Our contribution is to provide revealed preference approach to determine strength of willpower. 13 / 13

24 Conclusion Adapted Gul and Pesendorfer s framework to allow for temptation with costly self-control and limited willpower. Given strictly positive willpower w > 0 discontinuity in preferences over menus arises from insufficient willpower to resist tempting alternative. Measures to increase normative utility of unpleasant task will be to no avail ( pushing on a string ). Rather should endeavor to increase temptation utility of task. Strength of individual s willpower may be key indicator of ability to make important trade-offs between small immediate gratifications and large long-term rewards. Our contribution is to provide revealed preference approach to determine strength of willpower. 13 / 13

25 Conclusion Adapted Gul and Pesendorfer s framework to allow for temptation with costly self-control and limited willpower. Given strictly positive willpower w > 0 discontinuity in preferences over menus arises from insufficient willpower to resist tempting alternative. Measures to increase normative utility of unpleasant task will be to no avail ( pushing on a string ). Rather should endeavor to increase temptation utility of task. Strength of individual s willpower may be key indicator of ability to make important trade-offs between small immediate gratifications and large long-term rewards. Our contribution is to provide revealed preference approach to determine strength of willpower. 13 / 13

26 Conclusion Adapted Gul and Pesendorfer s framework to allow for temptation with costly self-control and limited willpower. Given strictly positive willpower w > 0 discontinuity in preferences over menus arises from insufficient willpower to resist tempting alternative. Measures to increase normative utility of unpleasant task will be to no avail ( pushing on a string ). Rather should endeavor to increase temptation utility of task. Strength of individual s willpower may be key indicator of ability to make important trade-offs between small immediate gratifications and large long-term rewards. Our contribution is to provide revealed preference approach to determine strength of willpower. 13 / 13

27 Go back Restrict independence

28 Restrict Axiom 5: menu-independent willpower

29 Restrict Axiom 5: menu-independent willpower

30 Axiom 5: menu-independent willpower Axiom 5 requires { 1 2 a x, 1 2 a y} { 1 2 x a, 1 2 x b} Go back

31 Axiom 5: menu-independent willpower Axiom 5 requires { 1 2 a x, 1 2 a y} { 1 2 x a, 1 2 x b} Go back

Preference for Commitment

Preference for Commitment Preference for Commitment Mark Dean Behavioral Economics G6943 Fall 2016 Introduction In order to discuss preference for commitment we need to be able to discuss preferences over menus Interpretation:

More information

Preference for Commitment

Preference for Commitment Preference for Commitment Mark Dean Behavioral Economics Spring 2017 Introduction In order to discuss preference for commitment we need to be able to discuss people s preferences over menus Interpretation:

More information

Costly Self-Control and Limited Willpower

Costly Self-Control and Limited Willpower Costly Self-Control and Limited Willpower Simon Grant Research School of Economics, Australian National University and School of Economics, University of Queensland. Sung-Lin Hsieh Department of Economics

More information

Revealed Willpower. Abstract

Revealed Willpower. Abstract Revealed Willpower Yusufcan Masatlioglu Daisuke Nakajima Emre Ozdenoren Abstract The willpower as limited cognitive resource model has been proposed by experimental psychologists and used by economists

More information

Temptation with Uncertain Normative Preference

Temptation with Uncertain Normative Preference Temptation with Uncertain Normative Preference John E. Stovall Brigham Young University 23 January 2017 Abstract We model a decision maker who anticipates being tempted but is also uncertain about what

More information

Self-Deception and Choice

Self-Deception and Choice Self-Deception and Choice Igor Kopylov Jawwad Noor March 5, 2009 Abstract While the literature on temptation and self-control has typically viewed the agent as behaving strategically in order to deal with

More information

The Simple Theory of Temptation and Self-Control

The Simple Theory of Temptation and Self-Control The Simple Theory of Temptation and Self-Control Faruk Gul and Wolfgang Pesendorfer Princeton University January 2006 Abstract We analyze a two period model of temptation in a finite choice setting. We

More information

Self-Deception and Choice

Self-Deception and Choice Self-Deception and Choice Igor Kopylov Jawwad Noor August 8, 2009 Abstract We model agents who use self-deception to rationalize and justify actions that can eventually lead them into temptation. Formally,

More information

Uphill Self-Control. September 29, 2009

Uphill Self-Control. September 29, 2009 Uphill Self-Control Jawwad Noor Norio Takeoka September 29, 2009 Abstract This paper is motivated by the idea that self-control is more difficult to exert the more it is exerted. We extend the theory of

More information

Self-Deception and Choice

Self-Deception and Choice Self-Deception and Choice Igor Kopylov Jawwad Noor March 17, 2010 Abstract The temptation literature has provided models where desires attain satisfaction by commanding the agent s attention. We consider

More information

Commitments and Weak Resolve

Commitments and Weak Resolve Commitments and Weak Resolve Igor Kopylov Jawwad Noor March 8, 2016 Abstract To avoid harmful temptations, people may voluntarily constrain their feasible choices. Such commitments require resolve, that

More information

Comparative Measures of Naiveté

Comparative Measures of Naiveté Comparative Measures of Naiveté David S. Ahn Ryota Iijima Todd Sarver June 4, 2015 Abstract We propose nonparametric definitions of absolute and comparative naiveté for dynamically inconsistent preferences.

More information

MULTIPLE TEMPTATIONS

MULTIPLE TEMPTATIONS http://www.econometricsociety.org/ Econometrica, Vol. 78, No. 1 (January, 2010), 349 376 MULTIPLE TEMPTATIONS JOHN E. STOVALL University of Rochester, Rochester, NY 14627, U.S.A. The copyright to this

More information

Multiple Temptations 1

Multiple Temptations 1 Multiple Temptations 1 John E. Stovall 2 University of Rochester JOB MARKET PAPER 3 Forthcoming in Econometrica November 9, 2009 1 I would like to thank Val Lambson, Eddie Dekel, Bart Lipman, numerous

More information

A Cognitive Foundation for Social Image Concerns

A Cognitive Foundation for Social Image Concerns CIRJE-F-1085 A Cognitive Foundation for Social Image Concerns Yosuke Hashidate CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo May 2018 CIRJE Discussion Papers can be downloaded without charge from:

More information

Dynamic inconsistency and self-control: a planner doer interpretation

Dynamic inconsistency and self-control: a planner doer interpretation Economics Letters 77 (00) 419 44 www.elsevier.com/ locate/ econbase Dynamic inconsistency and self-control: a planner doer interpretation Roland Benabou *, Marek Pycia a, b,c,d a Department of Economics

More information

Temptation, Certainty Effect, and Diminishing Self-Control

Temptation, Certainty Effect, and Diminishing Self-Control Temptation, Certainty Effect, and Diminishing Self-Control Norio TAKEOKA Faculty of Economics, Ritsumeikan University, 1-1-1 Noji-Higashi, Kusatsu, Shiga 525-8577, JAPAN February 21, 2007 Abstract Gul

More information

A Reference Dependent Representation with Subjective Tastes

A Reference Dependent Representation with Subjective Tastes MPRA Munich Personal RePEc Archive A Reference Dependent Representation with ubjective Tastes Andrei Barbos University of outh Florida 14. March 2008 Online at http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/23850/ MPRA

More information

Temptation and Subjective Feasibility

Temptation and Subjective Feasibility Temptation and Subjective Feasibility Madhav Chandrasekher Current Draft: February 26, 2014 Abstract: This paper develops a new model of menu choice induced by temptation. The presence of temptation creates

More information

Behavioral Characterizations of Naiveté for Time-Inconsistent Preferences

Behavioral Characterizations of Naiveté for Time-Inconsistent Preferences Behavioral Characterizations of Naiveté for Time-Inconsistent Preferences David S. Ahn Ryota Iijima Yves Le Yaouanq Todd Sarver First Version: April 28, 2015 Current Draft: March 21, 2017 Abstract We propose

More information

COGNITIVE DISSONANCE AND CHOICE

COGNITIVE DISSONANCE AND CHOICE COGNITIVE DISSONANCE AND CHOICE Larry G. Epstein Igor Kopylov February 3, 2006 Abstract People like to feel good about past decisions. This paper models self-justification of past decisions. The model

More information

Representation Theorems

Representation Theorems Representation Theorems Mark Dean Lecture Notes for Fall 2017 PhD Class in Behavioral Economics - Columbia University 1 Introduction A key set of tools that we are going to make use of in this course are

More information

COLLEGIUM OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS WORKING PAPER SERIES. Repeated moral hazard with costly self-control. Łukasz Woźny

COLLEGIUM OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS WORKING PAPER SERIES. Repeated moral hazard with costly self-control. Łukasz Woźny COLLEGIUM OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS WORKING PAPER SERIES Repeated moral hazard with costly self-control Łukasz Woźny SGH KAE Working Papers Series Number: 06/007 October 06 Repeated moral hazard with costly

More information

Temptation and Revealed Preference

Temptation and Revealed Preference Temptation and Revealed Preference Jawwad Noor August 6, 2010 Abstract Gul and Pesendorfer [9] model the static behavior of an agent who ranks menus prior to the experience of temptation. This paper models

More information

BEHAVIORAL CHARACTERIZATIONS OF NAIVETÉ FOR TIME-INCONSISTENT PREFERENCES. David S. Ahn, Ryota Iijima, Yves Le Yaouanq, and Todd Sarver.

BEHAVIORAL CHARACTERIZATIONS OF NAIVETÉ FOR TIME-INCONSISTENT PREFERENCES. David S. Ahn, Ryota Iijima, Yves Le Yaouanq, and Todd Sarver. BEHAVIORAL CHARACTERIZATIONS OF NAIVETÉ FOR TIME-INCONSISTENT PREFERENCES By David S. Ahn, Ryota Iijima, Yves Le Yaouanq, and Todd Sarver February 2017 COWLES FOUNDATION DISCUSSION PAPER NO. 2074 COWLES

More information

Choice Deferral, Indecisiveness and Preference for Flexibility

Choice Deferral, Indecisiveness and Preference for Flexibility Choice Deferral, Indecisiveness and Preference for Flexibility Leonardo Pejsachowicz and Severine Toussaert November 3, 2016 Indecision is the key to flexibility. Proverb Abstract We introduce a model

More information

COSTLY SELF-CONTROL AND RANDOM SELF-INDULGENCE

COSTLY SELF-CONTROL AND RANDOM SELF-INDULGENCE Econometrica, Vol. 8, No. 3 (May, 212), 1271 132 COSTLY SELF-CONTROL AND RANDOM SELF-INDULGENCE BY EDDIE DEKEL AND BARTON L. LIPMAN 1 We study the random Strotz model, a version of the Strotz (1955) model

More information

Preferences for Randomization and Anticipation

Preferences for Randomization and Anticipation Preferences for Randomization and Anticipation Yosuke Hashidate Abstract In decision theory, it is not generally postulated that decision makers randomize their choices. In contrast, in real life, even

More information

Behavioral Characterizations of Naivete for Time-Inconsistent Preferences

Behavioral Characterizations of Naivete for Time-Inconsistent Preferences Behavioral Characterizations of Naivete for Time-Inconsistent Preferences David S. Ahn Ryota Iijima Yves Le Yaouanq Todd Sarver First Version: April 28, 2015 Current Draft: July 11, 2018 Abstract We propose

More information

Time Preferences. Mark Dean. ECON 2090 Spring 2015

Time Preferences. Mark Dean. ECON 2090 Spring 2015 Time Preferences Mark Dean ECON 2090 Spring 2015 Two Standard Ways Last week we suggested two possible ways of spotting temptation 1 Preference for Commitment 2 Time inconsistency Previously we covered

More information

A UNIQUE COSTLY CONTEMPLATION REPRESENTATION. TODD SARVER Northwestern University, Evanston, IL 60208, U.S.A.

A UNIQUE COSTLY CONTEMPLATION REPRESENTATION. TODD SARVER Northwestern University, Evanston, IL 60208, U.S.A. http://www.econometricsociety.org/ Econometrica, Vol. 78, No. 4 (July, 2010), 1285 1339 A UNIQUE COSTLY CONTEMPLATION REPRESENTATION HALUK ERGIN Washington University in Saint Louis, Saint Louis, MO 63130,

More information

Problem 2: ii) Completeness of implies that for any x X we have x x and thus x x. Thus x I(x).

Problem 2: ii) Completeness of implies that for any x X we have x x and thus x x. Thus x I(x). Bocconi University PhD in Economics - Microeconomics I Prof. M. Messner Problem Set 1 - Solution Problem 1: Suppose that x y and y z but not x z. Then, z x. Together with y z this implies (by transitivity)

More information

NAIVETÉ ABOUT TEMPTATION AND SELF-CONTROL: FOUNDATIONS FOR NAIVE QUASI-HYPERBOLIC DISCOUNTING. David S. Ahn, Ryota Iijima, and Todd Sarver

NAIVETÉ ABOUT TEMPTATION AND SELF-CONTROL: FOUNDATIONS FOR NAIVE QUASI-HYPERBOLIC DISCOUNTING. David S. Ahn, Ryota Iijima, and Todd Sarver NAIVETÉ ABOUT TEMPTATION AND SELF-CONTROL: FOUNDATIONS FOR NAIVE QUASI-HYPERBOLIC DISCOUNTING By David S. Ahn, Ryota Iijima, and Todd Sarver August 2017 Revised February 2018 COWLES FOUNDATION DISCUSSION

More information

Impure Altruism and Impure Selfishness

Impure Altruism and Impure Selfishness Impure Altruism and Impure Selfishness Kota SAITO California Institute of Technology September 5, 2013 Abstract Altruism refers to a willingness to benefit others, even at one s own expense. In contrast,

More information

Completing the State Space with Subjective States 1

Completing the State Space with Subjective States 1 Journal of Economic Theory 105, 531539 (2002) doi:10.1006jeth.2001.2824 Completing the State Space with Subjective States 1 Emre Ozdenoren Department of Economics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan

More information

SUPPLEMENT TO PREFERENCE FOR FLEXIBILITY AND RANDOM CHOICE (Econometrica, Vol. 81, No. 1, January 2013, )

SUPPLEMENT TO PREFERENCE FOR FLEXIBILITY AND RANDOM CHOICE (Econometrica, Vol. 81, No. 1, January 2013, ) Econometrica Supplementary Material SPPLEMENT TO PREFERENCE FOR FLEXIBILITY AND RANDOM CHOICE (Econometrica, Vol. 81, No. 1, January 2013, 341 361) BY DAVID S. AHN AND TODD SARVER In this supplement, we

More information

Two-Stage-Partitional Representation and Dynamic Consistency 1

Two-Stage-Partitional Representation and Dynamic Consistency 1 Two-Stage-Partitional Representation and Dynamic Consistency 1 Suguru Ito June 5 th, 2015 Abstract In this paper, we study an individual who faces a three-period decision problem when she accepts the partitional

More information

Ashamed to be Selfish

Ashamed to be Selfish Ashamed to be Selfish David Dillenberger University of Pennsylvania Philipp Sadowski Duke University September 20, 2010 ERID Working Paper Number 84 This paper can be downloaded without charge from The

More information

NAIVETÉ ABOUT TEMPTATION AND SELF-CONTROL: FOUNDATIONS FOR NAIVE QUASI-HYPERBOLIC DISCOUNTING. David S. Ahn, Ryota Iijima, and Todd Sarver

NAIVETÉ ABOUT TEMPTATION AND SELF-CONTROL: FOUNDATIONS FOR NAIVE QUASI-HYPERBOLIC DISCOUNTING. David S. Ahn, Ryota Iijima, and Todd Sarver NAIVETÉ ABOUT TEMPTATION AND SELF-CONTROL: FOUNDATIONS FOR NAIVE QUASI-HYPERBOLIC DISCOUNTING By David S. Ahn, Ryota Iijima, and Todd Sarver August 2017 COWLES FOUNDATION DISCUSSION PAPER NO. 2099 COWLES

More information

AN AXIOMATIC MODEL OF NON-BAYESIAN UPDATING

AN AXIOMATIC MODEL OF NON-BAYESIAN UPDATING AN AXIOMATIC MODEL OF NON-BAYESIAN UPDATING Larry G. Epstein September 20, 2005 Abstract This paper models an agent in a three-period setting who does not update according to Bayes Rule, and who is self-aware

More information

Self-Control and the Theory of Consumption 1

Self-Control and the Theory of Consumption 1 Self-Control and the Theory of Consumption 1 Faruk Gul and Wolfgang Pesendorfer Abstract To study the behavior of agents who are susceptible to temptation in infinite horizon consumption problems under

More information

Supplementary Appendix to Impatience as Selfishness

Supplementary Appendix to Impatience as Selfishness Supplementary Appendix to Impatience as Selfishness Jawwad Noor Norio Takeoka January 25, 2018 Abstract This supplementary appendix provides two results related to Noor and Takeoka [2]: (1) compatibility

More information

Macroeconomics II: Behavioural Macro

Macroeconomics II: Behavioural Macro Johannes-Gutenberg University Mainz Bachelor of Science in Wirtschaftswissenschaften Macroeconomics II: Behavioural Macro Summer 2017 Klaus Wälde (lecture) and Jean Roch Donsimoni (tutorials) www.macro.economics.uni-mainz.de

More information

Commitment and Self-Control

Commitment and Self-Control Commitment and Self-Control Jawwad Noor Department of Economics, Boston University, 270 Bay State Road, Boston MA 02215. Email: jnoor@bu.edu. September 28, 2005 I am greatly indebted to Larry Epstein for

More information

Impatience as Selfishness

Impatience as Selfishness Impatience as Selfishness Jawwad Noor Norio Takeoka January 24, 208 Abstract Time preference is modelled as a current self that overcomes selfishness by incurring a cognitive cost of empathizing with her

More information

An Axiomatic Model of Non-Bayesian Updating. Larry G. Epstein. Working Paper No. 498 January 2005 UNIVERSITY OF ROCHESTER

An Axiomatic Model of Non-Bayesian Updating. Larry G. Epstein. Working Paper No. 498 January 2005 UNIVERSITY OF ROCHESTER An Axiomatic Model of Non-Bayesian Updating Larry G. Epstein Working Paper No. 498 January 2005 UNIVERSITY OF ROCHESTER AN AXIOMATIC MODEL OF NON-BAYESIAN UPDATING Larry G. Epstein January 20, 2005 Abstract

More information

Repeated moral hazard with costly self control

Repeated moral hazard with costly self control Repeated moral hazard with costly self control Lukasz Woźny February 07 Abstract We consider a repeated principal-agent model, where a single agent exhibits problems of self control modelled using Gul

More information

Revealing Sophistication and Naïveté from Procrastination

Revealing Sophistication and Naïveté from Procrastination Revealing Sophistication and Naïveté from Procrastination David Freeman March 1, 2016 Abstract Consider a person who must complete a task, and is given a set of options for completing the task at different

More information

Attribute-Based Inferences: An Axiomatic Analysis of Reference-Dependent Preferences

Attribute-Based Inferences: An Axiomatic Analysis of Reference-Dependent Preferences Attribute-Based Inferences: An Axiomatic Analysis of Reference-Dependent Preferences Yosuke Hashidate Graduate School of Economics, The University of Tokyo First Draft: January 2015 This Draft: February

More information

Generalized Preference for Flexibility

Generalized Preference for Flexibility Generalized Preference for Flexibility Madhav Chandrasekher 1 Current Draft: November 8, 2007 Abstract: This paper provides a new representation theorem for the class of menu preferences that satisfy only

More information

Technical Results on Regular Preferences and Demand

Technical Results on Regular Preferences and Demand Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences Technical Results on Regular Preferences and Demand KC Border Revised Fall 2011; Winter 2017 Preferences For the purposes of this note, a preference relation

More information

Measurable Ambiguity. with Wolfgang Pesendorfer. August 2009

Measurable Ambiguity. with Wolfgang Pesendorfer. August 2009 Measurable Ambiguity with Wolfgang Pesendorfer August 2009 A Few Definitions A Lottery is a (cumulative) probability distribution over monetary prizes. It is a probabilistic description of the DMs uncertain

More information

Optimal Funded Pension for Consumers with Heterogeneous Self-Control

Optimal Funded Pension for Consumers with Heterogeneous Self-Control Optimal Funded Pension for Consumers with Heterogeneous Self-Control Kazuki Kumashiro Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University April 28, 2017 Abstract Though funded pensions have a role as forced

More information

Lexicographic Expected Utility with a Subjective State Space

Lexicographic Expected Utility with a Subjective State Space Lexicographic Expected Utility with a Subjective State Space Youichiro Higashi Kazuya Hyogo August 25, 2008 Abstract This paper provides a model that allows for a criterion of admissibility based on a

More information

A Theory of Reference Point Formation

A Theory of Reference Point Formation A Theory of Reference Point Formation Özgür Kıbrıs Yusufcan Masatlioglu Elchin Suleymanov April 8, 2018 Abstract We introduce and axiomatically characterize a model of reference-dependent choice under

More information

A Theory of Local Menu Preferences

A Theory of Local Menu Preferences A Theory of Local Menu Preferences Madhav Chandrasekher Current Draft: June 12, 2014 Abstract: Choice models which satisfy Arrow s WARP cannot represent preferences that arise from settings in which the

More information

A Note on the Existence of Ratifiable Acts

A Note on the Existence of Ratifiable Acts A Note on the Existence of Ratifiable Acts Joseph Y. Halpern Cornell University Computer Science Department Ithaca, NY 14853 halpern@cs.cornell.edu http://www.cs.cornell.edu/home/halpern August 15, 2018

More information

Glimcher Decision Making

Glimcher Decision Making Glimcher Decision Making Signal Detection Theory With Gaussian Assumption Without Gaussian Assumption Equivalent to Maximum Likelihood w/o Cost Function Newsome Dot Task QuickTime and a Video decompressor

More information

Cognitive Anchor in Other-Regarding Preferences: An Axiomatic Approach

Cognitive Anchor in Other-Regarding Preferences: An Axiomatic Approach Cognitive Anchor in Other-Regarding Preferences: An Axiomatic Approach Yosuke Hashidate Graduate School of Economics, The University of Tokyo First Draft: October 30, 2016 This Draft: January 30, 2017

More information

Static Decision Theory Under Certainty

Static Decision Theory Under Certainty Static Decision Theory Under Certainty Larry Blume September 22, 2010 1 basics A set of objects X An individual is asked to express preferences among the objects, or to make choices from subsets of X.

More information

Section 10.7 The Cross Product

Section 10.7 The Cross Product 44 Section 10.7 The Cross Product Objective #0: Evaluating Determinants. Recall the following definition for determinants: Determinants a The determinant for matrix 1 b 1 is denoted as a 1 b 1 a b a b

More information

ESSAYS IN BEHAVIORAL DECISION THEORY

ESSAYS IN BEHAVIORAL DECISION THEORY ESSAYS IN BEHAVIORAL DECISION THEORY Thesis by Matthew L. Kovach In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy California Institute of Technology Pasadena, California

More information

A Subjective Model of Temporal Preferences

A Subjective Model of Temporal Preferences A Subjective Model of Temporal Preferences Haluk Ergin Todd Sarver January 25, 2009 Preliminary Draft (Please do not circulate) Abstract We study preferences for timing of resolution of objective uncertainty

More information

Structural Properties of Utility Functions Walrasian Demand

Structural Properties of Utility Functions Walrasian Demand Structural Properties of Utility Functions Walrasian Demand Econ 2100 Fall 2017 Lecture 4, September 7 Outline 1 Structural Properties of Utility Functions 1 Local Non Satiation 2 Convexity 3 Quasi-linearity

More information

Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences. Sums of sets, etc.

Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences. Sums of sets, etc. Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences Sums of sets, etc. KC Border September 2002 Rev. November 2012 Rev. September 2013 If E and F are subsets of R m, define the sum E + F = {x + y : x E; y F

More information

Mathematical Preliminaries for Microeconomics: Exercises

Mathematical Preliminaries for Microeconomics: Exercises Mathematical Preliminaries for Microeconomics: Exercises Igor Letina 1 Universität Zürich Fall 2013 1 Based on exercises by Dennis Gärtner, Andreas Hefti and Nick Netzer. How to prove A B Direct proof

More information

Individual decision-making under certainty

Individual decision-making under certainty Individual decision-making under certainty Objects of inquiry Our study begins with individual decision-making under certainty Items of interest include: Feasible set Objective function (Feasible set R)

More information

Fictitious Self-Play in Extensive-Form Games

Fictitious Self-Play in Extensive-Form Games Johannes Heinrich, Marc Lanctot, David Silver University College London, Google DeepMind July 9, 05 Problem Learn from self-play in games with imperfect information. Games: Multi-agent decision making

More information

Behavioral Economics. Lecture 9

Behavioral Economics. Lecture 9 14.127 Behavioral Economics. Lecture 9 Xavier Gabaix April 8, 2004 1 Self Control Problems 1.1 Hyperbolic discounting Do you want a small cookie u s now (t 0 = 0) or a big cookie u b later (t 1 =1 week)?

More information

Moral hazard in teams

Moral hazard in teams Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences Moral hazard in teams KC Border November 2004 These notes are based on the first part of Moral hazard in teams by Bengt Holmström [1], and fills in the gaps

More information

Virtual Robust Implementation and Strategic Revealed Preference

Virtual Robust Implementation and Strategic Revealed Preference and Strategic Revealed Preference Workshop of Mathematical Economics Celebrating the 60th birthday of Aloisio Araujo IMPA Rio de Janeiro December 2006 Denitions "implementation": requires ALL equilibria

More information

Axiomatic Decision Theory

Axiomatic Decision Theory Decision Theory Decision theory is about making choices It has a normative aspect what rational people should do... and a descriptive aspect what people do do Not surprisingly, it s been studied by economists,

More information

Procrastination, partial naivete, and behavioral welfare analysis.

Procrastination, partial naivete, and behavioral welfare analysis. Procrastination, partial naivete, and behavioral welfare analysis. Geir B. Asheim August 20, 2008 Abstract This paper has a dual purpose. First, I present a new modeling of partial naivete and apply this

More information

GS/ECON 5010 section B Answers to Assignment 1 September Q1. Are the preferences described below transitive? Strictly monotonic? Convex?

GS/ECON 5010 section B Answers to Assignment 1 September Q1. Are the preferences described below transitive? Strictly monotonic? Convex? GS/ECON 5010 section B Answers to Assignment 1 September 2011 Q1. Are the preferences described below transitive? Strictly monotonic? Convex? Explain briefly. The person consumes 2 goods, food and clothing.

More information

Costly Contemplation

Costly Contemplation Costly Contemplation Haluk Ergin MIT December 2003 Abstract We study preferences over opportunity sets. Such preferences are monotone if every opportunity set is at least as good as its subsets. We prove

More information

Lecture # 3 Orthogonal Matrices and Matrix Norms. We repeat the definition an orthogonal set and orthornormal set.

Lecture # 3 Orthogonal Matrices and Matrix Norms. We repeat the definition an orthogonal set and orthornormal set. Lecture # 3 Orthogonal Matrices and Matrix Norms We repeat the definition an orthogonal set and orthornormal set. Definition A set of k vectors {u, u 2,..., u k }, where each u i R n, is said to be an

More information

Choice with Menu-Dependent Rankings (Presentation Slides)

Choice with Menu-Dependent Rankings (Presentation Slides) Choice with Menu-Dependent Rankings (Presentation Slides) Paulo Natenzon October 22nd, 2008 1 References that appear on the slides are [1], [2], [3], [4], [5], [6], [7]. References [1] Markus K. Brunnermeier

More information

PREFERENCE FOR FLEXIBILITY AND RANDOM CHOICE. TODD SARVER Northwestern University, Evanston, IL 60208, U.S.A.

PREFERENCE FOR FLEXIBILITY AND RANDOM CHOICE. TODD SARVER Northwestern University, Evanston, IL 60208, U.S.A. http://www.econometricsociety.org/ Econometrica, Vol. 8, No. (January, 203), 34 36 PREFERENCE FOR FLEXIBILITY AND RANDOM CHOICE DAVID S. AHN University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720-3880,

More information

The Compromise and Attraction Effects Through Frame Preferences

The Compromise and Attraction Effects Through Frame Preferences The Compromise and Attraction Effects Through Frame Preferences Alex Poterack November 13, 2015 Abstract The compromise and attraction effects are two of the most robust and well documented violations

More information

A Theory of Subjective Learning

A Theory of Subjective Learning A Theory of Subjective Learning David Dillenberger Juan Sebastián Lleras Philipp Sadowski Norio Takeoka July 2014 Abstract We study an individual who faces a dynamic decision problem in which the process

More information

Revealed Conflicting Preferences: Rationalizing Choice with Multi-Self Models

Revealed Conflicting Preferences: Rationalizing Choice with Multi-Self Models Revealed Conflicting Preferences: Rationalizing Choice with Multi-Self Models Attila Ambrus Harvard University Kareen Rozen Yale University December 2008 (First Version: April 2008) Abstract We model a

More information

x 1 1 and p 1 1 Two points if you just talk about monotonicity (u (c) > 0).

x 1 1 and p 1 1 Two points if you just talk about monotonicity (u (c) > 0). . (a) (8 points) What does it mean for observations x and p... x T and p T to be rationalized by a monotone utility function? Notice that this is a one good economy. For all t, p t x t function. p t x

More information

A Subjective Model of Temporal Preferences

A Subjective Model of Temporal Preferences A Subjective Model of Temporal Preferences Haluk Ergin Todd Sarver September 30, 2009 Abstract We study preferences for timing of resolution of objective uncertainty in a simple menu choice model with

More information

PRINCIPLE OF MATHEMATICAL INDUCTION

PRINCIPLE OF MATHEMATICAL INDUCTION Chapter 4 PRINCIPLE OF MATHEMATICAL INDUCTION Analysis and natural philosopy owe their most important discoveries to this fruitful means, which is called induction Newton was indebted to it for his theorem

More information

Rationally Inattentive Preferences and Hidden Information Costs

Rationally Inattentive Preferences and Hidden Information Costs Rationally Inattentive Preferences and Hidden Information Costs H. de Oliveira T. Denti M. Mihm K. Ozbek February 19, 2016 Abstract We show how information acquisition costs can be identified using observable

More information

Credibilistic Bi-Matrix Game

Credibilistic Bi-Matrix Game Journal of Uncertain Systems Vol.6, No.1, pp.71-80, 2012 Online at: www.jus.org.uk Credibilistic Bi-Matrix Game Prasanta Mula 1, Sankar Kumar Roy 2, 1 ISRO Satellite Centre, Old Airport Road, Vimanapura

More information

1.8 Dual Spaces (non-examinable)

1.8 Dual Spaces (non-examinable) 2 Theorem 1715 is just a restatement in terms of linear morphisms of a fact that you might have come across before: every m n matrix can be row-reduced to reduced echelon form using row operations Moreover,

More information

GARP and Afriat s Theorem Production

GARP and Afriat s Theorem Production GARP and Afriat s Theorem Production Econ 2100 Fall 2017 Lecture 8, September 21 Outline 1 Generalized Axiom of Revealed Preferences 2 Afriat s Theorem 3 Production Sets and Production Functions 4 Profits

More information

Hidden actions and preferences for timing of resolution. uncertainty.

Hidden actions and preferences for timing of resolution. uncertainty. Theoretical Economics 10 (2015), 489 541 1555-7561/20150489 Hidden actions and preferences for timing of resolution of uncertainty Haluk Ergin Department of Economics, University of California Berkeley

More information

Coalitional Structure of the Muller-Satterthwaite Theorem

Coalitional Structure of the Muller-Satterthwaite Theorem Coalitional Structure of the Muller-Satterthwaite Theorem Pingzhong Tang and Tuomas Sandholm Computer Science Department Carnegie Mellon University {kenshin,sandholm}@cscmuedu Abstract The Muller-Satterthwaite

More information

A Subjective Model of Temporal Preferences

A Subjective Model of Temporal Preferences A Subjective Model of Temporal Preferences Haluk Ergin Todd Sarver March 17, 2009 Preliminary Draft (Please do not circulate) Abstract We study preferences for timing of resolution of objective uncertainty

More information

Impatience as Selfishness

Impatience as Selfishness Impatience as Selfishness Jawwad Noor Norio Takeoka January 18, 2017 Abstract Time preference is modelled as a current self that overcomes selfishness by incurring a cognitive cost of imagining herself

More information

Indecisiveness, preference for flexibility, and a unique subjective state space

Indecisiveness, preference for flexibility, and a unique subjective state space Indecisiveness, preference for flexibility, and a unique subjective state space Nobuo Koida This version: April 12, 2018 Abstract The objective of this study is to unify two major approaches for addressing

More information

Published in the American Economic Review Volume 104, Issue 8, August 2014, pages doi: /aer

Published in the American Economic Review Volume 104, Issue 8, August 2014, pages doi: /aer Published in the American Economic Review Volume 104, Issue 8, August 2014, pages 2303-19 doi:10.1257/aer.104.8.2303 THE AXIOMATIC STRUCTURE OF EMPIRICAL CONTENT CHRISTOPHER P. CHAMBERS, FEDERICO ECHENIQUE,

More information

CHAPTER 4: HIGHER ORDER DERIVATIVES. Likewise, we may define the higher order derivatives. f(x, y, z) = xy 2 + e zx. y = 2xy.

CHAPTER 4: HIGHER ORDER DERIVATIVES. Likewise, we may define the higher order derivatives. f(x, y, z) = xy 2 + e zx. y = 2xy. April 15, 2009 CHAPTER 4: HIGHER ORDER DERIVATIVES In this chapter D denotes an open subset of R n. 1. Introduction Definition 1.1. Given a function f : D R we define the second partial derivatives as

More information

Individual Rationality in Collective Choice

Individual Rationality in Collective Choice Individual Rationality in Collective Choice Hiroki Nishimura February 21, 2014 Abstract This paper studies the rationality of an individual player in sequential games of perfect information played with

More information

Chapter 1 - Preference and choice

Chapter 1 - Preference and choice http://selod.ensae.net/m1 Paris School of Economics (selod@ens.fr) September 27, 2007 Notations Consider an individual (agent) facing a choice set X. Definition (Choice set, "Consumption set") X is a set

More information

Microeconomics, Block I Part 1

Microeconomics, Block I Part 1 Microeconomics, Block I Part 1 Piero Gottardi EUI Sept. 26, 2016 Piero Gottardi (EUI) Microeconomics, Block I Part 1 Sept. 26, 2016 1 / 53 Choice Theory Set of alternatives: X, with generic elements x,

More information

Confronting Theory with Experimental Data and vice versa. Lecture I Choice under risk. The Norwegian School of Economics Nov 7-11, 2011

Confronting Theory with Experimental Data and vice versa. Lecture I Choice under risk. The Norwegian School of Economics Nov 7-11, 2011 Confronting Theory with Experimental Data and vice versa Lecture I Choice under risk The Norwegian School of Economics Nov 7-11, 2011 Preferences Let X be some set of alternatives (consumption set). Formally,

More information

SURPLUS SHARING WITH A TWO-STAGE MECHANISM. By Todd R. Kaplan and David Wettstein 1. Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Israel. 1.

SURPLUS SHARING WITH A TWO-STAGE MECHANISM. By Todd R. Kaplan and David Wettstein 1. Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Israel. 1. INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC REVIEW Vol. 41, No. 2, May 2000 SURPLUS SHARING WITH A TWO-STAGE MECHANISM By Todd R. Kaplan and David Wettstein 1 Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Israel In this article we consider

More information