Daily Operations Briefing Saturday, August 1, 2015 8:30 a.m. EDT
Significant Activity: July 31 August 1 Significant Events: Tropical Storm Soudelor Rocky Fire, CA Stouts Creek Fire, OR Tropical Activity: Atlantic: Disturbance 1 Low (0%) Eastern Pacific: Hurricane Guillermo Central Pacific: Disturbance 2 Low (0%); Disturbance 3 Low (0%) Western Pacific: Tropical Storm Soudelor (13W) Significant Weather: Severe thunderstorms: Northern/Central Plains to the Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley Flash flooding: Parts of Southern Plains & Southeast Red Flag Warnings: CA, OR, WA & MT Space Weather: Past 24 hours none occurred; next 24 hours predicted to be minor w/ G1 Level Declaration Activity: Major Disaster Declaration: FEMA-4234-DR-Iowa
Western Pacific Tropical Storm Soudelor Tropical Storm Soudelor (13W) (Advisory #9a as of 9:00 a.m. EDT) Located 345 miles E of Saipan; 4100 miles E of Guam Moving W at 15 mph Maximum sustained winds 50 mph Could become a typhoon on Sunday Will pass through CNMI Sunday Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 mph Typhoon Warning is in effect for Saipan & Tinian Typhoon Watch is in effect for Rota Federal Response Region IX: o RRCC is at Level II w/esfs 1, 3, 7, 8, 12, PSA, DCO & DIS o HLT (2) members deployed to support RIX o IMAT 2 & LNOs deployed to Guam/CNMI FEMA HQ: o NRCC/NWC Steady State o ISB/FSA Alpha Team deployed 6 to Hawaii & 3 to Guam No request for FEMA assistance Territory/Local Response Guam EOC is Monitoring CNMI EOC is Fully Activated Saipan is Port Condition YANKEE (USCG 7:00 a.m. EDT) Saipan 5-Shelters; Tinian 1-Shelter Open
Tropical Outlook Central Pacific Disturbance 2: (as of 8:00 a.m. EDT) A low pressure located 760 miles SW of Honolulu, HI Moving W at 10 to 15 mph Upper level winds and dry mid level air will limit further development next few days Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (near 0%) Disturbance 3 (Post-tropical Cyclone Eight-E): (as of 8:00 a.m. EDT) Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with post tropical low Located 360 miles SE of Hilo, HI Moving W at 10 to 15 mph Redevelopment is not development next couple of days Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (near 0%)
2-Day Tropical Outlook Eastern Pacific
Eastern Pacific Hurricane Guillermo Hurricane Guillermo: (Advisory #10 as of 5:00 a.m. EDT) Located 1,250 miles ESE of the Hilo, Hawaii Moving WNW at 16 mph Maximum sustained winds 105 mph (Cat 2) Decrease in forward speed expected today Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles from center Tropical storm force winds extend outwards up to 140 miles No coastal watches or warnings in effect
2-Day Tropical Outlook Atlantic Disturbance 1: (as of 8:00 a.m. EDT) Disorganized showers & thunderstorms associated with a weak area of low pressure Located WSW of Cape Verde Islands Moving W at 10 mph Environmental conditions not favorable; development not expected Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (0%) Formation chance through 5 days: Low (0%)
Major Disaster Declaration Approved IA FEMA-4234-DR-IA Major Disaster Declaration approved July 31, 2015 Due to severe storms, tornadoes, straight-line winds, and flooding during the period June 20-25, 2015 Provides: o Public Assistance for 19 counties o Hazard Mitigation statewide Federal Coordinating Officer is David G. Samaniego
Wildfire Summary Fire Name (County) Location FMAG # Acres burned % Contained Est. Containment date Evacuations (Residents) Structures Threatened Structures Damaged/ Destroyed Fatalities / Injuries California (1) Rocky Fire (Lake County) Lower Lake (pop. 1,300) 18,000 (+4,500) 5% Mandatory 300 5,100 (+4,650) 0/13 (+10) 0/0 Oregon (1) Stouts Creek Fire (Douglas County) FEMA-5092-FM-OR 6,489 (+489) 0% 60 300 0 0/5
Disaster Requests & Declarations Declaration Requests in Process 6 Date Requested Requests APPROVED (since last report) Requests DENIED (since last report) 0 0 MO DR Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-line Winds, and Flooding July 21, 2015 IA DR Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-line Winds, and Flooding July 22, 2015 KY DR Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-line Winds, Flooding, and Mudslides July 24, 2015 AK DR Wildfires July 24, 2015 WV DR Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Flooding, Mudslides, and Landslides July 27, 2015 Oglala Sioux Tribe (SD) DR Severe Storms and Flooding July 29, 2015
Open Field Offices as of August 1
Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments Region State / Location Event IA/PA Number of Counties Requested Complete Start End IV KY Severe Storms & Flooding July 13-15, 2015 IA 4 4 7/18 7/23 PA 24 19 (+4) 7/27 TBD VIII CO Flooding May 5-29, 2015 PA 5 (-1) 4 (+4) 7/29 TBD
National Weather Forecast Day 1 http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/national_forecast/natfcst.php Today Tomorrow
Active Watches/Warnings http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php
Precipitation Forecast, 1 3 Day Day 1 http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml Day 2 Day 3
Severe Weather Outlook, Days 1 3 Day 1 Day 2 Day 3
Fire Weather Outlook, Days 1 2 http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/ Today Tomorrow
Hazard Outlook, August 3 7 http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats.php
Space Weather Past 24 Hours Current Next 24 Hours Space Weather Activity: None None Minor Geomagnetic Storms None None G1 Solar Radiation Storms None None None Radio Blackouts None None None HF Communication Impact Sunspot Activity http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/communities/space-weatherenthusiasts http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/geophysical-alert-wwv-text http://spaceweather.com/
FEMA Readiness Deployable Teams /Assets Resource Status Total FMC Available Partially Available Deployable Teams/Assets Not Available Detailed, Deployed, Activated FCO 35 8 23% 0 1 26 FDRC 9 5 56% 0 0 8 Comments US&R 28 27 96% 0 1 0 NM-TF1 (Red) Personnel shortages National IMAT 3 2 67% 0 0 1 N-IMAT-E2 Deployed to LA (exercise) Regional IMAT 13 5 38% 0 4 5 MCOV 60 37 62% 0 9 14 Deployed (Blue): RII (Team A) supporting FEMA-4223-DR-TX RV to RVI supporting severe weather/flooding RVI (Team 1) to TX & personnel to OK RVIII (Team 1) supporting FEMA-4227-DR-WY RIX (Team 2) Deployed to CNMI Mission Capable (Green): RVI (Team 2) rtn to FMC status as of July 31 Not Mission Capable (Red): Personnel shortages/staff adjustments R1 (Team 1); RIV (Team 3); 13 units in TX 1 unit in OK Rating Criterion OFDC Readiness: FCO Green Yellow Red Type 1 3+ 2 1 Type 2 4+ 3 2 Type 3 4 3 2 FDRC 3 2 1 Green = Available/FMC Yellow = Available/PMC Red = Out-of-Service Blue = Assigned/Deployed Green: 3 avail Yellow: 1-2 avail Red: 0 avail (Individual N-IMAT red if 50% of Section Chiefs and/or Team Leader is unavailable for deployment.) Green: 7 or more avail Yellow: 4-6 teams available Red: > 8 teams deployed/unavailable R-IMAT also red if TL Ops/Log Chief is unavailable & has no qualified replacement Green = 80 100% avail Yellow = 60 79% avail Red = 59% or below avail Readiness remains 95%
FEMA Readiness National/Regional Teams Resource Status Total FMC Available Partially Available National/Regional Teams Not Available Status NWC 5 5 100% 0 0 Not Activated NRCC 2 344 89% 0 44 Not Activated Comments Rating Criterion Green = FMC Yellow = PMC Red = NMC HLT 1 N/A N/A 0 0 Activated DEST Not Activated RRCCs 10 10 100% 0 0 Activated Region IX RRCC Level II, Partial ESFs RWCs/MOCs 10 10 100% 0 0 Not Activated