GALLUP NEWS SERVICE JUNE WAVE 1

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Transcription:

GALLUP NEWS SERVICE JUNE WAVE 1 -- FINAL TOPLINE -- Timberline: 937008 IS: 392 Princeton Job #: 15-06-006 Jeff Jones, Lydia Saad June 2-7, 2015 Results are based on telephone interviews conducted June 2-7, 2015 with a random sample of 1,527 adults, aged 18+, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. For results based on this sample of national adults, the margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. For results based on the sample of 771 national adults in Form A, the margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points. Interviews are conducted with respondents on landline telephones and cellular phones, with interviews conducted in Spanish for respondents who are primarily Spanish-speaking. Each sample of national adults includes a minimum quota of 50% cell phone respondents and 50% landline respondents, with additional minimum quotas by region. Landline and cell phone telephone numbers are selected using random digit dial methods. Landline respondents are chosen at random within each household on the basis of which member had the most recent birthday. Samples are weighted to correct for unequal selection probability, non-response, and double coverage of landline and cell users in the two sampling frames. They are also weighted to match the national demographics of gender, age, race, Hispanic ethnicity, education, region, population density, and phone status (cell phoneonly/landline only/both and cell phone mostly). Demographic weighting targets are based on the March 2014 Current Population Survey figures for the aged 18 and older U.S. population. Phone status targets are based on the January-June 2014 National Health Interview Survey. Population density targets are based on the 2010 census. All reported margins of sampling error include the computed design effects for weighting. In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.

8. (Asked of a half sample) Between now and the 2016 political conventions, there will be discussion about the qualifications of presidential candidates -- their education, age, religion, race, and so on. If your party nominated a generally well-qualified person for president who happened to be [ITEMS A-K READ IN ORDER], would you vote for that person? BASED ON -- 771 -- NATIONAL ADULTS IN FORM A 2015 Jun 2-7 (sorted by yes, would vote for ) Yes No Catholic 93 6 A woman 92 8 Black 92 7 Hispanic 91 8 Jewish 91 7 Mormon 81 18 Gay or lesbian 74 24 An Evangelical Christian 73 25 Muslim 60 38 An atheist 58 40 A socialist 47 50

FULL RESULTS AND TRENDS: A. Jewish 2015 Jun 2-7 91 7 3 2012 Jun 7-10 91 6 3 2011 Aug 4-7 92 7 1 2011 Jun 9-12 89 9 2 2007 Dec 6-9 91 6 3 2007 Mar 2-4 93 5 2 2007 Feb 9-11 92 7 2 2003 May 30-Jun 1 89 8 3 1999 Feb 19-21 92 6 2 1987 Jul 10-13 89 6 5 1983 Apr 29-May 2 88 7 5 1978 Jul 21-24 82 12 6 1969 Mar 12-17 86 8 6 1967 Apr 19-24 82 13 5 1965 Jul 16-21 80 15 5 1963 Aug 15-20 77 17 6 1961 Aug 24-29 68 23 9 1959 Dec 10-15 72 22 6 1958 Sep 10-15 63 29 8 1958 Jul 30-Aug 4 62 28 10 1937 Feb 10-15 46 47 8 B. An atheist 2015 Jun 2-7 58 40 1 2012 Jun 7-10 54 43 3 2011 Aug 4-7 52 46 2 2011 Jun 9-12 49 49 3 2007 Dec 6-9 46 48 6 2007 Mar 2-4 48 48 4 2007 Feb 9-11 45 53 3 1999 Feb 19-21 49 48 3 1987 Aug 10-13 44 48 8 1983 Apr 29-May 2 42 51 7 1978 Jul 21-24 40 53 7 1959 Dec 10-15 22 74 5 1958 Sep 10-15 18 77 5 1958 Jul 30-Aug 4 18 75 7

C. Black 2015 Jun 2-7 92 7 1 2012 Jun 7-10 96 4 * 2011 Aug 4-7 95 4 1 2011 Jun 9-12 94 5 1 2007 Dec 6-9 93 5 2 2007 Mar 2-4 93 5 2 2007 Feb 9-11 94 5 1 2003 May 30-Jun 1 92 6 2 1999 Feb 19-21 95 4 1 1997 Jan 4-Feb 28 93 4 3 1987 Jul 10-13 79 13 8 1984 Jul 27-30 77 16 7 1983 Apr 29-May 2 77 16 7 1978 Jul 21-24 77 18 5 1971 Oct 8-11 ^ 69 23 7 1969 Mar 12-17 ^ 66 24 10 1967 Apr 19-24 ^ 53 41 6 1965 Jul 16-21 ^ 59 34 7 1963 Aug 15-20 ^ 48 45 7 1961 Aug 24-29 ^ 50 41 9 1959 Dec 10-15 ^ 49 46 5 1958 Sep 10-15 ^ 38 54 8 1958 Jul 30-Aug 4 ^ 37 53 10 ^ WORDING: if your party nominated a generally well-qualified man for president and he happened to be a Negro, would you vote for him?

D. Catholic 2015 Jun 2-7 93 6 1 2012 Jun 7-10 94 5 * 2011 Aug 4-7 96 3 1 2011 Jun 9-12 92 7 1 2007 Dec 6-9 93 4 3 2007 Mar 2-4 95 4 1 2007 Feb 9-11 95 4 1 2003 May 30-Jun 1 93 5 2 1999 Feb 19-21 94 4 2 1983 Apr 29-May 2 92 5 3 1978 Jul 21-24 91 4 5 1969 Mar 12-17 87 7 5 1967 Apr 19-24 90 8 2 1965 Jul 16-21 87 10 3 1963 Aug 15-20 84 13 3 1961 Aug 24-29 82 13 5 1960 May 26-31 71 21 8 1959 Dec 10-15 70 25 5 1959 Apr 2-7 70 21 9 1958 Sep 10-15 67 27 6 1958 Jul 30-Aug 4 69 24 7 1958 Jul 10-15 72 24 4 1958 May 7-12 72 21 7 1958 Apr 16-21 70 22 8 1956 May 31-Jun 5 72 22 5 1955 Jan 20-25 69 23 8 1940 Mar 27-Apr 2 61 33 7 1937 Feb 3-8 60 30 10 E. Gay or lesbian 2015 Jun 2-7 74 24 2 2012 Jun 7-10 68 30 2 2011 Aug 4-7 69 29 3 2011 Jun 9-12 67 32 2 2007 Dec 6-9 ^ 56 41 3 2007 Mar 2-4 ^ 55 42 4 2007 Feb 9-11 ^ 55 43 2 1999 Feb 19-21 ^ 59 37 4 1983 Apr 29-May 2 ^ 29 64 7 1978 Jul 21-24 ^ 26 66 8 ^ WORDING: if your party nominated a generally well-qualified person for president and he happened to be a homosexual, would you vote for him?

F. A woman 2015 Jun 2-7 92 8 * 2012 Jun 7-10 95 5 * 2011 Aug 4-7 96 4 1 2011 Jun 9-12 93 6 1 2007 Dec 6-9 86 12 2 2007 Mar 2-4 89 10 1 2007 Feb 9-11 88 11 1 2003 May 30-Jun 1 87 12 1 1999 Feb 19-21 92 7 1 1987 Jul 10-13 82 12 6 1984 Jul 27-30 78 17 5 1983 Apr 29-May 2 80 16 4 1978 Jul 21-24 76 19 5 1975 Aug 15-18 73 23 4 1971 Jul 15-18 66 29 5 1969 Mar 12-17 53 40 7 1967 Apr 19-24 57 39 4 1963 Aug 15-20 55 41 4 1959 Dec 10-15 57 39 4 1958 Sep 10-15 54 41 5 1955 Feb 10-15 52 44 4 1949 Sep 25-30 48 48 4 1945 Nov 23-28 33 55 12 1937 Jan 27-Feb 1 33 64 3

G. Mormon 2015 Jun 2-7 81 18 1 2012 Jun 7-10 80 18 2 2011 Aug 4-7 80 18 2 2011 Jun 9-12 76 22 2 2007 Dec 6-9 80 17 3 2007 Mar 2-4 77 19 4 2007 Feb 9-11 72 24 4 1999 Feb 19-21 79 17 4 1967 Apr 19-24 75 17 8 H. Hispanic 2015 Jun 2-7 91 8 1 2012 Jun 7-10 92 7 1 2011 Aug 4-7 90 9 1 2011 Jun 9-12 89 10 1 2007 Dec 6-9 86 12 2 2007 Mar 2-4 88 10 2 2007 Feb 9-11 87 12 1 I. Muslim 2015 Jun 2-7 60 38 2 2012 Jun 7-10 58 40 3 J. A Socialist 2015 Jun 2-7 47 50 3 K. An Evangelical Christian 2015 Jun 2-7 73 25 2