Limited Growth (Logistic Equation)

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Chapter 2, Part 2 2.4. Applications Orthogonal trajectories Exponential Growth/Decay Newton s Law of Cooling/Heating Limited Growth (Logistic Equation) Miscellaneous Models 1

2.4.1. Orthogonal Trajectories Example: Family of circles, center at (1,2): (x 1) 2 + (y 2) 2 = C DE for the family: y = x 1 y 2 2

Circles 4 3 2 1 1 1 2 3 3

Family of lines through (1,2): y 2 = K(x 1) DE for the family: y = y 2 x 1 4

Lines 4 3 2 1 1 1 2 3 5

y = x 1 y 2 y = y 2 x 1 negative reciprocals!! 6

Lines and circles 4 3 2 1 1 1 2 3 7

Given a one-parameter family of curves F(x, y, C) = 0. A curve that intersects each member of the family at right angles (orthogonally) is called an orthogonal trajectory of the family. 8

If F(x, y, C) = 0 and G(x, y, K) = 0 are one-parameter families of curves such that each member of one family is an orthogonal trajectory of the other family, then the two families are said to be orthogonal trajectories. 9

A procedure for finding a family of orthogonal trajectories G(x, y, K) = 0 for a given family of curves F(x, y, C) = 0 Step 1. Determine the differential equation for the given family F(x, y, C) = 0. 10

Step 2. Replace y in that equation by 1/y ; the resulting equation is the differential equation for the family of orthogonal trajectories. Step 3. Find the general solution of the new differential equation. This is the family of orthogonal trajectories. 11

Examples 1. Find the family of orthogonal trajectories of: y 3 = Cx 2 + 2 12

y 3 = x 2 + 2 2 4 2 2 4 2 4 13

Orthogonal trajectories: 3x 2 + 2y 2 + 8 y = C 4 2 4 2 2 4 2 4 14

Together: 4 2 4 2 2 4 2 4 15

2. Find the orthogonal trajectories of the family of parabolas with vertical axis and vertex at the point ( 1,3). Eqn. for the family: 16

Orthogonal trajectories: 1 2 (x + 1)2 + (y 3) 2 = C 17

Parabolas and ellipses 8 6 4 2 8 6 4 2 2 4 6 2 18

2.4.2. Radioactive Decay/Exponential Growth Radioactive Decay Experiment: The rate of decay of a radioactive material at time t is proportional to the amount of material present at time t. Let A = A(t) be the amount of radioactive material present at time t. 19

Mathematical Model da dt = k A, k < 0 constant, A(0) = A 0, the initial amount. Solution: A(t) = A 0 e kt. Half-life: T = ln 2. k 20

This is often written equivalently as: da dt = r A, r > 0 constant, A(0) = A 0, the initial amount. Solution: A(t) = a 0 e rt r is the decay rate. Solution: A(t) = A 0 e rt. Half-life: T = ln 2 r. 21

Graph: 22

Example: A certain radioactive material is decaying at a rate proportional to the amount present. If a sample of 50 grams of the material was present initially and after 2 hours the sample lost 10% of its mass, find: 23

1. An expression for the mass of the material remaining at any time t. 2. The mass of the material after 4 hours. 24

3. How long will it take for 75% of the material to decay? t 26.32 hours 4. The half-life of the material. T 13.16 hours 25

Exponential Growth Experiment: Under ideal conditions, the rate of increase of a population at time t is proportional to the size of the population at time t. Let P = P(t) be the size of the population at time t. 26

Mathematical Model dp dt = k P, k > 0 constant. P(0) = P 0, the initial population. k is the growth rate. Solution: P(t) = P 0 e kt. Doubling time: T = ln 2 k. 27

Graph: 28

Example: In 2000 the world population was approximately 6.1 billion and in the year 2010 it was approximately 7.0 billion. Assume that the population increases at a rate proportional to the size of population. 29

1. Find the growth constant and give the world population at any time t. Answer: P(t) = 6.1 ( 7.0 6.1 ) t/10 30

2. How long will it take for the world population to reach 12.2 billion (double the 2000 population)? Answer: T 50.4 years (doubling time) 31

3. The world population for 2017 was reported to be about 7.55 billion. What population does the formula in (1) predict for the year 2017? Answer: P(17) 7.71 32

Example: It is estimated that the arable land on earth can support a maximum of 30 billion people. Extrapolate from the data given in the previous example to estimate the year when the food supply becomes insufficient to support the world population. 2116 33

2.4.3. Newton s Law of Cooling Experiment: The rate of change of the temperature of an object at time t is proportional to the difference between the temperature of the object u = u(t) and the (constant) temperature σ of the surrounding medium (e.g., air or water) 34

du dt = k(u σ)

Mathematical Model du dt = k(u σ), k > 0 constant, u(0) = u 0, the initial temperature. Solution: u(t) = σ + [u 0 σ]e kt 35

Graphs: Sigma 0 0 Sigma 36

Example: Suppose that a corpse is discovered at 10 p.m. and its temperature is determined to be 85 o F. Two hours later, its temperature is 74 o F. If the ambient temperature is 68 o F, estimate the time of death. 37

u(t) = σ + [u 0 σ]e kt = 68 + (85 68)e kt = 68 + 17e kt 38

2.4.6. Limited Growth the Logistic Equation Experiment: Given a population of size M. The spread of an infectious disease at time t (or information, or...) is proportional to the product of the number of people who have the disease P(t) and the number of people who do not M P(t). 39

Mathematical Model: dp dt = kp(m P), k > 0 constant, = kmp kp 2 P(0) = R (the number of people who have the disease initially) Solution: The differential equation is both separable and Bernoulli. Solution: P(t) = MR R + (M R)e Mkt 40

Graph: 41

Mathematical Modeling Examples: 1. A 1000-gallon cylindrical tank, initially full of water, develops a leak at the bottom. Supose that the water drains off a rate proportional to the product of the time elapsed and the amount of water present. Let A(t) be the amount of water in the tank at time t. 42

a. Give the mathematical model (initial-value problem) which describes the process. da dt = kta, k < 0, A(0) = 1000 43

b. Find the solution. A(t) = 1000e kt2 /2. 44

c. Given that 200 gallons of water leak out in the first 10 minutes, find the amount of water, A(t), left in the tank t minutes after the leak develops. A(t) = 1000 ( 4 5 ) t 2 /100. 45

2. A 1000-gallon tank, initially containing 900 gallons of water, develops a leak at the bottom. Suppose that the water drains off a rate proportional to the square root of the amount of water present. Let A(t) be the amount of water in the tank at time t. 46

a. Give the mathematical model (initial-value problem) which describes the process. da dt = k A, k < 0, A(0) = 900 47

b. Find the solution A(t) = ( 1 2 kt + 30 ) 2. 48

3. A disease is spreading through a small cruise ship with 200 passengers and crew. Let P(t) be the number of monkeys who have the disease at time t. Suppose that 15 people had the disease initially and that the rate at which the disease is spreading at time t is proportional to the number of people who don t have the disease. 49

a. Give the mathematical model (initial-value problem) which describes the process. dp dt = k(200 P), P(0) = 15 50

b. Find the solution. P(t) = 200 185e kt. 51

c Find lim t P(t) and interpret the result. lim t P(t) = 200; everyone gets sick. 52

Existence and Uniqueness Theorem: Given the initial-value problem: y = f(x, y) y(a) = b. If f and f/ y are continuous on a rectangle R : a x b, c y b, then there is an interval a h x a + h on which the initial-value problem has a unique solution y = y(x). 53