Appendix E Plots from the Evaluation of the CNRFC Operational Hydrologic Model

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Transcription:

Appendix E Plots from the Evaluation of the CNRFC Operational Hydrologic Model APE-1

2 Trinity Lake Inflow 2 1 Simulated 1 1 1 2 2 Observed Figure APE-1. Simulated daily flow versus observed (FNF) flow in m 3 /s for the Trinity Lake Inflow (WY 1963-1999) APE-2

2 Shasta Lake Inflow 2 Delta 2 2 Simulated 1 1 Simulated 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 McCloud 2 Pit 2 2 Simulated 1 1 Simulated 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 Figure APE-2. As in Figure APE-1 but for sub-basins of the Shasta Reservoir drainage basin. Period of record varies by sub-basin. APE-3

Figure APE-3. As in Figure APE-1 but for sub-basins of the Oroville Reservoir drainage basin on the Feather River. Period of record varies by sub-basin. APE-4

7 x 11 Simulation Full Natural Flow Trinity Lake Inflow 6 Cumulative flow (m 3 ) 4 3 2 1 2 4 6 8 1 12 14 Days Figure APE-4. Full Natural Flow (blue) and simulated (red) of cumulative flow for the length of the simulation for the Trinity Lake inflow APE-

Figure APE-. As in Figure APE-4 except for the sub-basins of the Shasta Reservoir drainage basin APE-6

NF Pulga Blue Observed Red - Simulated Indian Creek Cumulative Flow (cubic meter) MF Clio Lake Oroville Local MF Mirremac Lake Almanor Days Figure APE-6. As in Figure APE-4 except for the sub-basins of the Oroville Reservoir drainage basin APE-7

3 Trinity Lake Inflow Simulation Observation 3 2 Box-Cox Transformed Flow 2 1 1 1 2 3 4 6 7 8 9 1 Percent Exceedance Figure APE-7. Exceedance plot of the Full Natural Flow (blue) and simulated (red) duration curves of Box Cox transformed flow for the Trinity Lake inflow for the 1963-1999 APE-8

Box-Cox Transformed Flow 4 3 2 1 Shasta Lake Inflow Simulated Full Natural Flow Box-Cox Transformed Flow 3 2 2 1 1 Delta Simulated Observed 2 4 6 8 1 Percent Exceedance 2 4 6 8 1 Percent Exceedance Box-Cox Transformed Flow 3 2 2 1 1 McCloud Simulated Observed Box-Cox Transformed Flow 3 2 2 1 1 Pit Simulated Full Natural Flow 2 4 6 8 1 Percent Exceedance 2 4 6 8 1 Percent Exceedance Figure APE-8. As in Figure APE-7 but for sub-basins of the Shasta Reservoir drainage basin. Period of record varies by sub-basin. APE-9

NF Pulga Indian Creek Blue Observed Red - Simulated Box-Cox Transformed Flow MF Clio Lake Oroville Local MF Mirremac Lake Almanor Percent Exceedance Figure APE-9. As in Figure APE-7 but for sub-basins of the Oroville Reservoir drainage basin. Period of record varies by sub-basin. APE-1

Box-Cox Transformed Simulated Monthly Flow 3 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 8 6 4 2 Jan 1 2 3 May 1 1 2 Sep 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 Feb 1 1 2 Jun 1 1 Oct 2 2 1 1 12 1 8 6 4 2 2 1 1 Mar 1 1 2 2 Jul 2 4 6 8 1 12 Nov 1 1 8 6 4 2 3 2 2 1 1 Apr 1 1 Aug 2 4 6 8 Dec 2 4 6 8 1 1 1 1 2 Box-Cox Transformed Observed Monthly Flow 1 2 3 Figure APE-1. Scatter plots of simulated as a function of the observed (estimated FNF) monthly flows for the Trinity Lake inflow APE-11

Lake Shasta Delta McCloud Pit Figure APE-11. As in Figure APE-1 but for sub-basins of the Shasta Reservoir drainage basin APE-12

Figure APE-12. As in Figure APE-1 but for sub-basins of the Oroville Reservoir drainage basin APE-13

.4.3.3 Monthly Fraction of the Annual.2.2.1.1. 1 2 3 4 6 7 8 9 1 11 12 Water year Figure APE-13. Observed and simulated monthly mean (± 1 standard deviation) flow expressed as a fraction of annual flow volume for the Trinity Lake inflow APE-14

Lake Shasta Delta McCloud Pit Figure APE-14. As in Figure APE-13 but for sub-basins of the Shasta Reservoir drainage basin APE-1

Figure APE-1. As in Figure APE-13 but for sub-basins of the Oroville Reservoir drainage basin APE-16

SWE (mm) 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 9-91 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 93-94 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 96-97 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 91-92 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 94-9 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 97-98 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 92-93 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 9-96 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 98-99 PET 218 RRM 243 BNK 1966 SHM 191 HIG 1838 MUM 1723 BFL 1 Simulation Figure APE-16. Daily snow water equivalent from snow sensors and simulated model snow water equivalent (thick black line) for water years 199-1999 for Trinity River basin APE-17

2 2 1 STM 1646 Simulation 2 2 1 McCloud 2 2 1 1 1 1 SWE (mm) 1 2 3 Water Year 9-91 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 93-94 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 96-97 1 2 3 Water Year 91-92 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 94-9 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 97-98 1 2 3 Water Year 92-93 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 9-96 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 98-99 Figure APE-17. As in Figure APE-16 except for stations within the McCloud River sub-watershed of the Shasta Reservoir basin APE-18

2 2 1 1 BLA 21 MED 24 ADM 189 ANM 1814 Simulation 2 2 1 1 Pit 2 2 1 1 SWE (mm) 1 2 3 Water Year 9-91 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 93-94 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 96-97 1 2 3 Water Year 91-92 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 94-9 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 97-98 1 2 3 Water Year 92-93 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 9-96 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 98-99 Figure APE-18. As in Figure APE-16 except for stations within the Pit River subwatershed of the Shasta Reservoir basin APE-19

2 2 1 CDP 216 Simulation 2 2 1 CNB 2 2 1 1 1 1 SWE (mm) 1 2 3 Water Year 9-91 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 93-94 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 96-97 1 2 3 Water Year 91-92 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 94-9 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 97-98 1 2 3 Water Year 92-93 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 9-96 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 98-99 Figure APE-19. As in Figure APE-16 except for stations within the Pit River at Canby sub-watershed of the Shasta Reservoir basin APE-2

2 2 1 SDF 28 SLT 1739 Simulation 2 2 1 Delta 2 2 1 1 1 1 SWE (mm) 1 2 3 Water Year 9-91 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 93-94 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 96-97 1 2 3 Water Year 91-92 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 94-9 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 97-98 1 2 3 Water Year 92-93 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 9-96 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 Water Year 98-99 Figure APE-2. As in Figure APE-16 except for stations within the Sacramento River near Delta sub-watershed of the Shasta Reservoir basin APE-21

Figure APE-21. As in Figure APE-16 except for stations within the North Fork of the American River sub-watershed of the Folsom Reservoir basin and for Water Years 1998-1991 APE-22

Figure APE-22. As in Figure APE-16 except for stations within the Middle Fork of the American River sub-watershed of the Folsom Reservoir basin and for Water Years 1998-1991 APE-23

Figure APE-23. As in Figure APE-16 except for stations within the South Fork of the American River sub-watershed of the Folsom Reservoir basin and for Water Years 1998-1991 APE-24

North Fork Feather, Pulga 1 9 8 plg hmb for rtl bkl 6 plg hmb for rtl bkl SWE (mm) 7 6 4 3 2 1 SWE (mm) 4 3 2 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 water year 86 1 1 2 2 3 3 water year 87 Indian Creek 7 6 iif ktl grz 4 3 3 iif ktl grz SWE (mm) 4 3 SWE (mm) 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 water year 86 1 1 2 2 3 3 water year 87 Figure APE-24. As in Figure APE-16 except for stations within the North Fork of the Feather River sub-watershed of the Oroville Reservoir basin and for Water Years 1986-1987 APE-2

Middle Fork Feather, Clio 1 ftc gol grz ftc gol grz 8 4 SWE (mm) 6 SWE (mm) 3 4 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 water year 86 1 1 2 2 3 3 water year 87 Middle Fork Feather, Merrimac 1 mrm for gol grz plp mrm for gol grz plp 8 4 SWE (mm) 6 SWE (mm) 3 4 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 water year 86 1 1 2 2 3 3 water year 87 Figure APE-2. As in Figure APE-16 except for stations within the Middle Fork of the Feather River sub-watershed of the Oroville Reservoir basin and for Water Years 1986-1987 APE-26