Needles and Numbers. The Buffon Needle Experiment

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eedles and umbers This excursion into analytic number theory is intended to complement the approach of our textbook, which emphasizes the algebraic theory of numbers. At some points, our presentation lacks the necessary justification of convergence; but we omit these details in order to give the main spirit of the analytic approach. We begin, however, with the following curious experiment. The Buffon eedle Experiment Consider a floor ruled with a family parallel lines spaced L units apart. Imagine a hardwood floor where the floorboards have width L; the lines are the cracks between the boards.) ow take a needle of length L and drop it on the floor. The probability that the needle crosses one of the lines is P rneedle crosses line) = π 0.37 as may be shown using elementary integration see the Appendix). Thus if the needle is dropped 000 times or we drop a box of 000 toothpicks each of length L) then we expect, on average, to obtain 37 crossings. Although 37 is the expected number of crossings, the observed number of crossings will typically be slightly more or less than 37. Georges-Louis Leclerc, Comte de Buffon 707-788) A typical outcome: 5 out of 8 needles cross the line Imagine, for example, that by dropping the needle 000 times, we obtain 4 crossings a reasonable number to expect). If we did not know an accurate value of π, we could use this experimental data to deduce an approximate value for π, thus: π 4 000 so π 000 4 3..

This agrees reasonably with the known value π = 3.459... to two almost three) significant digits. If you were trying to estimate π by measuring the circumference and circumference and diameter of a coffee can, and then dividing, you probably wouldn t do any better than this! The conventional value of π is of course more reliable; but how many people can actually certify the correctness of the commonly accepted value? Bear in mind that the digits 3.459535... cannot be verified by direct measurement of any physical circle; much more subtle formulas for π are required in order to obtain such numerical estimates for π.) We expect that using more trials 0000, 00000, etc. instead of 000 trials), we would obtain successively better approximations for π. This is true; yet in the limit, the accuracy of the outcome is fundamentally limited by the precision of the needle length and the spacing of the family of lines; also by the natural bias of the observer, who must decide in borderline cases whether to deem the needle as actually crossing a line. Statistical Properties of the Distribution of Primes Returning to number theory, imagine picking at random a number n {,, 3,..., 0}. More precisely, we mean that each of the numbers,, 3,..., 0 is selected with the same probability 0.) Clearly the probability that n is prime is P r randomly chosen n {,, 3,..., 0} is prime ) = 4 0 = 0.4 since 4 out of 0 outcomes namely n {, 3, 5, 7}) result in a prime value of n. What if numbers are chosen randomly from a much larger interval? n {,, 3,..., } where is an arbitrarily large integer, then P r randomly chosen n {,, 3,..., } is prime ) = π) If we choose where π) denotes the number of primes. This is standard notation; don t confuse this π with the usual constant π used above.) This probability tends to decrease toward 0) as increases, since the primes become more scarce i.e. less dense) the further we go to the right on the number line. The actual limiting density is given by the following: Prime umber Theorem. lim π) / ln =. This means that for large values of, we have π) ln. Put another way, P r randomly chosen n {,, 3,..., } is prime ) = π) / ln = ln.

The Prime umber Theorem, one of the major results of analytic number theory, was conjectured by Gauss and others based on empirical evidence. Gauss spent many of his waking hours tabulating lists of primes by hand, long before electronic calculators or graduate student slaves) were available to simplify the computational work involved. The theorem was finally proved in 89, independently by Hadamard and de la Vallée Poussin. Regrettably, this proof would take us more than once class to complete; and so we will omit it. ote that even for = 0, which is not so large, the result is already not too far off since it predicts π0) 0 ln 0 4.34 as compared with the true value π0) = 4 as noted above. For larger values of, compare the known values of π) with the estimate / ln as recorded in the following table: π) / ln 0 4 4.34 000 8 45 0 78,498 7,38 0 9 50,847,534 48,54,94 0 37,07,9,08 3,9,0,80 0 3,95,30,39,0,803,98,93,888,3,878,000,000,000,000 Exact values of π) are not available for values of much larger than this, but estimates are available by random sampling. Let s try this using MAPLE. Denote G = 0 00 = googol = 0000000000000 }{{ 0 }. 00 zeroes First write a small routine big) that returns a random number in {,, 3,..., G}: ow randomly select a million integers in {,, 3,..., G} and count how many of them are prime: 3

This says that 434 out of 000000 randomly selected numbers in the required range were found to be prime. So P r randomly chosen n {,, 3,..., G} is prime ) 434 000000 = 0.00434, as compared with the estimate ot bad. ln G = ln0 00 ) = 00 ln 0 0.00434. ext: Randomly select m, n {,, 3,..., }. We intend that each possible value n {,, 3,..., } is selected with the same probability, and the same for m; moreover, choices of m are independent of choices of n. In statistical language, m and n are independent identically distributed variables with a discrete uniform distribution.) What is the probability that m and n are relatively prime? Interestingly, if grows large, this probability approaches neither 0 nor, but rather approaches a value π 0.079 %: lim P r randomly chosen m, n {,, 3,..., } are relatively prime ) = π 0.079. Let s check this using MAPLE to randomly select a million pairs of numbers m, n {,, 3,..., G} and count how many relatively prime pairs are obtained: Since 0770 out of 000000 pairs are relatively prime, P r randomly chosen m, n {,, 3,..., G} are relatively prime ) 0770 000000 = 0.077 4

which compares well with the estimate above. Or if we don t take the value of π as given, we could estimate the value of π using our experimental data: 0.077 so π π 0.077 3.4. Actually, our calculations were based on the limiting probability as ; since G is finite, our probability is not quite π, which throws off our estimate of π. But you get the idea. This is all reminiscent of the Buffon eedle Experiment; but why is the probability that two large numbers are relatively prime, related to π? I dare you to show me a circle in this computation. Actually the explanation lies in the value ζ) = π of the Riemann zeta function, as we now describe. The Riemann Zeta Function First let s recall that the Riemann zeta function is defined by ζx) = n x = + x + 3 x + 4 x + 5 x + x + n= for all x >. This function was the subject of a famous 859 paper by Riemann, but was Bernhard Riemann 8-8) Leonhard Euler 707-783) earlier investigated by Leonhard Euler who obtained the following factorization: ζx) = ) ) ) ) ) ) = p x 3 5 7 p prime To verify that the Euler factorization of ζx) holds, expand the right hand side using t = + t + t + t 3 + t 4 +, valid for < t <, to obtain p prime p x ) = + x + 4 x + ) 8 x + + 3 x + ) 9 x + + ) 5 x + + ) 7 x + + ) x + + ) 3 x + = + x + 3 x + 4 x + 5 x + x + 7 x + 8 x + 9 x + 0 x + x + x + 3 x + 4 x + 5 x + 5

Here I have expanded, then listed terms in decreasing order of size, starting with the largest term. The fact that each term n for n ) appears in this expansion, is due to the fact x that every positive integer n is expressible as a product of prime powers. The fact that each term n occurs just once, is due to the fact that the prime factorization of n is unique. We x see that the Euler factorization of ζx) is a consequence of the Fundamental Theorem of Arithmetic the theorem asserting the existence and uniqueness of prime factorizations for the positive integers). Conversely, we can deduce the Fundamental Theorem of Arithmetic from the Euler factorization of ζx). Simply put, the Euler factorization of ζx) is a restatement of the Fundamental Theorem of Arithmetic. The factor p x ) is called the Euler factor for the prime p. The fact that the series + x + 3 x + 4 x + converges for x > and diverges for x, is well-known to Calculus II students; this follows from the Integral Test since t dt converges for x > and diverges for x. However, the Riemann zeta function x ζx) itself is defined for all x. Compare with the expansion t = + t + t + t 3 + where the series converges only for < t <, whereas the function t is defined for all x.) Indeed, the Riemann zeta function ζs) is defined for all complex values s. Writing s = x + iy where x, y R, the series and product expansions for ζs) converge only in the right half-plane x >, whereas the function ζx + iy) itself is defined whenever x, y), 0). The big question is, for which complex values of s does ζs) = 0? Aside from trivial solutions where s is a negative real number, it is conjectured that all these solutions lie on the vertical line x = in the complex plane. This was suggested by Riemann in his famous 859 paper, and so it has become known as the Riemann Hypothesis. This question RH) is generally recognized as the most significant unsolved problem in mathematics. Before describing the significance of RH, let s observe some more accessible connections between ζs) and the distribution of primes. Suppose that is exceedingly large. In order for two randomly chosen numbers m, n {,, 3,..., } to be relatively prime, it is necessary and sufficient that they have no prime factor in common. ow for each prime p, the number of elements in {,, 3,..., } divisible by p is approximately p. This value is exact if is divisible by p; otherwise, it is a very good approximation.) The probability that m is divisible by p is approximately /p = p. Also, the probability that n is divisible by p is approximately p. The probability that both m and n are divisible by p is therefore approximately p p = p.

The reason for multiplying the two probabilities, is that m and n are chosen independently.) Thus the probability that p is not a common factor of m and n is p. This is true for every prime p. ow if p and q are distinct primes, then divisibility by p is independent of divisibility by q. Thus, the probability that m and n do not have p as a common factor, and m and n do not have q as a common factor, is p ) q ). Once again, the justification for multiplying is the independence of divisibility by p and by q.) This same argument can be applied to all possible prime divisors; thus the probability that no prime p is a common divisor of m and n is p prime ) p = ) 3 ) 5 ) 7 ) ) = ζ) using the Euler factorization of ζx). All that remains is to determine the value of ζ). Euler s Determination of ζ) Many proofs of the identity ζ) = π are now available. Some of these proofs are more elementary than others. Some proofs are elementary but rather technical. We choose to present Euler s determination of ζ), which is both elementary and nontechnical. This argument does lack rigor, but all the missing details can be supplied using a course in complex analysis. Consider the function fz) = sin z. Since fπ) = 0, the function fz) should have ) ) z π as a factor. This factor cannot appear twice in fz); for if fz) = z gz) π then f z) = cos z = z ) g z) + z ) gz) π π and then evaluating at z = π gives = 0, which is impossible. So in fact fz) = ) ) z π gz) where gz) does not have any factor of the form z π. Similar reasoning shows that each of the factors z, z ), π + z ), π z ), π + z ), π 7 z ), 3π + z ),... 3π

should appear in fz) exactly once. And there are no more factors in fz), since we have taken care of all the places where fz) has roots. This means that fz) = Cz z ) + z ) z ) + z ) z ) + z ) π π π π 3π 3π where C is a constant. Why not allow a function Cz) instead of simply a constant C? Such a function Cz) would have to be reasonably smooth, and not have any roots; and it would have to satisfy certain growth constraints. Using complex analysis, one can deduce from this that Cz) = C is a constant. We omit the details of this argument.) ow expanding gives ) ) ) ) ) fz) = Cz z π z 4π z 9π z π z 5π = Cz C π + 4 + 9 + + ) 5 + z 3 + )z 5 + )z 7 + where the coefficients *) are not needed at this moment. However, Euler knew that sin z = ) k z k+ k + )! k=0 = z z3 3! + z5 5! z7 7! + = z z3 + z5 0 z7 5040 + for all z C. Our Calculus II students also know this in the case z is real.) Equating coefficients of z and z 3 from our two series for fz) = sin z gives C = ; π = + 4 + 9 + + 5 + = ζ). Although Euler did not have the tools necessary to justify all the steps in this argument, he realized that the predicted value ζ) = π.4493... was probably correct because it was in agreement with numerical estimates for the sum n= n using partial sums. Other values of ζk) We extend this argument from a pair of numbers m, n to a set of numbers m, m,..., m k. If m, m,..., m k are integers, not all zero, we define gcdm, m,..., m k ) to be the largest integer dividing all of the numbers m, m,..., m k. We say that m, m,..., m k are relatively prime if their greatest common divisor is. For example, 0,, 5 are relatively prime, even though no two of these numbers are relatively prime. The same argument as above shows that for k numbers m, m,..., m k chosen randomly from {,, 3,..., }, the probability that gcdm, m,..., m k ) = tends to ζk) as. Here I am assuming k ; but for k =, there is a natural interpretation of the result that also holds, as follows. For a single positive integer m, the greatest divisor of m is m itself, i.e. gcdm) = m; 8

and for all but one positive value of m, we have gcdm) >. So the probability that a single number m is relatively prime is zero. If we interpret ζ) = + + 3 + 4 + = the divergence of the harmonic series), then ζ) for a single number to be relatively prime. = 0 agrees with the probability of zero For even integer values of k, nice formulas are available for ζk); for example, ζ) = π π4 π π8, ζ4) =, ζ) =, ζ8) = 90 945 9450,.... There is a general formula for ζr), which however involves Bernoulli numbers. o explicit formula is known for ζ3), ζ5), ζ7), etc. In 979, Apéry proved that ζ3) is irrational; but beyond this, almost nothing is known. Several popular books have appeared in recent years dealing with ζs) and RH, including The importance of the Riemann Hypothesis and zeta function J. Derbyshire, Prime Obsession: Bernhard Riemann and the Greatest Unsolved Problem in Mathematics, Joseph Henry Press, Washington D.C., 003. D. Rockmore, Stalking the Riemann Hypothesis: The quest to find the hidden law of prime numbers, Vintage Books, ew York, 005. K. Sabbagh, The Riemann Hypothesis: The Greatest Unsolved Problem in Mathematics, nd ed., Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 004. M. du Sautoy, The Music of the Primes: Searching to Solve the Greatest Mystery in Mathematics, HarperCollins, 003. K. Devlin, The Millenium Problems: The Seven Greatest Unsolved Mathematical Puzzles of Our Time, Basic Books, 00. Our discussion of the probability that a set of numbers is relatively prime, provides only a mere hint of the importance of the Riemann zeta function ζs). Much more generally, 9

questions regarding any statistical properties of the distribution of primes involve aspects of ζs). In particular, since the Prime umber Theorem gives the approximation π) = ln + ε where the error term ε is small compared to the dominant term ln, namely ε / ln 0 as, we see that any better estimates for π) require a better understanding of the size of the error term ε. It is known that in fact ε has size roughly ln ) ; but the Riemann Hypothesis would yield better bounds for ε. This observation gives a better sense of the significance of the Riemann Hypothesis. Appendix: Explanation of the Buffon eedle Experiment Finally, let s explain the probability of crossing a line in Buffon s needle experiment. We may assume that the ruling lines on the floor are the lines y = 0, y = ±L, y = ±L, y = ±3L, etc. Consider a randomly dropped needle, as shown. Using symmetry, there is no loss of generality in assuming that the center of the needle lies at a point 0, y) with 0 y L, and that the needle forms an angle θ [ 0, π ] with respect to the y-axis as shown. For each center 0, y), the needle crosses the x-axis iff cos θ [ y L, ], iff θ [ 0, cos y ] L, which occurs with probability cos y/l) π/. Averaging over all y [ ] 0, L gives an overall probability of L/ L/ 0 π cos y L ) dy = π for the needle to cross the x-axis. 0 cos u du = π 0