Markov State Models. Gregory R. Bowman Miller Fellow University of California, Berkeley

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1 Markov State Models Gregory R. Bowman Miller Fellow University of California, Berkeley Tuesday, August 16, 2011

2 Defining The Protein Folding Problem

3 Defining The Protein Folding Problem

4 Why Mechanism?

5 Why Mechanism?

6 Why Mechanism?

7 The Sampling Challenge Bond vibration Isomerization Water dynamics Helix forms Fast folding Slow conf change protein oligomerization femto pico 10-9 nano 10-6 micro 10-3 milli 10 0 seconds 10 3 seconds MD step long MD run where we d love to be time on 1 fast CPU 1 day 3 years 3,000 years 3,000,000 years ~age of the earth Tuesday, August 16, 2011

8 The Sampling Challenge Bond vibration Isomerization Water dynamics Helix forms Fast folding Slow conf change protein oligomerization femto pico 10-9 nano 10-6 micro 10-3 milli 10 0 seconds 10 3 seconds MD step long MD run where we d love to be time on 1 fast CPU 1 day 3 years 3,000 years 3,000,000 years ~age of the earth Tuesday, August 16, 2011

9 The Sampling Challenge Bond vibration Isomerization Water dynamics Helix forms Fast folding Slow conf change protein oligomerization femto pico 10-9 nano 10-6 micro 10-3 milli 10 0 seconds 10 3 seconds MD step long MD run where we d love to be time on 1 fast CPU 1 day 3 years 3,000 years 3,000,000 years ~age of the earth Tuesday, August 16, 2011

10 The Sampling Challenge Bond vibration Isomerization Water dynamics Helix forms Fast folding Slow conf change protein oligomerization femto pico 10-9 nano 10-6 micro 10-3 milli 10 0 seconds 10 3 seconds MD step long MD run where we d love to be time on 1 fast CPU 1 day 3 years 3,000 years 3,000,000 years ~age of the earth Tuesday, August 16, 2011

11

12 Markov State Models (MSMs)

13 Markov State Models (MSMs)

14 Markov State Models (MSMs)

15 How to Build an MSM

16 How to Build an MSM

17 How to Build an MSM

18 Sample

19 Sample

20 Sample

21 Sample

22 Clustering Gives a High- resolution Model (this is a cartoon, since it s hard to draw 10,000 states in a talk) Tuesday, August 16, 2011

23 Lumping Provides Human Intuition

24 Under the Hood!"# $!"!% $!"& $'$ T(! t) =!"& $!"( $!"& $'$! $ $!"!) $!"* $'$ ' $ $' $ $' $ $'$!"#$%&#'&(&)"%&#'!"#'& Tuesday, August 16, 2011

25 Free Energy (kt) Modeling Experiments native state prediction Bowman, Beauchamp, Boxer, and Pande. JCP Bowman, Voelz, and Pande. JACS Tuesday, August 16, 2011

26 Free Energy (kt) Modeling Experiments native state prediction Bowman, Beauchamp, Boxer, and Pande. JCP Bowman, Voelz, and Pande. JACS Tuesday, August 16, 2011

27 Free Energy (kt) Modeling Experiments native state prediction!"#$%&#'&(&)"%&#'!"#'& Bowman, Beauchamp, Boxer, and Pande. JCP Bowman, Voelz, and Pande. JACS *+,"#'&(&!"#'!*+,& Tuesday, August 16, 2011

28 One Area Where We Need Help...

29 One Area Where We Need Help...

30 One Area Where We Need Help...

31 Jump- starting an MSM with Rosetta

32 Jump- starting an MSM with Rosetta

33 Jump- starting an MSM with Rosetta

34 What Can We Do For You?

35 What Can We Do For You? Dynamics in Design Tuesday, August 16, 2011

36 What Can We Do For You? Dynamics in Design Sampling Tuesday, August 16, 2011

37 What Can We Do For You? Dynamics in Design Sampling Force Field Assessment Tuesday, August 16, 2011

38 What Can We Do For You? Dynamics in Design Sampling Force Field Assessment? Tuesday, August 16, 2011

39 Conclusions

40 Conclusions Mechanism is important Tuesday, August 16, 2011

41 Conclusions Mechanism is important Markov state models are a powerful way of capturing the mechanisms of conformational change Tuesday, August 16, 2011

42 Conclusions Mechanism is important Markov state models are a powerful way of capturing the mechanisms of conformational change There s lots of room for collaboration! Tuesday, August 16, 2011

43 Thanks!

44 Conclusions Mechanism is important Markov state models are a powerful way of capturing the mechanisms of conformational change There s lots of room for collaboration! Tuesday, August 16, 2011

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