How to construct international inputoutput

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Transcription:

How to construct international inputoutput tables (with the smallest effort) Satoshi Inomata Institute of Developing Economies JETRO

OVERVIEW (1) Basic picture of an international input-output table (IIOT) (2) Construction steps of IIOT - A brief sketch (3) The minimum data requirement for constructing IIOT

Value Added Intermediate Transaction Schematic image of an I-O table Intermediate Transaction Final Demand Agri- Manu- Services Cons- Invest Export Import Total culture facturing umption -ment Output Agriculture -100 Manufacturing -250 Services Wages Profits Depreciation Taxes Total Input

Bilateral IIOT between China and USA

Brazil Russia India China Japan U.S.A. EU Brazil Russia India China Japan U.S.A. EU Export to R.O.W. Statistical Discrepancy Total Outputs BRICs International I-O table Intermediate Demand (A) Final Demand (F) code (AB) (AR) (AG) (AC) (AJ) (AU) (AO) (FB) (FR) (FG) (FC) (FJ) (FU) (FO) (LW) (QX) (XX) Brazil (AB) A BB A BR A BG A BC A BJ A BU A BO F BB F BR F BG F BC F BJ F BU F BO L BW Q B X B Russia (AR) A RB A RR A RG A RC A RJ A RU A RO F RB F RR F RG F RC F RJ F RU F RO L RW Q R X R India (AG) A GB A GR A GG A GC A GJ A GU A GO F GB F GR F GG F GC F GJ F GU F GO L GW Q G X G China (AC) A CB A CR A CG A CC A CJ A CU A CO F CB F CR F CG F CC F CJ F CU F CO L CW Q C X C Japan (AJ) A JB A JR A JG A JC A JJ A JU A JO F JB F JR F JG F JC F JJ F JU F JO L JW Q J X J U.S.A. (AU) A UB A UR A UG A UC A UJ A UU A UO F UB F UR F UG F UC F UJ F UU F UO L UW Q U X U EU (AO) A OB A OR A OG A OC A OJ A OU A OO F OB F OR F OG F OC F OJ F OU F OO L OW Q O X O Freight and Insurance Import from the R.O.W. Duties and Import Commodity Taxes Value Added Total Inputs (BF) BA B BA R BA G BA C BA J BA U BA O BF B BF R BF G FA C FA J BF U BF O (CW) A WB A WR A WG A WC A WJ A WU A WO F WB F WR F WG F WC F WJ F WU F WO (DT) DA B DA R DA G DA C DA J DA U DA O DF B DF R DF G DF C DF J DF U DF O (VV) V B V R V G V C V J V U V O (XX) X B X R X G X C X J X U X O

CONSTRUCTION STEPS Step 1: Harmonization of data Step 2: Construction of import matrices by country of origin Step 3: Linking and balancing

1.1 The year of reference: update (or backdate) the table using the information from the national accounts of the reference year. 1.2 Valuation: transform the table into the uniform valuation scheme, either in basic price or producer s price, using the relevant information from the supply table such as the matrix of taxes on products, of trade and transport margins. 1.3 Presentation format: adjust the table for special statistical treatments, such as FISIM, scraps and by-products, dummy sectors. 1.4 Product classification: aggregate/disaggregate the product sectors in the original table, and redefine them into the common classification.

Updating a national I-O table

Valuation schemes + Taxes on products + Trade margins & Domestic transport cost Basic price Producer s price Purchaser s price

CHINA INDONESIA JAPAN KOREA MALAYSIA TAIWAN PHILIPPINES SINGAPORE THAILAND U.S.A. Adjustment of presentation format 1. Conversion of valuation (P.7) 1.1 Basic price to producer's price X 1.2 Private Consumption Expenditure X X X 1.3 Export vectors X X 1.4 Import matrix/vector X X X X X 2. Negative entries (P.15) X 3. Dummy sectors (P.16) X X X X X X 4. Machine-repair (P.27) X X X X 5. Financial intermediaries (P.30) X X X X 6. Special treatment of import/export (P.32) 6.1 Water transportation X 6.2 "Pure import" of gold X 6.3 Re-export X 6.4 Telecommunication X 7. Computer software products (P.35) X 8. Producers of government services (P.36) X X

Similarity to the Japanese I-O table

2.1 Construct a CIF import matrix: use survey information to determine the input-output structure of imported products. Harmonise the treatment of CIF/FOB adjustment, margins on imported goods, re-export/re-import. Need to match the row-totals of the matrix with the import data from foreign trade statistics (both for goods and services). 2.2 Split the CIF import matrix into matrices by country of origins: use foreign trade statistics and, ideally, the survey information on the distribution of imported items by domestic users. 2.3 Convert the matrices from CIF to basic price/producer s price: use the relevant information on taxes and margins of partner countries.

Splitting Ad Fd L X the import matrix Am G oods Im port (C IF) from B R AZIL Fm Foreign Trade Statistics G oods Im port (C IF) from R U SSIA V G oods Im port (C IF) from IN D IA X G oods Im port (C IF) from C H IN A G oods Im port (C IF) from JA PA N G oods Im port (C IF) from U SA G oods Im port (C IF) from EU G oods Im port (C IF) from T H E R EST O F T H E W O R LD S ervice Im port

Brazil Russia India China Japan U.S.A. EU Brazil Russia India China Japan U.S.A. EU Export to R.O.W. Statistical Discrepancy Total Outputs BRICs International I-O table Intermediate Demand (A) Final Demand (F) code (AB) (AR) (AG) (AC) (AJ) (AU) (AO) (FB) (FR) (FG) (FC) (FJ) (FU) (FO) (LW) (QX) (XX) Brazil (AB) A BB A BR A BG A BC A BJ A BU A BO F BB F BR F BG F BC F BJ F BU F BO L BW Q B X B Russia (AR) A RB A RR A RG A RC A RJ A RU A RO F RB F RR F RG F RC F RJ F RU F RO L RW Q R X R India (AG) A GB A GR A GG A GC A GJ A GU A GO F GB F GR F GG F GC F GJ F GU F GO L GW Q G X G China (AC) A CB A CR A CG A CC A CJ A CU A CO F CB F CR F CG F CC F CJ F CU F CO L CW Q C X C Japan (AJ) A JB A JR A JG A JC A JJ A JU A JO F JB F JR F JG F JC F JJ F JU F JO L JW Q J X J U.S.A. (AU) A UB A UR A UG A UC A UJ A UU A UO F UB F UR F UG F UC F UJ F UU F UO L UW Q U X U EU (AO) A OB A OR A OG A OC A OJ A OU A OO F OB F OR F OG F OC F OJ F OU F OO L OW Q O X O Freight and Insurance Import from the R.O.W. Duties and Import Commodity Taxes Value Added Total Inputs (BF) BA B BA R BA G BA C BA J BA U BA O BF B BF R BF G FA C FA J BF U BF O (CW) A WB A WR A WG A WC A WJ A WU A WO F WB F WR F WG F WC F WJ F WU F WO (DT) DA B DA R DA G DA C DA J DA U DA O DF B DF R DF G DF C DF J DF U DF O (VV) V B V R V G V C V J V U V O (XX) X B X R X G X C X J X U X O

3.1 Redefine the concordance between the uniform I-O classification and national I-O classification, or even HS coding. 3.2 Apply RAS algorithm to establish row-column balances. 3.3 Consistency check with other statistical sources And that s it!!

Level 12 34 05 - National Supply and symmetric Use tables input-output table - Matrix of taxes on products - Matrix of trade margins and transport costs - Foreign trade statistics - Survey-based import matrix (CIF valued) - International freight and insurance data - Supplementary information for format adjustment - Survey information on the distribution of imported items by domestic users

Level 1 (minimum requirement) National symmetric input-output table Matrix of taxes on products Matrix of trade margins and transport costs Foreign trade statistics

Thank you!!

001 002 301 302 Ad Fd L X 001 002 G oods Im port C IF including D uties & Im p.c om.taxes Am V X Fm N ationali-o S ervice Im port D uties & Im port com m odity taxes (m atrix) G oods Im port C IF excluding D uties & T axes D uties & C om m.taxes SUM UP! S ervice Im port SUM UP! G oods Im port (C IF) from R O W S ervice Im port G oods Im port (C IF) from IN D O N ES IA G oods Im port (C IF) D uties & T axes (vector)