Predictions for Dusty Mass Loss from Asteroids during Close Encounters with Solar Probe Plus

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Predictions for Dusty Mass Loss from Asteroids during Close Encounters with Solar Probe Plus Steven R. Cranmer University of Colorado Boulder, LASP Paper: http://arxiv.org/abs/1606.01785

Introduction The goal of this work is to call the community s attention to the likelihood that the Solar Probe Plus (SPP) spacecraft will be well-positioned to observe mass loss from Mercury-crossing asteroids in the inner heliosphere. Specifically, we predict that there will be several times during the SPP mission when its WISPR instrument will be able to detect visible-light emission from the asteroids themselves and (in a few cases) from associated coma-like dust clouds that may subtend almost a degree of angular width on the sky. These observations could fill in a large gap between the properties of several previously distinct populations: active asteroids main belt comets dormant comets Centaurs sungrazing comets and help complete the census of primordial solar system material.

Solar Probe Plus Solar Probe Plus (SPP) will be the first spacecraft to fly into the Sun s corona (Fox et al. 2015). SPP s main science goal is to determine the structure & dynamics of the coronal magnetic field, understand how the solar corona & wind are heated & accelerated, and determine what processes accelerate energetic particles. In addition to a suite of in situ plasma & field instruments, the Wide-field Imager for SPP (WISPR, Vourlidas et al. 2015) will observe visible-light photons over large fields of view. The primary goal of WISPR is to observe K-corona emission from Thomson-scattered electrons and F-corona emission from dust, but it will also search for sungrazing comets and putative Vulcanoids (see, e.g., Steffl et al. 2013).

Planned Launch: July 30, 2018. SPP will use multiple gravity-assist maneuvers with Venus to enter the inner heliosphere within the first year of the mission. Minimum perihelion distance: 0.0459 AU (9.8 solar radii!) WISPR is a follow-on of the SECCHI instrument suite from STEREO, which was used to detect comet-like tail emission from active asteroid 3200 Phaethon at its perihelion (Jewitt et al. 2013). Solar Probe Plus

As of late 2015, there are Asteroid selection 6 63 222 known asteroids with perihelia 0.1 AU 0.2 AU 0.3 AU To produce our final database of 97 asteroids, we selected all 63 with q 0.2 AU, and only those between 0.2 and 0.3 AU with visible magnitudes H < 18. Dimmer asteroids between 0.2 and 0.3 AU (and all others with q > 0.3 AU) were found to be unable to produce large dust coma/tail strucures. Asteroid ephemerides were obtained from NASA/JPL s Horizons database: http://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/horizons.cgi SPP s planned trajectory was obtained from the SPP team (thanks to Kelly Korreck and Martha Kusterer). On next page, the list shows minimum distances (d min ) between each asteroid and SPP, and the asteroid heliocentric distance (r a ) at times of closest encounter. Example close encounter: Sept. 1, 2022

List of selected asteroids

Asteroid physical properties Diameters range between 0.07 and 5 km (median: 0.89 km). Angular sizes (from WISPR) are < 0.1 arcsec, so the asteroids are definitely unresolved in WISPR s large (~1 arcmin) pixels. Apparent magnitudes (m V ) were converted into on-sky fluxes (F) and compared with expected zodiacal light background fluxes (F Z ). Previous work with SECCHI (DeForest et al. 2011) showed that faint signals of order F/F Z 10 4 can be detected via sophisticated image processing. If WISPR is similar, 76 out of the 97 asteroids will be detectable.

A model of inner heliospheric mass loss Comets lose their ices (H 2 O, CO, CO 2 ) via sublimation, but near-sun asteroids have likely already lost these easily evaporated volatile surface layers. At r < 0.2 AU, equilibrium temperatures are high enough ~ that rocky regolith layers (e.g., silicates, Fe/Mg-rich minerals, & carbonaceous chondrites) can sublimate! We evaluated sublimation rates Z for a number of expected rocky substances using thermal energy balance: solar radiation thermal re-radiation + sublimation

A model of inner heliospheric mass loss We still do not know the surface composition of active asteroids, so we decided to vary the chemical properties freely until finding agreement with the observed mass loss from Phaethon (Jewitt et al. 2013). Result: something with latent heat 204 kj/mol, mean molecular weight 100 g/mol. Our paper s referee questioned our use of ghost matter, but this was the same empirical procedure used by Sekanina (2003) to constrain the chemical properties of the (otherwise unknown!) material lost by sungrazing comets. The resulting properties appear to fall between atomic sodium (L 106 kj/mol) and carbonaceous chondrites (L 250 to 350 kj/mol), and may point to the existence of a heterogeneous mixture of multiple solid species on asteroid surfaces. Predicted gas mass loss rates for all 97 asteroids at d min, also showing agreement with other comet data (C/2003 K7; Ciaravella et al. 2010).

Dusty coma production: theory Conjecture: both gas & dust (with a broad range of grain sizes) of the same substance is ejected simultaneously. Free parameter: dust/gas mass ratio M. This is different from the standard cometary scenario (where icy gas drags out silicate dust), but there are several analogous situations: comets lose both gas-phase ice & larger snows (Protopapa et al. 2014); ablating meteors lose fragments from nm smoke to cm pebbles; near-star exoplanets may be disintegrating via gas & dust emission (Rappaport et al. 2012; van Lieshout et al. 2014). Given values of M, grain outflow speed, & grain size, we can predict the radial number density profile of dust grains surrounding a sublimating asteroid. Like above with the mass loss rate, we used Phaethon s observed tail size (Jewitt et al. 2013) to calibrate the parameters and predict observable (F > 10 4 F Z ) coma radii, expressed as impact parameter b coma

Dusty coma production: results Can SPP/WISPR resolve some of these predicted coma sizes? Yes! Converting b coma to on-sky angular size θ coma, we see several events for which the expected size is > several WISPR pixels. The paper gives a detailed tabular list of all 41 predicted events with θ coma > 3 arcmin. Note: to be conservative, we err on the side of underestimating θ coma by using the radius numbers instead of diameters.

Conclusions Why do we care? Observations of dusty coma-like clouds around active asteroids at ~0.1 AU can put improved constraints on our knowledge about primordial solar system material in hot (i.e., seldom probed!) environments. Mass loss from solid bodies in the inner heliosphere also probes the smallscale turbulent dynamics of the solar wind (Brandt & Snow 2000; Huebner et al. 2007; Raymond et al. 2014). Several things need improving: WISPR s field of view is occulted by SPP s heat shield & other structures, so it is not yet known if each predicted event would be observable. If SPP s launch date slips, the dates of mutual events need to be recalculated. Our spherical dust-coma model should be replaced by 3D coma/tail dynamics. Our paper has been published online at Earth, Moon, & Planets. Preprint: http://arxiv.org/abs/1606.01785

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