Critical Issues in Assessment of Offshore Wind Farm Development on Dispersion and Settling of Scallop Larvae in the Northeast U.S.

Similar documents
Impact of Sea Level Rise on Future Storm-induced Coastal Inundation

NORTHEAST COASTAL OCEAN FORECAST SYSTEM (NECOFS)

DEVELOPMENT OF AN INUNDATION FORECAST SYSTEM FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS

Advances in Coastal Inundation Simulation Using Unstructured-Grid Coastal Ocean Models

Flood and Sea Level Rise Mapping Methodologies: The Way Forward

Topics 1. IOOS on the US East Coast. 2. Regional Physical & Ecosystem Modeling Efforts

The Northeast Coastal Ocean Forecast System (NECOFS) and Storm Surge and Inundation Prediction. Status and Initial Ideas

Coastal Cities-Coastal Impacts: 'The Tides They Are A-Changin

Offshore Video Survey and Oceanographic Analysis: Georges Bank to the Chesapeake project

West Florida Shelf and Tampa Bay Responses to Hurricane Irma: What Happened and Why

J-Rapid PI: Jun Sasaki 1 T. Suzuki 1 and R. U. A. Wiyono 1. Rapid PI: Changsheng Chen 2 C. Beardsley 3, Z. Lai 2, R., H. Lin 2, J. Lin 3 and R.

What Maintains the Western Gulf of Maine Cod Stock?

Dispersal and settlement of sea scallop larvae spawned in the fishery closed areas on Georges Bank

COASTAL DATA APPLICATION

Agenda FVCOM Users Workshop Bedford Institute of Oceanography, Dartmouth October 20-22, Oral Program. Day 1: October 20

Casco Bay Estuary Partnership (CBEP) USM Muskie School 34 Bedford St 228B. Portland, ME

Applying Basin-Scale HyCOM Hindcasts in Providing Open Boundary Conditions for Nested High-Resolution Coastal Circulation Modeling

HURRICANE IRENE. CONFERENCE CALL BRIEFING SLIDES Saturday August 27, :30 AM

Robert Weaver, Donald Slinn 1

An Unstructured Grid, Finite-Volume Coastal Ocean Model (FVCOM), Validations and Applications

The Ocean-Atmosphere System II: Oceanic Heat Budget

Modelling the Channel and the Bay of Biscay using the MARS model. Contributions: Dyneco Physed / Pelagos / Benthos EMH

Mapping, monitoring, and modeling: USGS Coastal and Marine Geology activities along the Northeast coast

Impact of current-wave interaction on storm surge simulation: A case study for Hurricane Bob

Serving Marine-Related Users in the Mid-Atlantic through Ocean Observing and Forecasting

Signals of sea-level rise in Delaware and Chesapeake Bay tides

The Heat Budget for Mt. Hope Bay

Forecast of Nearshore Wave Parameters Using MIKE-21 Spectral Wave Model

A high resolution hydrodynamic model for the greater Port Hawkesbury area

PICES W3 [D-504], Sep 22, 2017, 11:40-12:05

HYCOM in the South Atlantic Bight: Performance and Client Applications

Impacts of Climate Change on Autumn North Atlantic Wave Climate

2001 State of the Ocean: Chemical and Biological Oceanographic Conditions in the Newfoundland Region

Coastal Storms of the New Jersey Shore

Modeling the Columbia River Plume on the Oregon Shelf during Summer Upwelling. 2 Model

An Investigation of the Influence of Waves on Sediment Processes in Skagit Bay

Major Hurricane Matthew Briefing Situation Overview

Comparison of NYHOPS hydrodynamic model SST predictions with satellite observations in the Hudson River tidal, estuarine, and coastal plume region

Storm surge forecasting and other Met Office ocean modelling

over the Northern West Florida Shelf from SeaWinds and ASCAT

Characterizing the Physical Oceanography of Coastal Waters Off Rhode Island

Forcing ocean model with atmospheric model outputs to simulate storm surge in the Bangladesh coast

The Delaware Environmental Monitoring & Analysis Center

North Atlantic Coast Comprehensive Study (NACCS) APPENDIX A: ENGINEERING

DBCP 2012 SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL WORKSHOP Fremantle, Australia, 2 October 2012 SALIENT FEATURES OF INDIAN DEEP SEA INSTRUMENTED BUOY NETWORK IN THE

Forecasting Gulf of Mexico Hypoxia under Scenarios of Watershed and River Management

Assimilation Impact of Physical Data on the California Coastal Ocean Circulation and Biogeochemistry

Numerical Weather Prediction: Data assimilation. Steven Cavallo

Yi Chao Jet Propulsion Laboratory California Institute of Technology & Joint Institute for Regional Earth System Science and Engineering (JIFRESSE)

Modeling the Transport and Fate of Sediments Released from Dredging Projects in the Coastal Waters of British Columbia, Canada

Operational Estuarine & Coastal Forecast Systems in NOAA s. National Ocean Service

Applying Gerris to Mixing and Sedimentation in Estuaries

PREDICTION OF OIL SPILL TRAJECTORY WITH THE MMD-JMA OIL SPILL MODEL

Arctic System Reanalysis Provides Highresolution Accuracy for Arctic Studies

Global Climate Change and Human Health Cycloning out of Control: Climate Change Impacts on Natural Disasters; Cyclones

Pacific HYCOM. E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft, Luis Zamudio and Patrick J. Hogan

Population Dynamics of Gulf Blue Crabs. Caz Taylor & Erin Grey Department of Ecology & Evolutionary Biology Tulane University

Reviewing the use of computer-based modelling to study squid larval dispersal: experiences from South Africa and Brazil

Saiful Islam Anisul Haque

Boundary Conditions, Data Assimilation and Predictability in Coastal Ocean Models

Response of Lake Superior to mesoscale wind forcing: A comparison between currents driven by QuikSCAT and buoy winds

The Field Research Facility, Duck, NC Warming Ocean Observations and Forecast of Effects

MACOORA Theme/MARCOOS Capabilities Product Matrix

Improving Air-Sea Coupling Parameterizations in High-Wind Regimes

THE IMPACT OF SATELLITE-DERIVED WINDS ON GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECASTS

A Realtime Forecasting System for the Chesapeake Bay Tributaries: Interoperability and Metadata for Automation

The Mediterranean Operational Oceanography Network (MOON): Products and Services

Building a fixed coastal observing and forecast system for Halifax Harbour

Introduction of Korea Operational Oceanographic System (KOOS)

5. Reproduction and Recruitment

Oceanography II Notes

Development of a coastal modeling system

SCIENTIFIC COUNCIL MEETING JUNE B. Petrie, R. G. Pettipas, W. M. Petrie and V. V. Soukhovtsev

HWRF Ocean: MPIPOM-TC

Northeast U.S. Early Season Preview 2017 FISHING ACTION STARTING TO WARM UP ALREADY WITH LOTS OF FISH EXPECTED IN MAY

Physical factors driving the oceanographic regime around the Florida Keys. Villy Kourafalou. University of Miami/RSMAS

HURRICANE - GENERATED OCEAN WAVES

Sea-level Rise on Cape Cod: How Vulnerable Are We? Rob Thieler U.S. Geological Survey Woods Hole, MA

Data Assimilation and Diagnostics of Inner Shelf Dynamics

THE BC SHELF ROMS MODEL

Cold air outbreak over the Kuroshio Extension Region

A Synthesis of Results from the Norwegian ESSAS (N-ESSAS) Project

Update on Coupled Air-Sea-Ice Modelling

CLIMAR-III Third JCOMM Workshop on Advances in Marine Climatology 6-9 May Gdynia, Poland

Overview of HYCOM activities at SHOM

Dmitry Dukhovskoy and Mark Bourassa

Benjamin Franklin ( )

Influence of ocean freshening on shelf phytoplankton dynamics

M. Liste 1, M. Grifoll 2, I. Keupers 1, J. Fernández 3, H. Ortega 1, J. Monbaliu 1

Hyperlocal Marine Weather: What s Happening?

Alexander Barth, Aida Alvera-Azc. Azcárate, Robert H. Weisberg, University of South Florida. George Halliwell RSMAS, University of Miami

Dispersal Modeling of Fish Early Life Stages: Sensitivity with Application to Atlantic Cod in the Western Gulf of Maine

HFR Surface Currents Observing System in Lower Chesapeake Bay and Virginia Coast

POLCOMS Metadata for the ARCoES project Keywords: POLCOMS, WAM, residual circulation, waves, Liverpool Bay, UK shelf

An Integrated Storm Surge, Hurricane Wave, Salinity and Sediment Transport Modeling System for Breton Sound, LA

Liana Talaue McManus. Division of Marine Affairs and Policy Rosenstiel School of Marine & Atmospheric Science University of Miami

Exploring the Use of Dynamical Weather and Climate Models for Risk Assessment

Toward Environmental Predictions MFSTEP. Executive summary

Grade Level: Lesson Time: 60 min.

53 contributors for 35 individual reports in 2009 show 5% of figures today

Transcription:

Critical Issues in Assessment of Offshore Wind Farm Development on Dispersion and Settling of Scallop Larvae in the Northeast U.S. Coastal Ocean Changsheng Chen School for Marine Science and Technology University of Massachusetts-Dartmouth, New Bedford, MA 02744 Robert C Beardsley Department of Physical Oceanography Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA 02543 Kevin Stokesbury School for Marine Science and Technology University of Massachusetts-Dartmouth, New Bedford, MA 02744

Could the offshore wind renewal energy development affect the connectivity of scallop between Georges Bank/South South Channel and Mid-Atlantic Bight? Massachusetts WEA Rhode Island/Massachusetts WEA New Jersey Call Area/WEA Maryland Call Area/WEA Virginia Call Area/WEA OCS Blocks

Population Dynamics Model of Sea Scallop (Tian et al, 2009) GOM-FVCOM U V W Km Water Sediment Pediveliger (> 35 d) Settlement Juvenile Scallop IBM Egg (< 2d) Growth Survivorship Hatching Spawning Veliger (5-35 d) Vertical migration Trochophore (2-5 d) Adult scallop 4 pelagic stages: egg, trochophore, veliger, and pediveliger 2 benthic stages: juvenile, and adult.

Spawning stocks determined by interpolating scallop abundance data onto the model grids. Scallop data (white circle) are from Stokesbury et al., (2004) and Thouzeau et al. (1991).

Scallop larval dispersion and settling down animation

? Schematic of the Upper and Deep Circulations

Northeast Coastal Ocean Forecast System (NECOFS) North American Meso-scale (NAM) Weather Model BC s Global-FVCOM tides, currents, T and S) River discharges Groundwater Nested Heat Flux P-E Local Weather Model (WRF) Wind Stress U,V Regional FVCOM (GOM-FVCOM: 0.3-15 km) MASS Coastal FVCOM (up to 10 m) Surface Wave Model (FVCOM-SWAVE) U,V, Waves Langmuir Cells Wind Stress assimilation Satellite SST Buoy Winds Insolation Satellite SST, SSH Buoy or Survey T,S,U,V Storm Surge (hurricanes, Nor easter) Inundation Models Scituate, MA Mass Bay/Boston Harbor Hampton River, NH Saco, ME Products: Weather: winds, air temperature, air humidity, air pressure, heat flux, E-P Oceans: sea level, currents, T, S, wave heights, wave frequencies, icing Lands: inundation areas May 26, 2015 KEY Existing Models NECOFS Data Products

Mass-Coastal FVCOM (10 m-5 km) GOM-FVCOM (0.3-15 km) Global-FVCOM Nested (2-50 km) Nested Nested Nested Nested Scituate, MA (up to 10 m) Boston Harbor, MA (up to 10 m) Hampton, NH (up to 10 m) Saco Bay (up to 10 m) 04/14/2015

http://134.88.228.119:8080/fvcomwms/ 4/30/2013 NERACOOS Annual Meeting, Rhode Island

New NECOFS system with inclusion of a nested subdomain wind turbine-resolving FVCOM NS-FVCOM with wind turbines NECOFS Nested Enlarged view of the grid

11/2/2012 Hundred-year storm

The February 1978 Nor easter storm (a hundred storm over New England Shelf)

The August 1991 Hurricane Bob

February 1978 Storm: Difference in Significant Wave Height (m) with and without wind turbines

February 1978 Storm: Difference in vertically averaged currents (m/s) with and without wind turbines

August 1991 Hurricane Bob: Difference in Significant Wave Height (m) with and without wind turbines

Critical needs for assessing the impact of the offshore wind farm development on the regional ecosystem Assess the impact of wind energy taking on the local and regional wind fields; Assess quantitatively the impact of the wind energy dissipation due to the offshore wind farm on the local and regional circulation and water transport. Conduct a long-term simulation to estimate the maximum impact of the offshore wind farm development and operations on the spawning, transport, settlement and growth stages of scallop larvae.

Are we ready for this work? A high-resolution atmospheric and ocean fully coupled NECOFS system has been successfully developed, which is capable of resolving the spatial scale of wind turbines; We have built a long term physical field over the period of 1978-present; We have developed the the ecosystem model to simulate the dispersion, settlement and growth of the scallop larvae.

Summary An assessment of the potential impact of the offshore wind farm development on the connectivity of scallop larvae between Georges Bank/South South Channel and Mid- Atlantic Bight could provide us insights into the possible change of the marine fisheries environment after offshore wind turbines are deployed. The atmospheric and ocean coupled FVCOM model system under the framework of NECOFS is available to make an assessment of the wind energy taking from the offshore wind farm on the local and regional atmospheric and ocean environments.