Trading Date: Dec 7 Monthly Trading Report December 7
Trading Date: Dec 7 Figure : December 7 (% change over previous month) % Major Market Indicators 5 4 Figure : Summary of Trading Data USEP () Daily Average Daily Maximum Daily Minimum December 7 Weekdays Saturday Sunday 88.43 86.6 85.9 6.6 96.64.3 73.5 73.95 75.7 3 - - USEP Forecasted Demand CCGT/Cogen/Trigen Supply ST Supply Forecasted Demand (MW) Daily Average Daily Maximum Daily Minimum Regulation () Primary Contingency Regulation Generation (MW) CCGT/Cogen/Trigen ST GT 586 558 59 673 648 5974 4637 4763 4634.5.8.6 5.64 6.3 4.5 3. 6.7 6.58 5748 5393 57 43 43 46... Disclaimer This Report is prepared and provided for general information purposes only. Information in this Report was obtained or deriv ed from sources that the Energy Market Company Pte Ltd (EMC) considers reliable. All reasonable care has been taken to ensure that stated facts are accurate and opinions fair and reasonable at time of printing. EMC does not represent that information in this Report is accurate or complete and it should not be rel ied upon as such. In particular, in presentation of charts, certain assumptions were made which may not be stated therein. As such, EMC assumes no fiduciary res ponsibility or liability for any construction or interpretation you may take based on the information contained nor for any consequences, financial or otherwi se, from transactions where information in this Report may be relied upon. You should make your own appraisal and should consult, to the extent necessar y, your own professional advisors to ensure that any decision made based on the information in this Report is suitable for your circumstances. If you have any sp ecific queries about this Report or its contents, you should contact us at marketoperations-b@emcsg.com. Page of 8
Trading Date: Dec 7 USEP, Demand and Supply Figure 3: Average Forecasted Demand vs Average USEP Average Forecasted Demand Average USEP 9 8 7 6 5 4 MW 7 6 5 4 3 3 Dec 4 Dec 7 Dec Dec 3 Dec 6 Dec 9 Dec Dec 5 Dec 8 Dec 3 Dec Figure 4: Average Forecasted Demand vs Average USEP for Last Months Average Forecasted Demand Average USEP MW 65 6 9 55 7 5 45 5 4 3 Jan 7 Feb 7 Mar 7 Apr 7 May 7 Jun 7 Jul 7 Aug 7 Sep 7 Oct 7 Nov 7 Dec 7 35 Page of 8
Trading Date: Dec 7 USEP, Demand and Supply Figure 5: YOY % Change of USEP for Last Months % 8 6 4 Jan 7 Feb 7 Mar 7 Apr 7 May 7 Jun 7 Jul 7 Aug 7 Sep 7 Oct 7 Nov 7 Dec 7 - Figure 6: YOY % Change of Forecasted Demand for Last Months % 5 4 3 - Jan 7 Feb 7 Mar 7 Apr 7 May 7 Jun 7 Jul 7 Aug 7 Sep 7 Oct 7 Nov 7 Dec 7 - -3-4 Page 3 of 8
Trading Date: Dec 7 Ancillary Prices Figure 7: Primary Price Figure 8: Contingency Price 6 4 8 Dec 8 Dec 5 Dec Dec 9 Dec 6 4 Dec 8 Dec 5 Dec Dec 9 Dec Primary Price () Contingency Price () Monthly Average.6 Monthly Average 5.43 Previous Month.6 Previous Month 4.78 Change -6.4% Change 3.5% Max.3 Max 8.47 Min. Min. Figure 9: Regulation Price 3 5 5 5 Dec 8 Dec 5 Dec Dec 9 Dec Regulation Price () Monthly Average 4.44 Previous Month 3.53 Change 6.7% Max 79.47 Min. Page 4 of 8
Trading Date: Dec 7 Generation Figure : Average Generation by Type MW CCGT/Cogen/Trigen ST GT 7 6 5 4 3 Dec 4 Dec 7 Dec Dec 3 Dec 6 Dec 9 Dec Dec 5 Dec 8 Dec 3 Dec Figure : Average Generation by Type for Last Months MW 7 CCGT/Cogen/Trigen ST GT 6 5 4 3 Jan 7 Feb 7 Mar 7 Apr 7 May 7 Jun 7 Jul 7 Aug 7 Sep 7 Oct 7 Nov 7 Dec 7 Figure : Instances of GT Scheduled for Last Months.5.5.5 Jan 7 Feb 7 Mar 7 Apr 7 May 7 Jun 7 Jul 7 Aug 7 Sep 7 Oct 7 Nov 7 Dec 7 Page 5 of 8
Trading Date: Dec 7 Settlement Figure 3: Monthly Energy Payment for Last Months $ Million 37 36 35 34 33 3 3 3 9 8 Jan 7 Feb 7 Mar 7 Apr 7 May 7 Jun 7 Jul 7 Aug 7 Sep 7 Oct 7 Nov 7 Dec 7 Figure 4: Monthly Payment for Last Months $ Million 6 5 4 3 Jan 7 Feb 7 Mar 7 Apr 7 May 7 Jun 7 Jul 7 Aug 7 Sep 7 Oct 7 Nov 7 Dec 7 Figure 5: Monthly Regulation Payment for Last Months $ Million Jan 7 Feb 7 Mar 7 Apr 7 May 7 Jun 7 Jul 7 Aug 7 Sep 7 Oct 7 Nov 7 Dec 7 Page 6 of 8
Trading Date: Dec 7 Figure 6: Price Statistics for Year 7 USEP () Forecasted Demand (MW) Generation (%) Average Min Max Average Min Max CCGT/Cogen/ Trigen Jan 84.56.3 35.43 557 448 6754 97.7.9. Feb 84.75. 7.4 5589 457 659 97.87.3. Mar 76.4. 99.66 568 45 6579 97.79.. Apr 8.68 6.9 5.6 5597 459 664 97.68.3. May 8.5 58.99 463.6 584 466 688 97.84.6. Jun 84.3 6.7 9.94 5884 475 6945 97.84.6. Jul 79. 6.7 87.57 586 4757 694 97.96.4. Aug 73.4 6.44 69. 59 4735 6967 97.74.6. Sep 74.77 6.49 7.79 587 484 69 97.8.9. Oct 77.55 6.48 56.6 585 47 6789 97.87.3. Nov 83.8 66.5 353.78 5754 4659 6748 97.8.. Dec 87.44 73.5 6.6 5693 4634 673 97.49.5. Yearly 8.9. 9.94 5748 448 6967 97.78.. Q 8.8. 7.4 5597 448 6754 97.78.. Q 83. 58.99 9.94 576 459 6945 97.79.. Q3 75.8 6.44 87.57 5877 4735 6967 97.84.6. Q4 8.93 6.48 56.6 575 4634 6789 97.7.8. ST GT Average Price () Average Requirements (MW) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Yearly Q Q Q3 Q4 Primary Secondary..33 7.86.45.57 8.66..3 6.79..9 6.8.3.88 9.6.6.5.6.8.6.6.6.9...6.4.5.7.9. - - -.48.4.86.9 - Contingency Regulation Primary Secondary Contingency Regulation 7.86 7 5 57 5 8.87 8 6 58.5 73 55 58 9.33 84 63 587.6 87 67 587.3 4.6 8 66 597 5.53 3.6 85 67 596 5.47.5 7 54 583 6.6. 76 6 593 4.4.6 8-585 4.78 3.53 78-595 5.43 4.44 83-598 6.74.48 79 6 588 7.74 9. 75 55 578 9 8.73.7 84 65 59 5.75. 77 6 59 4.79.7 8-59 Page 7 of 8
Trading Date: Dec 7 Figure 7: WEP, Fuel Oil, Vesting Price and Tariffs for Year 7 WEP() Fuel Oil(US$/MT) BVP() LVP() Average HSFO 8 CST Vesting price Vesting price Jan 84.64 358.3 8.5 37.66 Feb 85.4 348.73 8.5 37.66 Mar 76.7 38.9 8.5 37.66 Apr 8.98 337.45 38.48 48.4 May 8.67 33.4 38.48 48.4 Jun 84.6 38.9 38.48 48.4 Jul 79.54 38.63 3. 4.4 Aug 73.49 338.98 3. 4.4 Sep 75.9 36.57 3. 4.4 Oct 77.64 37.84 3.7 39.78 Nov 84. 4.34 3.7 39.78 Dec 87.97 4.83 3.7 39.78 Yearly 8.9 353.5 3.46 4.48 Q 8.3 344.9 8.5 37.66 Q 83.4 33.9 38.48 48.4 Q3 76. 34.86 3. 4.4 Q4 83.6 39.9 3.7 39.78 Tariffs( /kwh) Domestic Electricity Tariffs....39.39.39.7.7.7.3.3.3.65..39.7.3 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Yearly USEP AFP HEUC WEP Components () MEUC EMC Fees PSO Fees 84.56.5 -.89.9.6.6 84.75.8 -.73.9.6.9 76.4 8.68..9 -.68 -.66.5.3.6.5.6.9 8.5 84.3 79..4.7.6 -.83 -.54 -.55.3...5.5.5.7.8.7 73.4.3 -.84..5.4 74.77.9 -.38.9.6.5 77.55.9 -.8..6.5 83.8.6 -.6..6.6 87.44.8 -.46.9.6.6 8.9. -.67..6.7.8.8 Q Q Q3 Q4 8.8 83. 75.8 8.93.3.3.4 -.77 -.68 -.59 -.63..7..6.5.5.6.7.8.6.5 Note: Data since January 3 can be available via data subscription package at www.emcsg.com/datasubscriptionform Page 8 of 8