Lecture 3 Nuclear Data Neutron Interactions and Applications Spring 2010

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Transcription:

Lecture 3 Nuclear Data 22.106 Neutron Interactions and Applications Spring 2010

Common Misconceptions It s just a bunch of numbers ust give me the right value and stop changing it.

Traditional evaluation method Exp. data Model param. Analysis & line fitting Model calculations Exp. x-sections Theo. x-sections Comparison & merging Evaluation Image by MIT OpenCourseware.

Theoretical model Computer code SAMMY Used for analysis of neutron and charged particle cross-section data Uses Bayes method to find parameter values Generalized least squares Uses R-matrix theory to tie experimental data to theoretical models Reich-Moore approximation Breit-Wigner theory Treats most types of energy-differential cross sections Treats energy and angle differential distributions of scattering Fits integral data Generates covariance and sensitivity parameters for resolved and unresolved resonance region

Three energy regions Resolved resonance range Experimental resolution is smaller than the width of the resonances; resonances can be distinguished. Cross-section representation can be made by resonance parameters R-matrix theory provides for the general formalism that are used

Unresolved energy range Cross-section fluctuations still exist but experimental resolution is not enough to distinguish multiplets. Cross-section representation is made by average resonance parameters Formalism Statistical models e.g. Hauser-Feshbach model combined with optical model level density models,. Probability tables

The Unresolved Resonance Range (URR) - - - Energy range over which resonances are so narrow and close together that they cannot be experimentally resolved. A combination of experimental measurements of the average cross section and theoretical models yields distribution functions for the spacings and widths. The distributions may be used to compute the dilute-average cross sections: 2 2 4π 2 2π g Γ n, l, 2 σ s ( E) = 2 ( 2l + 1) sin ϕ l + 2 2 Γn, l, sin ϕl l k k D l, Γ l, 2 2π g Γn, l, Γ, l, σ c ( E) = γ 2 k D Γ l l, l, 2 2π n, l, f, l, f ( E) 2 l k Dl, Γl, σ = l = orbital angular momentum quantum no., = spin of the compound nucleus k = wave number, g = spin statistical factor, ϕ l = phase shift Γ n, l,, Γ γ, l,, Γ f, l,, Γ l, = neutron, capture, fission, and total widths D = resonance spacing, denotes averaging over the distribution(s) l, g Γ Γ Image by MIT OpenCourseWare.

Image by MIT OpenCourseWare.

The Probability Table Method - Concept developed in the early 1970s by Levitt (USA) and Nikolaev, et al. (USSR). - Uses the distributions of resonance widths and spacings to infer distributions of cross section values. - Basic idea: - Compute the probability p n that a cross section in the URR lies in band n defined as σ^ n-1 < σ σ^ n. - Compute the average value of the cross sections (σ n ) for each band n. - Following every collision (or source event) in a Monte Carlo calculation for which the final energy of the neutron is in the URR, sample a band-averaged cross section with the computed probabilities and use that value for that neutron until its next collision. Image by MIT OpenCourseWare.

Mathematical Theory of the Probability Table Method - - p ( σ, E) d t σ probability that the total cross section lies in dσ about σ at energy E Average total cross section: σ t ( E) = dσσ pt ( σ, E) - Band probability: σˆ n p ( E) = dσ p ( σ, E) n σˆ n 1 - Band-average total cross section: t 1 σˆ n σ ( E) = dσσ p ( σ, E) t, n ˆ t p ( ) n 1 n E σ - qα ( σ, E σ) dσ conditional probability that the partial cross section of type α lies in dσ about σ given that the total cross section has the value σ 1 σˆ n σ - Band-average partial cross section: σ α, n( E) = dσ p ˆ t ( σ, E) dσ q (, E ) p ( ) n 1 0 α σ σ n E σ Unfortunately, computing p t ( σ, E) and q ( σ, E σ) directly is an intractable problem. α Image by MIT OpenCourseWare.

Monte Carlo Algorithm for Generating the Tables - Use ENDF/B parameters to create probability distribution functions (PDFs) for resonance widths (Wigner distribution) and spacings (chi-squared distributions). - Randomly sample widths and spacings from PDFs to generate 'fictitious' sequences (realizations) of resonances about the energy E for which the table is being created. - Use single-level Breit-Wigner formulae to compute sampled cross section values at E: 4π 2 σ s ( E) = σ s, smooth ( E) + 2 ( 2l + 1) sin ϕl k l 4π Γ Γ + g cos 2 1, X sin 2, X 2 ϕ ψ θ ϕ χ θ k l nr ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) nr l r r l r r l r R Γr Γr 4π Γ Γ σ = σ + ψ θ α α = c, f nr αr ( E) ( E) g (, X ), α, smooth 2 2 r r k l r R Γr σ = tabulated background cross section, α,smooth α = s, c, f Γ = neutron, capture, fission and total widths for resonance r n,r, Γγ,r, Γf,r, Γr R l = set of sampled resonances for quantum number pair (l,) ψ, χ = Doppler functions, θr Γr 4kBTE A, X r 2( E Er ) Γr, A = atomic mass - Use the sampled cross sections to compute band averages and probabilities. l Image by MIT OpenCourseWare.

High energy region No cross-section fluctuations exist. Crosssections are represented by smooth curves. Formalism Statistical models e.g. Hauser-Feshbach Intra-nuclear cascade model Pre-equilibirum model Evaporation model

Cross section measurements Cross section evaluation Cross section processing Point data libraries Multigroup libraries Data testing using transport methods and integral experiments Transport methods Cross section processing methods Sensitivity and uncertainty analyses Cross sections for user applications Image by MIT OpenCourseWare.

ORELA High flux (10 14 n/s) Excellent Resolution (Δt = 2-30 ns) faciliates better evaluations White neutron spectrum from 0.01eV to 80 MeV Reduces systematic uncertainties Measurement systems and background well understood Very accurate data Simultaneous measurements in different beams lines Measurements performed on over 180 isotopes Figures removed due to copyright restrictions.

ORELA Target High energy electrons hitting a tantalum target produce bremsstrahlung (photon) spectrum. Neutrons are generated by photonuclear reactions, Ta(gamma, n), Ta(gamma, 2n), Figure removed due to copyright restrictions.

Bayesian Inference Bayesian inference is statistical inference in which evidence or observations are used to update or to newly infer what is known about underlying parameters or hypotheses.

Cost of evaluations Single iteration (min): Model calculations: 400 X 50 X 2 X 20 = 800 000 Benchmark parameter-sensitivity: 400 X 50 X 2 X 500 = 20 000 000 Library Benchmarking: 400 000 Total: ~ 21 000 000 min = 40 years Assumptions (for single 3GHz PC): 400 nuclides 50 parameters/nuclide Single model calculation (1 nuclide up to 20 MeV - 20 min) Benchmark sensitivity to a single parameter 500 min Full library benchmark 400 000 min 1 iteration per week - 2100 CPU's Image by MIT OpenCourseWare.

Covariance Matrix The covariance matrix or dispersion matrix is a matrix of covariances between elements of a random vector. It is the natural generalization to higher dimensions of the concept of the variance of a scalar-valued random variable. E[(X 1 - µ 1 ) (X 1 - µ 1 )] E[(X 1 - µ 1 ) (X 2 - µ 2 )]... E[(X 1 - µ 1 ) (X n - µ n )] E[(X 2 - µ 2 ) (X 1 - µ 1 )] E[(X 2 - µ 2 ) (X 2 - µ 2 )]... E[(X 2 - µ 2 ) (X n - µ n )]............ E[(X n - µ n ) (X 1 - µ 1 )] E[(X n - µ n ) (X 2 - µ 2 )]... E[(X n - µ n ) (X n - µ n )] Image by MIT OpenCourseWare.

Each type of data comes from a separate measurement Cross-sections are measured independently However, the various types are highly interrelated Data include measurement-related effects Finite temperature Finite size of samples Finite resolution Measured data may look very different from the underlying true cross-section Think Doppler broadening

Advantages of evaluated data Incorporate theoretical understanding Cross-section shapes Relationships between cross-sections for different reactions Incorporate all available experimental data and all available uncertainty Allow extrapolation Different temperatures Different energies Different reactions

Generate artificial experimental points from ENDF resonance parameters Include Doppler and resolution broadening Make reasonable assumptions regarding experimental uncertainties Statistical (diagonal terms) Systematic (off-diagonal terms) Normalization, background, broadening,

Run models with varying resonance parameters with an assumed distribution Include systematic uncertainties for measurement-related quantities Perform simultaneous fit to all data All experimental uncertainty is thus propagated

Computational cost Large cases require special care U-235 has ~3000 resonances 5 parameters for each resonance need to be varied Very time consuming

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