Sunday, June 3, 2018 8:30 a.m. EDT
Significant Activity June 2-3 Significant Events: None Tropical Activity: Atlantic No tropical cyclones expected next 48 hours Eastern Pacific Disturbance 1: HIGH (90%) Central Pacific No tropical cyclones expected next 48 hours Western Pacific Invest 91W: LOW Significant Weather: Severe thunderstorms possible New Mexico Flash flooding possible Mid-Atlantic Elevated fire weather AZ, NM and UT Isolated and scattered dry thunderstorms AZ, NM, UT & CO Space Weather: Past 24 hours: none observed; next 24 hours: none predicted Earthquake Activity: No significant activity Declaration Activity: None
Tropical Outlook Atlantic 48 Hour Outlook 5 Day Outlook
Tropical Outlook Eastern Pacific Disturbance 1 (as of 8:00 am EDT) A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms centered a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico Moving slowly WNW Environmental conditions forecast to support development during next several days Tropical depression expected to form on Wed or Thu Formation chance through 48 hours: LOW (20%) Formation chance through 5 days: HIGH (90%) 48-hour 5-Day
Tropical Outlook Central Pacific 48 Hour Outlook 5 Day Outlook
Tropical Outlook Western Pacific Invest 91W (as of 2:00 am EDT) Located 155 miles SSE of Guam Moving NW Maximum sustained winds 12-17 mph Formation chance through 24 hours: LOW
Precipitation / Excessive Rainfall Forecast Sun Tue Sun Mon Tue
National Weather Forecast Sun Mon Tue
Severe Weather Outlook Sun Mon Tue
Fire Weather Outlook Sunday Monday
Long Range Outlooks June 8-12 Temperature Probability Precipitation Probability
Space Weather Space Weather Activity Geomagnetic Storms Solar Radiation Radio Blackouts Past 24 Hours None None None None Next 24 Hours None None None None For further information on NOAA Space Weather Scales refer to: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation HF Communication Impact Sunspot Activity
Wildfire Summary Fire Name (County) Ute Park (Colfax County) FMAG # 5239-FM-NM Acres Burned 30,000 (+26,100) Percent Contained Evacuations (Residents) New Mexico (1) 0% Mandator Structures Threatened Damaged Destroyed 1,090 (+290) (520 homes) Fatalities / Injuries 0 14 (+2) 0 / 0
FMAG Requests and Declarations Action (since last report) Total FMAG No. and State Requests DENIED 0 Requests APPROVED 1 FEMA-5238-FM: New Mexico Approved FMAG Data Fiscal Year Current FYTD MTD Monthly Average* Cumulative Acres Burned FYTD Cumulative Denied FMAGs FYTD 2018 16 1 5.7 307,613 4 Fiscal Year Total Previous FY Yearly Average** Total Acres Burned Previous Fiscal Year Total Denied FMAGs Previous Fiscal Year 2017 60 37.7 870,016 16 * Reflects the three year average for current month ** Reflects three year total average
Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments Region I III IV State / Location VT ME MD NC Event Heavy Rain and Wind May 4-5, 2018 Severe Storm and Flooding May 1-7, 2018 Severe Weather May 27, 2018 and continuing Sub-tropical Storm Alberto May 26, 2018 IA / PA Number of Counties Requested Completed Start End IA 0 0 N/A PA 7 4 5/17 TBD IA 0 0 N/A PA 1 0 5/22 TBD IA 0 0 N/A PA 3 0 5/31 - TBD IA 0 0 N/A PA 6 0 6/5 TBD
Disaster Requests and Declarations Declaration Requests in Process Requests APPROVED (since last report) Requests DENIED (since last report) 7 IA PA HM Date Requested 0 0 AK DR Severe Storm X X January 25, 2018 NH DR Severe Storms and Flooding X X April 5, 2018 MA DR Severe Winter Storm X X April 30, 2018 NJ DR Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm X X May 7, 2018 NH DR Severe Storms and Snowstorms X X May 10, 2018 NE DR Severe Winter Storm and Straight-line Winds X X May 16, 2018 OK DR Severe Storms and Wildfires X X X May 25, 2018
Readiness Deployable Teams and Assets Resource Force Strength Available Deployed Other Cadres with 25% or Less Availability EHP 8% (30/365); HM 22% (212/965); NDRS 25% (66/262); OCC 14% (13/91); PA 12% IM Workforce 11,644 3,847 33% 4,323 3,474 (229/1,842); SAF 17% (9/54); SEC 2% (2/100) East 1: Deployed National IMATs* (1-2 Teams) Regional IMATs (4-6 Teams) US&R ( 66%) MERS ( 66%) FCO ( 1 Type I) FDRC ( 3) East 2: Charlie West: B-2 Assigned: 13 Available: 4 PMC / NMC: 2 Deployed: 7 Assigned: 28 Available: 28 PMC / NMC: 0 Deployed: 0 Assigned: 36 Available: 34 PMC / NMC: 0 Deployed: 2 Assigned: 33 Available: 7 PMC / NMC: 2 Deployed: 24 Assigned: 14 Available: 6 PMC / NMC: 1 Deployed: 7 * B-2 Status: Assemble 2-hrs, On Site 18-hrs; B-48 Status: Assemble and deploy 48hrs; Charlie Status: No team assemble time requirement
FEMA Readiness Activation Teams Status Activated Team Activation Level Activation Times Reason / Comments NWC (5 Teams) Steady State NRCC (2 Teams) Available HLT (1 Team) Available RWC / MOCs (10 Regions) Steady State RRCCs (10 Regions) Available Backup Regions: VII, II, & VIII
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