Lecture 19: Volcanoes II. GEOS 655 Tectonic Geodesy Jeff Freymueller

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Transcription:

Lecture 19: Volcanoes II GEOS 655 Tectonic Geodesy Jeff Freymueller

July-August 2008 Photo J. Larsen, AVO

Volume Change Inferred from Model

GPS Site Time Series Average rate from 2005.0-2008.0 subtracted

Eruption Time Period in Detail Large scatter in vertical from signals delayed by heavy ash plume.

Eruptive Displacements + Model 191 45' 191 45' 191 48' 191 48' 191 51' 191 51' 191 54' 191 54' 191 57' 191 57' 192 00' 192 00' 21' 24' 27' 30' 191 45' 191 45' 191 48' 191 48' 191 51' 191 51' 191 54' 191 54' 191 57' 191 57' 192 00' 192 00' 21' 24' 27' 30' 191 45' 191 45' 191 48' 191 48' 191 51' 191 51' 191 54' 191 54' 191 57' 191 57' 192 00' 192 00' 21' 24' 27' 30' 191 45' 191 45' 191 48' 191 48' 191 51' 191 51' 191 54' 191 54' 191 57' 191 57' 192 00' 192 00' 21' 24' 27' 30' 191 45' 191 45' 191 48' 191 48' 191 51' 191 51' 191 54' 191 54' 191 57' 191 57' 192 00' 192 00' 21' 24' 27' 30' OKSO OKCE OK13 OK31 OK37 191 45' 191 45' 191 48' 191 48' 191 51' 191 51' 191 54' 191 54' 191 57' 191 57' 192 00' 192 00' 21' 24' 27' 30' OKSO OK13 OK31 OK37 191 45' 191 45' 191 48' 191 48' 191 51' 191 51' 191 54' 191 54' 191 57' 191 57' 192 00' 192 00' 21' 24' 27' 30' OKCE 191 45' 191 45' 191 48' 191 48' 191 51' 191 51' 191 54' 191 54' 191 57' 191 57' 192 00' 192 00' 21' 24' 27' 30' 191 45' 191 45' 191 48' 191 48' 191 51' 191 51' 191 54' 191 54' 191 57' 191 57' 192 00' 192 00' 21' 24' 27' 30' 191 45' 191 45' 191 48' 191 48' 191 51' 191 51' 191 54' 191 54' 191 57' 191 57' 192 00' 192 00' 21' 24' 27' 30' 500 mm 191 45' 191 45' 191 48' 191 48' 191 51' 191 51' 191 54' 191 54' 191 57' 191 57' 192 00' 192 00' 21' 24' 27' 30'

Residuals (except for OKCE) 191 30' 39' 36' 191 36' 191 42' 191 48' 191 54' 192 00' 192 06' 192 12' 192 18' 3 100 mm 3 33' 30' OK37 OK31 OK13 27' 24' OKSO 21' 18' 3 2 NWFT OKFG FTGL 2 BRCT KETL 15' 12' 191 30' 192 24' 3 191 36' 191 42' 191 48' 191 54' 192 00' 192 06' 192 12' 192 18' 192 24'

Time History of Eruption Deflation (%) 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 20 Deflation History 40 2008 2008.1 2008.2 2008.3 2008.4 2008.5 2008.6 2008.7 2008.8 2008.9 2009 Time The three continuous sites show similar time history OKFG record (green) scaled up based on total displacement Also higher scatter from plume OKCE (blue) and OKSO (red) show onset of reinflation within days to weeks after eruption

Interpretive Cross-Section

Re-inflation afterward (4 mo) 191 30' 39' 191 36' 191 42' 191 48' 191 54' 192 00' 192 06' 192 12' 192 18' 3 36' 33' 192 24' 3 5 cm 3 30' 3 OK37 OK31 OK13 27' 2 OKCE OKFG 24' 2 OKSO 21' 18' 15' 12' 191 30' 191 36' 191 42' 191 48' 191 54' 192 00' 192 06' 192 12' 192 18' 192 24'

Examples from Hawaii Mike Poland, USGS

Mike Poland, USGS

Continuous Pros > Excellent temporal resolution > After installation, no personnel required (except for maintenance) > Expensive Cons > Low spatial resolution Campaign > High spatial resolution > Inexpensive (equipment is not dedicated to a specific site) > Low temporal resolution > Relatively time-intensive for few data points Kinematic > Can cover a lot of ground in a day > Inexpensive > Excellent spatial resolution in small networks > Low temporal resolution > Requires continuous GPS site as a local reference > Centimeter accuracy (as opposed to millimeter) Mike Poland, USGS

10 cm Magnitude of Measureable Ground Deformation vs. Repeat Time Typical values (may be higher or lower in practice) Magnitude of measureable ground deformation 1 cm Notes (1) Not measuring displacement (2) Vertical only (3) For horizontal displacements (4) Assuming ~1 mm/km for a 10 km line. Uncertainty is for change in line length; uncertainty in horizontal displacements will depend on network geometry, etc. Crack Measurements Continuous GPS (3) InSAR EDM (4) Campaign GPS (3) 1 mm 1 sec Borehole Tilt (1) Leveling (2) 1 hour 1 day 1 week 1 month 1 year 10 years Repeat time Mike Poland, USGS

-155 20' -155 10' -155 00' -154 50' range change (cm) 0 11.3 19 30' Kīlauea caldera Pu u Ō ō 39 19 20' Kamoamoa fissure 5 cm 10 km Mike Poland, USGS

0 z (km) 1 2 3 4 disp. magnitude (m) 3 0 5 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 easting (km) Combining different types of geodetic data allows you to image magma sources and transport Lundgren et al., 2013

Kinematic GPS

The Pu u Ō ō kinematic GPS network Mike Poland, USGS

Mike Poland, USGS

http://icelandmag.visir.is

Deformation Through Time Sigmundsson et al. (2015)

Sigmundsson et al. (2015)

Miyakejima (Japan) 2000 Results from GSI, Japan and several papers

GPS Vectors and Time Series Nishimura et al. (2001, GRL)

Deformation Model Eruption at Miyakejima was accompanied by Submarine eruption Intrusion of a large dike ~40 km long with meters of opening Collapse of summit after magma drained out Intense seismicity swarm Magma in dike was >> magma removed from Miyakejima

Collapse of Summit Caldera

Time History of Seismicity

Geodetic Model for Dike

Stress Change to EQ Rate

Montserrat

Vulcanian Explosions, Oct. 1997 No Surface Flux Explosions -> Renewed Dome Growth <-Dome Growth ~13 km <- Subsidence Subsidence Again! -> Inflation -> Photo credits: G. Mattioli Data from: Mattioli et al., 2001; Sparks et al., 1998

CALIPSO Borehole Observatory Sacks-Evertson single component dilatometer (10-9 strain) Nearly broadband 3 component seismometer (~2 Hz to 1 khz) Pinnacle Systems short-baseline electronic tiltmeter Ashtech µ-z code-phase CGPS w/ choke ring antenna

CALIPSO BH sites and existing CGPS/Telemetry infrastructure

Sacks-Evertson single-component dilatometer schematic

A. Linde s models of single-component dilatometer data from Iceland NB that strain signal preceded Surface eruption by several hours!

Photo of dome in Dec. 02 on a rare clear day. By July 2003 the dome had grown to >230 M m 3 and had not collapsed significantly for 2 years!! Photo credit: G. Mattioli

July 12th, 2003 - Dome collapse begins at 9 AM AST By sunset, pyroclastic flows are getting more energetic and now routinely reach the sea at the Tar River delta. NB white is steam while gray is co-ignimbrite ash cloud. Photo credit: G. Mattioli

Trants Borehole Seismic and Strain Records for July 12th Dome Collapse and Vulcanian event at ~11 PM AST Seismometer 200 Hz (8:03 PM to 12:13AM AST) Strainmeter 50 Hz (8:42 PM to 12:42AM AST) Although Trants site was impacted by ash during the culminating event of the July12th dome collapse, the CALIPSO BH instruments functioned throughout the eruption. Photo credit: G. Mattioli

First visit to Air Studios on July 14th - 12.5 cm of ash and 6 cm mud in crypt; NB infrasound microphone under ash, but CALIPSO was still up! Photo credits: G. Mattioli

CALIPSO Air Studios site after cleanup on July 14th Photo credit: G. Mattioli

Long Valley Interferogram 1996-1998, from Fialko et al. (2001b)

An Alternative Source Model Penny-Shaped Crack Use condition of uniform pressure, not uniform displacement

Comparison of crack to Mogi Equations are rather complicated If radius is small compared to depth, then Compared to Mogi source that produces same vertical, produces less horizontal (panel b). Cylindrical pipes produce more horizontal than vertical relative to Mogi source Fialko et al. (2001)

Long Valley Interferogram 1996-1998, from Fialko et al. (2001b)

Sill vs. Prolate Spheroid Both can fit InSAR data

Horizontal 2-color laser data InSAR data fit equally well by sill or prolate spheroid Because you can get almost the same vertical profile from different source models Horizontal data fit by spheroid, not sill 7 km depth 2.3:1 vertical:horizontal Nearly vertical long axis (97 )

Usu (Japan) 2000

No Stratocone

Key observations Adjacent to Lake Toya caldera Usu vent not associated with topography New eruptive vent Enormous ground deformation (meters) Data from GPS and from InSAR Complex source to explain Broad area deflation Inflation near vent

Sources of Data GPS Baselines InSAR and SAR image correlation

GPS Time series

Standard InSAR Result

Image Correlation (two tracks)

Horizontal (2D motions)