PITMAN S 2M X THEOREM FOR SKIP-FREE RANDOM WALKS WITH MARKOVIAN INCREMENTS

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Elect. Comm. in Probab. 6 (2001) 73 77 ELECTRONIC COMMUNICATIONS in PROBABILITY PITMAN S 2M X THEOREM FOR SKIP-FREE RANDOM WALKS WITH MARKOVIAN INCREMENTS B.M. HAMBLY Mathematical Institute, University of Oxford, 24-29 St Giles, Oxford OX1 3LB, UK email: hambly@maths.ox.ac.uk J.B. MARTIN Cambridge University email: jbm11@cus.cam.ac.uk N. O CONNELL BRIMS, HP Labs, Bristol BS34 8QZ, UK email: noc@hplb.hpl.hp.com submitted June 23, 2001 Final version accepted August 21, 2001 AMS 2000 Subject classification: 60J10, 60J27, 60J45, 60K25 Pitman s representation, three-dimensional Bessel process, telegrapher s equation, queue, Burke s theorem, quasireversibility Abstract Let (ξ k, k 0) be a Markov chain on 1, +1} with ξ 0 = 1 and transition probabilities P (ξ k+1 =1 ξ k =1)=a and P (ξ k+1 = 1 ξ k = 1) = b<a.setx 0 =0, X n = ξ 1 + + ξ n and M n =max 0 k n X k. Weprovethattheprocess2M X has the same law as that of X conditioned to stay non-negative. Pitman s representation theorem [19] states that, if (X t,t 0) is a standard Brownian motion and M t =max s t X s,then2m X has the same law as the 3-dimensional Bessel process. This was extended in [20] to the case of non-zero drift, where it is shown that, if X t is a standard Brownian motion with drift, then 2M X is a certain diffusion process. This diffusion has the significant property that it can be interpreted as the law of X conditioned to stay positive (in an appropriate sense). Pitman s theorem has the following discrete analogue [19, 18]: if X is a simple random walk with non-negative drift (in continuous or discrete time) then 2M X has the same law as X conditioned to stay non-negative (for the symmetric random walk this conditioning is in the sense of Doob). Here we present a version of Pitman s theorem for a random walk with Markovian increments. Let (ξ k, k 0) be a Markov chain on 1, +1} with ξ 0 = 1 and transition probabilities P (ξ k+1 =1 ξ k =1)=a and P (ξ k+1 = 1 ξ k = 1) = b. We will assume that 1 >a>b>0. Set X 0 =0,X n = ξ 1 + + ξ n and M n =max 0 k n X k. 73

74 Electronic Communications in Probability Theorem 1 The process 2M X has the same law as that of X conditioned to stay nonnegative. Note that, if b =1 a, thenx is a simple random walk with drift and we recover the original statement of Pitman s theorem in discrete time. To prove Theorem 1, we first consider a two-sided stationary version of ξ, which we denote by (η k, k Z), and define a stationary process Q n,n Z} by + n Q n =max. m n Note that Q satisfies the Lindley recursion Q n+1 =(Q n η n+1 ) +, and we have the following queueing interpretation. The number of customers in the queue at time n is Q n ;ifη n+1 = 1 a new customer arrives at the queue and Q n+1 = Q n +1; if η n+1 =1andQ n > 0, a customer departs from the queue and Q n+1 = Q n 1; otherwise Q n+1 = Q n. Note that the process η can be recovered from Q, as follows: 1 if Q n >Q η n = (1) 1 otherwise. For n Z, set Q n = Q n. Theorem 2 The processes Q and Q have the same law. Proof: We first note that it suffices to consider a single excursion of the process Q from zero. This follows from the fact that, at the beginning and end of a single excursion, the values of η are determined, and so these act as regeneration points for the process. To see that the law of a single excursion is reversible, note that the probability of a particular excursion path depends only on the numbers of transitions (in the underlying Markov chain η) ofeachtype which occur within that excursion path, and these numbers are invariant under time-reversal. Thus, if we define, for n Z, 1 if Q n >Q n+1 ˆη n = (2) 1 otherwise, we have the following corollary of Theorem 2. j=m Corollary 3 The process ˆη has the same law as η. Proof of Theorem 1: Note that we can write ˆη n = η n+1 +2(Q n+1 Q n ). Summing this, we obtain, for n 1, η j ˆη j = X n +2(Q n Q 0 ). (3) where X n = n j=1 η j. If we adopt the convention that empty sums are zero, and set X 0 =0, then this formula remains valid for n = 0. It follows that, on Q 0 =0}, ˆη j =2 M n X n, (4)

Pitman s 2M X theorem for walks with Markovian increments 75 where M n =max 0 m n Xm. Note also that, from the definitions, for m Z, Q m =(Q m+1 ˆη m ) + =max n m n ˆη j j=m +. (5) The law of X conditioned to stay non-negative is the same as the law of X conditioned to stay non-negative, since the events X 1 0and X 1 0 respectively require that ξ 1 =1and η 1 = 1, and so the difference in law between ξ and η becomes irrelevant. By Corollary 3, the law of X conditioned to stay non-negative is the same as the law of the process ˆη j, n 0 given that Q 0 =max n 0 ˆη j =0. By(4)thisisthesameasthelawof2 M X given that Q 0 = 0 or, equivalently, that η 0 =1; but this is the same as the law of 2M X, so we are done. In the queueing interpretation, ˆη = 1 whenever there is a departure from the queue and ˆη =1 otherwise. Thus, Corollary 3 states that the process of departures from the queue has the same law as the process of arrivals to the queue; it can therefore be regarded as an extension of the celebrated theorem in queueing theory, due to Burke [5], which states that the output of a stable M/M/1 queue in equilibrium has the same law as the input (both are Poisson processes; by considering the embedded chain in the M/M/1 queue, Burke s theorem is equivalent to the statement of Corollary 3 with b =1 a). Our proof of Theorem 2 is inspired by the kind of reversibility arguments used often in queueing theory. For general discussions on the role of reversibility in queueing theory, see [4, 13, 22]; the idea of using reversibility to prove Burke s theorem is originally due to Reich [21]. To describe the finite dimensional distributions of the process 2M X appearing in Theorem 1, one can consider the Markov chain (X, ξ) conditioned on X staying non-negative; this is a h-transform of (X, ξ) with ( ) k+1 b h(k, 1) = 1 a and ( ) k ( ) b 1 a h(k, 1) = 1. a 1 b It is well-known (see, for example, [11]) that the particular case of Theorem 1 with b = 1 a is more or less equivalent to a collection of random walk analogues of Williams pathdecomposition and time-reversal results relating Brownian motion and the three-dimensional Bessel process. The same is true for general a and b. For example, X conditioned to stay non-negative has a shift-homogeneous regenerative property at last exit times, like the threedimensional Bessel process. Moreover, if we set ˆX n = ˆη, then, by Corollary 3, ( ˆX n,n 1) has the same law as ( X n,n 1), and this can be interpreted as the analogue of Williams

76 Electronic Communications in Probability path-decomposition for Brownian motion with drift. The analogue of Williams time-reversal theorem for the three-dimensional Bessel process can also be verified. In this case we have, setting R =2M X, L k =maxn : R n = k} and T k =minn : X n = k}, thatk X Tk+1 1 n, 0 n T k+1 1} and R n, 0 n L k } have the same law. Finally, we remark that the following analogue of Theorem 1 holds in continuous time: let (ξ t,t 0) be a continuous-time Markov chain on 1, +1} with ξ 0 =1,andsetX t = t 0 ξ sds, M t =max 0 s t X s. We assume that the transition rates of the chain are such that the event that X remains non-negative forever has positive probability. Then 2M X has the same law as that of X conditioned to stay non-negative. The proof is identical to that of Theorem 1; in particular, the following analogues of Theorem 2 and Corollary 3 also hold: if we let (η t,t R) be a stationary version of ξ and, for t R, set Q t =max s t ( t s ) η s ds, then Q (defined as Q t = Q t ) has the same law as Q, andˆη, defined by 1 if η t =1andQ t > 0 ˆη t = 1 otherwise, has the same law as η. The process X in this setting is sometimes called the telegrapher s random process, because it is connected with the telegrapher equation. It was introduced by Kac [12], where it is also shown to be related to the Dirac equation. There is a considerable literature on this process and its connections with relativistic quantum mechanics (see, for example, [6, 7] and references therein). For other variants and multidimensional extensions of Pitman s theorem see [1, 2, 9, 10, 15, 8, 16, 17, 18] and references therein. In [16] a version of Pitman s theorem for geometric functionals of Brownian motion is presented. In [17] connections with Burke s theorem are discussed. In [18], a representation for non-colliding Brownian motions is given (the case of two motions is equivalent to Pitman s theorem); this extends a partial representation (for the rightmost motion at a single epoch) given in [1, 8]. The corresponding result for continuous-time random walks is also presented in [18]. The corresponding discrete-time random walk result is presented in [15], and this extends a partial representation given in [10]. See also [9] for a related but not yet well understood representation; this is also discussed in [15]. (See also [14].) In [2] an extension of Pitman s theorem is given for spectrally positive Lévy processes. A partial extension of Pitman s theorem for Brownian motion in a wedge of angle π/3 is presented in [3]. Acknowledgements. The authors would like to thank Jim Pitman and the anonymous referee for their helpful comments and suggestions. References [1] Yu. Baryshnikov. GUEs and queues. Probab. Theor. Rel. Fields 119, 256 274 (2001). [2] J. Bertoin. An extension of Pitman s theorem for spectrally positive Lévy processes. Ann. Probab. 20, 1464-1483, 1992. [3] Ph. Biane. Quelques propriétés du mouvement brownien dans un cone. Stoch. Proc. Appl. 53 (1994), no. 2, 233 240. (6)

Pitman s 2M X theorem for walks with Markovian increments 77 [4] P. Brémaud. Point Processes and Queues: Martingale Dynamics. Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 1981. [5] P.J. Burke. The output of a queueing system. Operations Research 4(6) 699 704, 1956. [6] S.K. Foong and S. Kanno. Properties of the telegrapher s random process with or without atrap.stoch. Proc. Appl. 53 (1994) 147 173. [7] B. Gaveau, T. Jacobson, L. Schulman and M. Kac. Relavistic extension of the analogy between quantum mechanics and Brownian motion. Phys. Rev. Lett. 53 (1984), 5, 419-422. [8] J. Gravner, C.A. Tracy and H. Widom. Limit theorems for height fluctuations in a class of discrete space and time growth models. J. Stat. Phys. 102 (2001), nos. 5-6, 1085 1132. [9] K. Johansson. Shape fluctuations and random matrices. Commun. Math. Phys. 209 (2000) 437 476. [10] K. Johansson. Discrete orthogonal polynomial ensembles and the Plancherel measure, Preprint 1999, to appear in Ann. Math.. (XXX: math.co/9906120) [11] J.-F. le Gall. Une approche élémentaire des théorèmes de décomposition de Williams. Seminaire de Probabilités XX; Lecture Notes in Mathematics, Vol. 1204; Springer, 1986. [12] M. Kac. A stochastic model related to the telegrapher s equation. Rocky Mountain J. Math. 4 (1974) 497-509. [13] F.P. Kelly. Reversibility and Stochastic Networks. Wiley, 1979. [14] Wolfgang König and Neil O Connell. Eigenvalues of the Laguerre process as non-colliding squared Bessel processes. Elect. Commun. Probab., toappear. [15] WolfgangKönig, Neil O Connell and Sebastien Roch. Non-colliding random walks, tandem queues and discrete orthogonal polynomial ensembles. Preprint. [16] H. Matsumoto and M. Yor. A version of Pitman s 2M X theorem for geometric Brownian motions. C.R. Acad. Sci. Paris, t. 328, Série I, 1067 1074 (1999). [17] Neil O Connell and Marc Yor. Brownian analogues of Burke s theorem. Stoch. Proc. Appl., to appear. [18] Neil O Connell and Marc Yor. A representation for non-colliding random walks. Elect. Comm. Prob., toappear. [19] J. W. Pitman. One-dimensional Brownian motion and the three-dimensional Bessel process. Adv. Appl. Probab. 7 (1975) 511 526. [20] J. W. Pitman and L.C.G. Rogers. Markov functions. Ann. Probab. 9 (1981) 573 582. [21] E. Reich. Waiting times when queues are in tandem. Ann. Math. Statist. 28 (1957) 768 773. [22] Ph. Robert. Réseaux et files d attente: méthodes probabilistes. Math. et Applications, vol. 35. Springer, 2000.