Science Goals Addressed via Entry Probes

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Science Goals Addressed via Entry Probes QuickTime and a TIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor are needed to see this picture. The Giant Planet Entry Probes Team represented by Thomas R. Spilker Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology Giant Planets Panel Meeting NAS Building, Washington DC August 25, 2009

The Team A mix of >50 Scientists, Engineers, & Technologists 2

Topics Addressed History of the effort High-level Key Science Questions from previous committees Science objectives that address the high-level goals Focus on achievable objectives Those best done using atmospheric entry probes Why entry probes? Priority destinations in the outer solar system Practical considerations - implementation options 3

History: Where Have We Delivered Entry Probes? Venus Pioneer Venus Probes (1 large, 3 small) Many Soviet Venera probes with brief (~1 hr) landed operations Two Soviet Vega balloons Mars NASA Mars landers/rovers Viking, Mars Pathfinder, Mars Exploration Rovers (Spirit/Opportunity), Phoenix Jupiter Galileo Probe Only outer planet probe so far Titan ESA Huygens probe, delivered by NASA s Cassini Saturn orbiter 4

History: Outer Planets Efforts Since Galileo Concerted effort over the past ~15 years Multidisciplinary group of scientists, engineers, & technologists Science objectives fairly well defined Atreya s Multiple Probes to Multiple Worlds presentations Engineers working on standard probe mission design issues (transfer & delivery trajectories, entry & descent, comm, power, etc.) Technologies available -- trying to use them while they last Technologists available -- trying to use them while they re still around International Planetary Probe Workshops, annually since 2003 Bringing together the scientists, engineers, technologists, managers,... Notable incremental successes... but notable failures Capability to manufacture feedstock for OP heat shields is gone Stock in stores for only two Galileo Probe heat shields Facilities for testing OP heat shields are gone, mothballed at Ames 5

High-Level Key Science Questions From Previous Committees General questions From what material, and by what processes, did the solar system form? How have the planets of our solar system evolved since their initial formation, and how will their evolution continue? What processes are responsible for the observed characters of the planets? 6

High-Level Key Science Questions From Previous Committees Questions more focused on giant planets What was the time scale over which the giant planets formed, and how did the formation process of the ice giants differ from that of the gas giants? What is the history of water and other volatiles throughout the solar system? What are the processes that have and continue to shape the character of the outer planets, and how do they work? What can we learn about giant exoplanets by observing the giant planets of our solar system? 7

Giant Planet Formation Multiple theories address how solar-composition materials produce giant planets with heavy-element enrichments of varying degrees Most deal with the mechanism of transport of those heavies Detailed composition measurements allow discrimination Core accretion models Accrete 10-15 Earth-mass refractory cores, hydrodynamic collapse of disk material follows Nucleated instability models Local density increase due to disk flow instability leads to hydrodynamic collapse of disk material without a refractory core Models of subsequent enrichment SCIPs: solar-composition icy planetesimals NSCIPs - e.g., some heavies trapped in clathrate-hydrate cages Disk material fractionation 8

Measurements and Example Predictions Galileo Probe results at Jupiter; Voyager/Cassini carbon at S, U, & N Model predictions for other heavies at S, U, & N 9

Atmospheric Structure & Dynamics Thermal Structure Temperature, pressure, & density vs. altitude Closely tied to atmospheric stability, convection, & mixing Spatial variation of structure ties to regional- & global-scale winds Dynamics All giant planets exhibit zonal flows of varying complexity Galileo Probe & other evidence suggest vertical movement as well Moves atmospheric constituents through the thermal structure, producing atmospheric compositional structure NASA Cassini: PIA03560: A Gallery of Views of Saturn's Deep Clouds NASA Cassini: PIA03560: A Gallery of Views of Saturn's Deep Clouds 10

Atmospheric Compositional Structure Condensation; gives rise to clouds Changing temperature, pressure of an air parcel Differential transport can lead to fractionation Clouds affect insolation at deeper levels, can modulate winds Chemical Chemical equilibria can change E.g.: NH 3 + H 2 S <=> NH 4 SH Disequilibrium species, indicators of processes in unseen regions (and mixing rates), can be dredged up from deeper levels Atreya, 2006 11

Science Objectives That Address the High-Level Goals Fundamental composition measurements Abundances, relative to hydrogen, of: Heavy elements O, N, C, & S Noble gases He, Ne, Ar, Kr, Xe Key isotopic ratios, relative to solar: D/H, 3 He/ 4 He, 14 N/ 15 N, 12 C/ 13 C, 16 O/ 18 O Disequilibrium species diagnostic of interior processes and deep circulation: PH 3, CO, AsH 3, GeH 4, SiH 4 All in the deep, well-mixed regions of the atmosphere 12

Science Objectives That Address the High-Level Goals Structure measurements Pressure and temperature, or density, as a function of altitude Cloud altitudes, compositions, particle sizes & densities Heat balance Net local radiative divergence (heating) and opacity Radiant energy net flux, as a function of altitude and wavelength Dynamics measurements Lateral & vertical winds Waves, turbulence Core size & mass Not an entry probe measurement Probably best done via gravity & magnetic field measurements Does not need to be measured simultaneously with entry probe measurements Could be done decades before or after a probe mission 13

Why Entry Probes? Some critical measurements are not feasible using remote sensing techniques Spectrally inactive processes or constituents E.g., noble gases Processes or constituents whose electromagnetic signatures are buried beneath an optical depth >>1 Commonly encountered in the deep, well-mixed regions In situ measurements do not rely on long-distance propagation 14

Priority Destinations 1. Saturn Shallow (10-20 bar) probe(s) with MWR on a flyby carrier Highest priority and most feasible near-term mission Possibly a New Frontiers Program candidate For comparison to Jupiter 2. Neptune Polar orbiter with probes (similar to NASA Vision Mission concept) Second priority, following a Saturn probe mission Likely a flagship-class mission 3. Return to Jupiter Multiple probes to sample spatial variation Probe targeting and specific measurements depend on Juno results 15

Practical Considerations Transfer trajectories, Earth to destination Arrival & delivery geometries Entry & descent Entry systems, descent systems and timing Communications Intervening atmosphere(s) Link geometries Trajectories... and there s a lot more 16

Earth-to to-saturn Trajectory Options Direct trajectory Delivered mass too low (less than 100 kg) Gravity Assists Inner planets Gravity Assist Earth & Venus With or without deep space maneuvers (ΔV) Jupiter GA + inner planet(s) GA + ΔV Jupiter & Saturn: alignment every 19-20 years 1977 1997 2016 2035 Voyager Cassini After Jan. 2017, next opportunity for JGA to Saturn: 2034 17 Ref: Theresa Kowalkowski, JPL, FY06

Practical Considerations: Galileo Probe Item / Subsystem Deceleration Module Mass (kg) Mass Subtotals (kg) 221.8 Forebody heat shield 152.1 Afterbody heat shield 16.7 Structure 29.2 Parachute 8.2 Separation hardware 6.9 Harness 4.3 Thermal control 4.4 Descent module 117.1 Communications 13.0 subsystem C&DH subsystem 18.4 Power subsystem 13.5 Structure 30.0 Harness 9.1 Thermal control 4.3 Science instruments 28.0 Separation hardware 0.9 Probe Total 338.9 18 Ref: Galileo Probe Deceleration Module Final Report, Doc No. 84SDS2020, General Electric Re-entry Systems Operations, 1984 AIAA, Project Galileo Mission and Spacecraft Design, Proc. 21st Aerospace Science Meeting, Reno, NV, January 10-13, 1983 After T. Balint Science Instruments: (ASI) Atmosphere structure instrument (NEP) Nephelometer (HAD) Helium abundance detector (NFR) Net flux radiometer (NMS) Neutral mass spectrometer (LRD/EPI) Lighting and radio emission detector/ energetic particle detector

Entry direct. Latitude deg Rel. entry V, km/s Probe Entry / Aeroshell / TPS Max diameter,m Entry mass, kg Max. heat rate*, kw/cm 2 Forebody TPS mass fraction Est. total TPS mass fraction + (+ zero margins) Max. decel., g Pro. 6.5 26.8 1.265 335 2.66 23.5% 25.8% 43.6 Pro. -45 29.6 1.265 335 3.67 24.8% 27.3% 47.9 Retro. 6.5 46.4 1.265 335 21.5 35.2% 38.7% 76.4 - TPS availability for Galileo size probes H/S were confirmed by NASA ARC C-P for prograde entry can be supported (heating rate about 10% of Galileo s) Retrograde heat flux might be too high to support with current testing facilities - TPS requirement at Saturn is less demanding than at Jupiter - TPS mass-fraction for prograde entry is about 30% less than Galileo s - Max. heating rates and max. g load about 35% of Galileo s - Heating pulse about 2.5 times longer due to scale height difference - Saturn probes have less ablation, but need more insulation - Time to parachute deployment is about 5 minutes 19 After T. Balint Ref: Mike Tauber, Gary A. Allen, Jr. and Lily Yang

Probe Descent Time 0 km 1 bar 10 bars 20 bars 30 bars TB If free fall begins at pressure of 1 bar, it will take ~70 minutes from entry to reach 10 bars For better probe stability, the freefall phase could be replaced with descent with a drogue parachute (This requires further analysis) If the descent is entirely on the parachute, it will take ~2.5 hours to reach 10 bars 20 Ref: Bill Strauss / Independently confirmed by both Gary Allen and Tom Spilker (all using a Saturn Atmosphere Model by G. Orton) After T. Balint

Communications: Zenith Radio Opacity 50 Saturn Integrated Vertical Opacity Profile, H2O & NH3 6 Times Solar, 0.401 GHz Depth wrt 1 Bar Level, km 0-50 -100-150 -200-250 -300-350 -400-450 0.0 0.5 1.0 UHF: 401 MHz 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 50 bars 5.5 2 bars 5 bars 10 bars 20 bars 6.0 6.5 7.0 Saturn s scale height is ~2x that of Jupiter s ~45 km at the pressures of interest Saturn has a far less intense radiation field than Jupiter Little synchrotron radiation, thus low (UHF) frequencies are useful Total Vertical Integrated Opacity, db 50 Saturn Total Integrated Opacity, 6x Solar H2O & NH3, 2.065 GHz 0 1 bar Altitude wrt 1 Bar Level, km -50-100 -150-200 -250-300 -350-400 -450 0 20 S-band: 2.065 GHz 40 60 80 100 120 140 5 bars 10 bars 20 bars 50 bars 160 180 Zenith attenuation of radio signal as a function of probe depth (measured by atmospheric pressure), based on H 2 O& NH 3 abundances 6 times solar Attenuation (w/o margin) at 10 bars UHF (400 MHz): ~1.2 db S-band (2 GHz): ~31 db Total Vertical Integrated Opacity, db 21 Ref: Tom Spilker, JPL, 2006 After T. Balint

Saturn s rotation Trajectories for Relay and DTE telecom Relay Trajectory : Approach from the sun-side Saturn s rotation DTE Trajectory : Approach from the dark side v Spacecraft v Saturn v Spacecraft v Saturn v v Spacecraft v Saturn Locus of possible entry points v v Spacecraft v 22 v EARTH / SUN EARTH / SUN Ref: T.S, T.B., T.K Locus of possible entry points

Direct-to to-earth vs.. Relay Trajectory Trades Different trajectory strategies are required for Direct-to-Earth (DTE) and Relay telecom: DTE trajectory Type II trajectory For Relay telecom from probes: Benefit from Jupiter GA Reduced eccentricity Shorter trip time, higher delivered mass Telecom: from probe to CRSC to Earth No visibility between probe and Earth! Relay trajectory Saturn orbit JGA For DTE telecom from probes: Type II trajectory for DTE probe access Longer trip time to achieve suitable probe trajectory for DTE telecom Telecom: Visibility to Earth for DTE link Earth orbit Jupiter orbit 23 Ref: T. Spilker, T. Balint, T. Kowalkowski, T. Lam FY06

Key: Comparative planetology of well-mixed atmospheres of the outer planets is key to the origin and evolution of the Solar System, and, by extension, Extrasolar Systems (Atreya et al., 2006) Questions? 24 T. Balint