The Precursor Services of ESA s Space Situational Awareness NEO programme (SSA-NEO)

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The Precursor Services of ESA s Space Situational Awareness NEO programme (SSA-NEO) Overview Detlef Koschny, Gerhard Drolshagen And >80 % of the European asteroid community The SSA-NEO segment shall provide information about the impact threat of near-earth objects (NEOs). To be able to do this, it shall be aware of the positions and physical properties of NEOs. It shall assess their impact probabilities, effects, and possible mitigation activities. Presented 15 Apr 2013 at the PDC 2013 The SSA-NEO Segment, Feb 2013, D. Koschny - Page 4

The European SSA Programme Three segments : Space Weather Near-Earth Objects = SSA-NEO Space Surveillance and Tracking (of satellites and space debris) 2009 2012: Preparatory phase; now in Phase2, 2013 16, a bit under 50 Mio Euro (for all three segments) <- Proton and electron fluxes (NOAA) ISS Station from 400 km, VSW Munich, 80 cm aperture

Main tasks of the NEO system Issue NEO impact warnings and information on close approaches and provide news releases Make information on NEOs available via a searchable database with web access Perform observations set up a wide survey to detect all objects visible in the night sky down to 40 m ( Tunguska-sized ) in time to give about three weeks of warning (find threatening objects ) Education, outreach Develop relevant tools and make them available

What have we achieved so far? 1. SSA-NEO web portal Built up by an industrial consortium in Europe With involvement of Univ. Pisa + SpaceDys (I) INAF Rome (I) DLR Berlin (D) http://neo.ssa.esa.int

Precursor system provides Single entry point to key European NEO services Federating NEODyS (1), EARN (2), SCN (3) priority list Risk list Close approaches list Search capability for physical properties of asteroids Orbit visualization tool (1) for orbit computation in collaboration with JPL (2) NEO database of the European Asteroid Research Node at DLR Berlin (D) (3) Spaceguard Central Node (INAF, I) providing information on which NEOs are in need of observation

SSA-NEO web portal orbit visualisation

2. Observations Support to existing observatories, e.g. the La Sagra Sky Survey Use of ESA s 1-m telescope on Tenerife (Optical Ground Station = OGS) Used for testing observational strategies Provides high-accuracy astrometry of asteroids to Minor Planet Center During surveys (ca. 300 hours): more than 1000 asteroids with new designation, 5 new NEOs 1318 position measurements of ca. 400 NEOs In 2012: 36643 measurements of 9008 asteroids Amateurs are a key asset

3. Space missions, impact effects Close interaction with ESA s General Studies Programme (e.g. the US- European Asteroid Impact and Deflection mission (AIDA) study) Close interaction with science programme which studies MarcoPolo-R, an asteroid sample return mission for its Cosmic Vision programme Coordination with EU-funded NEOShield project Workshop in May 2013 to develop roadmap for work on both impact mitigation and effects Upper right: Artist impression of the AIDA mission (ESA) Lower right: isale model of the Carancas crater, Peru 2007 (Museum fur Naturkunde, Berlin)

AIDA call for ideas We have had a call for ideas for work to be done related to AIDA Proposals came in for observations, instrumentation, experimental work Impact, cratering and seismology-related experiments, related ground testing and numerical simulation, Spacecraft instruments (TIR camera, LIDAR, surface elements) that could contribute to analysing the impact dynamics AIDA would hence be a true impact assessment mission We need to find a compromise for the system complexity and mass to remain low. The SSA-NEO Segment, Feb 2013, D. Koschny - Page 4

4. Other activities ESA funds an update of the NEO population model (Bottke, Morbidelli, et al., 2000, 2002) ongoing, close collaboration with US Development of a flexible orbit propagator tool finished System engineering studies on future system ongoing Work of Action Team 14 is supported, focus on Space Missions Planning and Advisory Group

Expansion of observational capabilities NEO Survey Telescope Fly-eye telescope concept Funding for prototype telescope is available For the wide survey, 4-6 such telescopes are needed Robotic telescope demonstrator development ongoing Focus on software development (schedule and control of multiple telescopes; use for NEOs and Space Debris) Part of baseline: Deploy two 16 telescopes in New Norcia (Australia) and Cebreros (Spain) Fly-eye telescope design, CGS. Envisaged field of view 6.6 x 6.6 deg 2

NEO coordination centre ESRIN, Italy SSA-NEO data centre inauguration 22 May 2013

Summary ESA is successfully contributing to the global effort of coping with the NEO impact threat Federation of existing assets in precursor system NEODyS (orbit computation, working in close collaboration with JPL) EARN (database for physical properties) SCN priority list (list of NEOs in need of obervations) See http://neo.ssa.esa.int NEO coordination centre at ESRIN, Italy, hosts the precursor system Funding available for further expanding the system Observations will continue - Development of a 1-m effective aperture NEO Survey Telescope has started; funding for prototype is available (see poster by Drolshagen et. al Optimizing a wide survey for NEOs )