Progress Report: Sentinel Asia Success Story in the Philippines

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Progress Report: Sentinel Asia Success Story in the Philippines 3 rd Joint Project Team Meeting on the Sentinel Asia STEP-2 July 6-8, 2010 Hyatt Hotel, Manila, Philippines Renato U. Solidum Jr. Director Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology Department of Science and Technology

Sentinel Asia Success Story in the Philippines Objectives (1) Establish a pioneering example using Sentinel Asia initiative as a Success Story in the region (2) Effectively apply information delivered by Sentinel Asia for emergency response (3) Share the pioneering example to other members (4) Demonstrate usefulness of Sentinel Asia in the region

Prone to many natural hazards and have been affected by past disasters Sentinel Asia recognizes that the Philippines has sufficient experience and mechanism in disaster management Philippines has signified interest to promote utilization of Sentinel Asia Why in the Philippines?

Implementation scenario General To make end users in the Philippines learn about the Sentinel Asia Initiative and its usefulness. Preparation phase Philippine participants prepare for potential disasters by making hazard maps for landslides, floods and lahars using ALOS data, in cooperation with Japan, so that communities in the Philippines can increase its awareness and preparedness for potential disasters. Emergency phase Philippine participants ask Sentinel Asia Initiative for Emergency Observation Request (EOR) so that they may properly identify/detect and assess the affected areas when a disaster strikes for effective disaster response. This will also validate the usefulness of ALOS imagery. Duration: early 2009 2010 Sentinel Asia Success Story in the Philippines

Framework Sentinel Asia Success Story in the Philippines Japan Delegation Focal Point of Activity in Philippines Advisory Agencies Agreement PCASTRD- DOST NDCC Contract JAXA PHIVOLCS Advice Implementing Agencies RESTEC (L. Support) NAMRIA PAGASA MGB OCD Disaster Information Dissemination End User Agencies NTT Data/PASCO (T. Support) The local government, Rescue Authority and Press etc

Role of each Team in Preparation Phase Team JAPAN Prepare for the Philippines ALOS Data over the Study Area Support for Base Map and Hazard Map creation Team PHILIPPINES Implement data analysis Base Map, Hazard Map Dissemination of achievement to end users Organize regional Workshop Prepare ALOS data Prepare technical support Support regional Workshop Joint Project Contribution to Sentinel Asia Share Base Map and Hazard Map to SA Establish utilization network based on Sentinel Asia

Role of each Team in Emergency Phase Team JAPAN Team PHILIPPINES Prepare to the Philippines ALOS Data for EOR Support for Change Detection Prepare ALOS data Prepare technical support Accept EOR in the case of disaster occurred Joint Project Initiate EOR in the case of disaster occurred To implement data analysis Change Detection Apply achievement to disaster response Dissemination of achievement to end users Contribution to Sentinel Asia Prepare onsite information to SA Share Change Detection to SA Utilization Report

Implementation Schedule DEC. 08 JAN. 09 FEB. 09 MAR. 09 Introduction Phase Kick off meting 12/M Production Pase 1st on site visit 2nd on site visit 3rd on site visit Finalization Phase Workshop Summarize Evaluation 3/M Year 2009 Year 2010 Operational Phase

Creating Hazard Maps with the use of ALOS Satellite Data Sentinel Asia Success Story in the Philippines Flood - Antique Province (MGB) Lahar Mayon Volcano (PHIVOLCS) Flood - Iloilo City (PAGASA)

Study area 1: Mayon Volcano (PHIVOLCS) 2462m high; most active volcano in the Philippines; 49 historical eruptions frequent occurrences of lahars ~100,000 people live along slopes 466mm rainfall in 12 hours 30November 2006 caused lahars; deposited 31 million m 3 of debris, 1-4 m thick in 12 km 2 area; caused death of close to 1,000

Digital Elevation Model ALOS PRISM smooth SRTM detailed PRISM Modeling of Lahars by LAHARZ software USGS Open Source Software

Fieldwork at Mayon (Feb 2010) FIELD VALIDATION: to collect Ground Control Points for DEM Validation Insrument used: Trimble 5700 GPS

Lahar Modeling Results 2000 Lahar Hazard Map (PHIVOLCS) Areas Susceptible to Lahars Identified through Modeling (PHIVOLCS)

Revised Mayon Volcano Lahar Hazard Map March 2010

Study area 2: Iloilo City (PAGASA) Sentinel Asia Success Story in the Philippines ALOS Satellite Image Flood Hazard Map Iloilo City (PAGASA) Topography based on DEM Highly susceptible Moderately susceptible Low susceptibility

Study area 3: Antique (MGB) Sentinel Asia Success Story in the Philippines Flood Hazard Map of Antique

Technical Training Sentinel Asia Success Story in the Philippines February 2009-1-2 day technical training per agency: PHIVOLCS, PAGASA and MGB 24-28 August 2009 - technical training for OCD, NAMRIA, MGB, PAGASA, PHIVOLCS

Workshops Participants JAXA, PHIVOLCS, PAGASA, MGB, NAMRIA, OCD, PCASTRD and local disaster managers 1 st Workshop Introduction of Project; 20 March 2009, Makati City; 2 nd Workshop Sharing of preliminary results and information; Ilo-ilo City 3 rd Workshop Presentation of results, SA systems operation, open source tools for image overlaying to local maps; Manila City

Emergency Observation When disaster happens, Sentinel Asia can accept Emergency Observation Request from users, and Space Agency observes disaster afflicted area by Satellite. Then satellite imagery are provided to users.

EOR: Flooding related to SW monsoon rains in Botolan, Zambales, Luzon Island, August 8, 2009 Objectives: 1. Determine extent and cause of flooding in A Botolan; threatened by lahars and floods after 1991 eruption of Pinatubo 2. Determine changes in the river system 3. Recommend actions to the local government 10 Flooded villages: 1.5 m high

EOR: Flooding related to SW monsoon rains in Botolan, Zambales, Luzon Island, August 8, 2009 Flooded areas Overflow point; dike breached January 27, 2009 August 11, 2009

Mayon Volcano December 2009 Eruption Eruption: December 14-29, 2009 Explosions Lava flow Lava collapse and pyroclastic flow Intense seismic activity, 20 Dec

EOR: Mayon Volcano December 2009 Eruption Lava Flow Monitoring hazard monitoring 2009 2006 1993 monitoring of volume of erupted materials for volcanic activity assessment ALOS Dec 25, 2009 Lava Flow: 4.4km Helicopter, Jan 6, 2009 Lava Flow: 4.7 km

Utilization of WINDS in Sentinel Asia WINDS Observation System Tsunami Observation Data Archived Data Value-added Products Earthquake Flood Volcano Wildfire INTERNET High Speed Communication (1.5-155Mbps) Narrow Band Problems SA contents transmitted via WINDS Disaster Management Agencies in the Asia-Pacific Region Local Mirroring to user From JAXA

Utilization of WINDS in Distribution of Data From JAXA Thailand Japan Central Server Regional ServerPhilippines Regional Server ASTI-DOST receives data via WINDS and forwards data to PHIVOLCS PHIVOLCS-DOST receives downloaded data from ASTI and/or download from ASTI server forwards data to partner Disaster Management agencies

Possible Tie-up with JICA-JST Project led by NIED and PHIVOLCS 5

Component 2: Evaluation of earthquake generation potential Evaluation of Earthquake Generation Potential Cotabato Trench Philippine Trench Philippine Fault Coupling Model Coupling Model Recurrence time and Magnitude Recurrence time and Magnitude, Fault segment Geological and Geomorphological Approach Terrace structure Tsunami deposit Fault Trenching Topography Plate velocity and coupling Strain accumulation process Geophysical Approach GPS Campaign and Continuous observations

Component 3: Integrated real-time volcano monitoring Broadband seismic monitoring of underground magma movements Infrasound observation for detection and size estimation of eruptions GPS observations for estimation of deformation and pressure source Electromagnetic observations to monitor thermal structure CCD Live cam Satellite telemetry to Manila VSAT Broadband/Infrasound, GPS, Electromagnetic Broadband only Manila Installation of a system of comprehensive monitoring of the precursors

Possible Study Areas Active volcanoes and faults by interferometry Manila Bay West Valley Fault Taal Volcano Taal Volcano Source: HIGP, Univ. Hawaii Mayon Volcano

THANK YOU! www.phivolcs.dost.gov.ph PHIVOLCS Building, CP Garcia Ave. UP Campus, Diliman, Quezon City Tel (632)426-1468; (632)9262611; Fax (632)9298366