An eccentric binary black hole inspiral-mergerringdown gravitational waveform model from post- Newtonian and numerical relativity

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An eccentric binary black hole inspiral-mergerringdown gravitational waveform model from post- Newtonian and numerical relativity Ian Hinder Max Planck Institute for Gravitational Physics (Albert Einstein Institute) Potsdam, Germany Simulating extreme Spacetimes TEGrAW, Paris, June 2017

Introduction Eccentric binary systems circularise as E and L are emitted (Peters 1964) Eccentricity of BBH expected to be 0 well before merger Eccentric binaries in LIGO band? Can we measure (bound) eccentricity of GW events such as GW150914? Eccentric waveform model could be compared with GW data to measure/constrain eccentricity) Construct and test such a model using Post-Newtonian approximation and Numerical Relativity Only need late inspiral+merger; e.g. last 5 orbits for GW150914 2

A selection of eccentric Numerical Relativity simulations 19 new accurate NR simulations, ~25 cycles, SpEC code Non-spinning Initial eccentricity e 0.2 q = m1/m2 3 e 0 = 0 e 0 = 0.20 3

Eccentric simulation 4

What does an eccentric BBH merger look like? 0.4 0.2 e 0 = 0 e 0 = 0.2 0.4 0.2 Re[h22] Re[h22] -0.2-0.2-0.4-2000 -1500-1000 -500-0.4-100 -50 0 50 100 t/m t/m Eccentric mergers are circular! 5

What does an eccentric BBH merger look like? Circularisation just before merger for q=1 [Hinder et al. 2008] Now extend to q=3 GW 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 Eccentricity lost before merger For all eccentricities, 0.2 Same waveform for t > tpeak - 30 M Merger remnant has same mass and spin Can use circular merger model 0.1-500 -400-300 -200-100 0 (t-t peak )/M GW instantaneous frequency (q=3) independent of e for t > tpeak - 30 M (similar for amplitude) 6

Modelling the inspiral: the building blocks Post-Newtonian model: Conservative motion (without inspiral): constant E and L eccentricity e, semi-major axis a r, φ in E and L (3 PN) Radiation reaction: Adiabatic constants E and L integrated from 2 PN fluxes Waveforms 0 PN (restricted approximation): See [IH et al. 2010] for details Empirically found best agreement with NR for PN expansion variable x (TaylorT4 x when e 0) h+, hx in r, φ 7

PN developments P. C. Peters and J. Mathews, Phys. Rev. 131, 435 (1963). R. V. Wagoner and C. M. Will, Astrophys. J. 210, 764 (1976). L. Blanchet and G. Schäfer, 239, 845 (1989). W. Junker and G. Schäfer, 254, 146 (1992). L. Blanchet and G. Schäfer, Class. Quant. Grav. 10, 2699 (1993). R. Rieth and G. Schäfer, Class. Quant. Grav. 14, 2357 (1997). T. Damour and G. Schäfer, Nuovo Cim. B101, 127 (1988). G. Schäfer and N. Wex, Physics Lett. A 174, 196 (1993). N. Wex, Classical and Quantum Gravity 12, 983 (1995). T. Damour, A. Gopakumar, and B. R. Iyer, Phys. Rev. D70, 064028 (2004), arxiv:gr-qc/0404128. C. Königsdörffer and A. Gopakumar, Phys. Rev. D 73, 124012 (2006). R.-M. Memmesheimer, A. Gopakumar, and G. Schäfer, Phys. Rev. D70, 104011 (2004), arxiv:gr-qc/0407049. [31]] K. K. G. G. Arun, Arun, L. L. Blanchet, Blanchet, B. B. R. R. Iyer, Iyer, and and M M. S. S. Qusailah, Phys. Rev. D 77, 064035 (2008), arxiv:0711.0302. ] K. G. Arun, L. Blanchet, B. R. Iyer, and M. S. S. Qusailah, Phys. Rev. D 77, 064034 (2008), arxiv:0711.0250. ] K. Arun, Ph.D. thesis, Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi (2006). ] K. G. Arun, L. Blanchet, B. R. Iyer, and S. Sinha, Phys. Rev. D80, 124018 (2009), arxiv:0908.3854 [gr-qc]. ] U. Sperhake et al., Phys. Rev. D78, 064069 (2008), + others 8

Validation of PN inspiral against Numerical Relativity NR and PN agree well in inspiral for last ~10 orbits 0.4 0.2-0.2-0.4 0 500 1000 1500 2000 Fit best PN (e,x,l,φ) over inspiral PN breaks down near merger 9

Eccentric model construction Use eccentric PN for inspiral (agrees well with NR) Use quasi-circular for merger M GW 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 e = 0 e = 0.2 Eccentric PN -1000-800 -600-400 -200 0 t/m PN for t < tref? Circular model Use a fitted ansatz for Δt (time to peak) Blend in frequency and amplitude of waveform between eccentric PN and circular 10

Eccentric model construction: Merger Circular Merger Model (CMM): One-parameter (q) family of e=0 waveforms (a) 22 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 q = 1.5 q = 2.5 q = 3.0 q = 3.3 Interpolate ω(t) and A(t) for q {1, 2, 4} from SXS public catalogue Test against 4 additional e=0 waveforms Modelling error negligible (e) Re[h22] 0.2 0.1 NR Circular merger model -100-50 0 50 0.4 0.2 (t-t peak )/M Comparison between NR and CMM for 4 quasi-circular waveforms not used to construct the model -0.2-100 -50 0 50 (t-t peak )/M 11

Eccentric model construction: Transition Smoothly blend PN inspiral and circular merger log 10 M -0.2-0.4-0.6-0.8 NR PN Circular merger model IMR model t ref t 2 Δt t circ t peak tpeak -tref 460 440 420 NR Fit -1.0-1.2 2300 2400 2500 2600 2700 2800 Blending parameters from NR simulations Most important: t/m IMR from blend of PN and CMM 39 15 16 21 18 19 20 17 22 45 40 41 43 44 59 61 62 53 52 48 49 50 Δt: where is the peak of the merger waveform? Fit from NR. Fit error ±1 M. 400 380 NR case t(q, e, l) = t 0 + a 1 e + a 2 e 2 + b 1 q + b 2 q 2 + c 1 e cos(l + c 2 ) 12

Results: Waveform comparison Determine PN parameters of NR waveform via 1 orbit fit ~7 cycles before peak Optimise PN ωgw(x0, e0, l0) to get best agreement with NR 13

Results: Waveform comparison Typical case: good agreement over the ~25 cycles of the NR waveform Case 16 (q=1., e 0 =5) 0.4 0.2 NR Model Fit Re[h22] -0.2-0.4-3000-2500-2000-1500-1000-500 0-150-100-50 0 50 (t-t peak )/M 14

Results: Waveform comparison Worst case: dephasing of both Φ(t) (orbital oscillations) and l(t) (eccentric oscillations) Agreement is worse for higher e and higher q 0.4 0.2 Case 52 (q=3., e 0 =9) NR Model Fit Re[h22] -0.2-0.4-3000-2500-2000-1500-1000-500 0-150-100-50 0 50 (t-t peak )/M 15

Results: Faithfulness Target GW150914: O1 Advanced LIGO noise curve with fmin = 30 Hz Short NR waveforms sufficient Label with eref from fit to PN ~7 cycles before the merger Overlap: (h 1 h 2 ) 4 Re Z fmax f min h1 (f) h 2(f) df S n (f) Faithfulness: F = max c,t c (h 1 ( c,t c ) h 2 ) p (h1 h 1 )(h 2 h 2 ) 16

Results: Faithfulness 10-1 10-1 10-2 q=1 10-2 q=3 1-F 10-3 1-F 10-3 e 10-4 e 10-4 10-5 50 100 150 200 250 300 10-5 50 100 150 200 250 300 M/M Eccentric model faithful (97%) with NR for q 3: M/M For e ref < 5, M > 70 M For e ref < 8, M > 93 M Limits on M from: (i) length of NR, (ii) accumulated PN errors (from RR) 17

Conclusions and outlook Eccentric inspiral-merger-ringdown BBH waveform model See [Huerta et al. 2016] for a similar model, not calibrated to NR simulations Non-spinning, q 3, e ref < 0.1 Numerical Relativity for calibration and testing < 3% unfaithfulness to NR for GW150914-like events NR simulations and Mathematica code for model will be public Future: Implications for measurement of e with GW detectors Longer NR waveforms Spin 18