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Population synthesis models From stellar evolution models to synthetic populations in the Milky Way Léo Girardi OAPadova INAF Italy LIneA Rio de Janeiro Brazil GAIA/ITN School, Tenerife, Sep 2013 Léo Girardi (OAPadova INAF Italy LIneA Rio de Janeiro Brazil) Population synthesis models GAIA/ITN School, Tenerife, Sep 2013 1 / 21

Introduction Lecture 3 scheme Lecture goals: how to simulate an external galaxy the SFH = SFR(t) + AMR expected age distributions for MS, RGB, red clump, AGB, etc overview of main features in the CMD brief overview of LMC and M31 Why external galaxies in this lecture? just a step between modeling star clusters and the Milky Way but also a very important check on the all method: If you cannot describe the photometry of external galaxies like the LMC or M31, why should you trust your complex models for the Milky Way? Léo Girardi (OAPadova INAF Italy LIneA Rio de Janeiro Brazil) Population synthesis models GAIA/ITN School, Tenerife, Sep 2013 2 / 21

Formalism Simple and composite stellar populations ṢSPs = Star clusters Described by a single age, a single metallicity, and a IMF, and a total mass (either initial or present mass) Located at a given distance and extiction Optional parameters: binary fraction and mass ratios CSPs = Galaxies Described by a sum of SSPs, each age and metallicty weighted by the star formation history SFH ie by total mass formed in each age metallicity bin Léo Girardi (OAPadova INAF Italy LIneA Rio de Janeiro Brazil) Population synthesis models GAIA/ITN School, Tenerife, Sep 2013 3 / 21

Formalism Hodge diagrams Best representation of CSPs: Hodge diagrams = density of star formation in the age metallicity plan If Hodge diagram has a thin distribution, Hodge diagram can be split into SFR(t) and age metallicity relation, [M/H](t) eg Hidalgo et al 2011, for LGS-3 Léo Girardi (OAPadova INAF Italy LIneA Rio de Janeiro Brazil) Population synthesis models GAIA/ITN School, Tenerife, Sep 2013 4 / 21

Formalism In practice Our problem Given a SFH, simulate the photometry of a galaxy Do this by just adding the SSPs for all age metallicity bins across the Hodge diagram Each SSP has to be built for the total mass formed at that bin Actually, the inverse problem has been much more popular: Given a CMD, derive the most likely SFH of a galaxy The CMD-recosntruction method is used: find the linear combination of SSPs that best-fit the observed CMD The coefficients of this linear combination are easily translated into a SFH Many many good references on the second problem, starting from late-90 s: Gallart, Dolphin, Holtzman, Hernandez, Williams, Weisz, Rubele, et al Léo Girardi (OAPadova INAF Italy LIneA Rio de Janeiro Brazil) Population synthesis models GAIA/ITN School, Tenerife, Sep 2013 5 / 21

Formalism In practice Just one example: CMD reconstruction of M81 outer disk (Williams et al 2009) in sequence: observations, best-fit model, difference, significance (kind of χ 2 ) the resulting SFR(t) and age metallicity relation Léo Girardi (OAPadova INAF Italy LIneA Rio de Janeiro Brazil) Population synthesis models GAIA/ITN School, Tenerife, Sep 2013 6 / 21

Formalism Useful tools There are many groups doing this work, and many codes that efficiently simulate the CMDs of galaxies at a known distance Worth mentioning: IAC-Star (Aparicio & Gallart 2004), with a web interface and implementing Teramo and Padova tracks MATCH-related codes by Dolphin (2002?), now implemented with several sets of tracks StarFISH (Harris & Zaritsky 2001), tools availble within the fortran package, database of models may be outdated but can be easily replaced with newest isochrones TRILEGAL, being used in external-galaxy mode to test libraries of tracks by Padova-Trieste group Probably many other private codes around Léo Girardi (OAPadova INAF Italy LIneA Rio de Janeiro Brazil) Population synthesis models GAIA/ITN School, Tenerife, Sep 2013 7 / 21

Mass and age distributions Understanding the results Useful formalisms: Tinsley 1980, Renzini & Buzzoni 1986, Girardi & Salaris 2001 For a SSP of age t, the number of stars in any post-main sequence evolutionary phase k will be proportional to its the birth rate b(t), and to the lifetime τ k The birthrate is the rate at which stars leave the MS, N k b(t)τ k (1) b(t) = φ(m TO ) M TO (2) If the IMF is normalized to 1 M, N k is already the number per unit mass of stars formed Warning: this is an approximation that badly fails in some cases (eg for TP-AGB stars at 15 Gyr, see Girardi et al 2013) Useful only for a first estimate For quantitative results, it s better to integrate along isochrones We can use for instance the Salpeter IMF: φ(m i) M TO 235 (3) Léo Girardi (OAPadova INAF Italy LIneA Rio de Janeiro Brazil) Population synthesis models GAIA/ITN School, Tenerife, Sep 2013 8 / 21

Mass and age distributions Understanding the results For a CSP with a given SFR ψ(t) (in M /yr), the age distribution N k (t) is given just by multiplying N k by the SFR at the time stars were formed: N k (t) b(t) ψ(t =τ H) τ k (M TO) (4) where M TO is the mass corresponding to a given main sequence lifetime τ H For low-mass stars: τ H M TO 35 (5) (6) The mass distribution follows from N(M i )dm i = N(t)dt, then where we have replaced M TO by M k N(M k ) = τ k (M k ) ψ(t =τ H (M k )) φ(m k ) (7) Léo Girardi (OAPadova INAF Italy LIneA Rio de Janeiro Brazil) Population synthesis models GAIA/ITN School, Tenerife, Sep 2013 9 / 21

Mass and age distributions Understanding the results Example: mass+age distribution of red clump stars In this case, the He-burning lifetime depends very little on metallicity It is convenient to look at the results for the case of constant metallicity and constant SFR ψ(t): Girardi (1999, 2000) Léo Girardi (OAPadova INAF Italy LIneA Rio de Janeiro Brazil) Population synthesis models GAIA/ITN School, Tenerife, Sep 2013 10 / 21

Mass and age distributions Example: mass+age distribution of red clump stars Let us look at the details, as in Girardi 1999: In the case of a composite population of single metallicity, and neglecting mass-loss on the RGB, peak at 1 2 Gyr is caused by peak in He-burning lifetimes for 2 M (1-Gyr old) stars peak at 09 M is caused by the IMF tail for smaller masses is caused by the IMF in the case of the age distribution, tail for larger ages is reflecting the t 06 decay of the birth rates Mass and age distributions are far from constant, even in this favourable case of slowly varying lifetimes (for all M i 18 M ) and small dependency on metallicity factors determining the mass+age distributions Léo Girardi (OAPadova INAF Italy LIneA Rio de Janeiro Brazil) Population synthesis models GAIA/ITN School, Tenerife, Sep 2013 11 / 21

Mass and age distributions Example: mass+age distribution of red clump stars Another example: a galaxy bulge Bulges almost certainly contain old (> 10 Gyr) ages, but it is still debated whether spirals bulges have a significant intermediate-age population Let us just suppose the MW bulge has formed stars at a continuous rate from 6 to 10 Gyr ago What is the age distribution of red clump stars? Constant between 6 and 10 Gyr? NO 6 Gyr old RC stars are 14 times more frequent than the 10-Gyr old, mainly because they leave the MS at a faster rate, and despite the IMF favouring old stars Similar conclusions will apply to RGB stars The observables available are not the ages, but more likely metallicities and kinematics When modeling the chemo-dynamical evolution of such a RC or RGB sample, one has to take into account that the age distribution is biased towards the youngest (likely more metal-rich) stars A counter-example: the G-dwarf metallicity distribution They live longer than a Hubble time, so there is no age metallicity bias Léo Girardi (OAPadova INAF Italy LIneA Rio de Janeiro Brazil) Population synthesis models GAIA/ITN School, Tenerife, Sep 2013 12 / 21

Mass and age distributions Example: mass+age distributions of RGB stars For RGB stars, it depends on the adopted color magnitude cut However it is easy to conclude that the age distribution is similar to RC but completely eliminating the 1 2 Gyr peak, because of the M 17 M limit for the mass of RGB stars Other trends: for every single age, core mass luminosity relation ensures that number of RGB stars per bin of magnitude is linearly increasing with magnitude, provided we are above the magnitude level of RGB bump result is a quite uniform distribution of RGB on a CMD Léo Girardi (OAPadova INAF Italy LIneA Rio de Janeiro Brazil) Population synthesis models GAIA/ITN School, Tenerife, Sep 2013 13 / 21

Nearby galaxies CMD features The bright MS thanks to the IMF, mass-luminosity, mass-radius, and mass lifetime relations (all power-laws), it s a well-behaved linear tail in the HRD structures are determined by the behaviour of BCs L eo Girardi (OAPadova INAF Italy LIneA Rio de Janeiro Brazil) Population synthesis models outer M31 (Dalcanton disk et in al NUV 2013) al 2012) 30 Dor in NIR (Rubele et GAIA/ITN School, Tenerife, Sep 2013 14 / 21

CMD features Red clump fine structure in galaxies with continued SFH, CHeB stars draw fine structures in the CMDs see Girardi et al 1998, 1999, 2000 (and Piatti et al 1999 for LMC data) results from bi-modal mass distribution + much fainter RC slightly above M M HeF (secondary red clump) and vertical structure (M > M HeF ) much brighter RC at larger masses (vertical structure) additional feature: HB when old metal-poor Léo Girardi (OAPadova INAF Italy LIneA Rio de Janeiro Brazil) Population synthesis models GAIA/ITN School, Tenerife, Sep 2013 15 / 21

CMD features The RGB redder for both high metallicities and old ages highly degenerate model galaxy, either constant [M/H] or constant (old) age (Dalcanton et al 2009a) Léo Girardi (OAPadova INAF Italy LIneA Rio de Janeiro Brazil) Population synthesis models GAIA/ITN School, Tenerife, Sep 2013 16 / 21

CMD features The RGB tip Sharp limit to bolometric luminosity of RGB stars appears flattest in the I -band of metal-poor populations (that s why it s a distance indicator) but more generally it will appear as a broad fan, fainter for red optical colours in the near-infrared, it appears narrow in colour (but brighter for redder populations) M81 with HST, near-ir and optical (Dalcanton et al 2009b) Léo Girardi (OAPadova INAF Italy LIneA Rio de Janeiro Brazil) Population synthesis models GAIA/ITN School, Tenerife, Sep 2013 17 / 21

CMD features Red and blue He-burning (young) sequences locus of slower evolution during core He-burning RHeB: stars with deep convective envelopes BHeB: just where the contraction reverses into expansion, may be very close to either MS of RHeB (at very low/high [M/H]) features very much dependent on metallicity and convection (overshooting; Rosenfield et al 2013) see McQuinn et al 2011 HST CMDs Léo Girardi (OAPadova INAF Italy LIneA Rio de Janeiro Brazil) Population synthesis models GAIA/ITN School, Tenerife, Sep 2013 18 / 21

CMD features Carbon and M-type AGB stars bifurcation of TP-AGB, with vertical tail of M giants + red tail of C-stars, is well evident in near-ir surveys of nearby galaxies, eg in 2MASS CMD of Magellanic Clouds 2MASS for inner LMC Marigo et al (2003) κ var model only varying molecular opacities give the low T eff necessary to explain the colour separation of M- and C-stars Léo Girardi (OAPadova INAF Italy LIneA Rio de Janeiro Brazil) Population synthesis models GAIA/ITN School, Tenerife, Sep 2013 19 / 21

CMD features Carbon and M-type AGB stars C/M ratio generally decreases with galaxy metallicity C stars disappear in old populations (but for faint C stars, likely evolved from binaries) stars with M 12 M are unable to make the third dredge-up C/M ratio drops to 0 at super-solar metallicities all AGB stars become very cool M giants eg Boyer et al 2013: survey of C stars in inner M31 disk Léo Girardi (OAPadova INAF Italy LIneA Rio de Janeiro Brazil) Population synthesis models GAIA/ITN School, Tenerife, Sep 2013 20 / 21

CMD features Tomorrow s lecture finally, modeling stars in the Milky Way Léo Girardi (OAPadova INAF Italy LIneA Rio de Janeiro Brazil) Population synthesis models GAIA/ITN School, Tenerife, Sep 2013 21 / 21

CMD features Tomorrow s lecture finally, modeling stars in the Milky Way Homework: 1 Make a model of the Carina dsph It has 3 main bursts centered at 2, 45 and 12 Gyr, and [Fe/H] = 186 Start with just 3 isochrones, then consider simulating an age spread for each burst 2 Make a model galaxy with constant metallicity and constant SFR of 001 M /yr from 01 to 10 Gyr Then make an histogram of the ages for stars in a CMD box around the red clump from Smecker-Hane et al 1996 Compare it with the t 06 relation Do the same for stars close to the tip of the RGB Léo Girardi (OAPadova INAF Italy LIneA Rio de Janeiro Brazil) Population synthesis models GAIA/ITN School, Tenerife, Sep 2013 21 / 21