On the Use of Crustal Deformation Models. in the Management of ETRS89 Realizations in Fennoscandia

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On the Use of Crustal Deformation Models Presented at the FIG Working Week 2017, May 29 - June 2, 2017 in Helsinki, Finland in the Management of ETRS89 Realizations in Fennoscandia Martin Lidberg, Jonas Ågren, Holger Steffen Lantmäteriet, Sweden Martin.Lidberg@lm.se

Outline The Fennoscandia land uplift process What is ETRS89? Applying models of crustal deformations! The new model NKG2016LU Details on transformations next talk by Pasi Häkli

Motivation users asking for high performance in real time!

The Fennoscandia Post Glacial Rebound, or GIA process!

The Glacial Isostatic Adjustment (GIA) phenomenon 5

What is ETRS89? The European Terrestrial Reference System Coincident with ITRS at epoch 1989.0, and fixed to the stable part of the Eurasian tectonic plate. From Boucher&Altamimi (2011) Memo v8, chapter 3:

Realizations of ETRS89 in Fennoscandia (the Nordic /Baltic countries) Country Name of realization ETRF version Realization epoch Denmark EUREF-DK94 ETRF92 1994.704 Estonia EUREF-EST97 ETRF96 1997.56 Faroe Islands ETRF2000 2008.75 Finland EUREF-FIN ETRF96 1997.0 Latvia LKS-92 ETRF89 1992.75 Lithuania EUREF-NKG-2003 ETRF2000 203.75 Norway EUREF89 ETRF93 1995.0 Sweden SWEREF 99 ETRF98 1999.5 7

To note: In presence of crustal deformations, the epoch is crucial. Therefore: Time tag everything! 8

The NKG_RF2003_vel velocity model 72 72 70 68 66 64 62 60 58 56 2.1 2 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 70 68 66 64 62 60 58 56 10 9.5 9 8.5 8 7.5 7 6.5 6 5.5 5 4.5 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0-0.5-1 54 54 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Horizontal (0 to 2 mm/yr): The GIA model in Milne 2001 transformed to the GPSvelocities (in Lidberg 2007). 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Vertical (-1 to 10 mm/yr): The NKG2005LU(ABS) model Based on: TG, repeated levelling, and GPS. (Ågren & Svensson 2006)

Some formulas for the use of the model of crustal (intraplate) deformation 10 From velocities to coordinate differences vel RF NKG Z Y X epoch observation epoch et t ra ra ra V V V t t dz dy dx 03 _ arg int int int u R Z n R P Z u R Y e P X n P Y R Z Y u R X e P Y n P X R Z X From velocities in (n,e,u) to (X,Y,Z) frame 2 2 2 Z Y X R Where: 2 2 Y X P And: (assuming a spherical earth)

Principle transformation scheme from ITRFs to national realization of ETRS89 ITRS t obs. ETRS89 t obs. ETRS89 t campaign Standard transformation provided by EUREF (the MEMO) Model of intraplate deformations, e.g. NKG_RF03vel 11

Practical transformation scheme while connecting to known permanent GNSS stations example Sweden 3D Helmert ITRS Internal epoch 1999.5 NKG_RF03vel Precise analysis done in ITRF current epoch ETRS89 t campaign ETRS89 t obs. ITRS t obs. SWEREF 99 ep 1999.5 CRD of reference stations NKG_RF03vel Standard transformation provided by EUREF (the MEMO) 12

Comparing the national realizations of ETRS89 in Fennoscandia The NKG2008 campaign in ETRF2000 compared to national realizations. Left, @ epoch 2008.75. Statistics:(n,e,u) in mm RMS 9 12 69 Mean -4 5 53 Right, @ epoch 2000.0, using a model for intraplate velocities (NKG_RF03vel) Statistics:(n,e,u) in mm RMS 8 11 28 Mean -3 7 19 13

Comparing the NKG2008, and the NKG2003 common campaigns. (ETRF2000) NKG2003 based on ITRF2000, NKG2008 based on ITRF2005. Left, NKG2008 @2008.75; NKG2003 @ 2003.75 Statistics:(n,e,u) in mm RMS 4 5 24 Mean -5-4 16 Right, booth @ epoch 2003.75, using the model NKG_RF03vel (No fit just coordinate differences!) Statistics:(n,e,u) in mm RMS 4 4 8 Mean 0-3 -3 14

Creating a new model for the Fennoscandia crustal deformations Input to the modelling Observations from repeated levelling 3D GPS velocities from the BIFROST project (10-15 year time series) Also a GIA-model But tide-gauge data is not used for the modelling!

The semi-impirical land uplift model NKG2016LU_abs/lev

17 Difference between BIFROST GNSS and NKG2016LU_ABS Difference between BIFROST GNSS and NKG2016LU_ABS Statistics (mm/year): # 179 Min -2.00 Max 1.32 Mean 0.02 StdDev 0.42

The horizontal velocity model GPS velocities minus GIA model best sites : (0.4, 0.2, 0.4) (n,e,u) mm/yr std. (after 6-par fit, applying rotation and translation rates) Note the systematic differences in the North direction

Developments in GIA modelling: New Thermo-mechanical ice model examples at LGM The old ice history model (Lambeck 1998) The new ice history model from Lev Tarasov. The ice history governed by models for climate and glaciology.

New GIA model rotated to the GPS velocities (in ETRS89) Using 66 well defined GPS sites RMS: 0.2 mm/year in north and east

Outline The Fennoscandia land uplift process What is ETRS89? Applying models of crustal deformations! The new model NKG2016LU Details on transformations next talk by Pasi Häkli