The Science of Gaia and Future Challenges

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The Science of Gaia and Future Challenges A Science Meeting to mark the retirement of Lennart Lindegren Lennart s Contribution to Science Michael Perryman, Lund 30 August 2017

150 BC 1600 1800 2000 Year Astrometric accuracy over time arcsec 1000 100 10 1 0.1 0.01 0.001 0.0001 0.00001 Hipparchus - 1000 stars Landgrave of Hessen - 1000 errors of best: positions parallaxes surveys all eye Tycho Brahe - 1000 Flamsteed - 4000 CPD/CD Argelander - 26000 PPM - 400 000 Bessel - 1 Jenkins - 6000 plates USNO - 100 photomultiplier CCD FK5-1500 UCAC2-58 million Tycho2-2.5 million Hipparcos - 120 000 Gaia - 1000 million

Hipparcos is the first time since Sputnik in 1957 that a major new development in space science has come from outside the United States Freeman Dyson, Princeton (Infinite In All Directions, 1988)

The bedrock of astronomy remains the compilation of what is out there It is invidious to single out surveys which I find particularly impressive, but I make an exception for the Hipparcos astrometric satellite. Malcolm Longair Cavendish Laboratory, Cambridge (Millennium Essay, Astronomical Society of the Pacific, 2001)

How do we recognise scientific contributions? There are some standard metrics. For Lennart: Papers: 108, first author 23 H-index: 15 Doctoral students: 8 Awards: ESA Director of Science Medal, 1999 Fellow, Royal Swedish Academy, 2010 Honorary Doctorate, Paris Observatory, 2011 Director of the Lund Observatory Committees and Coordinator several for both projects

ESA Director of Science Medal: Bern, May 1999

Selection of Lennart s refereed papers Atmospheric limits of narrow field optical astrometry (A&A, 1980) Estimating the external accuracy of the Hipparcos parallaxes by blind deconvolution (1995) Fundamental definition of radial velocity (A&A, Lindegren & Dravins, 2003) The astrometric core solution for the Gaia mission: overview of models, algorithms, and software implementation (A&A, Lindegren et al., 2012) Gaia Data Release 1. Astrometry: one billion positions, two million proper motions and parallaxes (A&A, Lindegren et al., 2016) others more outside the scope of this meeting, including Determination of stellar ages from isochrones: Bayesian estimation versus isochrone fitting (A&A, Jorgensen & Lindegren 2005) seminal work on the Cramer-Rao bound presented by Lindegren (1978) quoted by Mendez et al 2013, in their Analysis and Interpretation of the Cramér-Rao Lower- Bound in Astrometry

But there is one crucial way to visualise Lennart s excellence Through his compilation of Working Notes, now online Although non-refereed, these are: treatises on many key subjects for Hipparcos and Gaia always: rigorous, accurate, timely, and often definitive many with algorithms these have shaped, underpinned and optimised both missions they demonstrate Lennart s remarkable ability to: identify a problem analyse, solve and summarise it explain it in a way that others can understand

http://www.astro.lu.se/~lennart/astrometry/tn.html 130/160 NDAC-LO 230/280 TN on Hipparcos 121 TN on Gaia

Hipparcos optical design beam combining mirror spherical primary mirror 29º field 2 baffle aperture field 1 modulating grid flat-folding mirror

Lennart s Technical Notes: Hipparcos basic angle: optics, optimisation, variations, calibration 4 scanning law: optimisation, attitude, dynamical smoothing 8 double/multiple stars: observational optimisation, data analysis, publication format, errors, orbits 15 star mapper: grid, geometry, optimisation, data processing, Tycho, photometry 10 Lennart Lindegren: Hipparcos satellite design data analysis data simulations: 7 minor planets 1 optics: WFE, spherical aberration, chromaticity, field-to-grid, beam combiner manufacture 8 Step 2-3: implementation, optimisation, verification 8 3-step method: reference frame, and final accuracies IDT piloting and grid: diffraction, IFOV edges, piloting, relay optics, main grid calibration, dead time, binary stars, veiling glare 15 Step 1: IDT preprocessing, normal equations, rank deficiency, zero point, abscissa variance 10 final catalogue: formatting, comparison NDAC/FAST 10 final accuracies: covariances, external errors, temporal propagation 10 relativity, Earth ephemeris 4 star distributions on the sky 2 photometry: normal equations, chromaticity 5

Star Observing Principles: Hipparcos & Gaia Scan width = 0.7 Sky scans (highest accuracy along scan) 1. Object matching in successive scans 2. Attitude and calibrations are updated 3. Objects positions etc. are solved 4. Higher-order terms are solved 5. More scans are added 6. System is iterated

The 30 cm diameter beam combining mirror

Perryman to Lindegren, 4 August 2017 14:38 How did you come up with that idea to slice the edge off the beam combiner before re-gluing? Lindegren to Perryman, 4 August 2017 15:15 In a Schmidt telescope the spherical aberration is compensated by the wavefront error produced by the aspherical corrector plate. This corrector has a circularly symmetric profile, i.e. the contours are concentric circles around the optical axis. To get a similar correction from the beam combiner, where the two faces are inclined by 14.5 deg to the optical axis, the contours should ideally be elliptical with an axis ratio 1 : cos(14.5 deg). But the manufacturing process could only make a circular profile. The solution was to cut off a bit in the middle, so the two circular arcs approximate an ellipse

Lennart s Technical Notes: Gaia photometric system (BBP and MBP) 6 detection of faint galaxies 2 Global Iterative Solution: normal equations, convergence, error propagation, ODAS 35 photon fluxes 6 mission accuracy, chromaticity, lossy compression, scaling for mission down-sizing, covariances, gaps, DR 14 interferometric fringe detection 3 instrument and optical design, accuracy, and data analysis reference frame 3 satellite attitude, parameterisation, requirements on noise, effects of micrometeoroids 5 PSF/LSF 9 source matching 3 Focal plane and CCDs: optimisation of pixel size, centroiding 6 simulation of dense fields, multi-pass scanning 5 Lennart Lindegren: Gaia satellite design data analysis JASMINE 2 scanning law, basic angle optimisation, stability, number of viewing directions 8 BAM: basic angle 6 CCD radiation damage 5

Preparing the Gaia Global Iterative Solution, ESTEC, June 2005

Launch of Gaia, Kourou, French Guyana 19 Dec 2013

In addition to a rock-solid scientific career Lennart has always provided wise and objective council he has set the highest standards of scientific writing he has been an innovator in public relations and communication he has been an inspirational teacher and guide No one can really say whether Hipparcos and Gaia would have existed without Lennart but we can say that they would have been very different missions without him

Finally, some economic considerations scientists often consider their work as valuable (if non-quantifiable) for society some governments are placing an increased emphasis on applied R&D economists (e.g. C.A. van Bochove, Leiden University) find a factor 5-7 in economic return for investments in space (NASA claims 7:1) for Gaia, at 500M, this suggests an economic return to Europe of 2-3 B Lennart s catalytic role in Gaia (with others) has led to: some hundreds of high-technology industrial jobs many scientific positions an economic legacy that is, I suspect, very significant This is a very worthy additional consideration, on top of an enormous scientific legacy that will be felt across many future decades and generations

Thank you, Lennart Our admiration for what you have achieved (and how you achieved it) Our gratitude and congratulations for what you have done for science July 2009 Our best wishes for your future!