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Estimated inflow in Sweden (not spill corrected) 1%, median and 9% probability 196-216 TWh/week 7 6 5 4 3 Past 6 weeks Prior period 1 resp 9% probability, 196-216 2 1 Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Source: Energiföretagen 218-4-11 2
Cumulated inflow in Sweden TWh 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 214 216 218 Helårsvärde Årsvärde t.o.m ve 14 Source: Energiföretagen 218-4-11 3
Reservoir storage level in Sweden (1%= 33,7 GWh) Max., min. and average 196-216 % 1 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Past 6 weeks Prior period Max/min Average, 196-216 Source: Energiföretagen 218-4-11 4
Reservoir storage level per Bidding Area % 1 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov Jan Mar Bidding Area 1 Bidding Area 2 Bidding Area 3 Bidding Area 4 Source: Energiföretagen 218-4-11 5
Hydropower production in Sweden per week TWh/week 2, Past 52 weeks Prior period 1,5 1,,5, Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Source: Energiföretagen 218-4-11 6
Hydropower production in Sweden rolling 52 weeks (annual value) TWh 8 Past 52 weeks Prior period 6 4 2 Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Source: Energiföretagen 218-4-11 7
Hydropower production in Sweden Accumulated since start of year TWh 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 214 216 218 Helårsvärde Årsvärde t.o.m ve 14 Source: Energiföretagen 218-4-11 8
Nuclear production in Sweden per week TWh/week Past 52 weeks 1,5 Prior period 1,,5, Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Source: Energiföretagen 218-4-11 9
Nuclear power production in Sweden rolling 52 weeks (annual value) TWh 8 Past 52 weeks Prior period 6 4 2 Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb ksource: Energiföretagen 218-4-11 1
Nuclear power production in Sweden Accumulated since start of year TWh 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 214 216 218 Helårsvärde Årsvärde t.o.m ve 14 källa: Energiföretagen 218-4-11 11
Wind power production in Sweden per week TWh/week,7,6 Past 52 weeks Prior period,5,4,3,2,1, Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb källa: Energiföretagen 218-4-11 12
Wind power production in Sweden rolling 52 weeks (annual value) TWh 2 16 Past 52 weeks Prior period 12 8 4 Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb källa: Energiföretagen 218-4-11 13
Wind power production in Sweden Accumulated since start of year TWh 2 16 12 8 4 214 216 218 Helårsvärde Årsvärde t.o.m ve 14 Source: Energiföretagen 218-4-11 14
Other thermal power production in Sweden per week TWh/week,6 Past 52 weeks Prior period,4,2, Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Source: Energiföretagen 218-4-11 15
Other thermal power production in Sweden rolling 52 weeks (annual value) TWh 2 16 12 8 4 Past 52 weeks Prior period Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Source: Energiföretagen 218-4-11 16
Other thermal power production in Sweden Accumulated since start of year TWh 2 16 12 8 4 214 216 218 Helårsvärde Årsvärde t.o.m ve 14 Source: Energiföretagen 218-4-11 17
Total power production in Sweden per week TWh/week 4 Past 52 weeks 3 Prior period 2 1 Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Source: Energiföretagen 218-4-11 18
Total power production in Sweden rolling 52 weeks (annual value) TWh 18 16 14 12 1 8 6 4 2 Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Source: Energiföretagen Past 52 weeks Prior period 218-4-11 19
Total power production in Sweden Accumulated since start of year TWh 16 14 12 1 8 6 4 2 214 216 218 Helårsvärde Årsvärde t.o.m ve 14 Source: Energiföretagen 218-4-11 2
Total electricity generation by energy source and usage TWh/week 4 3 Other Thermal power Wind power Nuclear power Hydro power 2 1 Apr Apr Apr Source: Energiföretagen 218-4-11 21
Total electricity generation by energy source, usage and net import/export TWh/week 4, 3,5 3, 2,5 2, 1,5 1,,5, -,5-1, Apr-15 Apr-16 Apr-17 Source: Energiföretagen Electricty usage Hydro power Nuclear power Wind power Other Thermal power Net Import/export 218-4-11 22
Electricity usage (including losses) in Sweden rolling 52 weeks (annual value) TWh/week 4, 3,5 3, Past 52 weeks Prior period 2,5 2, 1,5 1,,5, Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Source: Energiföretagen 218-4-11 23
Electricity usage (including losses) in Sweden rolling 52 weeks (annual value) TWh 15 14 Past 52 weeks Prior period 13 Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Source: Energiföretagen 218-4-11 24
Electricity usage in Sweden rolling 12 months (annual value) TWh 8 6 Residential & service Residential & service corrected* Industrial 4 2 Jan-4 Jan-7 Jan-1 Jan-13 Jan-16 Source: Swedish statistic *temperature corrected usage 218-4-11 25
Electricity usage (including losses) in Sweden Accumulated since start of year TWh 16 14 12 1 8 6 4 2 214 216 218 Helårsvärde Årsvärde t.o.m ve 14 Source: Energiföretagen 218-4-11 26
Electricity exchange with neighbouring countries net import/export Till Sverige Från Sverige TWh/week,6,4,2, -,2 -,4 -,6 -,8-1, Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Denmark Finland Norway Lithuania Poland Germany Net Total Source: Svensk a Kraftnät 218-4-11 27
Net electricity exchange with neigbouring countries rolling 52 weeks (annual value) TWh -1 Past 52 weeks, Sweden Prior period, Sweden -2-3 Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Source: Svensk a Kraftnät 218-4-11 28
Electricty inflow/outflow Poland To Sweden From Sweden -43 17 Germany Lithuania -37 21 Norway -237 37 Finland -26 46 Denmark -12 119-5 -4-3 -2-1 1 2 3 4 5 GWh/week Source: Svensk a Kraftnät 218-4-11 29
Elspot price Nord Pool Spot System and swedish area prices, hourly SEK/MWh 8 7 6 5 System SE1 SE2 SE3 SE4 4 3 2 1 27 Mar 18 31 Mar 18 4 Apr 18 8 Apr 18 Source: Nord Pool Spot 218-4-11 3
Elspot system price on Nord Pool Spot Daily average and max. - min. interval SEK/MWh 25 2 Max/Min Average 15 1 5 Oct Dec Feb Apr Source: Nord Pool Spot 218-4-11 31
Elspot system price on Nord Pool exchange Weekly average SEK/MWh 1 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 1996 1999 22 25 28 211 214 217 Nord Pool, system price Source: Nord Pool Spot 218-4-11 32
Nord Pool Spot, prices and volume Earlier weekly averages and the latest hourly rates SEK/MWh 8 7 6 5 4 3 GWh/h 8 6 4 Volume Nord Pool Spot Volume Nord Pool Spot Price Nord Pool Spot 2 1 w5 w9 1/4 Tue Thu Sat Mon 2 Price Nord Pool Spot Source: Nord Pool Spot 218-4-11 33
NASDAQ OMX forward price by quarter 218 and 219 and full year 219 EUR/MWh 4 35 3 25 Q2, 218 Q3, 218 Q4, 217 Q1, 219 Year, 219 2 15 1 5 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr källa: NASDAQ OMX Commodities 218-4-11 34
NASDAQ OMX trade with carbon emission allowances Price, EUR/EUA 14 12 1 Forward price, 218 Forward price, 219 Forward price, 22 8 6 4 2 Apr-17 Jul-17 Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr-18 källa: NASDAQ OMX Commodities 218-4-11 35
SKM E-certificate forward prices weekly average SEK/MWh 12 1 8 6 Forward price, March 219 Forward price, March 22 Forward price, March 221 4 2 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr Source: SKM Svensk Kraftmäkling 218-4-11 36
SKM E-certificate spot price weekly average SEK/MWh 4 35 3 SKM - spot price 25 2 15 1 5 27 29 211 213 215 217 Source: SKM Svensk Kraftmäkling 218-4-11 37
EEX and Nord Pool spot price Nordic electricity flow to and from Germany Price, EUR/MWh 8 6 4 Electricity flow Price EEX spot Price Nord Pool Spot 2-2 27 Mar 18 31 Mar 18 4 Apr 18 8 Apr 18 Flow 3 GWh/h to Nordic GWh/h From Nordic -3 Wh/h Source: EEX and Nord Pool Spot 218-4-11 38
Areas prices compared to Area SE3, Stockholm daily average SEK/MWh 2 18 16 14 12 1 8 6 4 2 12 Mar 18 22 Mar 18 1 Apr 18 Luleå (Bidding area 1) Sundsvall(Bidding area 2) Malmö (Bidding area 4) Source: Nord Pool Spot 218-4-11 39
Areas prices compared to Nord Pool Spot systemprice, daily average EUR/MWh 5-5 -1 NO1 NO2 SE4 DK2 DK-W DK1 DK-E FI -15-2 -25 2 Apr 18 5 Apr 18 8 Apr 18 Source: Nord Pool Spot 218-4-11 4
NASDAQ OMX, Swedish EPAD contract year 218 difference between the area price and the system price EUR/MWh 4 2 Luleå (Bidding area 1) Sundsvall(Bidding area 2) Stockholm (Bidding area 3) Malmö (Bidding area 4) -2 May Jul Sep Nov Jan Mar Source: NASDAQ OMX Commodities 218-4-11 41