The Geological Potential of Central America and the Caribbean: A USGS Report

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The Geological Potential of Central America and the Caribbean: A USGS Report World Bank Workshop Recent Developments in Mining and Sustainable Development in Latin America March 5, 2014 Jane Hammarstrom U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey

Assessment of undiscovered copper resources associated with porphyry copper deposits in the Central America and Caribbean Region (part of a Global Mineral Resource Assessment) A cooperative international effort to assess undiscovered copper resources to provide all nations with unbiased, science-based information on the geologic availability of mineral resources for resource development, land-use planning, and decision making Probabilistic estimates of undiscovered porphyry copper resources for 10 world regions Gray, F., Hammarstrom, J.M., Ludington, S., Zürcher, L., Nelson, C.E., Robinson, G.R., Jr., Miller, R.J., and Moring, B.C., 2014, Porphyry copper assessment of Central America and the Caribbean Basin: U.S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Report 2010 5090 I, 81 p., and GIS data, http://dx.doi.org/10.3153/sir20105090i.

How? USGS 3-Part Form of Assessment Delineate areas that are permissive for the deposit type based on mineral deposit models (Permissive tracts) Use grade and tonnage models based on known deposit of the type as analogs for undiscovered resources Make probabilistic estimates* of numbers of undiscovered deposits of each types within each permissive tract *Combine estimates with grade and tonnage models to estimate undiscovered resources Descriptive model Rock type Age range Tectonic setting Depositional environment Associated deposit types Singer, D.A., 1993, Basic concepts in three-part quantitative assessments of undiscovered mineral resources: Nonrenewable Resources, v. 2, no. 2, p. 69-81.

Geologically permissive settings for porphyry copper deposits Permissive areas for porphyry copper deposits include permissive areas for related deposit types such as Aurich epithermal deposits

Porphyry copper deposits and prospects in the region Tract Name Country Tonnage (Mt) Cu ( % ) Au (g/t) Contained copper (Mt) Arimao Cuba 88.8 0.27 1 0.24 Blondin-Douvray Haiti 215.4 0.45 0.3 0.98 Santiago Rio Viví Puerto Rico 218 0.73 0.3 1.59 Tanamá Puerto Rico 126 0.64 0.38 0.81 Darien Cobre Panama Panama 6,405 0.301 0.05 19.28 Cocos Cerro Chorcha Panama 201.9 0.49 0.07 0.99 Cerro Colorado Panama 3,730 0.39 0.075 14.55 Distribution of known deposits in the region on a global tonnage model for porphyry copper deposits

Principal sources of information used for the Santiago permissive tract [NA, not applicable] Theme Name or Title Scale Citation Geology CBMap--Digital geologic map of the Caribbean Basin 1:500,000 Available for purchase from www.cbmap.net Mineral occurrences Geologic map of Cuba 1:250,000 Pushcharovskiy and Mossakovskiy (1986) Porphyry copper deposits of the world: database, map, and grade and tonnage models NA Singer and others (2008) Geology and data sources for the Santiago permissive tract Geochemistry Geology, Geochemistry, Geophysics, Mineral Occurrences and Mineral Resource Assessment for the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico CBMap--Digital geologic map of the Caribbean Basin U.S. Geological Survey Mineral Resources Data System Commercial databases United Nations Development Program 1:200,000 Bawiec (1999) 1:500,000 Available for purchase from www.cbmap.net NA U.S. Geological Survey (2005) NA NA UNDP (1969) http://www.metalseconomics.com/default.ht m Exploration Geochemistry of stream sediment samples, Puerto Rico Company websites NA Marsh (1992), Learned and others (1973) NA See table A4 and Prospects, Mineral Occurrences, and Related Deposit Types section of text

Geology and assessment results for the Cocos permissive tract Estimated numbers of undiscovered deposits 90 % chance of 4 or more 50% chance of 14 or more 10% chance of 24 or more Results of simulations of undiscovered resources for the Cocos Region [Cu, copper; Mo, molybdenum; Au, gold; and Ag, silver; in metric tons; Rock, in million metric tons] Material Probability of at least the indicated amount 0.95 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.05 Mean Cu 2,200,000 6,100,000 39,000,000 120,000,000 160,000,000 53,000,000 Mo 5,700 67,000 830,000 3,500,000 5,100,000 1,400,000 Au 20 110 970 2,900 3,800 1,300 Ag 0 550 9,400 41,000 62,000 18,000 Rock 480 1,300 8,400 24,000 30,000 11,000

5 permissive tracts for porphyry copper deposits in the region Mean undiscovered copper resources > identified copper resources for 4 of the 5 tracts

Example of an application of the assessment data What areas are already off-limits for mineral exploration and development?

Importance of the region on a global scale 2% of identified, 6% of undiscovered

http://minerals.usgs.gov/global/