// Towards a European Territorial Reference Framework

Transcription

1 // Towards a European Territorial Reference Framework Andreu Ulied (MCRIT) (ed.) Join Seminar // Key messages for Territorial Reference Framework // 13 November// Vienna

2 A deliberative working process, based on an Strategic Advisory Forum Jacek Szlachta (WSE) Marjorie Jouen (JDI) Rudiger Ahrend (OECD, FR) John Bachtler (UK) Fabrizio Barca (IT) Simin Davoudi (UK) Andreas Faludi (NL) Klaus Kunzmann (DE) Peter Nijkamp (NL) Mila Mancheva (BG) Philip McCann (UK) Tatjana Muravska (LV) Michael Parkinson (UK) Tea Nõmmann (EE) Slavo Radošević (UK) Andrés Rodriguez-Pose (UK) Janusz Zaleski (PL)

3 A deliberative working process, based on an Strategic Advisory Forum Jacek Szlachta (WSE) Marjorie Jouen (JDI) Rudiger Ahrend (OECD, FR) John Bachtler (UK) Fabrizio Barca (IT) Simin Davoudi (UK) Andreas Faludi (NL) Klaus Kunzmann (DE) Peter Nijkamp (NL) Mila Mancheva (BG) Philip McCann (UK) Tatjana Muravska (LV) Michael Parkinson (UK) Tea Nõmmann (EE) Slavo Radošević (UK) Andrés Rodriguez-Pose (UK) Janusz Zaleski (PL) SAF1 SAF2 SAF3 SAF4 SAF5 < < D1 D2 D3 D4 Working process (Dec 2017 April 2019)

4 Background: reference political documents ESDP (European Spatial Development Prospective, 1999) Territorial Agenda (2007) Towards a More Competitive and Sustainable Europe of Diverse Regions Green Paper on Territorial Cohesion (2008) Turning territorial diversity into strength Territorial Agenda 2020 (2011) Towards an Inclusive, Smart and Sustainable Europe of Diverse Regions Territorial Agenda +2020? 4

5 1 Challenges 12/17/2018 5

6 Places that do not matter : Geographies of discontent 6 Lewis Dijkstra, Hugo Poelman and Andrés Rodríguez Pose European Week of Regions and Cities Brussels, 11 October 2018

7 Growth and Increasing Disparities Ahead towards 2015 (GDP per capita by MASST4) Reykjavik Reference scenario Jul. 16, per capita GDP Ca narias < 18,27 18,28-31,51 31,52-48,50 48,51-95,09 > 95,09 Gu adelo upe Ma rtin ique Ré un ion Helsinki Oslo Guyan e Tallinn Stockholm Ma deira Riga København Dublin Vilnius Minsk Aco re s Amsterdam London Berlin Kyiv Bruxelles/Brussel Paris This map does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the ESPON Monitoring Committee Warszawa Praha Luxem bourg Bratislava Wien Bern Kishinev Budapest Va duz Ljubljana Za greb Bucuresti Beograd 7 Sarajevo Lisboa Podgor ica Madr id Rom a Sofiya S kopje Ankara Tirana Athinai El-Jazair Ar Ribat Nicosia Tounis Politecnico di Milano, Project ETRF, 2018 Valletta km Regional level: NUTS Source: Politecnico di Milano, 201 Origin of data: - EuroGeographics Association for administrative boundarie

8 The territorial fragmentation of Europe

9 Key Territorial Challenges of Europe in the World of the 21th Century Welfare disparities Administrative divisions

10 Key Territorial Challenges of Europe in the World of the 21th Century Welfare disparities Sociocultural Differences Administrative divisions Fragmentation

11 Interdependencies : from territorial borders to hub & spoke networks

12 Key Territorial Challenges of Europe in the World of the 21th Century Welfare disparities Sociocultural Differences Global connections Local proximity Administrative divisions Fragmentation Interdependencies

13 Key Territorial Challenges of Europe in the World of the 21th Century Welfare disparities Sociocultural Differences Global connections Local proximity Administrative divisions Fragmentation Interdependencies Misalignment at all scales between borders and flows

14 Key Territorial Challenges of Europe in the World of the 21th Century Welfare disparities Sociocultural Differences Global connections Local proximity Administrative divisions Fragmentation Interdependencies Misalignment at all scales between border and flows Contested Policy design processes Legitimacy deficits Efficiency deficits Unsuccessful Policyimplementat ion

15 2 Trends 12/17/

16 Trends: Living in Pervasive Uncertainty Becoming Digital: ICT + IoT + BigData + AIS Global financial markets Global migrations Climate Change (mitigation and adaptation) Robotisation Cyberpolitics Postcarbon technologies New materials Biotechnolo gies (e.g. cellular farming, genetics ) Reindustriali sation on higher added value activities Global trade & logistics Multilocal businesses Internal migrations More fluid social institutions and virtual communities Permanent education and job training New Generations values Collaborative and circular economies Landoccupation and relative loss of biodiversity Decoupling of energy, mobility and resource consumption Singular technologies Network economies Fluid societies Environmental risks

17 Living in Pervasive Uncertainty Technological trends: Singularity (Ray Kuzweil) Virtual vs. material, Centralised vs. decentralised Becoming Digital: ICT + IoT + BigData + AIS Postcarbon technologies Automatisation & Robotisation Biotechnologies (e.g. cellular farming, genetics )

18 Living in Pervasive Uncertainty Economic trends: Space of flows (Manuel Castells) Global vs. local, Connected vs. unplugged Subverted distances: glocal polarisation Multilocal businesses: hyperconnected and further decentralised activities Global trade becoming more relevant than European trade Reindustrialisation in European regions Just in time collaborative economies at all scales Circular economy

19 Living in Pervasive Uncertainty Social trends: Fluid Society (Zygmunt Bauman) Nomans vs. Sedentaries, Cosmopolitan and national Ageing External migrations and more temporary internal migrations Internal migrations: concentration and dispersion processes More fluid social institutions. Virtual and project oriented communities. New Generations values: place attachment versus global vocation identities Social disparities because of education and job training

20 Living in Pervasive Uncertainty Environmental trends: The risk Society (Ulrich Beck) Affected vs. non yet affected Climate Change vulnerability (adaptation/mitigation) Decoupling of energy, mobility and resource consumption (e.g. water, land) with growth Cellular agriculture and biomedicine beyond limits Relative loss of biodiversity and cultural diversity

21 Digital technologies Fluid societies Network economies Environmental risks

22 Digital technologies Fluid societies Network economies Environmental risks Welfare disparities Sociocultural Differences Global connections Local proximity Administrative divisions Fragmentation Interdependencies Misalignment at all scales between borders and flows

23 Digital technologies Fluid societies Network economies Environmental risks Welfare Disparities Cultural Differences Global Connections Local proximities Administrative divisions Fragmentation Interdependencies World Geopolitics Misalignment at all scales between borders and flows: Efficiency and legitimacy problems Neighboring Countries

24 Digital technologies Fluid societies Network economies Environmental risks Social Disparities Cultural Differences Global Connections Local proximities Administrative divisions Fragmentation Interdependencies World Geopolitics Misalignment at all scales between territories and flows: Efficiency and legitimacy problems Neighboring Countries Crisis of Territorialism

25 Living in Pervasive Uncertainty Political: Poverty of territorialism (Andreas Faludi / Saskia Sassen / Michel Foucault/ Daniel Bell) Increasing problems of efficiency (and legitimacy) in governments at all scales New models of citizen participation and cooperation demand more quality of government New geopolitics leading to global agreements in security, trade and environment. More interdependency with neighbouring countries.

26 3 Policy Scenarios =

27 Policy scenarios under discussion Muddling Through Enabling Cooperation Global Balance Local Renaissance European Forward Unit (1999) Turbulent neighbourhoods Shared Responsibilities Triumphant Markets (balanced with EU stronger common institutions) Flowers (without libertarian approach) New Pact EPC (2014) Moving Ahead Ambitiously Leaping forward Junker s White Paper, EC (2017) EPRS, EP (2017) Carrying on Hollow foundations: Unstable Europe in an unstable world Top down Multilevel governance Those that want to do more, do more Doing more together EU as a global power: Stable Europe in an unstable world New territorialism Doing less more efficiently Territoriality Multilevel governance Post territorialism & place based approach Goverment Authoritarian Enabling Providing Empowering European project Uncertain, risk of desintegration Enhanced Cooperation Further Integration driven by global challenges Further Integration driven by people s values Key Political Institutions Member States EU, Member States, Regions, Municipalities European common strong institutions New City regions

28 Policy Scenarios relevance over time Global Balance Enabling Cooperation Muddling Through Dominance of the scenario over time Local Renaissance

29 Scenarios under discussion Efficiency claim Global Balance Enabling Cooperation Reactive Proactive Reparing Old territorialities Building New territorialities Muddling Through Local Renaissance Legitimacy claims

30 Long term 2050 Visions Beyond territorialism Contested Policy design processes Solving legitimacy deficits Reforming territorialism towards 2050 Solving efficiency deficits Unsuccessful Policyimplementat ion Local Renaissance 2050 New territorialism City regions as key political actors Global Balance 2050 Post territorialism EU as global political actor Functional territorialities of variable geometry

31 4 A Framework for Action 31

32 Policy Strategies in the Pervasive Uncertainty 2030 Scenario to overcome territorialism Mudding Through Multilevel top down governance Framework for place based cooperation Enabling Cooperation Multilevel place based governance Framework for territorial bottom up visions

33 Territorial Agenda as a Framework for Enabling Cooperation (I)

34 Territorial Agenda as a Framework for Enabling Cooperation samples Next to the EU Urban Agenda, a national Urban Agenda is being developed in the Netherlands. The Dutch national government is developing city deals on different urban issues with cities. City Deals with cities and other stakeholders, as part of the Dutch Urban Agenda. Le contrat de plan Etat-Région est un document par lequel l Etat et une Région s engagent sur la programmation et le financement pluriannuels de projets important 34 The state concludes agreements concerning land use, housing and transport (MAL) with the main city regions of Finland. These agreements enhance cooperation among the municipalities in the respective city regions and between the municipalities and the state in the steering of community infrastructure and coordination of land use, housing and transport.

35 Territorial Agenda as a Framework for Bottom up Territorial Visions (II)

36 Framework for territorial bottom up visions sample

37 // Thank you