On the Conjecture of Hardy & Littlewood concerning the Number of Primes of the Form n2 + a

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On the Conjecture of Hardy & Littlewood concerning the Number of Primes of the Form n + a By Daniel Shanks 1. Introduction. In a famous paper, [1], Hardy and Littlewood developed a number of conjectures concerning the twin primes, the Goldbach problem, and other unsettled questions. One of these, Conjecture F, concerned the number of primes of the form Am + Bm + C. We reword this conjecture, and at the same time reduce its generality somewhat, as follows: Conjecture. // a is an integer which is not a negative square, a p* fc, and if Pa(N) is the number of primes of the form n + a for 1 ^ n ^ N, then (1) P«(N)~\haJ : dn log n where the constant ha is the infinite product () Ä =n(i-( ) -^-r) w.fa \ \ W / W 1/ taken over all odd primes, w, which do not divide a, and for which ( a/w) is the Legendre symbol. In the trivial cases, a = A;, since (k/w) = +1 for every w, we have ha = 0 on the one hand, and on the other there can be at most one prime of the form n k* = (n k)(n + A;). For any other a, ha > 0, and the conjecture indicates that there are infinitely many primes. But for no a has this been proven. In particular, for a = 1, since ( 1/w) equals +1 or 1 according as w = m + 1 or Am 1, we have () h = (1 + è)(l - i)(l + i)(l + tv)(1 - tv) = 1.71 and therefore (1) implies that () P^N) ~ 0.07 f Ji dn log n ' A. E. Western [] verified that the number of primes of the form n + 1 agreed well with the right side of () up to N = 15,000. In a recent paper [] a sieve method was developed for factoring numbers of the form n +1, and more generally of the form n + a, and it was shown that the good agreement in () continues to hold out to N = 10,000; (iv + 1 =,00,000,001). This verification, however, was not applied to () directly but to the related formula, (7), given below. Let ña(n) be the number of odd primes, q, which are ^N, which do not divide Received April, 190 1

DANIEL SHANKS a, and for which ( a/q) = 1. These are the primes which never divide n + a. It is well known that (5) i.(«~jr^- J log n and therefore (1) can be rewritten as () fot *" Likewise () can be rewritten as (7) ^S ~ 1.71. *i(iv) Since, in [], we had Px( 10,000) = 11, #i( 10,000) = 17, and 11/17 = 1.7, the agreement with the right side of (7) was even better than could be expected. It is clear that the Tra(N) in () could be replaced by the asymptotically equal ir(iv) or by na(n), (for the latter number we count the p's such that ( a/p) = +l).but () as it stands is to be preferred for two reasons. First, Ta(N) is generally much closer to J / f" > dn /log n than are either of the other two counts. See [, sec. 10 and Table 7] for a discussion of the case a = 1. Second, the ratio in () has a simple geometric interpretation in the algebraic number field Ä(-\/ a). See [, p. ] for a discussion of the case a = 1, the Gauss plane. In the present paper [5] we first develop an interesting and rapidly converging formula for computing the ha and we tabulate these constants for a = (1). We then present short tables of Pa(N) and ira(n) for a = ±, ±, +, and for AT = 10,000(10,000)10,000 which show that () also gives good agreement in these five cases. Finally we present an elementary (sieve) argument which makes it plausible that the Hardy-Littlewood conjecture is true for every a. Further, an analysis of this computation enables us to isolate the essential difficulty in obtaininga proof.. The Right Side of (). To compute the ha we will want the following Lemma. For \ x <, where the exponents b(s) are given by (1) = () = () = 1, () =, (5) =, () = 5, and, in general, if d is an odd divisor of s and / (d) is its Mobius function, then (9) («) = Ad)"d. S d Examples of (9) : A.) If s = p, an odd prime, d = 1 or d = p and [] (9a) b(p) = (P - )/p = ('-1 - I)/p.

conjecture concerning the number OF PRIMES OF THE FORM n + a (9b) B.) If s = *, then d can only equal 1 and (s) = '~1/s. Therefore (7) = 9 and () = 1. Proof of the Lemma. After taking the logarithm of both sides of (), (10) -In (1 - x) = b(s) In [(1 + x)/(l - x')], i we expand both sides in Maclaurin series and identify the corresponding coefficients. This yields the condition, for s = km, with m odd, Now applying the Möbius inversion formula we obtain (9). Since from (11) we also have (s) ^ */s it follows that (10) converges if x \ < J and the steps may be reversed to yield (). Now for any a? k let p< be the odd primes such that ( a/p) = +1, let gt be the odd primes such that ( a/q) = 1, and let n =, r, r,, rc be the (finite number of) primes which divide a. Further, for s = 1,,,, let the product being taken over the p's and q's in numerical order. Finally for s =,,,, let (1) Us) - r(«) fl (i - o where f (s) is the Riemann Theorem. If zeta function. (1) / (0) = f.()/la(l) andkam(s) = Us)/La(s)Us) for s =,,,, then (15) ha=f0m-fl[k0m(s)r\ where b(s) is given by (9). More generally, for more rapid convergence, we may select a positive integer u and define (1) >" - > " Ô 0 - S5PTÎ5) - *" S (' -1) (^) and ( 17) Kaw (,) = K (s) ft f 1 + -r-^ ) = Kaw ( ) n (K^) Then for every u = 0, 1,,,,_1 \ Pi' - 1/ <=1 \p<' - 1/ (1) Aa=/a(U)n[#a(U)(s)]MS).»=

DANIEL SHANKS Proof. For every s =,,,, and we easily verify that (i9) 1 = * <0)(s)n(^)- We likewise find that (0)..r.n(i-?)(^) so for any positive integer m, we have from (19) and (0) bu) ^rnicwr. ft (i-fk^vn ft ( ±)»- i=u+l \ Pi/ \Pi 1/ «- i-u+1 \P " 1/ Since m is finite the order of the products may be changed to give m oo / rt\ m / a i\(<) *. = /.w n iif.wwr n (1- ) n fe^) «= <=«+i \ p,-/»=1 \Pi* 1/ Now every p >, and we may therefore use () with x = l/pt- to obtain m oo oo / s i\o(«) *. = /.w n [^(u,(s)](s) n n fe^i). «= i-u+1 «-m+1 \Pt T" 1/ But it may be readily seen that the double infinite product on the right converges (monotonically increasing) to 1 as m»», and it thus follows that the right side of (1) converges (monotonically decreasing) to ha as m»». The computation of the ha from (1) requires knowledge of the La(s). Now every La(s) has a Dirichlet series 00 La(s) = dn(a)n~' n=l with real periodic coefficients. Specifically we have (1) Li(«) = 1 - - + 5- - 7- +- + -,.(«) = 1 + ~ - 5- - 7- + + --, L-(s) - 1 - - - 5" + 7~s +--+, L(s) = 1-5- + 7's - 11- +- + -, L_(s) = 1-5- - 7- + H" +-- +, Í(«) = 1 - - + 5- - 7- +- + -. The L0(l), which enter into /o(0) as defined by eq. (1), may be obtained in closed form by use of Gauss sums and Fourier series, [7]. Specifically, for a > 0 we have the simple TT () La(l) = -~ q«y/a where the qa for 1 a ^ 100 are listed in Table 1.

CONJECTURE CONCERNING THE NUMBER OF PRIMES OF THE FORM U - a 5 Table 1 Qa 9a 1 5 7 9 10 11 1 1 1 15 1 17 1 19 0 1 5 i 1 1 1 1 7 9 0 1 5 7 9 0 1 5 7 9 50 5 51 5 5 5 55 5 57 5 59 0 1 5 7 9 70 71 7 7 7 75 9 7 10 7 77 7 79 0 1 5 7 9 90 91 9 9 9 95 9 97 9 99 100 5 9 10 1 Table - - - -1 0 1 0 1.9 1.50051 0 0 1.71 0.71010 1.10775 1.71 The La(l) for negative a are a little more complicated and will not be listed here. As regards La(s) for other values of s, Li(s) is a well known function, but except for a few scattered results, [], values of the other L's do not seem to have been published. J. W. Wrench, Jr. has computed unpublished tables of L0(s) for a = ± and ±. With his permission the author used these tables, together with (1), to compute the four corresponding values of ha in Table. The remaining entries, ä_i = ft_i «ho = 0 and hi = hi, are trivial. The variation of the ha in Table is notable. For example, there should be

DANIEL SHANKS more than two and one-half times as many primes of the form n as of the form n -f-. As a side remark, wenotefrom (15) that/o<0) = U)Vä/irqa is the leading factor of ha. Thus for a > 0, n + a will therefore have few or many primes according as qa is large or small (relative to \/ä/ir). From Table 1 we see that there will be few primes for a =, 5, 11, 1,, 1, 9, and 19, (qm = 0) and there will be many primes for a = 7, 7, 5, and 1, (qm = ). The famous function of Euler, n + n + 1, equals \[(n + l) + 1] and its well-known richness in primes is thus closely related to the small value of qm This, in turn, is related in class number theory to the unique factorization of the integers in the algebraic number field R(V~ 1).. The Left Side of (). Tables of Pa(N) and ifa(iv) for a = ±, ±, +, and N = loofc (k = 1,,, 100) were computed with an IBM 70 program based on the sieve method and the p-adic square roots of a, [, sec. 9]. At the same time the prime divisors of n + a which do not exceed N were counted, and from these counts the values of fa(n) are easily obtained. Summaries of these results are given in Tables,, and 5. In the last of these, the results for a = are compared with the previous results [] for a = 1.. Both Sides of (). In Figure 1 we plot Pa(N)/fa(N) versus N together with the conjectured limits, ha, for a = ± and ±. The cases a = 1 and a =, (which should be asymptotically equal since hi = hi), are not included in this figure for clarity. If included, these two graphs would intertwine that for the case a =. 5. An Elementary Interpretation. The over-all impression of the foregoing results is that () and its equivalent (1) are almost surely true for a = 1, ±, ±,. Table P*W) f,(n) Pi(.N)/xi(N) P-10)»_,(#) Pj(iV)/ï.,(V) 10000 0000 0000 0000 50000 0000 70000 0000 90000 100000 110000 10000 10000 10000 150000 10000 170000 10000 17 110 19 11 10 9 19 71 07 7 5 9 550 55 57 11 1 117 50 051 7 9 7 79 59 59 090 51 95 77 777 19 0.77 0.705 0.70 0.7057 0.705 0.700 0.715 0.711 0.7170 0.71 0.711 0.719 0.71 0.719 0.7150 0.71 0.7110 0.71 115 10 07 977 5 79 0 91 10500 110 10 1 1 197 151 5 110 11 11 57 01 1 97 7 0 5 5 117 5 95 7 77 1 1. 1.77 1.97 1.0 1.7 1.55 59 579 0 1. 1.79 1.0 1.500 1. 1.511 1.5 1.9

CONJECTURE CONCERNING THE NUMBER OF PRIMES OF THE FORM 7l - a 7 Table P*(N) *,(N) P.(V)/*»(iV) P-i(iV) r-,(at) P-,(N)/ï-,(lf) 711 10 151 7 90 97 91 5 5917 10 7 77 7 0 71 90 1 11 1 11 575 01 90 97 7 0. 5 55 105 5 90 71 77 195 1.15 1.11 1.15 1.159 1.10 1.17 1.17 1.1 1.199 1.190 1.107 1.115 1.15 1.1 1.17 1.17 1.10 1.175 50 159 90 550 1 79 5 09 75 77 91 907 9 10 10799 115 0 119 17 10 577 00 95 7 19 57 57 097 5 950 7 775 00 1.710 1.775 1.71 1.771 1.77 1.75 1.7 1.0 1.9 1.9 1. 1.0 1.97 1.907 1.90 1.90 1.907 1. Table 5 Pt(N) i,(n) = ñ(n) Pt(N)/i,(N) Pi(A') Pi(.N)/ri{N) Pi(N)/Pt(,N) 70 155 1 59 0 90 51 590 517 7099 7700 00 9 9 1000 1055 111 19 11 1 117 5 0 5 9 0 57 575 10 51 91 71 7770 17 1.055 1.0 1.570 1.0 1.91 1.0 1.5 1.7 1.57 1.55 1.50 1.5 1.00 1.17 1.0 1.59 1.597 1. 1 1559 95 1 5 551 0 5 79 7795 9 9 9505 1007 105 11 1.5 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.99 1.0 1.017 1.91 1. 1.79 1.7 1.71 1.95 1.9 1. 1.717 1.7 0.97 1.00 1.0 1.00 1.05 1.01 1.0 1.0 1.01 1.01 1.00 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.007 1.00 1.009 1.007 We now offer a theoretical argument in favour of these asymptotic equations for all a. We will specifically carry it through for a = 1, but the argument is easily generalized. The case a 1 is the only one which Hardy and Littlewood treated in detail. Their computation, however, was deep and function-theoretic. In contrast, the present argument is elementary, [9]. It will be assumed that the reader is acquainted with the n + 1 sieve which is described in detail in [].

DANIEL SHANKS.0 PptN) SfllN) h =1.5005 P.(N) CIS) n'+ h_= 1. h * 1.107 0.5 n + 50,000 100,000 150,000 00,000 N Fig. 1. The Hardy Littlewood Conjecture. h > 0.710 Consider the infinite product by Hardy and Littlewood, (), () for hi, not in the form in which it was given since this masks its true nature; but in the equivalent form h or, even better, as H) R) R) 0-Â) (.-*) () h _H). c-i) (-a) R)(>-i)R)Fî)(-è)FS) Now for a suitably large A7' let w* be the greatest prime satisfying w JV and let p* be the greatest prime of the form m + l which satisfies p ^ N. We write the corresponding partial product of (), which approximates hi, as follows:»(-í)('-p('- )-(i-a () him N Now this approximation to Äi is in turn seen to be approximated (and we will inquire later as to the degree of the approximation) by N times the ratio of the primes which remain in two sieves, the Eratosthenes sieve (for all primes) from n = 1 to n = N in the denominator and the n - 1 sieve from n + 1 = to n + \ = N -1 in the numerator.

CONJECTURE CONCERNING THE NUMBER OF PRIMES OF THE FORM n + a 9 Without attempting precision at this point that is, without bounding the error we note that in the Eratosthenes sieve one first strikes out the multiples of. This leaves N(l ) numbers (with an error of 0 or ). One then strikes out the remaining multiples of leaving iv(l )(1 J) numbers (again except for a possible end-effect correction.) Continuing with the primes 5, 7,, w* creates the denominator of (). The latter therefore equals ir(v) - ir(n) + E(N), the number of primes up to N minus the number of primes up to N, with an endeffects error, E(N), which is not yet bounded. We note that t(n) - r(n) ~ ^ AN) ~ Niti(N) by the prime number theorem. In the n - 1 sieve we first factor a from all numbers where n = m - 1 leaving iv(l ) of the numbers (except for an end-effect error). We then factor a 5 where n = 5m - and where n 5m +. This leaves N(l )(1 f) numbers (except for the end-effect error). Continuing with all primes of the form m + 1 ; 1, 17,, p* generates the numerator. The latter therefore equals P(N) - P(VÑ~^T) + e(n), the number of primes of the form n - 1 up to N + 1 minus the number of such primes up to N with an end effect e(n). Therefore, we may write (5) h - lim P(N) - P(V*^) + «W> (5) fc-üm *l{n) + E(N)/N while what we would like to write is r, y P(N) h = Inn r^-. w-=o iri(n) Now by Merten's Theorem the denominator of () is asymptotic where y is Euler's constant [10]. Therefore the end effect, E(N)/N, compared with wi(n). Instead we have to Ne~y/log N is not negligible () ^^^0.19 = ^-1. If we could show e(n) (7) P(N)-P(VÑ^l)~e-y-1 all would be well, but the difficulty of the problem is such that we cannot even prove that the left side of (7) is bounded from above. If we could do that, we would at least have P(N)»» but even this "weak" result eludes us. It is of interest to analyze this difficulty. Let () D(N) = P(N) - P(VÑ~^1)

0 DANIEL SHANKS and (9) SW).,(, _!)(,. i)-(i-f) Then the conjectured relation (7) is equivalent to the conjecture (0) Œ ~ e~y = 1.19. Now from the sieve for n - 1, [], we can obtain an exact formula for D(N) by using the "integer part of x" function, [a;]. Consider the set of numbers obtained from d = "-5*-1e p*1 by assigning (in all possible ways) 0 and 1 to the exponents a,, c,. For each such d, let Ai be the solutions of which satisfy A m -1 (modd) 0 S A < d. Then if d is a product of a primes, we have (1) D(N) -Ç(-l)«Çpl+iil It may be seen that if there are M primes of the form m + 1 which are ^N, then there will be -" terms in this sum. Even for a very modest N, say 15, we have p* = 1, M =, and there are already 1 terms. Specifically, Dim, m - [ï+i] _ p+5] _ [ +*] + [Í+I] + [ï+i] +[^]+m+f**] -[^-] - F&*] [JV + 57] _ [AT - 7] L 10 J L 10 J" In general, it is easily seen, the formula for S(N) may be obtained from that for D(N) by deleting the A, and the square brackets. Thus for V = 15 in the example, we have D/.n,r N N, N N,N, AT W -HX'-iX-á)-

CONJECTURE CONCERNING THE NUMBER OF PRIMES OF THE FORM W - a 1 Table S(N) D(N) S(N)/D(N) 100 00 00 00 500 00 700 00 900 1000 1100 100 100 100 1500 1.1.5 9.00 50.9 1. 71.7 1.5 91.5 101.075 110.901 119.91 19.51 1. 17.75 15.790 15 51 7 7 9 10 11 1 1 10 150 1.01 1.009 0.9 0.99 0.99 1.055 1.07 1.050 1.099 1.07 1.071 1.01 00 055 1.05 For AT small, S(N) and D(N) are nearly equal; e.g., S(15) =.1, D(15) = i As N increases, S(N) gradually pulls ahead of D(N), as is seen in Table. The end effect is given by () e(n) = S(N) - D(N) OO-Ci-U-cß-p^] Since the quantity in each brace is smaller in magnitude than unity, it is easy enough to bound e(n). What is difficult to obtain is a sufficiently good bound that is, to prove in general, the extensive cancellation of terms of opposite sign which occurs in the sum of (). The essential difficulty stems from the very rapid increase in the number of terms, ^^. Techniques of deleting or combining terms, in sieve formulations of related problems, have been devised by Brun and others [11] but to date nothing sufficiently sharp has been developed. A general assessment of sieve techniques given by Selberg [1] is not encouraging. Applied Mathematics Laboratory David Taylor Model Basin Washington 7, District of Columbia 1. G. H. Hardy & J. E. Littlewood, "Partitio numerorum III: On the expression of a number as a sum of primes," Acta Math., v., 19, p... A. E. Western, "Note on the number of primes of the form n1 + 1," Cambridge Phil. Soc, Proc, v. 1, 19, p. 10-109.. Daniel Shanks, "A sieve method for factoring numbers of the form ns 1," MTAC, v. 1, 1959, p. 7-.. Daniel Shanks, "Quadratic residues and the distribution of primes," MTAC, v. 1, 1959, p. 7-. 5. Daniel Shanks, "On the conjecture of Hardy and Littlewood concerning the number of primes of the form n + a," Notices, Amer. Math. Soc, v., 1959, p. 17. Abstract 559-5.

DANIEL SHANKS. The numbers (s) also arise in an entirely different connection they are related to the number of distinct circular parity switches of order s. See Daniel Shanks, "A circular parity switch and applications to number theory," Notices, Amer. Math. Soc, v. 5, 195, p. 9. Abstract 5-7. It was in this connection that the author first noted the unusual proof of a special case of the Fermât "little" theorem see (9a) above. Likewise it was in this connection that Bernard Elpsas, in a private communication to the author (Sept., 195), developed the formula (9). 7. E. Landau, Aus der elementaren Zahlentheorie, Chelsea, 19, Part IV, Chap. -9.. Fletcher, Miller & Rosenhead, Index of Mathematical Tables, McGraw-Hill, 19,,, p.. The correspondence between our notation and theirs is as follows: Li(s) = u*, E(s) = p», L-i(s) = qn, Lz(s) = hv., and L. (s) = U. 9. A similar sieve argument was given for the twin prime problem in Charles S. Sutton, "An investigation of the average distribution of twin prime numbers," Jn. Math. Phys., v. 1, 197, p. 1^. 10. G. H. Hardy & E. M. Wright, An Introduction to the Theory of Numbers, Oxford, 19, p. 9. 11. Ernst Trost, Primzahlen, Basel, 195, Chap. IX. 1. A. Selbebg, "The general sieve method and its place in prime number theory," Proc, Inter. Congress Math., Cambridge, 1950, p..