China-U.S. Collaboration on Rapid Urbanization. Jonathan Fink Vice President for Research and Economic Affairs Arizona State University August, 2004

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China-U.S. Collaboration on Rapid Urbanization Jonathan Fink Vice President for Research and Economic Affairs Arizona State University August, 2004

Why have an urban system science research agenda? More than half of the world s population now lives in cities Global urban infrastructure must be duplicated in next 35 years Little scientific input today on how to make cities sustainable Global climate change is driven increasingly by urban activities Cities have growing impact on surrounding undeveloped lands Decision-making processes are not understood scientifically

Rapid urbanization in China and USA Urban growth rates across China are unprecedented Fastest urbanization in US is in South & West ( Sunbelt ) Urban migrants seek jobs and improved quality of life Urbanization causes political and environmental stress Issues include clean water, clean air, traffic, land use, service access, security concerns, decision-making

Why is Phoenix a good place to study? 5 th largest, 2 nd fastest-growing city in USA Geography, climate, hydrology, history relatively easy to model Several large federally-funded environmental research projects Strong collaborations of state agencies, industry, universities Greater Phoenix 2100 program making Phoenix a wired, modeled, natural laboratory for study of rapid urbanization

HOUSING HEALTH MANUFACTURING POWER URBAN SECURITY How can study of US urban systems be coordinated? WATER AIR TRANSPORTATION CLIMATE LAND USE AGRICULTURE FORESTS

HOUSING HEALTH MANUFACTURING POWER URBAN SECURITY TRANSPORTATION How can study of US urban systems be coordinated? Who is in charge? WATER AIR CLIMATE LAND USE AGRICULTURE FORESTS

URBAN SECURITY MANUFACTURING POWER HOUSING DOD DOC DOE HUD Federal NIEHS How can the study of urban Mission systems be coordinated? Agencies HEALTH USGS EPA NOAA WATER AIR TRANSPORTATION DOT NASA CLIMATE LAND USE BLM USDA USFS AGRICULTURE FORESTS

URBAN SECURITY MANUFACTURING POWER TRANSPORTATION HOUSING DOD DOC DOE NIEHS How can State the & study Intel of urban Mission Local systems be coordinated? Agencies DOT APS Motorola ADOC MAG HUD Federal Agencies ADEQ ADOT ADHS SRP ADWR Biosphere ADOA HEALTH USGS NASA EPA NOAA WATER AIR CLIMATE LAND USE BLM USDA USFS AGRICULTURE FORESTS

URBAN SECURITY MANUFACTURING POWER TRANSPORTATION HOUSING DOD DOC DOE NIEHS How can State the & study Intel of urban Mission Local CAPsystems LTER be coordinated? Agencies DOT APS Motorola ADOC MAG HUD ASU Federal Agencies ADEQ ADOT ADHS NSF SRP ADWR Biosphere ADOA HEALTH USGS NASA EPA NOAA WATER AIR CLIMATE LAND USE BLM USDA USFS AGRICULTURE FORESTS

URBAN SECURITY MANUFACTURING POWER TRANSPORTATION HOUSING DOD DOC DOE NIEHS How can State the & study Intel of urban Mission Local CAP- GP 2100 systems LTER be coordinated? Agencies DOT APS Motorola ADOC MAG HUD ASU Federal Agencies ADEQ ADOT ADHS NSF SRP ADWR Biosphere ADOA HEALTH USGS NASA EPA NOAA WATER AIR CLIMATE LAND USE BLM USDA USFS AGRICULTURE FORESTS

What can an urban research lab do? Automated collection of air, water, land cover, biologic, social, traffic data Link new and existing data streams Put all data in common formats Use a variety of models for forecasting Translate the results for policy makers Expand global relevance through collaborations with other cities

ASU s urban research assets (1) One of two Urban LTERs (NSF) Tracks impacts of humans on the Phoenix ecosystem, and vice versa Urban Ecology IGERT (NSF) Trains next generation of ecologists Agrarian-urban Biocomplexity (NSF ) Studies conversion of farmland to cities Decision Center for a Desert City (NSF) Studies how water use decisions are made 100 Cities Project (NASA) Integrates urban remote sensing applications Uses ASU/JPL Mars Space Flight Facility UrbanSat plan for 1 or 2 new satellites

100 Cities Project: Standardized, repeated urban remote sensing Partners Existing Negotiating Planned

Different sensors = different information Las Vegas, NV, 17-Oct-2000 Visible to near-infrared 15 m/pixel Major land cover classes Vegetation health Soil properties Soil contamination Shortwave infrared 30 m/pixel Urban surface materials Rooftop materials Energy use Fugitive dust production Metal contamination Ecological communities Thermal infrared 90 m/pixel Surface energy balances Regional climate models Anthropogenic heat sources Heat island development

100 Cities Project: Annual day and night images collected for each Goal is to partner with local groups in all 100 cities Can we develop a taxonomy of growing cities? How can cities minimize their environmental impact? What do cities contribute to global atmosphere? How can technologies promote sustainability?

ASU s urban research assets (2) Bank One Building DOAS ADEQ Urban Fluid Dynamics Measures/models urban air flows Works with State Dept. of Env. Quality Links to public health studies South Mountain Morrison Institute for Public Policy Influential think-tank directs policy applications 365 m 915 m 610 m 305 m downtown radar wind profiler radiosonde / ozonesonde Bank One Building nightime buildup of pollutants ~ 3 km tethersonde chemistry G-1 ozone aerosols uptown Nouth Mountain temperature meteorological station Consortium for the Study of Rapidly Urbanizing Regions Links rapid urbanization studies around the world Greater Phoenix 2100 Translates science for policy makers Defines 100-year and regional views for metro Phoenix Combines numerical models for air, water, land-use

Greater Phoenix 2100 - Goals Develop visualization tools to help policy-makers better understand implications of their decisions Make science and engineering results more accessible Promote regional and long-term perspectives Partner with businesses and state agencies

Greater Phoenix 2100 Visualization tools Regional e-atlas SIM Phoenix Decision Theater Urban-SAT(s)

Atlas addresses diverse topical issues How fast will Metro Phoenix grow?

Change in water well use 1985-2000 Critical limit on future population size

Maps deal with politically-charged issues How to preserve most desirable areas?

Atlas shows extent of Urban Heat Island Another possible limit on urban growth

Greater Phoenix 2100 Visualization tools Regional e-atlas SIM Phoenix 1 1 Decision Theater Urban-SAT(s) Tempe Town Lake

Greater Phoenix 2100 Visualization tools Regional e-atlas SIM Phoenix 1 1 Decision Theater Urban-SAT(s) Model the future of the region Tempe Town Lake

Greater Phoenix 2100 Visualization tools Regional e-atlas SIM Phoenix Decision Theater Urban-SAT(s)

Greater Phoenix 2100 Visualization tools Regional e-atlas SIM Phoenix Decision Theater Urban-SAT(s) A place to convene decision-makers

Greater Phoenix 2100 Visualization tools Regional e-atlas SIM Phoenix Decision Theater Urban-SAT(s)

Greater Phoenix 2100 Visualization tools Regional e-atlas SIM Phoenix Decision Theater Urban-SAT(s) Instruments customized for urban monitoring

ASU-China Urban Research Collaborations Urban air pollution measurement and modeling Visualization of surface water and ground water resources Remotely sensed monitoring of land use changes Correlate public health and environmental conditions Compare decision-making processes in China and US