Amplification of high precipitation in the Western Mediterranean by Corsica island flow and convection

Similar documents
CONVECTIVE CLOUD MICROPHYSICS IN A HIGH-RESOLUTION NWP MODEL

CONVECTION-ALLOWING SIMULATIONS OF COLD POOLS IN THE NORTHWESTERN SAHARA

Working Group Initiation of Convection

Kalimantan realistically (Figs. 8.23a-d). Also, the wind speeds of the westerly

Cyclogenesis in the Western Mediterranean causing Heavy-Rain Events (NEPTUN)

Florian Meier, Peter Knippertz Johannes Gutenberg-University Mainz

BMKG Research on Air sea interaction modeling for YMC

Severe storms over the Mediterranean Sea: A satellite and model analysis

Impact of sea surface temperature on COSMO forecasts of a Medicane over the western Mediterranean Sea

SYNOPTIC AND MESOSCALE ASPECTS OF TWO FLASH FLOOD EVENTS IN EASTERN SPAIN PRODUCED BY LONG-LIVED

Predictability of convective precipitation: Convection permitting ensemble simulations

Influence of Model Version, Resolution and Driving Data on High Resolution Regional Climate Simulations with CLM

Simulating orographic precipitation: Sensitivity to physics parameterizations and model numerics

Convection-Resolving Model Simulations: Process-Based Comparison of LM Results with Observations

Detailed flow, hydrometeor and lightning characteristics of an isolated, hail producing thunderstorm during COPS

WRF Model Simulated Proxy Datasets Used for GOES-R Research Activities

La circulation atmosphérique dans le sud du Portugal et l'effet du réservoir d'alqueva. Cas d étude ALEX 2014

Saharan Dust Induced Radiation-Cloud-Precipitation-Dynamics Interactions

Years of the Maritime Continent (YMC) Science Plan Overview. Chidong Zhang, RSMAS, University of Miami

Large-Eddy Simulations of Tropical Convective Systems, the Boundary Layer, and Upper Ocean Coupling

Weather report 28 November 2017 Campinas/SP

COSMO model simulations for COPS, 15 July 2007 (IOP 8b)

WG3 Heavy precipitation, flash-floods and floods. Guy Delrieu, Alberto Montanari Romualdo Romero, Evelyne Richard

Multiscale Analyses of Inland Tropical Cyclone Midlatitude Jet Interactions: Camille (1969) and Danny (1997)

Processes driving deep convection over complex terrain: a multi-scale analysis of observations from COPS IOP 9c

Report of the COPS WG on CI summarising COPS results presented at the ICAM 2009 in Rastatt, Germany. Compiled by Ulrich Corsmeier, IMK-KIT

Figure 1: Tephigram for radiosonde launched from Bath at 1100 UTC on 15 June 2005 (IOP 1). The CAPE and CIN are shaded dark and light gray,

Konrad Deetz et al. Received and published: 19 June 2018

Diabatic processes and the structure of the warm conveyor belt

Synoptic Meteorology

Flux Tower Data Quality Analysis. Dea Doklestic

8.2 Numerical Study of Relationships between Convective Vertical Velocity, Radar Reflectivity Profiles, and Passive Microwave Brightness Temperatures

Large-Eddy Simulations of Tropical Convective Systems, the Boundary Layer, and Upper Ocean Coupling

What does a cloud-resolving model bring during an extratropical transition?

Introduction to climate modeling. ECOLMAS Course 1-4 April 2008

The western Colombia low-level jet and its simulation by CMIP5 models

HyMeX-SOP1, the field campaign dedicated to heavy precipitation and flash-flooding in Northwestern Mediterranean

CHAPTER 8 NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF THE ITCZ OVER THE INDIAN OCEAN AND INDONESIA DURING A NORMAL YEAR AND DURING AN ENSO YEAR

and 24 mm, hPa lapse rates between 3 and 4 K km 1, lifted index values

L. McMurdie, R. Houze, J. Zagrodnik, W. Petersen, M. Schwaller

Charles A. Doswell III, Harold E. Brooks, and Robert A. Maddox

MESO-NH cloud forecast verification with satellite observation

TROPICAL-LIKE MEDITERRANEAN STORMS: AN ANALYSIS FROM SATELLITE

Met Office and UK University contribution to YMC Ground instrumentation and modelling

A "New" Mechanism for the Diurnal Variation of Convection over the Tropical Western Pacific Ocean

Simulations with different convection parameterizations in the LM

Numerical Analysis of a Mediterranean Hurricane over Southeastern Italy

AROME Nowcasting - tool based on a convective scale operational system

High Resolution Modeling of Multi-scale Cloud and Precipitation Systems Using a Cloud-Resolving Model

Impact of different cumulus parameterizations on the numerical simulation of rain over southern China

The Properties of Convective Clouds Over the Western Pacific and Their Relationship to the Environment of Tropical Cyclones

Near-surface weather prediction and surface data assimilation: challenges, development, and potential data needs

Role of Low Level Jetstream in Intense Monsoon Rainfall episodes over the West Coast of India

Advanced Hydrology. (Web course)

the 2 past three decades

1 INTRODUCTION 2 MODEL SETUP

The Nowcasting Demonstration Project for London 2012

Atmospheric Processes

The Regional Atmospheric Water Budget over Southwestern Germany under Different Synoptic Conditions

Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES) CU-Boulder 2. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

The Role of the Land Surface in Fog Modelling Simulations with COSMO-FOG

Convection Initiation in COPS: Radar Climatology and 6 August 2007 Case Study

HEAVY PRECIPITATIONS IN MEDITERRANEAN SPAIN: CLIMATOLOGY AND MESOSCALE NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS. Romualdo Romero Visiting Post-Doctoral, NSSL/CIMMS

Lessons learnt from field experiments: Inspection of the ALPEX-PYREX-MAP-COPS chain Atlanta/Boulder 19 Jan 2010

Climate and the Atmosphere

Remote impact of North Atlantic hurricanes on the Mediterranean during episodes of intense rainfall in autumn 2012

Impact of GPS and TMI Precipitable Water Data on Mesoscale Numerical Weather Prediction Model Forecasts

Variable cirrus shading during CSIP IOP 5. I: Effects on the initiation of convection

Robert Houze University of Washington (with contributions from B. Smull)

TC Danny formed as a tropical depression in the northern Gulf of Mexico at 1200

Relevant timescales: convective events diurnal intraseasonal. 3 ocean-atmosphere communication methods: freshwater flux flux momentum flux

Status-quo of COPS Scientific Preparation, Candidate Instrumentation, Workshop Overview

TWO CASES OF HEAVY RAIN ON THE MEDITERRANEAN SIDE OF THE ALPS IN MAP. Robert Houze 1 and Socorro Medina University of Washington

Mentor: Edward Zipser Professor, Atmospheric Sciences University of Utah. Presenter: Petra Miku

Level 3 Earth and Space Science, 2013

Tropical Waves. John Cangialosi and Lixion Avila National Hurricane Center. WMO Region IV Tropical Cyclone Workshop

Characteristics of extreme convection over equatorial America and Africa

THE INFLUENCE OF THE GREAT LAKES ON NORTHWEST SNOWFALL IN THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS

INTERACTIONS OF AEROSOLS AND GASES WITH CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION IN THE ONLINE-COUPLED REGIONAL CHEMISTRY-TRANSPORT MODEL COSMO-ART

Ocean Mixing and Climate Change

9A.2 Real-time multiple-doppler wind fields from RHYTMME and ARAMIS radars with implications for data assimilation within AROME for southeast France

Extratropical processes and forecast errors

Victor Homar * and David J. Stensrud NOAA/NSSL, Norman, Oklahoma

INVESTIGATION FOR A POSSIBLE INFLUENCE OF IOANNINA AND METSOVO LAKES (EPIRUS, NW GREECE), ON PRECIPITATION, DURING THE WARM PERIOD OF THE YEAR

Air Pollution Meteorology

Extratropical and Polar Cloud Systems

The Arctic Energy Budget

Atmospheric processes leading to extreme flood events

Modeling rainfall diurnal variation of the North American monsoon core using different spatial resolutions

Supplementary Figure 1. Summer mesoscale convective systems rainfall climatology and trends. Mesoscale convective system (MCS) (a) mean total

Simulations of Convergence Lines

NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF A BAY OF BENGAL TROPICAL CYCLONE: A COMPARISON OF THE RESULTS FROM EXPERIMENTS WITH JRA-25 AND NCEP REANALYSIS FIELDS

Dynamical Processes Related to Cyclone Evolution near Greenland

THE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM FROM

Impact of Intraseasonal Variations to the Spatial Distribution of Coastal Heavy Rainbands Intensity During HARIMAU IOP 2011 in the West Sumatera

The Impact of air-sea interaction on the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones

A Numerical Modeling Study of Mesoscale Cyclogenesis to the East of the Korean Peninsula

ESTUDIO NUMÉRICO DE LA PREDICTABILIDAD DE UN EVENTO DE CICLOGÉNESIS MEDITERRÁNEA MEDIANTE INVERSIÓN DE VORTICIDAD POTENCIAL

TC/PR/RB Lecture 3 - Simulation of Random Model Errors

NEW TECHNIQUE FOR CLOUD MODEL CONTROLLED PRECIPITATION RETRIEVAL: CLOUD DYNAMICS AND RADIATION DATABASE (CDRD)

Transcription:

Amplification of high precipitation in the Western Mediterranean by Corsica island flow and convection Ch. Kottmeier, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology With contributions by B. Adler, I.Kraut, B. Vogel, K.-U. Nerding, U.Corsmeier, F. Ehmele, N. Kalthoff

Amplification of high precipitation in the Western Mediterranean by Corsica island flow and convection Questions adressed: What are the processes amplifying precipitation over Corsica? Does Corsica effect larger scale processes? Are there downstream island effects on HIW at the French and Italian coasts? 2

Example of island convection and high precipitation on Aug. 26, 2009 GFS MSLP in hpa (white isolines), 500 hpa in gpdm (black isolines), and relative topography in gpdm (colour code) at 1200 UTC on 26 Aug. 2009 (bottom right). The red circles indicate Corsica. 3

Island convection, Aug. 26. 2009 Meteosat visible images on 26 Aug. 2009 at 11, 13, 14 and 15 UTC 4

Example of island convection and high precipitation on Aug. 26, 2009 GFS MSLP in hpa (white isolines), 500 hpa in gpdm (black isolines), and relative topography in gpdm (colour code) at 1200 UTC on 26 Aug. 2009 (bottom right). The circles indicate Corsica. Accumulated rainfall in mm on 26 Aug. 2009 derived by TRMM multi-satellite precipitation analysis (TMPA) 5

What are the processes amplifying precipitation over Corsica? studied in some detail within the HyMeX IOP1 -> Ph.D. work of Bianca Adler KITcube atmospheric observing system 6

Island convection Aug. 19, 2012 Cross section SW-NE Radial Doppler Lidar velocities at Corte with upwind flow towards the mountain ranges and continuous downdraft over the valley B. Adler, 2014 Top view, 2 km circle 7

Conceptual model of complex convective boundary layers over Corsica Diurnal evolution at Corte, valley inland B. Adler, 2014 8

Amplification of high precipitation in the Western Mediterranean by Corsica island flow and convection Questions adressed: What are the processes amplifying precipitation over Corsica? Does Corsica effect larger scale processes? Are there downstream island effects on HIW at the French and Italian coasts? 9

10

Downstream convection Aug. 26. 2009 Meteosat visible images on 26 Aug. 2009 at 11, 13, 14 and 15 UTC 11

Downstream convection Aug. 26. 2009 Outflow from convective cell oder Sardinia induces convective HPE oder southern Corsica COSMO-modelling: F. Ehmele, U. Corsmeier, 2013 12

Amplification of high precipitation in the Western Mediterranean by Corsica island flow and convection Questions adressed: What are the processes amplifying precipitation over Corsica? Does Corsica island convection effect larger scale processes? Are there downstream island effects on HIW at the French and Italian coasts? Processes identified 13

Are there downstream island effects on HIW at the French and Italian coasts? Processes identified: 1) Dynamical effects of the flow through the strait of Bonifacio on Genua cyclogenesis 14 F. Ehmele, U. Corsmeier, KIT Genua cyclogenesis and HPE June 15, 2010

Are there downstream island effects on HIW at the French and Italian coasts? Processes identified: 1) Dynamical effects of the flow through the strait of Bonifacio on Genua cyclogenesis 15 F. Ehmele, U. Corsmeier, KIT Genua cyclogenesis and HPE June 15, 2010

Are there downstream island effects on HIW at the French and Italian coasts? Processes identified: 1) Dynamical effects of the flow through the strait of Bonifacio on Genua cyclogenesis 16 F. Ehmele, U. Corsmeier, KIT Genua cyclogenesis and HPE June 15, 2010

Are there downstream island effects on HIW at the French and Italian coasts? Processes identified: 1) Dynamical effects of the flow through the strait of Bonifacio on Genua cyclogenesis 17 F. Ehmele, U. Corsmeier, KIT Genua cyclogenesis and HPE June 15, 2010

But there are also other processes 2) Wind driven uptake of sea salt Medicane Rolf Medicane Rolf Sea salt transport Nov. 6, 2011 Model-Setup COSMO-ART version 4.21 Initial and boundary conditions: GME Triple nesting, highest resolution: 2.8 km, 50 layers Simulation period: November 5 to November 9 Two-Moment cloud microphysics scheme (Seifert and Beheng, 2006) Wind dependent uptake of sea salt (Lundgren et al., 2013) I. Kraut, B. Vogel, 2014 18

19 Medicane Rolf Sea salt transport Nov. 6, 2011

But there are also other processes 3) Moisture supply from the surrounding ocean surfaces (effected by orographic flow of Corsica) 32 Dornier128 flights 21 days during HyMEx SOP1 Eddy covariance measurements P. Gasch, A. Wieser, U. Corsmeier 20

Buoyancy flux B / sensible heat flux H measured Buoyancy flux B and sensible heat flux H vs. latent heat flux V Latent heat flux V measured Latent heat flux V (measured and modelled with AROME- WMED) Latent heat flux V modelled Latent heat flux V measured 21

Amplification of high precipitation in the Western Mediterranean by Corsica island flow and convection Summary What are the processes amplifying precipitation over Corsica? Mountain surface heating, land-sea contrast, interacting sea breeze/valley wind/slope wind circulations, tropospheric forcing Does Corsica effect larger scale processes? Yes, via downstream convection, flow around island, induced convergence lines over sea Are there downstream island effects on HIW at the French and Italian coasts? Probably, via dynamical triggering of Genua cyclogenesis, wind effects on sea salt uptake and moisture supply 22