A science-policy approach towards local adaptation planning: The case of Santiago de Chile Kerstin Krellenberg, PhD Resilient Cities 2011 2nd World Congress on Cities and Adaptation to Climate Change Bonn, June 3, 2011
A science-policy approach towards local adaptation planning: The case of Santiago de Chile (1) Introduction (2) Current climate action in Santiago de Chile (3) Project objectives, challenges, topics and activities (4) Towards local climate adaptation planning (5) Conclusions
(1) Introduction: Partners ClimateAdaptationSantiago (CAS) Partners in Latin America - Universidad de Chile (UCH) - Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile (PUC) - Economic Commission for Latin America (ECLAC/CEPAL) Partners in the German Helmholtz Association - Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT) - Helmholtz-Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ) (coordination) In cooperation with Chilean entities - Regional Government (GORE) - Ministry of the Environment (MMA) and Ministerial Regional Secretariat of the Environment (SEREMI MA) Duration until 11/2012
(2) Current climate action in Santiago de Chile Actors/Instruments National Action Plan (2008-2012) Priorities Mitigation & CDM (sector-based) Adaptation e.g. water resources, glaciers, biodiversity, coastal cities, energy, infrastructure, fisheries Approach Deductive (natural science framing) and top-down Scenario-based vulnerability assessments of (natural) systems (issue of downscaling) outcome vulnerability (O Brien et al. 2007) Exposed (eco-) systems, sectors and critical infrastructure, including economic effects (issue of integrating multi-sectoral perspectives) No explicit urban focus Existing relevant instruments in terms of spatial planning No explicit climate change considerations Strong centralization Weak in regional and metropolitan autonomy
(3) Project objectives and challenges Main objectives a) Develop, together with local stakeholders, climate change adaptation measures on urban-local level for the Metropolitan Region of Santiago de Chile. b) Establish a Regional Learning Network with other megacities of Latin America (Buenos Aires, Bogotá, Lima, Mexico, and Sao Paulo) to exchange knowledge on local climate change adaptation. In close connection between science and policy Challenges for adaptation planning Include risk analysis concerning spatial/social distribution of effects Coordinated response, rather integrative than sectoral How to bridge the sector divide in designing local adaptation measures? How to best incorporate perspectives on long-term adaptation into short-political agendas?
(4) Towards local climate adaptation planning Science focus on Risks and vulnerabilities according to contextual vulnerability (O Brien et al. 2007; Kelly and Adger 2000) analyzing existing vulnerabilities differentiated by socio-economic distribution Combining natural and social sciences methods and results Explorative scenario analysis evaluating alternative future developments elaborating adaptive measures Schwarz, 2011
(4) Towards local climate adaptation planning Science-policy focus on 10 Round Table meetings with authorities from public and private sectors of different levels, civil society and academia Presentations, generic Briefing Papers and context specific Working Papers as input to Round Table meetings Participatory activities to further the exchange between actors and sectors the incorporation and evaluation of existing measures and activities a shift towards more adaptive and intersectoral thinking the identification, evaluation and priorization of intersectoral adaptive measures Developing jointly information material: manuals, policy briefs, maps, etc.
(5) Conclusions a) How to best incorporate perspectives on long-term adaptation into short-political agendas? Include estimation of future development options Evaluate potential of existing activities and measures Incorporate specific measures into overall regional strategies of GORE and SEREMI MA 2012 (implementation-oriented) Show short-term and long-term benefits Work on different levels Ensure that knowledge transfer can continue b) How to bridge the sector divide in designing local adaptation measures? Highlighting interlinking processes Further exchange between sectors and levels by offering an exchange platform regarding Knowledge Data, etc..
www.climate-adaptation-santiago.ufz.de kerstin.krellenberg@ufz.de
(3) Project topics and activities Science Status quo Social vulnerability Status quo & risk analysis Energy supply/ demand Water supply/ demand Land use: Flood and heat hazard Scenario impact + Vulnerability Analysis Changing pressures Expected climatic changes + local reinforcing conditions Participatory process Identification, evaluation and priorization of intersectoral adaptive measures