The University of Texas at Austin, Jackson School of Geosciences, Austin, Texas 2. The National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado 3

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Assimilation of MODIS Snow Cover and GRACE Terrestrial Water Storage Data through DART/CLM4 Yong-Fei Zhang 1, Zong-Liang Yang 1, Tim J. Hoar 2, Hua Su 1, Jeffrey L. Anderson 2, Ally M. Toure 3,4, and Matthew Rodell 4 1 The University of Texas at Austin, Jackson School of Geosciences, Austin, Texas 2 The National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado 3 Universities Space Research Association (USRA), Columbia, MD, USA 4 NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, USA 1

Content DART/CLM4 land data assimilation system MODIS data assimilation MODIS and GRACE data assimilation New snow cover fraction parameterization scheme and its role in data assimilation 2

Community Land Model v.4 (CLM4) http://www.cesm.ucar.edu/models/clm/ SCF: Snow Cover Fraction SWE: Snow Water Equivalent Snow depth Snow: Ice+water +air space melts water SWE Niu and Yang, 2007 3

Data Assimilation Research Testbed (DART) http://www.image.ucar.edu/dares/dart/ A flexible data assimilation environment that facilitates atmosphere, ocean, and land data assimilation [Anderson, 2001] DART has been coupled with the Community Atmosphere Model and generated a 80-ensemble analysis data, which can be used to drive ocean or land models Hoar et al., 2012 AMS 4

The Coupled DART and CLM4 Lat Initial Conditions CLM Ensemble Members DART State Variables Forcings Restart Files Observations Lon Location of the observation The model gridcell 5

MODIS SCF data http://landweb.nascom.nasa.gov/animation/ Daily MODIS observation MODIS/Terra daily snow cover (MOD10C2; 0.05 o resolution; northern hemisphere) Retrieved using NDSI Preprocessed to 0.9 x1.25 Level 4 data Pixels with lower than 20% confidence index (percentage of clear sky over certain grid) will be discarded. 6

RMSE against MODIS data is reduced at each data assimilation step Zhang et al., 2014 DJF 2002-2003 MAM2002-2003 Differences (data assimilation minus open loop) of normalized absolute bias of SCF against MODIS Cold color: improvements Warm color: degradation 7

Comparison with CMC snow depth Site density map (Reichle et al., 2011) Difference (data assimilation open loop) of normalized absolute bias of model-simulated snow depth against CMC snow depth for Region 1 Region 4 Region 2 Region 3 Brown: improvements Blue: degradation 8

1 3 2 4 9

The MODIS-only data assimilation results are generally closer to the CMC data in site-dense regions than the open loop case but are further away from the CMC data in some portions of the Northern Hemisphere where observations are sparse (e.g., in dense forests and high-elevation regions). Snow data assimilation has little impact on SCF at highermiddle and high latitudes in winter because SCF in CLM4 ensembles is close to unity with little ensemble spread. Limitations include: Lack of observations due to sunlight and clouds Can not provide more information when snowpack is full 10

GRACE satellite data Different from MODIS that measures radiances, GRACE measures the distance between two satellites and retrieves land abnormal quantities from that. 11

CLM4 CLM4 CLM4 Open loop CLM4 CLM4 CLM4 First pass Monthly TWS GRACE Obs DART Analysis Initial conditions for the next first-pass run CLM4 CLM4 CLM4 Second pass 12

GRACE TWS assimilation TWS anomaly over North America mm mm GRACE TWS anomalies for Jan 2003 CLM mm 13

Snow Water Storage (Posterior minus Prior) MODIS assimilation MODIS and GRACE assimilation 14

TWS monthly anomaly from four data sources Reference time period: 2003 2005 GRACE Open loop First pass Second pass Jan Feb Mar Apr cm 15

Model uncertainty Open loop Second pass Second pass 16

While MODIS data assimilation is mainly effective along the snowline, GRACE provides valuable information at higher latitudes. This is confirmed by comparing to CMC snow depth observations. Ensemble spread shrinks fast. The value of GRACE become small after first month s assimilation. 17

SCF parameterization scheme in CLM4 Niu and Yang, 2006 18

Logarithm of number of grids in each bin Swenson and Lawrence, 2012 19

20

SCF parameterization scheme matters SCF Data assimilation results are very sensitive to snow cover fraction parameterization scheme SCF assimilation with the new SCF scheme shows better performance in the melting season, but not in the accumulation season 21

Thanks! Questions? 22