Lecture 1. Amplitude of the seasonal cycle in temperature

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Lecture 6 Lecture 1 Ocean circulation Forcing and large-scale features Amplitude of the seasonal cycle in temperature 1

Atmosphere and ocean heat transport Trenberth and Caron (2001) False-colour satellite image of sea surface temperature in the Gulf Stream 2

Tropical SSTs affect hurricanes Global influence of El Nino 3

The Carbon Cycle Storage in GtC (10 9 tons of Carbon). Fluxes in GtC per year 6.1 Why study the ocean?! 71% of the Earth s surface is covered by water. Fisheries Military Coastal and offshore engineering Transport Mineral deposits and other resources Heat capacity of the upper 3m of the ocean is equivalent to the heat capacity of the entire atmosphere. Oceans transport a similar amount of heat polewards as the atmosphere. Changes in SST can affect the atmospheric circulation. Long memory of the oceans potential for seaonal climate prediction? Oceans store 50 times as much carbon as the atmosphere, and take up roughly 1/3 of that released due to human activity. Changes in the ocean due to global warming will feed back on climate. 4

Surface temperature projections (IPCC 2007) 2020-2029 2090-2099 Multi-model mean SRES A1B Scenario Uncertainty in the response of the ocean to global warming is one of the leading causes of uncertainty in European regional climate projections. A few differences between the atmosphere and the ocean! The ocean is: almost incompressible. bounded by continents. forced by buoyancy exchange at its upper surface. subject to a wind stress. grossly under-sampled in space and time. massive! It has a large heat capacity. 6.2 Air-sea interaction Ocean circulation is driven by: Surface wind stress Surface heat fluxes Freshwater fluxes (evaporation, precipitation, seaice formation, river discharge). Tidal forces 5

Climatological wind stress in January (NOC climatology, N m -2 ) Annual mean net air-sea heat flux (Wm 2 ) Heat flux has four components: Kallberg et al. (2005) Sensible heat flux due to air-sea temperature difference Latent heat flux associated with evaporation Incoming shortwave radiation from sun Longwave radiation from the atmosphere and ocean 6

Annual mean sea-surface temperature (SST) Evaporation (based on NCEP-NCAR CDAS1 data). Evaporation latent heat flux (1.27 m yr -1 = 100 Wm -2 ) Precipitation (data from the Global Precipitation Climatology Project). 7

Net E-P freshwater flux Surface salinity Zonal-average temperature Upper 1000m Whole watercolumn 8

6.3 The mixed layer The mixed layer (typically the top 50-100m of the ocean) is stirred by wind stress and convection, so its properties are relatively uniform in the vertical. radiative heating radiative cooling mixed layer T thermocline heat loss and evaporation convection entrainment wind wind-driven turbulence Beneath the mixed layer, T and S change rapidly throughout the thermocline (600m deep in mid-latitudes) to match the properties of the relatively homogeneous abyss. abyss The mixed layer can respond rapidly to surface meteorological forcing, exhibiting diurnal and seasonal variations, while the ocean interior beneath evolves on inter-annual to centennial (and longer) timescales. Mixed layer depth in JFM Only reaches > 100m during strong winter mixing and deep convection. and JJA Levitus (1994) 9

6.4 Definition of transport The transport of an ocean current is the volume of fluid passing through a prescribed control area per unit time. H L u For a current of width L, vertical extent H and constant speed u: T = ulh For a zonal current whose velocity varies horizontally and with depth: T = "" u dy dz Units of transport are m 3 s -1 or Sverdrups (Sv) where: 1 Sverdrup = 10 6 m 3 s -1 = about 2 million bathtubs per second! Streamlines are lines that lie parallel to the velocity vector at each point = snapshot of the flow field For steady flow, streamlines = trajectories followed by fluid parcels. Streamlines - can t start or stop in the middle of the fluid - can t cross except at a stagnation point - come closer together as flow speed increases 10

6.5 The continuity equation Because seawater is almost incompressible, a flow converging in one direction must be diverging in another. e.g. in 2D In 3D this requirement can be written as: 6.6 Main features of the large-scale circulation Cartoon of major wind-driven circulation features (Schmitz 1996) 11

Subtropical gyres in all major basins - anticyclonic, typical transports T ~ 30 Sv, typical velocities U ~ 1 cm s-1. Subpolar gyres in northern hemisphere basins - cyclonic. Gyres closed by intense western boundary currents, e.g. Gulf Stream, Kuroshio - L ~ 50 km, U ~ 1 m s-1. 12

Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) in the Southern Ocean - transport T ~ 130-200 Sv, U ~ 0.1-1 m s-1. Complex systems of quasi-zonal equatorial jets. 13

There is also an intense abyssal circulation e.g. the North Atlantic Deep Western Boundary Current - transport T ~ 10-20 Sv. Greg Holloway/Dan Wright This is part of a global meridional overturning circulation sometimes known as the thermohaline circulation. Superimposed on the mean circulation is an intense transient eddy field. Ocean eddies are the analogue of atmospheric weather systems. 14

The wide range of temporal and spatial scales involved in the ocean circulation poses severe challenges for observing and modelling the ocean. 15

Summary of key points The ocean is an important component of the climate system. Air-sea fluxes remain highly uncertain. The mean extra-tropical circulation is dominated by sluggish gyres closed by intense western boundary currents, the ACC in the Southern Ocean, and a global overturning circulation. Superimposed on the mean circulation is an intense transient eddy field. This poses major challenges for observing and modelling the ocean. 16