The MTNCLIM Year: Western Climate in Perspective

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Transcription:

The MTNCLIM Year: Western Climate 2009-10 in Perspective Kelly T. Redmond Western Regional Climate Center Desert Research Institute Reno Nevada HJ Andrews LTER, Blue River OR 7-10 June 2010

Spring 2009 June 2009

July 2009 August 2009

Summer 2009

19 August 2009

La Canada 2009 August 28 1:35 pm

2009 August 29 Genero Molina, Los Angeles Times

2009 August 29 Tivor the Browncoat

Station Fire 2009 August 29

2009 August 30 Jonathan Alcorn

Station Fire 2009 August 30

2009 August 31 Ken Hively Los Angeles Times

2009 August 31 Don Bartletti, Los Angeles Times

2009 August 31 Mel Melcon, Los Angeles Times

2009 Sep 01 0100 GMT Water Vapor Station Fire Plume

Jimena 2009 Sep 01 135 kt 931 mb

Historic Mount Wilson 2009 September 2 Saved. Yay!

September 2009 October 2009

Water Year 2009 Oct 2008 Thru Sep 2009

Water Year Oct-Sep Precip California Statewide 1895/96 thru 2008/09

November 2007 Autumn 2009

Reno 2009 Nov 20

December 2009 January 2010

Western United States (11 states) Annual Jan-Dec Temperature Provisional data from NCDC / CPC. Blue: 11-year running mean. Units: Deg F. Data source NOAA cooperative network, thru Dec 2009. 53 Annual Mean Temperature ( F ) 52 51 50 49 48 47 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Year Western Regional Climate Center

Thru Dec 2009 NOAA National Climatic Data Center

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 United States Annual Temperature Departure from 1950-1995 Mean NOAA Divisional Data, Western Regional Climate Center, Plotted by ESRL PSD

2000-2009 United States Annual Temperature Departure from 1950-1995 Mean Absolute units (Degrees F) Standardized units (std deviations) NOAA Divisional Data, Western Regional Climate Center, Plotted by ESRL PSD

250000 Number of U.S. Wildland Fires through 2009 (numbers after 1990 adjusted by NIFC in 2007) Number of Fires 200000 150000 100000 50000 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Year Western Regional Climate Center Source: National Interagency Fire Center www.nifc.gov/fire_info/fires_acres.htm

10000000 Acres burned U.S. Fires through December 31, 2009. Values after 1990 adjusted by NIFC in 2007. Number of acres 8000000 6000000 4000000 2000000 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Year Western Regional Climate Center Source: National Interagency Fire Center www.nifc.gov/fire_info/fires_acres.htm

Five-day total Ending 2010 Jan 22 Burned late Aug And early Sept 2009

February 2010 Winter 2010

Mt Waterman From Victorville 2010 February 04 Don Bartletti, Los Angeles Times

Snow in all Continental states But Not Mauna Kea 2010 Feb 13

March 2010 April 2010

May 2010 Spring 2010

Water Year Temperature Departure 2009 October 1 thru 2010 June 3

Last 30 days thru 2010 June 3

Select: Blue River area, 12 months ending in Dec, Temperature 0 C, 9-year running mean.

Elevation of Freezing Level over Blue River. Annual. 1948 through 2009.

Elevation of Freezing Level over Blue River. Winter. 1948 thru 2010.

Elevation of Freezing Level over Blue River. Spring. 1948 thru 2010.

Elevation of Freezing Level over Blue River. May. 1948 thru 2010.

Elevation of Freezing Level over Blue River. April-May. 1948 thru 2010.

Elevation of Freezing Level over Blue River. Summer. 1948 thru 2009.

Mountain Snowpack Percent of Average 2010 Mar 1 and May 1 NRCS

Streamflow forecasts from NRCS March 1 2010 May 1

Lake Powell Storage Through June 3, 2010 Currently 60 % full (June 3, 2010) Minimum: 33 % full on April 8, 2005

Lake Powell Elevation Through June 3, 2010 Water level on June 3, 2010 was 3627.66 ft, -72.34 ft below full. Minimum level on April 8, 2005 was 3555 ft, -145 ft below full. Source: www.usbr.gov/uc/water/index.html

Mount Hood, Oregon 5400 ft

Wallowa Mountains, Northeast Oregon 7410 feet

San Juan Mountains, Southwest Colorado 11,200 feet

White Mountains, Mogollon Rim, Northeast Arizona 9020 feet

Through May 2010 El Nino La Nina NOAA ESRL ( CDC ), Wolter and Timlin

Global Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies ( C ) 2010 May 23-29 NOAA ESRL ( CDC )

Recent Evolution of Equatorial Pacific SST Departures Updated through 2010 May 23-29

Reno Wind Storm 2009 Nov 20

Bango Nevada 2009 Nov 20

Mount Warren 2009 Nov 20

Mount Warren 2009 Nov 20

Mt Warren Summit Station 12,327 ft

Mt. Warren. 12327 ft / 3757 m 10-Minute Wind Gusts 2009 Sep 4 2010 Jun 5

Mt. Warren. 12327 ft / 3757 m 10-Minute Mean Temperature 2009 Sep 4 2010 Jun 5

Pt Reyes Lighthouse Rock Elev 526 ft

Point Reyes Loading up on Wind 2010 Feb 04

Point Reyes 2010 Feb 04 Wind Rise Then Drop

Highlands Big Sur 2470 ft Wind Oscillation

90-day Average winds 250 mb 2009 Nov 14-2010 Feb 11

Reno Sunrise 2010 Mar 27

11 February 2010 Folks, if you look out the left side of the plane Montserrat Mary Jo Penkala

2010 February 11

2010 April 4 0000Z Wave Clouds

Eyjafjallajokull 2010 April 14 Zuma Press

Eyjafjallajokull 2010 April 14 Iceland Coast Guard

Eyjafjallajokull 2010 April 14 Iceland Coast Guard

Eyjafjallajokull 2010 April 14 Iceland Coast Guard

Eyjafjallajokull 2010 April 15

Eyjafjallajokull 2010 April 15

Eyjafjallajokull 2010 April 15

Eyjafjallajokull 2010 April 15

Eyjafjallajokull 2010 April 15

San Juan Mountains April 2010

Orographic Clouds GOES Visible 2010 May 24 2345 GMT

Mackenzie Pass 2010 May 27 16 feet of snow At summit

Central Cascade Range, Western Oregon 4770 feet Max depth 95

Percent of Average Precipitation Water Year To Date 01 Oct 2009 thru 13 Apr 2010

Temperature Departure Water Year To Date 01 Oct 2009 thru 13 Apr 2010

Temperature Departure April to Date 01 Apr 2010 thru 13 Apr 2010

Tmin Ranks May 2010 Tmax Ranks John Abatzoglou

Temperature Departure from Climatology 700 mb (10,000 ft) Apr Sep 2009 Oct Mar 2009-2010

Oct 2009 Nov 2009 Dec 2009 Jan 2010 Feb 2010 Mar 2010 Apr 2010 May 2010 Temperature Departure from Climatology 700 mb / 10,000 feet Winter 2009-2010

Winter Dec-Jan-Feb 2009-10 Temperature Departure at 700 mb ( 10,000 feet)

500 mb (18,000 ft) Height Departure from Average. 180 days ending 12 April 2010

Global Surface Temperature Departure (C) 180 Days Ending 12 April 2010

Sea Ice Extent 2010 June 3 NSIDC

As of 3 June 2010

April 2020. Lowest North American Snow Cover for April 1907-2010

Apr-May 2010 Temperature Departure at 700 mb ( 10,000 feet)

Daily Global Temperature from Microwave Sounding Unit, Ch 5, 4.4 km. University of Alabama Huntsville. Roy Spencer

Daily Global Temperature from Microwave Sounding Unit, Ch 5, 4.4 km. University of Alabama Huntsville. Roy Spencer

Jan-May 1998 +0.65 C Jan-May 2010 +0.59 C (same within error) University of Alabama Huntsville. Roy Spencer

Surface Observations Thru April 2010 NCDC

In the news Sub-Sea Blow Out Preventer (BOP)

Mt. St. Helens. 1980 May 17. Harry Glicken (USGS) * * Killed by pyroclastic flow, Mt Unzen, 1991, along with Katja and Maurice Krafft.

0845 am 0915 am 0945 am 1335 pm

Spirit Lake. Before.

Spirit Lake. After.

Apollo 8, Christmas Eve, 1968.

Change happens. LANDSAT. 1975 2005

Change happens some more. In 2010, tallest trees about 70 feet. Nothing is constant except change.

Mount Everest. The Highest Spot on Earth.

Hubble Space Telescope Supernova 1987a Eta Carina

Earth and Moon taken by Galileo Spacecraft on the way to Jupiter 1992 December 30

Annual Tmax Trend from 1950-2008 from PRISM (recent, not latest version). Thanks to John Abatzoglou

Annual Tmin Trend from 1950-2008 from PRISM (recent, not latest version). Thanks to John Abatzoglou

Annual Tmax Trend from 1975-2008 from PRISM (recent, not latest version). Thanks to John Abatzoglou

Annual Tmin Trend from 1975-2008 from PRISM (recent, not latest version). Thanks to John Abatzoglou

Cold air pooling and inversions. Colored terrain above typical inversion depth. PRISM input. PRISM Overview 5-8-08 Courtesy Chris Daly

MTNCLIM America s Largest Rain Gauge

Drainage Divide Radius 4.64 km Ring width 530 m Crater Lake Radius 4.11 km 78.5 % of basin Ring area is 27.4 % of lake area

Munson Valley. Park HQ Climate Station

100 Crater Lake Annual Water Level Change, Cleetwood Cove. Park Headquarters Oct-Sept Precipitation, 1961-2003. Lake Level Change ( cm ) 80 60 40 20 0-20 -40-60 -80 LLC = 1.399 * P HQ - 235.82 N = 42 r = 0.960 r 2 = 0.921-100 Mean = 168.6-120 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 Park Headquarters Precipitation ( cm )

Surface Water Elevation (cm above 6175') 100 50 0-50 -100-150 -200-250 -300-350 Crater Lake Water Elevation (Adjusted to Sept 30) Referenced to Nominal Elevation of 6175 feet MSL -400 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Year Western Regional Climate Center

Level (cm above 1992.14 m / 6175 ft ) 100 0-100 -200-300 -400 Crater Lake Water Level, Observed and Reconstructed Sep 30. Reconstruction using 2004 coefficients from 1931 onward, coefficients from 1990 prior. Prospect infill. Fixed point 1986. Observed Reconstructed -500 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Year Western Regional Climate Center

Water Level 60 hours ending June 5, 2020 Noon

Daily midnight water level from 2009 Sep 01 thru 2010 June 4

Crater Lake Buoy Station 13 366 days ending 2010 Jun 5 Water Temp ( F ) Air Temp ( F )

Thank You Crater Lake, Oregon