Orbital Structure and Dynamical Evolution of. TNOs. Patryk Sofia Lykawka ( )

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Orbital Structure and Dynamical Evolution of TNOs Patryk Sofia Lykawka ( ) patryksan@gmail.com

Outline I: Introduction and motivation II: III: IV: Dynamical stability and planet migration Stable TNO populations and general implications Scenarios for the origin and evolution of TNOs V: Main conclusions

I Introduction and motivation

Trans-Neptunian objects (TNOs): icy/rocky bodies orbiting beyond Neptune TNOs orbital distribution Main populations: classical, resonant*, scattered, and detached TNOs (Gladman et al. 2002; Morbidelli & Brown 2004; Elliot et al. 2005; Delsanti & Jewitt 2006; Lykawka & Mukai 2007b; Gladman et al. 2008) * Associated with mean motion resonances (MMRs) with Neptune (AstDys database 2011) Evolutionary processes: planet migration, collisional evolution and gravitational sculpting by the planets (Malhotra 1995; Hahn & Malhotra 1999; Kenyon & Luu 1998, 1999; Kenyon & Bromley 2004; Morbidelli 2006; Chiang et al. 2006; Kuiper Belt Book 2008; Lykawka 2012)

The scattered disk (> 50 AU) (Torbett 1989; Holman & Wisdom 1993; Duncan & Levison 1997; Morbidelli et al. 2004) q < 40 AU: Dynamics dominated by Neptune s gravitational scattering + MMR sticking Likely the main source of Centaurs and their daughter short-period comets (Ip & Fernandez 1991; Duncan & Levison 1997; Volk & Malhotra 2008) q > 40 AU: Dynamically quasi-static

(Kuiper Belt book 2008; Petit et al. 2011; Fraser and collaborators 2008-2014: Brown and collaborators 2005-2014) (Fraser et al. 2014) Main physical properties Surface colors Cumulative H-distribution (Hainaut et al. 2012) A few (?) 10 5 TNOs with D > 100 km Total mass around 0.1 Earth mass? Albedos 0.03-0.30 in general Rock and ice compositions (H 2 O, CO 2, CH 3 OH, NH 3, CH 4, CO, N 2 )

9:4 7:3 8:3 q = 30 AU q = 40 AU Four main classes of TNOs: Classical TNOs (q > 37 AU; 37 AU < a < 50 AU) Scattered TNOs (q < 37 AU) Resonant TNOs Detached TNOs (q > 40 AU) (Lykawka & Mukai 2007b)

4:1 11:2 27:4 q = 30 AU q = 40 AU Approximate relative fractions (D > 100 km): Classical TNOs: 40-60% Resonant TNOs: 15-25% (Lykawka & Mukai 2007b) Scattered TNOs: 10-20% (?) Detached TNOs: 10-20% (?) (Petit et al. 2011; Gladman et al. 2012)

Classical TNOs Cold population i < 5-10 deg (R=38-48 AU) 3~10 10-4 Earth masses Predominantly red colors Lack of large objects (>500km) Higher albedos (med. ~0.14) Higher fraction of binaries Hot population i > 5-10 deg (R=32-57+ AU) 10~30 times more massive than the cold population Mix of various colors Shallower slope at large sizes (Noll et al. 2008; Peixinho et al. 2008, 2013; Brucker et al. 2009; Petit et al. 2011; Fraser et al. 2010, 2014; Vilenius et al. 2012, 2014) Lower albedos (med. ~0.085) Distinct inclination, radial, color, size and albedo distributions! Surprisingly high orbital excitation and fine structure What are the main mechanisms responsible for this structure? (Kuiper Belt book 2008) (Dawson & Murray- Clay 2012)

(Horner & Lykawka 2011) Trojans (wikipedia) Sun planet Objects orbiting about the Lagrangian L4 and L5 points in their 1:1 MMR Typically lie ~60 deg ahead of or behind the position of the planet Trojans Trojans Jupiter Jupiter Trojans More than 3000 objects Intrinsic population may exceed the population of asteroids within the same size range! Neptune Trojans Nine objects Intrinsic population is at least as large as the Jovians Surprisingly: (Sheppard & Trujillo 2006) (Chiang et al. 2003; Chiang & Lithwick 2005; Lykawka et al. 2009, 2011) e = 0-0.1(5) and i = 0-30(35)deg How to reconcile this with the KB and planet formation?

q=30au q=40au Outstanding questions What caused the orbital excitation of the Kuiper belt? (excitation of e and i around 40-50 AU) How to explain the four main classes of TNOs? In particular, the fine structure of cold and hot classical TNOs AND resonant populations How TNOs and other minor body populations are related? Ex: Centaurs, planetary Trojans, irregular satellites, outer main belt asteroids, etc. How the giant planets (and extra planets) evolved to produce the current KB?

II Dynamical stability and planet migration

Stability maps of TNOs (i = 0) 5:4 4:3 3:2 5:3 7:4 2:1 (Duncan et al. 1995)

Stability maps of TNOs (i = 0) Affected by secular resonances (nu18 and nu8) (Duncan et al. 1995)

Stability maps of TNOs (i = 0) TNOs superimposed (Duncan et al. 1995)

Stability map of TNOs (all i) Eccentricity 4 Gyr Strong perturbations at q < 35 AU Perturbations also seen near 42 AU and around the 5:3, 7:4 and 2:1 resonances (Lykawka & Mukai 2005) Semimajor axis Long-term sculpting of weaker MMRs plays an important role in the region Missing stable objects in the outer region

Strength of MMRs beyond Neptune (Gallardo 2006a, b) a (AU) a (AU)

Strength/stickiness of MMRs beyond Neptune (Lykawka & Mukai 2007c) Strength j = 1 j = 12 a (AU) a (AU) Relative stickiness a (AU) a (AU)

Planet migration in the solar system Stage : Driven by interactions of the (giant) planets with the nebular gas over the first few Myr (Morbidelli et al. 2007; Pierens & Raymond 2011; Kley & Nelson 2012; D`Angelo & Marzari 2012) Stage : Planet-planet or planet-embryo gravitational scattering can yield very rapid or chaotic radial displacements for any planet in the system (Brasser et al. 2009; Morbidelli et al. 2009; Agnor & Lin 2012; Nesvorny & Morbidelli 2012) Stage : Driven by interactions of the planets with the remaining disk planetesimals (in between and beyond) (Fernandez & Ip 1984; Malhotra 1995; Hahn & Malhotra 1999; Chiang & Jordan 2002; Hahn & Malhotra 2005; Levison et al. 2007; Kirsh et al. 2009) 5.20 AU 9.56 AU 19.22 AU 30.11 AU <0.1-0.3AU 0.3-0.9AU 1-5AU 1-12AU

III Stable TNO populations and general implications

Resonant TNO populations 4:1 11:2 27:4 q = 30 AU q = 40 AU Members from 1:1 to 27:4. Stable populations likely represent slowly decaying captured populations formed ~4 Gyr ago About 15-25% of the entire TNO population 3:2 and 5:2 are the most populous! (Lykawka & Mukai 2007b) (Gladman et al. 2008) (Petit et al. 2011; Gladman et al. 2012)

1:1 MMRs (Jupiter Trojans) theoretical Trojans large observed Trojans 4 Gyr ~10 Myr (Lykawka & Horner 2010) Approximately 25% of captured Jupiter Trojans survived 4 Gyr (adapted from Morbidelli et al. 2005 Similar results also in Nesvorny et al. 2013) Links Jupiter (Trojans) science with the primordial Kuiper belt

1:1 MMRs (Neptune Trojans) Inclination (deg) 1 Gyr 1 Gyr Inclination (deg) 1 Gyr (Nesvorny & Vokrouhlicky 2009) Eccentricity Eccentricity (Lykawka et al. 2009-2011) Approximately 1-5% of captured Neptune Trojans survived 4 Gyr Links Neptune (Trojans) science with the primordial Kuiper belt

1:1 MMRs (Saturn and Uranus Trojans) Captured Uranus Trojans Captured Saturn Trojan Inclination (deg) 5 Myr 5 Myr Inclination (deg) 5 Myr Time (yr) Lykawka & Horner (2010) First Uranian Trojan Eccentricity Saturn and Uranus were able to capture a significant population of Trojan objects after planet migration (Alexandersen et al. 2013)

What happened to captured Trojans of the four giant planets? Lykawka & Horner (2010)

weak MMRs: rich dynamical evolutions 7:4 resonant theoretical classical objects MMRs in the classical region (Lykawka & Mukai 2005) (Volk & Malhotra 2011) MMRs in the classical region define the fine structure and affect stability in the same region e.g., complex evolution of classical objects within the 7:4 MMR weak MMRs also play an important role!

weak MMRs (2): resonance sticking (Lykawka & Mukai 2007c) Scattered objects spend on average 38% of lifetimes locked in MMRs N:1, N:2, and N:3 resonances dominate the dynamics with 100- (Fernandez et al. 2004; Gomes 2005; 1000 Myr captures (Kozai mechanism also common) Gallardo 2006a,b; 2012) Suggests a SD consisting of scattering(ed) + resonant populations

IV Scenarios for the origin and evolution of TNOs

Intrinsic resonant and classical populations Debiased resonant and classical structures (CFEPS) COLD and HOT (Gladman et al. 2012) (Petit et al. 2011; Gladman et al. 2012)

Planet migration (Fernandez & Ip 1984; Malhotra 1995; Hahn & Malhotra 1999; Hahn & Malhotra 2005; Levison et al. 2007; Kirsh et al. 2009; Campobianco et al. 2011) Chaotic orbital evolution during Stage : Much faster timescales than smooth-residual migration Possible instantaneous capture of planetesimals in resonances Smooth (residual) migration during Stage : Often modeled as an exponential migration a P t a a exp t i P Neptunian sweeping resonances can capture planetesimals a res a N j k j 2 3

3:2 2:1 t=0 3:2 2:1 10Myr Planet migration 3:2 2:1 1Myr 3:2 2:1 25Myr Migration over a dynamically cold disk (Malhotra 1995; Hahn & Malhotra 1999; Chiang & Jordan 2002) 3:2 2:1 2.5Myr 3:2 2:1 50Myr In low-order resonances (3:2, 2:1, 5:3, etc), capture probability is high for planetesimals on initially low-e orbits 3:2 2:1 5Myr 3:2 2:1 100Myr?

Origin of resonant TNOs: planet migration Initially cold disk Initially hot disk Eccentricity Inclination (deg) Number (Malhotra 1995) a (AU) a (AU) Resonant TNOs partially reproduced, even beyond 50 AU (for an initially hot disk) Inclination (deg) Eccentricity (Hahn & Malhotra 2005)

(Chiang et al. 2003) Origin of distant resonant TNOs (a > 50 AU) 9:4 5:2 8:3 Eccentricity Semimajor axis (AU) (Lykawka & Mukai 2007a; Lykawka 2012) Resonance sticking cannot explain all stable populations, but capture during planet migration can. However, populous 5:2 MMR and possibly the 5:1 MMR represent outstanding challenges (Lykawka & Mukai 2007a; Pre-excited Kuiper belt likely required Dawson & Murray-Clay 2012; Gladman et al. 2012)

SMOOTH MODELS Summary of main models proposed Quiescent phase 0-700 Myr 0 Myr (Hahn & Malhotra) 50-100 Myr (Lykawka & Mukai) Extra planets Instability phase (MMR crossings, planet scatterings) 1-10 Myr GPs migration 10-100 Myr long-term evol. After the first 1 Gyr <10 Myr INSTABILITY MODELS 600-700 Myr? (Ford & Chiang) (Batygin et al.) (Thommes et al.) (NICE model) 300-400 Myr (E-disk (E-NICE) model) (Nesvorny et al.) ( ) ( ) ( )

Smooth models (4GPs + 1EP) (Lykawka & Mukai 2008) Eccentricity Cold population and partial hot population insitu; remaining hot classicals deposited from inner regions of the planetesimal disk (< 30 AU) (Lykawka & Mukai 2008) a (AU) Trojan populations partially ok Detached objects ok Cold population too massive Lack of high-i classicals and high-i Trojans More distant resonant population (>60 AU) unclear Difficult to reconcile with giant planet formation/evolution

Instability models: Nice model (Tsiganis et al. 2005; Morbidelli et al. 2005; Gomes et al. 2005 Morbidelli et al. 2007, 2010; Levison et al. 2008) Both cold population and hot populations deposited from inner regions of the planetesimal disk (< 30 AU) Trojan populations partially ok (Levison et al. 2008) Severe lack of cold classicals Lack of high-i classicals and high-i Trojans Distant resonant population unclear Detached objects unclear

Instability models: multiplanet (Nesvorny 2011; Batygin et al. 2012; Nesvorny & Morbidelli 2012) Cold population insitu and hot populations deposited from inner regions of the planetesimal disk (< 30 AU) Classicals apparently ok (Batygin et al. 2012) Lack of high-i classicals Cold population structure unclear Resonant population may emerge if Neptune jumped to a = 24-27 AU and circularized quickly (< 1 Myr) Detached objects unclear

5.2 30.1 39.4 35-50 47.8 >50 Models and the source regions of TNOs (Brown et al. 2011) H 2 O retained + CO 2 + CH 3 OH + NH 3 3 Stage 1: Gas present (0-10 Myr) 12 20 35 edge (AU) (Walsh et al. 2011) (Morbidelli et al. 2007; Nesvorny & Morbidelli 2012) Grand Tack then MMR chain OR Formation near MMR chain (4, 5 or 6 GPs) 1.5 2 3 5.5 7.2 12 Stage 2: No gas, chaotic migration/scatterings 3 5.5 7.2 12 (Batygin et al. 2012; Nesvorny & Morbidelli 2012) Jumping Jupiter scenario 5.2 5.5 7.2 9.6 15+? 25+? 35 Stage 3: Residual-smooth migration (Hahn & Malhotra 2005; Levison et al. 2008; Lykawka & Mukai 2008) 5.2 9.6 15+? 19.2 25+? 30.1 35 40 50 100 J-Trojans N-Trojans 3:2 MMR Cold classical Hot classical 2:1 MMR Scatt./det.

V Main conclusions

Summary A complex orbital structure to be explained: Classical (cold/hot/kernel), resonant (Trojans, KB and distant), scattering(ed), detached, peculiar TNOs and groupings Resonant population extended to at least ~108 AU - Stable niches strongly point to Neptune s migration over a dynamically pre-excited Kuiper belt - Resonance sticking and weak MMRs play an important role - Trojan populations and relative fractions of resonant TNOs likely to resolve migration behavior of Uranus and Neptune Some new mechanism is needed in modeling to account for Trojans and TNOs on high-i orbits (> 20 deg). Also, the dual nature of cold and hot classical TNOs with their fine orbital structure

Future: instability-multiplanet models? extra planets 10-100 s of large planetesimals 4 giant planets planet migration collisions? The Outer Solar System NABE MMR crossings/ Planet-planet scatterings

! E-mail: patryksan@gmail.com Web: sites.google.com/site/patryksofialykawka/