Four ways of doing cosmography with gravitational waves

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Four ways of doing cosmography with gravitational waves Chris Van Den Broeck National Institute for Subatomic Physics Amsterdam, The Netherlands StronG BaD Workshop, Oxford, Mississippi, 27 February - 2 March, 2017

Cosmography recap Hubble parameter: Fractional densities of matter, radiation, spatial curvature, dark energy: Dark energy equation of state: Luminosity distance as a function of redshift ( Cosmography: determining ): by fitting

Cosmography recap Luminosity distance as a function of redshift: Cosmography: determining by fitting Example using Type Ia supernovae: Intrinsic luminosity believed known from observed luminosity Redshift from spectrum Weinberg et al., Phys. Rept. 530, 87 (2013)

Cosmography recap Luminosity distance as a function of redshift: Cosmography: determining by fitting In most of this presentation: Dark energy equation of state:

Cosmic distance ladder Commonly used distance markers (like Type Ia supernovae) need calibration Cosmic distance ladder

Compact binary inspirals as standard sirens Gravitational wave amplitude during inspiral: From the gravitational wave phase Chirp mass Instantaneous frequency The function one separately obtains depends on sky position and orientation Sky position : EM counterpart, or multiple detectors Orientation : multiple detectors Possibility of extracting distance from the signal itself No need for cosmic distance ladder But: Fitting of also requires separate determination of redshift

1. Redshift from electromagnetic counterparts

1. Redshift from EM counterparts Short-hard gamma ray bursts (GRBs) are assumed to result from NS-NS or NS-BH mergers If localizable on the sky: would provide, and host galaxy identification With multiple detectors: Beaming of the GRB: At redshifts accessible to 2nd generation detectors: If redshift can be determined with negligible error then with a single source, uncertainty is With multiple sources, accuracy improves roughly as With 50 NS-NS events: Nissanke et al., Astrophys. J. 725, 496 (2010)

1. Redshift from EM counterparts 3rd generation detectors: in principle access to the entire set Einstein Telescope: Over a period of O(10) years, assume 1000 NS-NS out to z = 2, localizable through EM counterparts, and redshifts available Assume constraint on inclination angle: Measuring subsets of parameters assuming other parameters known: Sathyaprakash, Schutz, Van Den Broeck, Class. Quantum Grav. 27, 215006 (2010)

1. Redshift from EM counterparts Time evolution of dark energy equation of state: Assuming known and using prior from CMB for Similar constraints on dark energy equation of state as with supernova surveys on similar timescale But, no dependence on cosmic distance ladder Zhao, Van Den Broeck, Baskaran, Li, Phys. Rev. D 83, 023005 (2011) :

2. Cross-correlating with galaxy catalogs

2. Cross-correlating with galaxy catalogs Basic strategy: Given one detection: Measurement of distance Volume error box Galaxies inside box have redshifts From obtain list of possible values Next detection gives different list... Eventually correct value emerges Del Pozzo, Phys. Rev. D 86, 043011 (2012)

2. Cross-correlating with galaxy catalogs

2. Cross-correlating with galaxy catalogs All binary coalescences, also BBH, can be used! Will need to correct for galaxy catalog incompleteness for z > 0.1 2nd generation detector network at design sensitivity: few percent inaccuracy after O(10) sources Del Pozzo, Phys. Rev. D 86, 043011 (2012) Possibility of having only one galaxy in 3D error box? See talk by Nishizawa Nishizawa, arxiv:1612.06060

3. Redshift from the neutron star mass distribution

3. Redshift from the neutron star mass distribution Masses of neutron stars in binaries are in a relatively tight distribution: Kiziltan et al., arxiv:1011.4291 Valentim et al., arxiv:1101.4872 Observed masses differ from physical ones by redshift factor: Advanced detector network 100 NS-NS detections: Taylor, Gair, Mandel, Phys. Rev. D 85, 023535 (2012) Einstein Telescope: 105 NS-NS detections: again similar determination of as forecast for future CMB+BAO+SNIa surveys Taylor and Gair, Phys. Rev. D 86, 023502 (2012)

4. Redshift using neutron star equation of state

4. Redshift using the neutron star equation of state Equation of state of neutron stars enters late inspiral through the tidal deformability, the radius Both set by equation of state This quantity breaks mass-redshift degeneracy Obtain from low-order PN contributions Obtain from tidal contribution Extract redshift Messenger and Read, Phys. Rev. Lett. 108, 091101 (2012)

4. Redshift using the neutron star equation of state Equation of state of neutron stars enters late inspiral through the tidal deformability, the radius Both set by equation of state Dark energy equation of state by combining information from multiple sources: Del Pozzo, Li, Messenger, Phys. Rev. D 95, 043502 (2017)

4. Redshift using the neutron star equation of state More information if one uses both Inspiral Post-merger: high-mass NS oscillations with chacteristic frequencies Single BNS events, Einstein Telescope: measure redshift with ~20% for z < 0.04 Messenger et al., Phys. Rev. X 4, 041004 (2014)

How about space-based?

Cosmography with 3D error box can be small Depending on binary, can have < 10-4 sterad sky localization, < 1% in distance Measuring with extreme mass ratio inspirals Use galaxy clustering to get statistical redshift information Few percent accuracy after O(20) sources out to z ~ 0.5? McLeod & Hogan, Phys. Rev. D 77, 043512 (2008) Measuring with supermassive binary black holes (SMBBH) Consider system useful if O(1) galaxy clusters in 3D error box Van Den Broeck, Trias, Sathyaprakash, Sintes, Phys. Rev. D 81, 124031 (2010) SMBBH with EM counterparts: see talk by Tamanini

Summary 2nd generation detectors: Hubble constant to few percent accuracy Redshift through EM counterpart, NS mass distribution, galaxy catalog Need few tens of events 3rd generation ground-based: Redshift through EM counterpart, NS mass distribution, NS equation of state Benefit from large number of detections Similar accuracies to non-gw methods, but completely different systematics Space-based: Hubble constant from EMRIs? Dark energy EOS from supermassive BBH Bottom line: Cosmography with GW will (probably) not do better than other methods on the same timescales - but complementary method, different systematics