Acoustic monitoring finding new populations of the endangered blue whale

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Acoustic monitoring finding new populations of the endangered blue whale Tracey Rogers, Gary Truong, Joy Tripovich, Naysa Balcazar

Blue whale (Balaenoptera musculus) Largest baleen whale Critically endangered Migrate away from feeding grounds to breed

Blue whales of the Southern Hemisphere

Blue whales of the Southern Hemisphere

Blue whales of the Southern Hemisphere

Blue whales of the Southern Hemisphere NI SEP McDonald 2006 Širović et al. 2016 SA SWI1 SEI SWP

Blue whales of the Southern Hemisphere NI SWI1 SEP SEI SA SWP McDonald 2006 Širović et al. 2016

Datasets Holger KLINK David MELLINGER Sharon NIEUKIRK Robert P. DZIAK

Tripovich, et al. Rogers 2015. Temporal segregation of the Australian and Antarctic blue whale call types (Balaenoptera musculus spp.). J. Mammalogy, 96(3), 603-610. Antarctic blue whales are off the West coast of Australia SEI pygmy blue whales Antarctic blue whales together at same time SEI

Balcazar, et al. Rogers, 2015. Calls reveal population structure of blue whales across the southeast Indian Ocean and the southwest Pacific Ocean. J. Mammalogy, 96(6), 1184-1193. SWP pygmy blue whales (NZ-type call) are also off Australia and north Lau Basin The SEI & SWP are discrete populations SEI SWP

Balcazar, et al. Rogers 2017. Using calls as an indicator for Antarctic blue whale occurrence and distribution across the southwest Pacific and southeast Indian Oceans. Marine Mammal Science, 33(1), 172-186. Antarctic blue whales off the coast of Eastern Australia North into equatorial Eastern Pacific (Somoa)

Seasonal variation 45 Avg. % of total detected calls 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Seasonal variation 45 Avg. % of total detected calls 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

No. calls detected per yearx 10000 Interannual variation 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

No. calls detected per yearx 10000 Interannual variation 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Monthly Time Series of Detections

Environmental Variables Satellite derived environmental variables - Sea Surface Temperature (SST) - Sea Surface Height (SSH) - Chlorophyll at Hydrophone (Chla.HP) - Chlorophyll at Bonnie Upwelling (Chla.Feed) - Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) Model selection using Time Series analysis

Model Selection SST SSH Chla @ Hydrophone Chla @ Feed SOI

SOI - Running 3-Month Average EL Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO)

EL Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) SOI - Running 3-Month Average La Niña El Niño

EL Niño Southern Oscillation SOI - Running 3-Month Average La Niña El Niño

ENSO - Normal Conditions

ENSO - La Niña conditions

Why are there more calls during La Niña? Strengthening of the Leeuwin current Good conditions for krill and zooplankton to grow Whales feed on increased krill abundance and are in good condition

Take home message CTBTO data provided the long term data that identified: New populations of blue whales that we did not know were there. ENSO cycle influences the migratory behaviour of blue whales.

Take home message CTBTO hydroacoustic monitoring data provides calibrated long-term data of biological importance. Needed to tease apart how warming of Southern Hemisphere oceans is impacting the ecosystem.

Thank you for listening Acknowledgments The CTBTO preparatory commission for providing the data used in this study Disclaimer The commission is not responsible for the views presented here

ETP 1996-1999, 2000-2001 2003-2015 CER 2012-2013 Modified from Buchan et al. 2015

Interannual variation Cape Leeuwin Juan Fernández No. calls detected per year x 10000 700 No. calls detected per year 600 500 400 300 200 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 100 0.2 0 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1.4 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Interannual variation Cape Leeuwin Juan Fernández No. calls detected per year x 10000 700 No. calls detected per year 600 500 400 300 200 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 100 0.2 0 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1.4 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Seasonal variation 50 45 Avg. % of total detected calls Avg. % of total detected calls 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 5 0 0 Jan 40 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Seasonal variation Avg. % of total detected calls 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

El Niño

Detector performance Ishmael (V.1.80) Automated energy ratio method targeted the high-intensity band of the first part of the calls, between 19 and 21 Hz Triggered a detection when energy in this band was higher than a 0.2 threshold between 12 and 30 seconds bandwidth account shift ~0.14 0.16 Hz / year Positive detections were checked manually Raven Pro 1.4 Missed detections & False detection for each year.

System 3 autonomous hydrophones, moored to the seafloor, suspended at ~1000 m. Record continuous ocean sound Sampling rate 250 Hz Relatively flat response (± 1 db) Upper frequency limit 120 Hz Part of the Preparatory Commission for the Comprehensive NuclearTest-Ban Treaty Organization.

Double MC, Andrews-Goff V, Jenner KCS, Jenner MN, Laverick SM, et al. (2014) Migratory Movements of Pygmy Blue Whales (Balaenoptera musculus brevicauda) between Australia and Indonesia as Revealed by Satellite Telemetry. PLOS ONE 9(4): e93578. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0093578 http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0093578

How does ENSO work? ENSO operates over the Pacific ocean Results from variations in ocean temperatures in the Equatorial Pacific Linked to extreme events such as flooding and drought

Model Selection SST SSH Chla @ Hydrophone Chla @ Feed SOI