CropCast Weekly Feedgrains Report Don Keeney Thursday, CropCast Global Feedgrains Estimates AREA (m hectares) YIELD (kg/ha) PRODUCTION (mmt) CHANGE FROM LAST WEEK (mmt) 165.9 168.1 5695.4 5870.9 945.0 986.7 Sorghum 34.4 34.2 1663.1 1666.2 57.2 57.0 Barley 51.8 52.1 2765.8 2821.5 143.1 147.0 ALL COARSE GRAINS 298.4 301.5 3917.8 4030.0 1168.9 1215.0 CropCast U.S. Feedgrains Estimates AREA (m acres) YIELD (bu/ac) PRODUCTION (m bu) CHANGE FROM LAST WEEK (m bu) 81.7 85.2 169.0 173.1 13797.8 14751.0 Sorghum 7.7 6.1 76.0 77.0 585.2 469.7 Barley 3.0 2.6 70.0 73.0 210.0 189.8 Vegetative Health Index Map and Crop Condition Tendency EUROPE U.S. CHINA BRAZIL S. AFRICA Vegetative Health Index (VHI) Legend 8 16 24 32 40 Stressed 45 55 Desert 60 68 Healthy 76 84 Colored boxes within the map above indicate whether crop conditions will be declining or improving for each crop in each major global growing region, incorporating current conditions and the latest 10 day CropCAST forecast. 92 Declining Snow/Ice or Missing Data Neutral Improving Vegetative Health Index Change From Last Year Desert -20-16 -12-8 -4 Worse 4 Better 8 12 16 20 Snow/Ice or Missing Data
CropCast Weekly Feedgrains Report Don Keeney Thursday, Feedgrains Summary: The CROPCAST estimate for world feedgrain production is 1215.0 MMT, which is unchanged compared to last week. Limited rains in the Midwest this week will favor corn harvesting Widespread showers in central and northwestern Brazil this week will improve moisture for new corn growth Showers improved moisture in South Africa this past week, but rains should be limited this week Dry weather in western Europe this week will allow corn harvesting to progress well there GROWING AREAS SORGHUM GROWING AREAS BARLEY GROWING AREAS United States PAST WEATHER: Showers favored the Midwest and north central Delta this past week. FORECAST: A few light showers should favor the northern Midwest this week. CROP IMPACT: Showers in the Midwest this past week slowed harvesting a bit, but much more limited rains this week will allow harvesting to progress well. Brazil PAST WEATHER: Showers favored Mato Grosso, Goias, southwestern Minas Gerais, Sao Paulo, Parana, Santa Catarina, and Rio Grande do Sul this past week. FORECAST: Showers should favor Mato Grosso, Goias, Minas Gerais, Sao Paulo, Parana, Santa Catarina, and Rio Grande do Sul this week. CROP IMPACT: Rains in central and northwestern areas this week will further improve moisture for first crop corn growth. However, some dryness will rebuild in Bahia in far northeastern areas. European Union PAST WEATHER: Rains favored Spain, France, Germany, Poland, Slovakia, Romania, Former Yugoslavia, Hungary, and Italy last week. FORECAST: Showers should favor eastern Germany, Poland, Czech- Slovak Republics, and southern Italy this week. CROP IMPACT: Showers this past week slowed harvesting a bit, but drier weather in central and western areas this week will allow harvest progress to improve.
CropCast Weekly Feedgrains Report Don Keeney Thursday, China PAST WEATHER: Showers favored North China Plain, and central and eastern Yangtze Valley last week. FORECAST: Rains should favor North China Plain and Yangtze Valley this week. CROP IMPACT: Rains across central and southeastern North China Plain and Yangtze Valley have stalled corn harvesting and increased wetness, and wetness concerns will persist this week. Meanwhile, limited rains in Northeast China will favor harvesting. South Africa PAST WEATHER: Showers favored Northwest Province, Guateng, central Limpopo, Mpumalanga, Kwazulu-Natal, and eastern Free State last week. FORECAST: A few light showers should favor Guateng, Mpumalanga, and Kwazulu-Natal this week. CROP IMPACT: Widespread rains this past week improved moisture for corn germination. However, more limited showers this week should allow dryness to expand a bit. Rains are currently expected to build again the following week.
CropCast Weekly Feedgrains Report Don Keeney Thursday, CropCast Global Feedgrains Estimates AREA (m hectares) YIELD (kg/ha) PRODUCTION (mmt) CHANGE FROM LAST WEEK (mmt) U.S. 33.0 34.5 10606 10866 350.5 374.7 CHINA 37.8 36.3 5931 5833 224.1 211.6 UKRAINE 4.1 4.1 5700 5900 23.3 24.2 RUSSIA 2.7 2.8 4900 4800 13.0 13.4 EU-28 8.8 8.7 6132 6522 54.2 56.8 MEXICO 7.1 7.1 3500 3350 24.9 23.8 BRAZIL 16.2 16.6 4367 5047 70.2 84.2 ARGENTINA 3.5 4.4 8028 8026 28.0 35.3 SOUTH AFRICA 2.0 3.1 3175 4000 6.4 12.4 OTHER EUROPE 2.8 2.8 4587 4507 12.8 12.4 OTHERS 57.9 57.9 2379 2379 137.8 137.8 WORLD 165.9 168.1 5695 5871 945.0 986.7 SORGHUM U.S. 3.1 2.5 4770 4833 14.9 11.9 ARGENTINA 0.8 0.8 4300 4500 3.4 3.4 MEXICO 1.6 1.7 3600 3700 5.8 6.3 CHINA 0.6 0.7 4700 4800 2.8 3.4 INDIA 5.7 5.8 850 950 4.8 5.5 AUSTRALIA 0.6 0.7 3100 3200 1.9 2.2 OTHERS 22.0 22.1 1075 1100 23.7 24.3 WORLD SORGHUM 34.4 34.2 1663 1666 57.2 57.0 BARLEY U.S. 1.2 1.1 3766 3927 4.6 4.1 CANADA 2.3 2.4 3400 3675 7.8 8.8 RUSSIA 8.1 8.0 2100 2275 16.9 18.2 UKRAINE 3.0 3.0 3000 3100 8.9 9.3 KAZAKHSTAN 2.1 2.0 1300 1425 2.7 2.9 EU-28 11.8 12.0 4973 5081 58.5 60.8 OTHER EUROPE 3.6 3.6 2203 1578 7.9 5.7 AUSTRALIA 3.8 4.1 2200 2350 8.4 9.6 OTHERS 16.0 15.9 1721 1724 27.6 27.5 WORLD BARLEY 51.8 52.1 2766 2822 143.1 147.0 ALL COARSE GRAINS U.S. 38.0 38.7 9761 10141 371.4 392.1 RUSSIA 21.0 21.1 1700 1725 35.7 36.4 UKRAINE 7.5 7.6 2300 2325 17.3 17.7 KAZAKHSTAN 2.2 2.2 1200 1175 2.6 2.6 ARGENTINA 4.8 5.7 6696 6955 32.4 39.6 BRAZIL 6.8 7.0 10342 12093 70.2 84.2 SOUTH AFRICA 3.0 4.1 2328 3179 7.0 13.0 AUSTRALIA 5.3 5.7 2215 2349 11.8 13.5 CANADA 5.1 5.2 3860 3978 19.7 20.7 EU-28 25.0 25.1 5239 5420 130.7 135.8 OTHER EUROPE 12.0 12.0 3021 2808 36.3 33.8 CHINA 42.1 40.7 5591 5490 235.5 223.5 MEXICO 9.0 9.1 3456 3359 31.1 30.6 INDIA 26.2 26.3 946 968 24.8 25.4 OTHERS 90.2 91.0 1578 1604 142.4 146.0 WORLD GRAINS 298.4 301.5 3918 4030 1168.9 1215.0
CropCast Weekly Feedgrains Report Don Keeney Thursday, CropCast World Coarse Grains Weekly Yield Tracker (mt/ha) 20 MARKETING YEAR 27-Oct 21-Oct 20-Oct 13-Oct 6-Oct 29-Sep 22-Sep 15-Sep U.S. 10.87 10.87 10.87 10.87 10.78 10.78 10.78 10.78 CHINA 5.83 5.83 5.83 5.83 5.83 5.83 5.83 5.83 UKRAINE 5.90 5.90 5.90 5.90 5.90 5.90 5.90 5.90 RUSSIA 4.80 4.80 4.80 4.80 4.80 4.80 4.80 4.80 EU-28 6.52 6.52 6.52 6.52 6.52 6.52 6.52 6.52 MEXICO 3.35 3.35 3.35 3.35 3.35 3.35 3.35 3.35 BRAZIL 5.05 5.05 5.05 5.05 5.05 5.05 5.05 5.05 ARGENTINA 8.03 8.03 8.03 8.03 8.03 8.03 8.03 8.03 SOUTH AFRICA 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 OTHER EUROPE 4.51 4.51 4.51 4.51 4.51 4.51 4.51 4.51 OTHERS 2.38 2.38 2.38 2.38 2.38 2.38 2.38 2.38 WORLD 5.87 5.87 5.87 5.87 5.85 5.85 5.85 5.85 SORGHUM U.S. 4.83 4.83 4.83 4.83 4.71 4.71 4.71 4.71 ARGENTINA 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 MEXICO 3.70 3.70 3.70 3.70 3.70 3.70 3.70 3.70 CHINA 4.80 4.80 4.80 4.80 4.80 4.80 4.80 4.80 INDIA 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 AUSTRALIA 3.20 3.20 3.20 3.20 3.20 3.20 3.20 3.20 OTHERS 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 WORLD SORGHUM 1.67 1.67 1.67 1.67 1.67 1.67 1.67 1.67 BARLEY U.S. 3.93 3.93 3.93 3.93 3.93 3.93 3.93 3.93 CANADA 3.68 3.68 3.68 3.68 3.68 3.68 3.68 3.68 RUSSIA 2.28 2.28 2.28 2.28 2.30 2.30 2.30 2.30 UKRAINE 3.10 3.10 3.10 3.10 3.10 3.10 3.10 3.10 KAZAKHSTAN 1.43 1.43 1.43 1.43 1.43 1.43 1.43 1.43 EU-28 5.08 5.08 5.08 5.08 5.08 5.08 5.08 5.08 OTHER EUROPE 1.58 1.58 1.58 1.58 1.58 1.58 1.58 1.58 AUSTRALIA 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35 OTHERS 1.72 1.72 1.72 1.72 1.72 1.72 1.72 1.72 WORLD BARLEY 2.82 2.82 2.82 2.82 2.83 2.83 2.83 2.83 ALL COARSE GRAINS U.S. 10.14 10.14 10.14 10.14 10.03 10.03 10.03 10.03 RUSSIA 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.73 UKRAINE 2.33 2.33 2.33 2.33 2.33 2.33 2.33 2.33 KAZAKHSTAN 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 ARGENTINA 6.95 6.95 6.95 6.95 6.95 6.95 6.95 6.95 BRAZIL 12.09 12.09 12.09 12.09 12.09 12.09 12.09 12.09 SOUTH AFRICA 3.18 3.18 3.18 3.18 3.18 3.18 3.18 3.18 AUSTRALIA 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35 CANADA 3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 3.98 EU-28 5.42 5.42 5.42 5.42 5.42 5.42 5.42 5.42 OTHER EUROPE 2.81 2.81 2.81 2.81 2.81 2.81 2.81 2.81 CHINA 5.49 5.49 5.49 5.49 5.49 5.49 5.49 5.49 MEXICO 3.36 3.36 3.36 3.36 3.36 3.36 3.36 3.36 INDIA 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 OTHERS 1.60 1.60 1.60 1.60 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 WORLD GRAINS 4.03 4.03 4.03 4.03 4.02 4.02 4.02 4.02
CropCast Weekly Feedgrains Report Don Keeney Thursday, CropCast U.S. State-Level Estimates AREA (m acres) YIELD (bu/ac) PRODUCTION (m bu) CHANGE FROM LAST WEEK (m bu) COLORADO 0.96 1.10 145.0 139.0 139.2 152.9 GEORGIA 0.28 0.34 172.0 176.0 48.2 59.8 ILLINOIS 11.60 11.50 174.0 196.0 2018.4 2254.0 INDIANA 5.50 5.50 152.0 178.0 836.0 979.0 IOWA 13.25 13.50 190.0 195.0 2517.5 2632.5 KANSAS 3.80 4.60 147.0 146.0 558.6 671.6 KENTUCKY 1.30 1.40 173.0 162.0 224.9 226.8 MICHIGAN 2.10 2.15 163.0 155.0 342.3 333.3 MINNESOTA 7.70 8.00 186.0 184.0 1432.2 1472.0 MISSOURI 3.10 3.50 144.0 164.0 446.4 574.0 NEBRASKA 9.10 9.40 185.0 182.0 1683.5 1710.8 NORTH CAROLINA 0.74 0.92 115.0 140.0 85.1 128.8 OHIO 3.30 3.30 155.0 158.0 511.5 521.4 PENNSYLVANIA 1.00 1.00 149.0 136.0 149.0 136.0 SOUTH DAKOTA 4.90 5.20 160.0 143.0 784.0 743.6 TENNESSEE 0.72 0.79 162.0 148.0 116.6 116.9 TEXAS 1.90 2.40 137.0 125.0 260.3 300.0 WISCONSIN 3.10 3.20 163.0 173.0 505.3 553.6 OTHERS 7.30 7.40 156.0 160.0 1138.8 1184.0 UNITED STATES 81.65 85.20 169.0 173.1 13797.8 14751.0 CropCast U.S. Weekly Yield Tracker (bu/ac) 20 MARKETING YEAR 27-Oct 21-Oct 20-Oct 13-Oct 6-Oct 29-Sep 22-Sep 15-Sep COLORADO 139.0 139.0 139.0 139.0 142.0 142.0 142.0 142.0 GEORGIA 176.0 176.0 176.0 176.0 175.0 175.0 175.0 175.0 ILLINOIS 196.0 196.0 196.0 196.0 191.0 191.0 191.0 191.0 INDIANA 178.0 178.0 178.0 178.0 180.0 180.0 180.0 180.0 IOWA 195.0 195.0 195.0 195.0 190.0 190.0 190.0 190.0 KANSAS 146.0 146.0 146.0 146.0 144.0 144.0 144.0 144.0 KENTUCKY 162.0 162.0 162.0 162.0 172.0 172.0 172.0 172.0 MICHIGAN 155.0 155.0 155.0 155.0 155.0 155.0 155.0 155.0 MINNESOTA 184.0 184.0 184.0 184.0 183.0 183.0 183.0 183.0 MISSOURI 164.0 164.0 164.0 164.0 162.0 162.0 162.0 162.0 NEBRASKA 182.0 182.0 182.0 182.0 184.0 184.0 184.0 184.0 NORTH CAROLINA 140.0 140.0 140.0 140.0 132.0 132.0 132.0 132.0 OHIO 158.0 158.0 158.0 158.0 155.0 155.0 155.0 155.0 PENNSYLVANIA 136.0 136.0 136.0 136.0 137.0 137.0 137.0 137.0 SOUTH DAKOTA 143.0 143.0 143.0 143.0 142.0 142.0 142.0 142.0 TENNESSEE 148.0 148.0 148.0 148.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 TEXAS 125.0 125.0 125.0 125.0 130.0 130.0 130.0 130.0 WISCONSIN 173.0 173.0 173.0 173.0 165.0 165.0 165.0 165.0 OTHERS 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 160.0 UNITED STATES 173.1 173.1 173.1 173.1 171.8 171.8 171.8 171.8