Kappa for Candidate GMPEs

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SSHAC Level 3 Southwestern U.S. Ground Motion Characterization WS-1, March 21, 2013 Oakland, CA Kappa for Candidate GMPEs Linda Al Atik Resource Expert

Overview Kappa controls the highfrequency spectral decay of FAS modeled as: Anderson & Hough (1984) It is important because: - Significant impact on the results of PSHA for nuclear PP sensitive to high-frequency GM - Difficult to constrain empirically - Kappa scaling not explicitly captured in the median prediction of GMPEs 2

Overview (cont d) 3

Kappa Adjustments Applied to adjust empirical GMPEs from one region (host) to use in another region (target) to account for differences in kappa between host and target regions. Usually Vs-k adjustments are needed. The process generally involves: Developing k models for host region GMPEs Developing k models for target region Selecting k adjustment methods 4

Estimating Target Kappa 1. Ground motion recordings in target region: Requires GM recorded to high frequencies Log-linear slope above corner frequency while addressing the path attenuation (ex., Anderson & Hough 1984) Full inversion or model fitting to observed acceleration response spectra or Fourier amplitude spectra Use of small mag data (M<1) to measure kappa on the lowfrequency part of the Fourier disp spectra (Biasi & Smith 2001) 2. V s30 - kappa relationships: Chandler et al. (2006), Van Houtte et al. (2011), Silva et al. (1998), Edwards et al. (2011) Few sites with high V s30 ; May require extrapolation. See Ktenidou et al. (2013) for more detailed review 5

Estimating Host GMPE Kappa Determination of k from GMPE response spectra is a challenge. 1. Inversion of GMPE response spectra to obtain equivalent set of stochastic parameters (Silva?, Scherbaum et al. 2006) - Separates source, path and site effects - Careful choice of parameters to avoid trade-offs; e.g. stress drop, Q, and kappa trade-offs - Results sensitive to magnitude and distance ranges 6 Scherbaum (2010)

Estimating Host GMPE Kappa (cont d) 2. Visual comparison of the high-frequency slope of PGAnormalized response spectra with master curves obtained from stochastic simulation for different kappa values (Silva & Darragh 1995, Scherbaum 2010) - Some parameter trade-offs cancel out when normalizing by PGA - Still relies on developing stochastic background models for GMPEs Scherbaum (2010) 7

Kappa (sec) Estimating Host GMPE Kappa (cont d) 3. Published Vs30-k relationships - Rough estimates with a lot of scatter - Data come from different regions - Different methods for estimating kappa 0.1 Chandler et al. 2006 - Worldwide Douglas et al. 2010 - France Drouet et al. 2010 - France Edwards et al. 2011 - Switzerland Silva et al. 1998 - CA Van Houtte et al. 2011 - Japan Van Houtte et al. 2011 - NGA Chandler et al. 2006 - Model Silva et al. 1998 - Model Van Houtte et al. 2011 - Model Edwards et al. 2011 - Model (LIN-LIN) 0.01 0.001 100 1000 Vs30 (m/sec) 8

Kappa (sec) Estimating Host GMPE Kappa (cont d) 4. K-f amp relationships (Al Atik 2011) - Relationships developed from response spectra generated using stochastic simulations with a range of kappa values - Different definitions for f amp ; e.g. highest frequency that corresponds to Sa = logarithmic average of PGA and peak Sa 1 Coastal CA Model 0.1 0.01 1 10 famp(hz) WUS Profile-620m/s WUS Profile-800m/s WUS Profile-100m/s 9

Estimating Host GMPE Kappa (cont d) 4. K-f amp relationships (Al Atik 2011) cont d Not very robust. Different f amp definitions lead to different kappa values Generally leads to very high kappa values GMPE V S30 (m/s) Kappa (s) f amp AbSi08 800 0.0495 0.0671 0.0606 Geometric mean of the 2 frequencies corresponding to 5% spectral acceleration below the peak of the acceleration response spectrum and on both sides of the peak spectral acceleration. Highest frequency that corresponds to a spectral acceleration value equal to double the peak ground acceleration. Highest frequency that corresponds to Sa = logarithmic average of PGA and peak Sa 10

Estimating Host GMPE Kappa (cont d) 5. Slope of IRVT-derived equivalent FAS (Al Atik et al. 2013) - STRATA is used to derive FAS that are compatible with GMPE response spectra - High frequency slope of FAS is used to estimate kappa based on the Anderson & Hough (1984) kappa scaling function - Use scenarios with magnitude 5, 6, 7 and distances of 5, 10 and 20km to estimate average kappa for a relatively high V S30 - Q effect is considered to be negligible 11

PSA (g) FA (g-s) IRVT Approach CB08 0.5 M6 - Rjb 10km - Vs 620m/sec 0.1 M6 - Rjb 10km - Vs 620m/sec 0.4 0.3 IRVT 0.01 0.2 0.1 0.001 0 0.1 1 10 100 Frequency (hz) Sa GMPE Sa GMPE Sa RVT-Calc 0.0001 0 20 40 60 80 100 Frequency (hz) FAS RVT-Calc FAS RVT-Calc Kappa Scaling Average host kappa = 0.041 sec, stdev = 0.0015 12

IRVT Approach PRP Results GMPE V S30 (m/s) Kappa Ave StDev 620 0.0412 0.0005 AbSi08 800 0.0407 0.0004 1000 0.0394 0.0009 620 0.0404 0.0010 BoAt08 800 0.0402 0.0010 1000 0.0400 0.0011 620 0.0405 0.0016 CaBo08 800 0.0398 0.0015 1000 0.0385 0.0017 620 0.0379 0.0007 ChYo08 800 0.0353 0.0007 1000 0.0339 0.0007 500 0.0425 0.0013 Zhao06 700 0.0376 0.0017 900 0.0376 0.0017 600 0.0424 0.0027 AkBo10 800 0.0367 0.0021 1000 0.0367 0.0021 2000 0.0051 0.0021 AtBo06 2200 0.0051 0.0021 2800 0.0051 0.0021 Toro02 2800 0.0081 0.0009 800 0.0445 0.0023 AkCa10 950 0.0442 0.0024 1100 0.0440 0.0024 Bi11 800 0.0445 0.0069 950 0.0413 0.0055 13

Available Approaches for k Adjustments 1. Hybrid Empirical Approach (Campbell 2003, 2004) Applied and considered for site adjustments on several projects (Europe, PEGASOS Refin. Project, South Africa PSHA Project ) 2. IRVT Approach (Al Atik et al. 2012) Developed for site adjustments for the PEGASOS Refin. Project Considered on other projects (South Africa PSHA Project, Blue Castle Project) 3. Empirical Approach (Al Atik & Abrahamson 2012) Developed for site adjustments for the PEGASOS Refin. Project Considered on other projects (South Africa PSHA Project, Blue Castle Poject) 14

References (I) Al Atik, L. (2011). Summary of updated kappa-fpeak relationships. Report submitted to PRP. Al Atik, L. and N. Abrahamson (2012). Kappa scaling using empirical ground motion data. Report prepared for the PEGASOS Refinement Project. Al Atik, L., A. Kottke, N. Abrahamson, and J. Hollenback (2013). Kappa scaling of ground motion prediction equations using IRVT approach. Paper submitted to BSSA. Abrahamson, N., and W. Silva (2008). Summary of the Abrahamson & Silva NGA ground-motion Relations, Earthquake Spectra, 24(1), 67-97. Akkar, S., and J. J. Bommer (2010). Empirical equations for the prediction of spectral accelerations in Europe, the Mediterranean and the Middle East, Seismological Research Letters, 81(2), 195-206. Akkar, S. and Cagnan, Z., 2010. A local ground-motion predictive model for Turkey and its comparison with other regional and global ground-motion models, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 100, 2978-2995. Anderson, J. G., and S. E. Hough (1984). A model for the shape of the Fourier amplitude spectrum of acceleration at high frequencie, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 74(5), 1969 1993. Atkinson, G. M., and D. M. Boore (2006). Earthquake ground-motion prediction equations for eastern north America, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 97(3), 2181-2205. Biasi, G.P., and K.D. Smith (2001). Site effects for seismic monitoring stations in the vicinity of Yucca Mountain, Nevada, MOL20011204.0045, a report prepared for the US DOE/University and Community College System of Nevada (UCCSN) Cooperative Agreement. 15

References (II) Bindi, D., Pacor, F., Luzi, L., Puglia, R., Massa, M., Ameri, G., and R. Paolucci, (2011): Ground motion prediction equations derived from the Italian strong motion database. Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering, 9, 6, 1899-1920. Boore, D. M., and G. M. Atkinson (2008). Ground-motion prediction equations for the average horizontal component of PGA, PGV, and 5%-damped PSA at spectral periods between 0.01 s and 10.0 s, Earthquake Spectra, 24(1), 99-138. Campbell, K.W. (2003). Prediction of strong ground motion using the hybrid empirical method and its use in the development of ground-motion (attenuation) relations in eastern North America. Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 93, 1012 1033. Campbell, K.W. (2004). Erratum to Prediction of strong ground motion using the hybrid empirical method and its use in the development of ground-motion (attenuation) relations in Eastern North America, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 94(6), 2418. Campbell, K. W., and Y. Bozorgnia (2008). NGA ground motion model for the geometric mean horizontal component of PGA, PGV, PGD and 5% damped linear elastic response spectra for periods ranging from 0.01 to 10 s, Earthquake Spectra, 24(1), 139-171. Chandler, A.M., N.T.K. Lam, and H.H. Tsang (2006). Near-surface attenuation modeling based on rock shear-wave velocity profile. Soil Dyn. Earthq. Eng., 26, 1004 1014. Chiou, B. S. J., and R. R. Youngs (2008). An NGA model for the average horizontal component of peak ground motion and response spectra, Earthquake Spectra, 24(1), 173-215. Douglas, J., P. Gehl, L.F. Bonilla, and C. Gelis (2010). A kappa model for mainland France. Pure Appl. Geophys., 167, 1303 1315. 16

References (III) Edwards, B., D. Faeh, and D. Giardini (2011). Attenuation of seismic shear wave energy in Switzerland. Geophys. J. Int., 185, 967 984. Ktenidou, O-J, F. Cotton, N. Abrahamson, and J. Anderson (2013). Don t call it kappa: Add a subscript, Seism. Res. Letters (in press). Silva, W.J. and R. Darragh (1995). Engineering characterization of earthquake strong ground motion recorded at rock sites. Palo Alto, Electric Power Research Institute, TR-102261. Silva, W., R.B. Darragh, N. Gregor, G. Martin, N. Abrahamson, and C. Kircher (1998). Reassessment of site coefficients and near-fault factors for building code provisions. Technical Report Program Element II: 98-HQ-GR-1010, Pacific Engineering and Analysis, El Cerrito, USA. Scherbaum F., F. Cotton, and H. Staedtke (2006). The estimation of minimum-misfit stochastic models from empirical ground-motion prediction equations, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 96, 427 445. Scherbaum F. (2010). Determination of Vs-k correction factors, Report for PEGASUS Refinement Project (PRP), TP2-TB-1036. Toro, G. R. (2002). Modification of the Toro et al. (1997) attenuation equations for large magnitudes and short distances, Technical Report, Risk Engineering. Van Houtte, C., S. Drouet, and F. Cotton (2011). Analysis of the origins of κ (kappa) to compute hard rock to rock adjustment factors for GMPEs, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 91, in press. 17

References (IV) Zhao, J. X., K. Irikura, J. Zhang, Y. Fukushima, Paul G. Somerville, Akihiro Asano, Yuki Ohno, Taishi Oouchi, Toshimasa Takahashi, and Hiroshi Ogawa (2006). An empirical site-classification method for strong-motion stations in Japan using H/V response spectral ratio, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 96(3), 914-925. 18