R. Pain CSP 07 June 17,

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http://www.cfht.hawaii.edu/snls R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 1

Outline SNLS : the SuperNova Legacy Survey Cosmological analysis & first results (+3yr update) Systematic uncertainties & expected precision R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 2

Cosmology with SNe Ia Type Ia Supernovae R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 3

What is dark energy? Measurement ingredients: Low-z SNe High-z SNe => this experiment Ω Μ prior or constraint => BAO δw (w=-1) ~ 2 δm R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 4

SNLS The SuperNova Legacy Survey R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 5

SNLS Collaboration (as of June 07) P. Astier,, D. Balam,, C. Balland,, S. Basa, R. Carlberg,, D. Fouchez, J. Guy, D. Hardin,, I. Hook,, D. A. Howell,, R. Pain, K. Perrett, C. J. Pritchet, N. Regnault, M. Sullivan and R. Amanullah,, V. Arsenijevic,, S. Baumont,, G. Bazin, S. Fabbro,, A. Goobar, E. Hsiao, T. Kronbord,, J. Ledu, C. Lidman,, R. McMahon,, A. Mourao, J. D. Neill, N. Palanque-Delabrouille,, S. Perlmutter, J. Rich, P. Ripoche, V. Ruhlman-Kleider,, N. Suzuki, E. Walker R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 6

Imaging survey with Megacam/Megaprime at CFHT CFHT : 3.6 m (1979) Megacam/Megaprime : 1 deg 2, 36 CCD 2k*4K, = 328 Mpixel First light : fall 2002 R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 7

SNLS Imaging Survey : CFHTLS/deep Part of CFHLS : 470 nights (dark-grey) over 5 years (2003-2008) = ~50% of total CFHT dark-grey time Four 1 deg² fields (0226-04, 1000+02, 1419+53, 2215-18) XMM deep VIMOS SWIRE GALEX Cosmos/ACS VIMOS SIRTF XMM Groth strip Deep2 ACS XMM deep Excellent image quality (0.5-0.6 arc sec.) Queue scheduling, Excellent temporal sampling Depth i >24.5 (S/N=8, 1 hr); r > 28 in final stacked image R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 8

SNLS observing strategy : Rolling Search Each lunation (~18 nights) : repeated observations (every 3-4 night) of 2 fields in four bands (griz)+u for as long as the fields stay visible (~6 months) for 5 years Expected total nb of SN : ~2000 (detected( detected) R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 9

SNLS - The Spectroscopic survey Goals : - spectral id of SNe up to z~1 - redshift (host galaxy) - detailled study of a subsample of Ia,, Type IIs (complementary programs, ) Where? : - VLT LPs : 60h/semester - Gemini : 60h/semester - Keck : 3n/year (1 st semester) Queue/service observing R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 10

Real time operations 2 search pipelines (C & F) : Data stays in Hawaii, remote real-time access Short turnaround (6 hr to SN candidates) Pipelines output matched (95% overlap m<24.5) Candidates to be spectred ranked and dispatched to VLT, Gemini, Keck R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 11

SNLS Real Time Imaging Typical time-sampling and light-curve coverage R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 12

SNLS Real Time Spectral Identification - Get redshift from host galaxy lines/spectrum - Fit observed spectrum to a model made of SN+galaxy drawn from a database (about 200 templates of SNIa, SNIbc and II + galaxy templates): M(α,β,λ,z)= z)=α*sn( *SN(λ(1+z))+β*Gal(λ(1+z))(1+z)) Use host galaxy observation when present z, id made public within 24h R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 13

Redshift distribution (as of Mar 2007) R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 14

Cosmology Analysis -22 independent analysis chains (C &F) Main analysis steps : - Differential photometry of SNe (and PSF photom.. of stars) --- Fit of multi-color light curves - Calibration of Deep fields (anchored to Landolt system) - cosmology fit - control/evaluation of possible systematics First year data set (published) : 72 high-z Ia analyzed 3 yr data set (up to July 2006) : ~250 Ia on Hubble diagram R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 15

Differential Photometry - Optimal differential photometry: data model residuals Final uncertainties ~ expected from pure photon statistics R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 16

Measurement of SN fluxes Need a SN spectral model - as a function of time (time sampling) and wavelength (because of redshift) 04D3fk at z=0.358 m* B =22.532+/- 0.005 s=0.913+/-0.005 c=0.149+/-0.006 04D3gx at z=0.91 m* B =24.708+/- 0.094 s=0.952+/-0.047 c=-0.202+/-0.163 R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 17

LC modelling does not (necessarily) carry systematic uncertainty: The model can be adjusted on the survey data itself -> errors ~ 1/sqrt(N) Example with SNLS : (astro-ph/0701828, A&A) R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 18

Photometric calibration Recorded in the detector: ADU -> physical flux (photons s -1 cm -2 ) 2 steps : 1) ADUs -> magnitude : flux ratios to (secondary) stars calibrated on a primary star 2) magnitude -> flux : known primary spectrum integrated in the instrument response model 1 2 R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 19

CFHT/Megacam mosaic «natural» photometric non uniformity non uniformity after standard «flat-field» correction Measured using stars : residual dispersion ~0.02-3 R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 20

Color non uniformity Mean effective (optics+filters+ccd) color Ex :g-gr A few nm shift : marginally acceptable today δzp~0.005 achievable today R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 21

Calibration : reference star One needs to know the flux ratio of the reference star in 2 distinct filters ex : B-R color of the ref star (Vega) Today : depends on white dwarf stellar models -> HST (Bohlin) -> compatible ~0.01 with black body calibration (Hayes 1985) Close to the systematic limit: (B-R) uncertainty of 0.01 <=> ~200 SN at <z>~0.5 R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 22

SNLS First year Hubble diagram Final sample : 45 nearby SN from literature +71 SNLS SN Χ 2 /d.o.f=1 with an additionnal intrinsic dispersion σ int ~0.13 mag (errors take into account covariance matrix of fitted parameters m,s,c) B R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 23

Cosmological parameters (1st year) 68.3, 95.5 and 99.7% CL Green SNLS, Blue SDSS/BAO 2005 Ω M = 0.271 +/- 0.021 (stat) +/- 0.007 (syst( syst) w = -1.023 +/- 0.090 (stat) +/- 0.054 (syst( syst) R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 24

Third year SNLS Hubble Diagram Preliminary 3/5 years of SNLS ~250 distant SNe Ia Ω M =0.3, Ω λ =0.7 Ω M =1.0, Ω λ =0 R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 25

Preliminary 3-yr cosmological Constraints SNe WMAP-3 BAO Preliminary BAO 7% measure of w SNe SNLS+BAO (No flatness) SNLS + BAO + simple WMAP + Flat R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 26

SNLS 1st yr systematic uncertainties Calibration Nearby sample! SN modelling R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 27

Systematics : Malmquist Bias Impact on Ω m (flat ΛCDM) : SNLS SNe : - 0.02 +- 0.01 R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 28

Selection bias in the nearby sample easy to evaluate in SNLS (rolling search, one telescope). For nearby SNe : sample built from several surveys Becoming today s largest systematic uncertainty (everybody uses - approximately - the same nearby sample!) R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 29

A local Hubble bubble? Latest MLCS2k2 paper (Jha 2007) MLCS2k2 attempts to separate intrinsic colourluminosity and reddening 3σ decrease in Hubble constant at 7400 km/sec local value of H 0 high; distant SNe too faint Local void in mass density? Could have significant effects on w measurement R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 30

Hubble Bubble or color bias+lc fitter? SALT MLCS2k2 Conley et al. 2007 R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 31

Are local and distant SN Ia alike? Brighter- Slower Brighter-Bluer black: SNLS blue: Nearby R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 32

SNLS selection of hosts D2 ACS imaging Plenty of irregular/latetype systems Few genuine ellipiticals R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 33

Testing the model: Environmental studies How do we get host mass and host SFR estimates? Spectral template fitting: PEGASE-2 photometric redshift code takes galaxy spectral templates, and fits them to observed magnitudes (ugriz( fluxes) u g r i z The evolutionary models give us the parameters that define the galaxy SED e.g. Integrated stellar mass, Average recent star- formation history SNLS-03D1au z=0.51 R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 34

Stretch vs environment Fainter SNe Stretch Brighter SNe R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 35

Environmental differences? No evidence for differences between light-curves in passive and active galaxies Black passive Red active R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 36

Expected near term precision on w (~2008)( Expected «realistic» statistical improvements on Ω M and w KAIT+CFA+CSP+ SNF/(SDSS) # nearby SNe 44 44 132 # distant SNe 71 213 500 σω M (current BAO) 0.023 0.019 0.018 σw (current BAO) 0.088 0.064 0.055 σω M (BAOx2) 0.016 0.014 0.013 σw (BAOx2) 0.081 0.054 0.044 + systematics R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 37

Conclusions 1/2 SNLS first year data (combined with low-z SNe and BAO) gives - w (constant, flat) ~ -1 with δw(stat.)~0.10 - no significant constraint on w 3yr update soon to come with ~30% improved statistical and systematic uncertainties. The dominant systematics comes from Neaby SN sample. Expected precision on w(const.) by SNLS end (2008-9) : +/- 0.04-5 (stat) and +/-0.05 (syst) R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 38

Conclusions 2/2 Lessons for future high-z SN projects: More and better quality nearby SNe (badly) needed Statistics matters: most of the (known) systematic uncertainties are not systematics since they can (in principle) be reduced with high statistics of both low- and high-redshift (well measured) SNe Need to improve the photometric calibration uncertainty: - internal (uniformity & stability) - external (primary standard or physical (B-R) ) which both will need to be controlled/understood at ~0.1% (~1% today) R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 39

R. Pain CSP 07 June 17, 2007 40