Daily Operations Briefing Monday, September 18, 2017 8:30 a.m. EDT
Significant Activity Sep 17-18 Significant Events: Response for Post Tropical Cyclone Irma Tropical Activity: Atlantic Hurricane Jose (CAT 1); Hurricane Maria (CAT 1); Tropical Depression Lee Eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Norma; Hurricane Otis (CAT 1); Disturbance 1: Low (10%); Disturbance 2: Medium (40%) Central Pacific No tropical cyclones expected next 5 days Western Pacific No activity affecting U.S. interests Significant Weather: Hurricane Jose causing life-threatening surf and rip currents along the eastern U.S. coast Elevated Fire Weather NV, ID, & UT Space Weather: o Past 24 hours: None o Next 24 hours: Minor; geomagnetic storms reaching the G1 level are expected Earthquake Activity: No significant activity Declaration Activity: Emergency Declaration Request U.S. Virgin Islands
Tropical Outlook Atlantic Hurricane Maria (CAT 1) (Advisory #8 as of 5:00 a.m. EDT) Located 100 miles E of Martinique Moving WNW at 13 mph; maximum sustained winds 90 mph Watches and Warnings in effect
Tropical Outlook Atlantic Hurricane Jose (CAT 1) (Advisory #52 as of 5:00 a.m. EDT) Located 280 miles SE of Cape Hatteras, NC Moving N at 9 mph; maximum sustained winds 85 mph Hurricane force winds extend 60 miles Tropical storm force winds extend 205 miles Tropical Storm Watch in effect for portions of the Northeast Preparations/Precautionary Actions: FEMA Region I activated to Enhanced Watch
Tropical Outlook Atlantic Tropical Depression Lee (Advisory #14 as of 5:00 a.m. EDT) Located 1060 miles W of the Cabo Verde Islands Moving WNW at 13 mph; maximum sustained winds 35 mph
Tropical Outlook Eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Norma (Advisory #16 as of 5:00 a.m. EDT) Located 160 miles SW of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico Moving WNW at 5 mph; maximum sustained winds 50 mph Additional weakening is expected through Monday Tropical storm force winds extend 70 miles Hurricane Otis (CAT 2) (Advisory #27 as of 5:00 a.m. EDT) Located 1,165 miles WSW of the southern tip of Baja California, Mexico Moving N at 6 mph; maximum sustained winds 100 mph
Tropical Outlook Eastern Pacific Disturbance 1 (as of 8:00 a.m. EDT) Located about 1300 miles ESE of the Hawaiian Islands Slow development possible while remaining nearly stationary the next few days Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (10%) Formation chance through 5 days: Low (10%) Disturbance 2 (as of 8:00 a.m. EDT) Located S of southeastern Mexico Moving WNW Some gradual development possible Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (near 0%) Formation chance through 5 days: Medium (40%) 1 2
Post Tropical Cyclone Irma Current Situation Recovery efforts continue across the Southeast, PR, & USVI Impacts Fatalities: 47 (USVI: 5, PR: 3, FL: 34, GA: 5) Shelters: 64 open with a population of 3,809 (USVI, PR, FL, GA, Seminole Tribe of Florida) Power: 776k customers without power (FL, GA, USVI, PR) Hospitals: 12 closed (USVI: 1, FL: 9, GA: 2) Schools o PR: 38 schools remain closed o FL: 49 schools closed Other o 6 of 8 wastewater treatment plants in service in USVI o 90% of the 50,000 structures in St Thomas & St. John damaged State/Local/Tribal/Territorial Response Florida: EOC at Full Activation Miccosukee Tribe: Two EOCs at Full Activation Seminole Tribe of Florida: EOC at Full Activation Georgia: EOC at Partial Activation Alabama: EOC at Partial Activation Tennessee: EOC at Monitoring Mississippi: EOC at Partial Activation Puerto Rico: EOC at Full Activation USVI: EOC at Full Activation Federal Response NRCC: Level I (day shift); Level II (night shift) with select ESFs IMAT East-1 in Dania Beach, FL (Branch V IOF) IMAT East-2 en route to San Juan, PR US&R: VA-TF1 in San Juan, PR; Red IST, TF2 equipment cache, and 3 MRPs supporting; US&R: VA-TF2, FLTF1 & 2 activated and deployed to stage in PR FEMA Region II o RRCC: Level II (day shift); Level III (night shift) with select ESFs; transitioning to Level II (24/7) at 8:00 p.m. EDT o RII IMAT deployed to St. Croix, USVI o RX IMAT deployed to St. Thomas, USVI; 4 members en route to Atlanta FEMA Region IV o RRCC: Level II (24/7); RWC: Steady State o R-IV IMAT-1 & R-I IMAT: deployed to FL; R-IV IMAT-2 deployed to GA o LNOs deployed to FL, SC, GA, AL and Seminole Tribe EOCs Many FEMA Responders in PR and USVI will relocate to CONUS in order to mitigate any strain on local resources for TS Maria Recovery IA Registrations: 6,755 4,821 call center agents available to receive calls
Tropical Outlook Central Pacific 48-Hour Outlook 5 Day Outlook
National Weather Forecast Today Tomorrow
Precipitation Forecast Days 1-3 Day 1 Day 2 Day 3
River Flooding Florida Riverine Flooding Southeast Santa Fe near Fort White: Peak Major Flooding 34.46 ft I-75 in impact area Withlacoochee at Trilby: Will crest at 17.5 ft Wed 1,900 homes in impact area (open source) Peace River at Arcadia: North of Port Charlotte Peak Major Flooding 19.2 ft Major to Record river flooding expected to continue late into the week
Severe Weather Outlook Days 1-3 Day 1 Day 2 Day 3
Fire Weather Outlook Today Tomorrow
6-10 Day Outlooks 6-10 Day Temperature Probability 6-10 Day Precipitation Probability
Space Weather Space Weather Activity Geomagnetic Storms Solar Radiation Radio Blackouts Past 24 Hours None None None None Next 24 Hours Minor G1 None None For further information on NOAA Space Weather Scales refer to http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation HF Communication Impact Sunspot Activity http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/communities/aviation-communitydashboard http://spaceweather.com/
Wildfire Summary Fire Name (County) FMAG # (Approved Date) Acres Burned Percent Contained Evacuations (Residents) Montana (3) Structures Threatened Damaged Destroyed Fatalities / Injuries West Fork (Lincoln) 5209-FM-MT Sept 9, 2017 19,497 (+1,397) 33% (+4) Mandatory 709 (705 homes) 0 0 0 / 0 Highway 200 (Sanders) 5210-FM-MT Sept 10,2017 47,118 (+518) 18% (+8) Mandatory 926 (925 homes) 0 0 0 / 23 Moose Peak (Sanders & Lincoln) 5211-FM-MT Sept 10,2017 12,482 (+142) 11% (+11 Mandatory 45 (43 homes) 0 0 0 / 0 Oregon (1) Eagle Creek FINAL (Hood River) 5203-FM-OR Sept 3, 2017 48,400 (+1,000) 32% Lifted 5,461 (5,461 homes) 0 4 (4 homes) 0 / 2 Washington (1) Jolly Mountain (Kittitas) 5200-FM-WA Sept 2, 2017 36,808 40% Mandatory 5,277 (4,204 homes) 0 0 0 / 12
Declaration Request Territory of the U.S. Virgin Islands Governor requested an Emergency Declaration on September 17, 2017 As a result of Hurricane Maria beginning on September 16, 2017 and continuing Requesting Public Assistance for the islands of St. Croix, St. John, and St. Thomas o Debris removal and Emergency Protective Measures (Categories A & B) o Direct federal assistance St. Thomas St. John St. Croix
Disaster Requests & Declarations Declaration Requests in Process Requests APPROVED (since last report) Requests DENIED (since last report) 10 IA PA HM Date Requested 0 0 NY DR (Expedited) Flooding X X X July 6, 2017 ID DR Flooding X X July 20, 2017 ND DR Drought X X X August 7, 2017 WI DR Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, Mudslides X X August 23, 2017 ND DR Severe Storm X X August 24, 2017 KS DR Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, and Flooding X X August 31, 2017 IL DR Severe Storms and Flooding X X August 31, 2017 NY DR Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding X X X August 31, 2017 Seminole Tribe of Florida DR (Expedited) Hurricane Irma X X X September 11, 2017 USVI EM Hurricane Maria X September 17, 2017
Readiness Deployable Teams and Assets Resource National IMATs* (0 Teams) Regional IMATs (0-3 Teams) US&R (33-65%) MERS (< 33%) FCO (<1 Type I) FDRC East 1: East 2: Force Strength Deployed Deployed West: Deployed Assigned: 13 Available: 0 PMC / NMC: 0 Deployed: 13 Assigned: 28 Available: 11 PMC / NMC: 13 Deployed: 4 Assigned: 36 Available: 4 NMC: 0 Deployed: 32 Assigned: 37 Available: 3 PMC / NMC: 3 Deployed: 31 Assigned: 13 Available: 3 PMC / NMC: 1 Deployed: 9 Available Deployed Other Total Workforce 11,023 2,375 21% 6,791 1,857 *B-2 Status: Assemble < 2-hrs, On Site < 18-hrs; B-48 Status: Assemble and deploy < 48hrs; Charlie Status: No team assemble time requirement Cadres with Less than 25%: DI: 12% (15/121); DEC: 23% (86/367); DSA: 14% (121/836); EHP 23% (73/312); FLDR: 18% (30/167); HR: 20% (51/252); IA: 21% (479/2,293); IT: 16% (102/621); LOG: 2% (24/1,106); NDRS: 17% (30/175); OPS: 20% (50/252); PL: 15% (66/445); SAF: 17% (10/60); SEC: 16% (16/97); FIN 15% (43/293)
FEMA Readiness Activation Teams Resource Status Total Status Activated Team Activation Level Activation Times Reason/Comments NWC 5 Not Activated NRCC 2 Activated Gold Level I / Level II Day shift / Night shift Tropical Systems Irma/Jose/Maria HLT 1 Activated Hurricane Season RWCs/MOCs 10 Activated Region I Enhanced Watch Day shift only Hurricane Jose RRCCs 10 Activated Region II Region IV Level II / Level III Level II Day shift / Night shift 24/7 Transitioning to Level II (24/7) at 8:00 p.m. EDT Tropical Cyclone Irma Back-up Region: V & X