A Probabilistic View of Certain Weighted Fibonacci Sums

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Claremont Colleges Scholarship @ Claremont All HMC Faculty Publications and Research HMC Faculty Scholarship 8-1-2003 A Probabilistic View of Certain Weighted Fibonacci Sums Arthur T. Benjamin Harvey Mudd College Judson D. Neer Cedarville University Daniel T. Otero Xavier University - Cincinnati James A. Sellers Pennsylvania State University - Main Campus Recommended Citation Benjamin, A.T., Neer, J.D., Otero, D.T., & Sellers, J.A. (2002). A probabilistic view of certain weighted Fibonacci sums. Fibonacci Quarterly, 41(4): 360-364. This Article is brought to you for free and open access by the HMC Faculty Scholarship at Scholarship @ Claremont. It has been accepted for inclusion in All HMC Faculty Publications and Research by an authorized administrator of Scholarship @ Claremont. For more information, please contact scholarship@cuc.claremont.edu.

A PROBABILISTIC VIEW OF CERTAIN WEIGHTED FIBONACCI SUMS Arthur T* Benjamin Dept. of Mathematics, Harvey Mudd College, Claxemont, CA 91711 benjamin@hmc.edu Judson D. Neer Dept. of Science and Mathematics, Cedarville University, 251 N. Main St., Cedarville, OH 45314-0601 jud@poboxes.com Daniel E. Otero Dept. of Mathematics and Computer Science, Xavier University, Cincinnati, OH 45207-4441 otero@xu.edu James A. Sellers Dept. of Mathematics, Penn State University, University Park, PA 16802 sellersj@math.psu.edu (Submitted May 2001) le I N T R O D U C T I O N In this paper we investigate sums of the form k For any given n, such a sum can be determined i f i / i I [3] X I by rxxr applying Q T \ r i l t n? i i r f the 4" h s x-fa operator n times ' dx to the generating function Jb>l 9 3 x ~ x z then evaluating the resulting expression at x = 1/2. This leads to O,Q = 1, a\ = 5 3 «2 = 47, and so on. These sums may be used to determine the expected value and higher moments of the number of flips needed of a fair coin until two consecutive heads appear [3]. In this article, we pursue the reverse strategy of using probability to derive a n and develop an exponential generating function for a n in Section 3. In Section 4, we present a method for finding an exact, non-recursive, formula for a n. 2. P R O B A B I L I S T I C I N T E R P R E T A T I O N Consider an infinitely long binary sequence of independent random variables 61,62? 63, - where P(6» = 0) = P(hi = 1) = 1/2. Let Y denote the random variable denoting the beginning of the first GO substring. That is, by = by+i 0 and no 00 occurs before then, Thus P(Y = 1) = 1/4. For k > 2, we have P(Y = k) is equal to the probability that our sequence begins 61,62,., &jfe-2 3 1,0, 0, where no 00 occurs among the first k 2 terms* Since 360 [AUG.

the probability of occurence of each such string is (l/2) & + 1, and it is well known [1] that there are exactly Fk binary strings of length k - 2 with no consecutive O's, we have for jfe > 1, Since Y is finite with probability 1, it follows that fc>l fc>l For n > 0, the expected value of Y n E ^ r = E ^ = *) = i- is 2/c+i fc>l Thus a 0 = 1. For n > 1, we use conditional expectation to find a recursive formula for a n. We illustrate our argument with n 1 and n = 2 before proceeding with the general case. For a random sequence 61,62,, we compute E(Y) by conditioning on 6i and 62- If h x = b2 = 0, then Y = 1. If 61 = 1, then we have wasted a flip, and we are back to the drawing board; let Y' denote the number of remaining flips needed. If 61 = 0 and 6 2 = 1, then we have wasted two flips, and we are back to the drawing board; let Y ;/ denote the number of remaining flips needed in this case. Now by conditional expectation we have E(Y)= 1 -(l)+ 1 -E(l + Y') + ^E(2 + Y") = \ + \ + IE(Y' )+ 1 - + \E(Y») since E(Y') = E(Y") = E(Y). Solving for E{Y) gives us E(Y) = 5. Hence, fc>l Conditioning on the first two outcomes again allows us to compute E(Y 2 ) = \{l 2 ) + l -E [(1 + Y') 2 ] + \E [(2 + Y") 2 } = I + \E{\ + 2Y + Y 2 ) + \E(4 + 4Y + Y 2 ) 4 2 4 = 7 - + 2E(Y) + 3 -E(Y 2 ). Since E{Y) = 5, it follows that E{Y 2 ) = 47. Thus, V^ k2fk 47 2 = E 2 W = 4 7 ' fc>l 2003] 361

Following the same logic for higher moments, we derive for n > 1, E(Y n ) = i ( l " ) + \E [(1 + Y) n ] + \E [(2 + Y) n ] = \ + \m n ) + \ E (t) E ( yk )+\ E (f) T ~ ke^ Consequently, we have the following recursive equation: n - l w x / \ ( y n ) = I + E ( J [ 2 + 2"~ fc ]^(y fc ) fc=0 fc=n W Thus for all n > 1, n - l an = l + E (! ) [ 2 + 2 "~ f c K- (3) Using equation (3), one can easily derive as = 665, a^ = 12,551, and so on. 3. G E N E R A T I N G F U N C T I O N A N D A S Y M P T O T I C S For n > 0, define the exponential generating function a(x) = Y ^x\ n>0 It follows from equation (3) that Consequently, a(z) = 1 + E ~ { " * " n>l = e x + 2a(x)(e x - 1) + a(x)(e 2x - 1). «(*> = 4-2 e ^ - e ^ - ( 4 ) For the asymptotic growth of a n, one need only look at the leading term of the Laurent series expansion [4] of a(x). This leads to 10 362 [AUG.

4* C L O S E D F O R M While the recurrence (3), generating function (4), and asymptotic result (5) are satisfying, a closed form for a n might also be desired. For the sake of completeness, we demonstrate such a closed form here. To calculate an ~ 2^ 2 k + 1 5 fc>i we first recall the Binet formula for Ft [3]: (6) Then (6) implies that (1) can be rewritten as 2\/5 ^M-^rM *n = ^rr( 1 -±^\ - ^» " ( ^ ^ l (7) Next, we remember the formula for the geometric series: fc>o This holds for all real numbers x such that \x\ < 1. We now apply the ^cfr operator n times to (8). It Is clear that the left-hand side of (8) will then become Yk n x k. k>i The right-hand side of (8) Is transformed Into the rational function where the coefficients e(n,j) l x 1 \ (1 - x)"* 1 x\]e(nj)x. j, (9) 3 = 1 are the Eulerian numbers [2, Sequence A008292], defined by e(nj) =j-e(n- l,j) + (n-j + l) - e ( n - l, j - 1) with e ( l, l ) = 1. (The fact that these are Indeed the coefficients of the polynomial In the numerator of (9) can be proved quickly by Induction.) From the Information found In [2, Sequence A008292], we know ein^^ti-iru-ir^1). 2003] 363

Therefore, kn * k = o 4 ) ^ x t [B-D'(; - o- ( n 1 x ) u k>i z ' j=i lt=o \ * / (10) Thus the two sums zw^y^^h^y fc>l V / k>l \ / that appear in (7) can be determined explicity using (10) since 1 + V5 < 1 and y/% < 1. Hence, an exact, non-recursive, formula for a n can be developed. R E F E R E N C E S [1] A.T. Benjamin and J.J. Quinn. "Recounting Fibonacci and Lucas Identities." College Mathematics Journal 30.5 (1999): 359-366. [2] N.J.A. Sloane. The On-Line Encyclopedia of Integer Sequences, published electronically at http://www.research.att.com/~njas/sequences/, 2000. [3] S. Vajda. Fibonacci and Lucas Numbers, and the Golden Section, John Wiley and Sons, New York, 1989. [4] H.S. Wilf. Generatingfunctionology, Academic Press, Boston, 1994. AMS Classification Numbers: 11B39 * * * 364 [AUG.