Flooding and Climate Change APSE Seminar, 9 February 2017

Similar documents
16 th Nov 1771 Solway Moss Landslide 20 farmhouses buried 1908 Train blown off Ulverston Viaduct September 20 th 1919 Heavy snowfall down to 800ft

National Flood Resilience Review (NFRR)

National Meteorological Library and Archive

How advances in atmospheric modelling are used for improved flood forecasting. Dr Michaela Bray Cardiff University

Education case study. UK Snow November to December Meteorological situation

National Meteorological Library and Archive

Flood Risk Mapping and Forecasting in England

What the Science Tells Us & How Practitioners Can Use the Science

Winter General Outlook Covering December to February

Keswick flood November 2009

RESILIENCE: THE NEW REALITY JEFFREY D. KNUEPPEL DEPUTY GENERAL MANAGER MARCH 17, 2015

Extreme rainfall in Cumbria, November 2009 an assessment of storm rarity

Water Scarcity Situation Report 14 th September 2018

Climate Science to Inform Climate Choices. Julia Slingo, Met Office Chief Scientist

Forecasting Flood Risk at the Flood Forecasting Centre, UK. Delft-FEWS User Days David Price

Managing Floods at Boscastle. Learning Objective: Examine the benefits of managing floods

Appendix 1: UK climate projections

Where? Using the map below and an atlas: 1. Label the places that were worst affected by the floods:

The hydrologic service area (HSA) for this office covers Central Kentucky and South Central Indiana.

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: NOVEMBER 16, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: SEPTEMBER 19, 2016 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP,

Forecasting the "Beast from the East" and Storm Emma

IWT Scenario 1 Integrated Warning Team Workshop National Weather Service Albany, NY October 31, 2014

Climate Change Adaptation

The hydrologic service area (HSA) for this office covers Central Kentucky and South Central Indiana.

The weather in Iceland 2012

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: February 15, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO

CLIMATE READY BOSTON. Climate Projections Consensus ADAPTED FROM THE BOSTON RESEARCH ADVISORY GROUP REPORT MAY 2016

Extreme Weather Events and Transportation Asset Management

THE FIRE AND RESCUE SERVICE S ROLE IN RESPONDING TO FLOODING DAVE RUSSEL ASSISTANT CHIEF FIRE OFFICER

A summary of the Local Climate Impacts Profile for Nottingham

T-12 / Informed Traveller

NOAA s National Weather Service Philadelphia/Mt. Holly NJ

HAZARD DESCRIPTION... 1 LOCATION... 1 EXTENT... 1 HISTORICAL OCCURRENCES...

Storm and Storm Systems Related Vocabulary and Definitions. Magnitudes are measured differently for different hazard types:

2011 Year in Review TORNADOES

Jan 7, 2017 Winter Weather Event

Weekly Weather. Europe. February Flash. This Week: Warm East and Cold West; Heavy Rain and Snow in Some Areas

THE WEATHER CASE STUDIES

CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE SEVERN ESTUARY Sea level

Understanding Weather and Climate Risk. Matthew Perry Sharing an Uncertain World Conference The Geological Society, 13 July 2017

The Pennsylvania Observer

Using Weather Pattern Analysis to Identify Periods of Heightened Coastal Flood Risk in the Medium to Long Range

Storms. 3. Storm types 4. Coastal Sectors 5. Sorm Location and Seasonality 6. Storm Severity 7. Storm Frequency and grouping 8. The design storm event

Probabilistic Coastal Flood Forecasting Nigel Tozer HR Wallingford

Active Winter Weather Pattern February 4th-9th

BOTSWANA AGROMETEOROLOGICAL MONTHLY

The hydrologic service area (HSA) for this office covers Central Kentucky and South Central Indiana.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE

Winter Storm Tomorrow-Tomorrow Night

Recent development of the National Hydro-Meteorological Service (NHMS) of Viet Nam for disaster risk reduction

The Pennsylvania Observer

Weekly Weather Flash. January 22 February 4. US This Week: Cold Weather Continues in the West; Storm Brings Rain to the East Coast

Explain the impact of location, climate, natural resources, and population distribution on Europe. a. Compare how the location, climate, and natural

Impacts of the April 2013 Mean trough over central North America

Climate Change and the East Midlands Economy Executive Summary

Weekly Weather Flash. Europe. February 19 March 4. This Week: A Warm End to February; Heavy Rain in the West

New Jersey Department of Transportation Extreme Weather Asset Management Pilot Study

JEFF JOHNSON S Winter Weather Outlook

The Recent Storms and Floods in the UK. February 2014

National Symposium on Extreme Weather Event Impacts on Transportation Infrastructure

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Winter

Ellen L. Mecray NOAA Regional Climate Services Director, Eastern Region Taunton, MA

Winter Storm Today into Tonight

Champaign-Urbana 1998 Annual Weather Summary

Colorado CoCoRaHS. Colorado CoCoRaHS. Because Every Drop Counts! November 2014 Volume 2, Issue 11

Monthly overview. Rainfall

Alaska Statewide Climate Summary December 2018

NOAA s National Weather Service Philadelphia/Mt. Holly NJ

Past & Future Services

The UK Flood Forecasting Centre

Michael Cranston, Claire Harley, Lauren McLean, Amy Tavendale, Darroch Kaye, and Lisa Naysmith (Flood Forecasting and Warning section)

COMPOUND FLOODING: EXAMPLES,

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 1, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO

JCOMM-CHy Coastal Inundation Forecasting Demonstration Project (CIFDP)

Weather forecasts and warnings: Support for Impact based decision making

Active Weather Threat Halloween Week Nor easter October 28 th 31 st 2012

SEPTEMBER 2013 REVIEW

2015: A YEAR IN REVIEW F.S. ANSLOW

STATUS OF HAZARD MAPS VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENTS AND DIGITAL MAPS

County Clare Flood Forecasting System

California OES Weather Threat Briefing

IWT Scenario 2 Integrated Warning Team Workshop National Weather Service Albany, NY October 31, 2014

SIGNIFICANT EVENTS Severe Storms November 1994 January 1996 August 1998 and May 2000 March 2002 May 2002 Champaign County

WEATHER SYSTEMS IMPACTING THE CAYMAN ISLANDS Prepared by the staff of the Cayman Islands National Weather Service

Chapter 1 Study Guide

Jan 7, 2017 Winter Weather Event

Extreme Weather and Risks to Infrastructure. Heather Auld & Neil Comer Risk Sciences International

Weather Warning System in Germany. and Ideas for Developing of CAP. Thomas Kratzsch Head of Department Basic Forecasts Deutscher Wetterdienst Germany

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 18, 2017 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP,

GCSE 4241/02 GEOGRAPHY (Specification B) HIGHER TIER UNIT 1

2018 Year in Review for Central and Southeast Illinois By: Chris Geelhart, Meteorologist National Weather Service, Lincoln IL

David R. Vallee Hydrologist-in-Charge NOAA/NWS Northeast River Forecast Center

Cambridge International Examinations Cambridge International General Certificate of Secondary Education

Winter. Here s what a weak La Nina usually brings to the nation with tempseraures:

Hurricane Preparation and Recovery. October 11, 2011 Jon Nance, Chief Engineer, NCDOT

The Impact of 2007 Atlantic Hurricane Season on Dominica

RISK ASSESSMENT COMMUNITY PROFILE NATURAL HAZARDS COMMUNITY RISK PROFILES. Page 13 of 524

The Pennsylvania Observer

NOAA s National Weather Service Philadelphia/Mt. Holly NJ

Transcription:

Flooding and Climate Change APSE Seminar, 9 February 2017 Local Roads Maintenance 1 Department for Transport OFFICIAL

Preparations for Winter Important the transport sector, including local highway authorities, have robust contingency plans in place to mitigate against any significant weather that we may encounter over the winter period. In October 2015, Parliamentary Under Secretary of State for Transport wrote to remind local highway authorities of winter preparations. This follows on from various reviews undertaken after previous severe winter weather encountered since 2010. 2

February 17 Scale and Context The 2015 16 Great Britain Storms were a series of heavy rainfall events which led to flooding during the winter of late 2015 and early 2016. For example, Storm Desmond broke the United Kingdom's 24-hour rainfall record, with 341.4 mm of rain falling at Honister Pass in Cumbria on 5 December 2015. Further Storms were encountered including Eva, Frank and Gertrude to add to the flooding and damage to properties and infrastructure. 3

Examples of damage to Local Highway Infrastructure in 15/16 storms All pictures courtesy of Google Images

Ministerial Recovery Group The strategic objective for a Ministerial Recovery Group (MRG) is to stabilise, restore and return to normality. TERMS OF REFERENCE engender public confidence in the recovery process at all levels; ensure effective, co-ordinated support by central government and other national bodies to the work of local authorities in helping communities affected by the floods return to normality; ensure that local authorities and other recovery agencies fulfil their role and that where necessary local issues are considered and resolved at the national level; and support mainstreaming of any residual recovery activity as soon as is possible. KEY TASKS monitor the outcomes and spend of the recovery support package; ensure effective joined up working across national & local government (avoiding duplication/repetition) escalating issues that require resolution at the national level; and, ensure that inter-departmental, including Ministerial, agreement on the way forward is agreed & subsequently implemented.

Flood Recovery Funding 6

IS FLOODING BECOMING THE NORM???? 7

Summer 2007 A series of destructive floods occurred in parts of the United Kingdom during the summer of 2007. The worst of the flooding occurred across Scotland on 12 June; East Yorkshire and The Midlands on 15 June; Yorkshire, The Midlands, Gloucestershire, Herefordshire and Worcestershire on 25 June; and Gloucestershire, Herefordshire, Worcestershire, Oxfordshire, Berkshire and South Wales on 28 July 2007.

November 2009 Cumbria During the twenty-four hours before Friday 20 November 2009, rainfall of over 300 mm was recorded in Cumbria. Flooding along the Borrowdale and Derwent Valley meant that some areas were up to 8 feet deep in water. The surge of water off the fells of the Lake District which flowed into Workington down the River Derwent washed away a road bridge and a footbridge

Winter 2010/11 The winter of 2010/11 brought heavy snowfalls, record low temperatures, travel chaos and school disruption to the islands of Britain and Ireland. It saw the earliest widespread winter snowfall since 1993 with snow falling as early as 24 November across Northumberland and North Yorkshire. It was the recorded as the coldest December for over 100 years. A maximum snow depth of 30 inches (76 cm) was recorded on 1 December in the Peak District, Sheffield, the Cotswold Hills and the Forest of Dean In this event Scotland and Northern England were most severely affected. On 9 December, temperatures recovered across much of the UK, causing a partial thaw. However, on 16 December a cold front reintroduced a cold, arctic airstream. This cold spell brought further snow and ice chaos back to the British Isles with Southern England and Wales bearing the brunt of the wintry conditions. This led to severe disruption to the road and rail network with several airports being closed including London Heathrow Airport for a time.

Winter 2013/14 Coastal Flooding Early December The period began on 5 December 2013 when a deep low pressure area moved from the Atlantic over Scotland and the North Sea inducing a storm surge in the Irish Sea and North Sea coasts of the United Kingdom. In the North Sea some of the highest level tides were recorded in the Humber and Thames estuaries, exceeding levels which occurred during the disastrous North Sea flood of 1953. Flooding occurred in Tyneside, Teeside, along the Yorkshire coast, around the Humber and the Wash, where in particular the town of Boston, Lincolnshire was badly affected by when the high tide overtopped defences see Picture.

Winter 2013/14 - continued The 2013 2014 United Kingdom winter floods saw areas of the United Kingdom inundated following severe storms. The south of England saw heavy rainfalls associated with these storms which caused widespread flooding, power cuts and major disruptions to transport. Economically the worst affected areas were Somerset, Devon, Dorset and Cornwall in the south west and the Thames Valley in the south east. The Met Office reported the storms were responsible for the wettest December to January period since 1876. The flood phenomena ranged from coastal flooding, pluvial flooding, fluvial flooding to groundwater flooding. The flooding resulted in the inundation of the majority of the Somerset Levels and saw local roads and the main railway line to Cornwall and West Devon at Dawlish severed for several weeks.

Winter 2013/14 - continued

Winter 2013/14 - continued

Winter 2014/15 Whilst some would say that Winter 2014/2015 was relatively benign and quiet, especially when compared to the exceptionally stormy weather of 2013/14, the UK did have some significant storms in mid-december 2014, mid-january and late February 2015 with what some called the Weather Bomb.

Winter 2014/15 continued

Next Steps 17

UK Climate Change Risk Assessment 2017 The UK Climate Change Risk Assessment 2017 Evidence Report published July 2016 provides comprehensive analysis of the risks and opportunities posed by climate change to the UK. The 2000-page report, which provides advice to Government, covers the following areas: Natural environment and natural assets Infrastructure People and the built environment Business and industry International dimensions Infrastructure Chapter - https://www.theccc.org.uk/uk-climatechange-risk-assessment-2017/ccra-chapters/infrastructure/ Factsheet highlights risks to infrastructure due to climate change - https://documents.theccc.org.uk/wpcontent/uploads/2016/07/ccra-ch4-infrastructure-fact-sheet.pdf

UK Climate Change Risk Assessment 2017 - continued

National Flood Resilience Review 2016 Review of how we assess flood risk, reduce the likelihood of flooding, and make the country as resilient as possible to flooding. Published September 2016 - https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/national-flood-resilience-review This review has looked at how we: understand the risks of river and coastal flooding from extreme weather over the next 10 years assess the resilience of key local infrastructure (such as energy, water, transport and communications), and identify ways to protect it better improve how we respond to flood incidents, including through new temporary flood defences.

National Flood Resilience Review 2016 - continued Work that Department for Transport is NOW undertaking as part of the National Flood Resilience Review: We will continue to improve our knowledge of infrastructure resilience. Following this winter s storms and floods, the Department for Transport has commissioned research to identify communities which are at risk of becoming isolated due to a severe flood event (i.e. one making all access roads impassable) and will share its research with Local Highways Authorities to ensure that the communities identified are prioritised for temporary and permanent flood resilience measures. As a first step to tackle the challenge of assessing interdependencies, the Department for Transport and the utilities will work together to identify those bridges which are a single point of failure for other infrastructure operators (for example by carrying telephone or power cables) and could be at risk in a severe flood event, so that sectors can develop mitigating actions to protect services.