Tsunami. Harry Yeh Oregon State University. Eastern Japan Earthquake Disaster Briefing at PEER: April 28, 2011

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Transcription:

Tsunami by Harry Yeh Oregon State University Eastern Japan Earthquake Disaster Briefing at PEER: April 28, 2011

Seismic Characteristics Rupture Model (Harvard Seismology) The fault rupture process was complex, and the extent of the rupture was approximately 480 km by 170 km. (The 2004 Great Indian Ocean Tsunami: 1300 km by 160 km.)

Historical Tsunamis in Sanriku Coasts The 869 Jougan Sanriku Tsunami M8.3 ~ 8.6. The 1611 Keichou Sanriku Tsunami M 8.1 Maximu tsunami runup height 15 ~ 20 m. The 1896 Meiji Sanriku Tsunami M 7.2 (Mw 8.2 ~ 8.5) Maximum tsunami runup height 38.2 m The 1933 Showa Sanriku Tsunami (Mw 8.4) Maximum tsunami runup height 28.7 m The 2011 Tohoku Tsunami (Mw 9.0) Maximum tsunami runup height 38 m The 1896 Meiji Tsunami The 1933 Showa Tsunami The 2011 Tohoku Tsunami

Historical Tsunamis in Sanriku Coasts The 869 Jougan Sanriku Tsunami M8.3 ~ 8.6. The 1611 Keichou Sanriku Tsunami M 8.1 Maximu tsunami runup height 15 ~ 20 m. The 1896 Meiji Sanriku Tsunami M 7.2 (Mw 8.2 ~ 8.5) Maximum tsunami runup height 38.2 m The 1933 Showa Sanriku Tsunami (Mw 8.4) Maximum tsunami runup height 28.7 m The 2011 Tohoku Tsunami (Mw 9.0) Maximum tsunami runup height 38 m The fault rupture area is much greater than the previous cases. The 1896 Meiji Tsunami The 1933 Showa Tsunami The 2011 Tohoku Tsunami

GPS Wave Gage: 20 km off Kamaishi Water depth 204 m 55 cm land subsidence 6.7 m

Bathymetry 100 m 200 m 1000 m 100 m 200 m 1000 m 50 m 100 m 200 m 50 m 1000 m 20 km

50 m Bathymetry 50 m Shallow and wide continental shelf 100 m 100 m 100 m 200 m 200 m 200 m Steep and narrow continental shelf 1000 m 1000 m 1000 m

Arahama (38 13 14.0 N 140 58 50.5 E)

Arahama (38 13 14.0 N 140 58 50.5 E)

Arahama Why did this house survive? (38 13 14.0 N 140 58 50.5 E)

A large bus Yuriage (38 10 17.0 N 140 57 13.0 E)

Yuriage Large scour hole 7.5m x 15.0m x 1.2m deep Tsunami induced momentary liquefaction? (38 10 14.6 N 140 57 4.5 E)

Rikuzen Takada (39 02 2.0 N 141 36 25.6 E)

Rikuzen Takada Strong currents along Kesen River, scouring the railroad bank. Approximately 4 km upstream from the river mouth. Max. Runup = 18.5 m (39 02 2.0 N 141 36 25.6 E)

Rikuzen Takada before the Tsunami Tsunami forest and seawall along the shore before the tsunami attack (39 0 33.6 N 141 38 18 E)

Rikuzen Takada Scenes after March 11 tsunami -- no forest, no seawall, remain. Scenes after March 11 tsunami -- 84 cm subsidence. (39 0 33.9 N 141 38 31.9 E)

Rikuzen Takada Inundation level Front and back windows of every unit were broken away except the top floor. Front Unit (39 0 35.4 N 141 38 38.5 E) Inundation elevation near the shore was about 14 ~ 15 m. Flooded 90cm above the floor on the top floor

Rikuzen Takada 1st Unit (39 0 35.4 N 141 38 38.5 E) Flooded 90cm above the floor on the top floor 2nd Unit

17.6 m Runup Onagawa 120 cm land subsidence. Inundation level Tsunami inundation was higher than the top of the concrete cliff. (38 26 33.0 N 141 26 44.3 E)

(38 26 33.0 N 141 26 44.3 E)

Onagawa The effective net weight of the building under total submergence is approximately 1,600 KN (estimated by Greg Deierlein). The fluid force can be estimated by F = 1 2 C d! A u2 where C d 2 for a square column. Take the moment balance at 0 finds the flow speed: u 2.5 m/sec (38 26 33.0 N 141 26 44.3 E)

Onagawa Moment failure of the RC Building -- This is a new finding! This building can be toppled by rotation when the flow velocity exceeds 2.5 m/sec: this likely happened. (38 26 33.0 N 141 26 44.3 E)

Onagawa Onagawa NPP

Onagawa Success story? Onagawa NPP

Consideration on Tsunami Runups

Tsunami Runup Heights and Inundation Heights

Tsunami Runup Heights and Inundation Heights 10 m 20 m 30 m

50 m Bathymetry 50 m Shallow and wide continental shelf 100 m 100 m 100 m 200 m 200 m 200 m Steep and narrow continental shelf 1000 m 1000 m 1000 m

Tsunami Runup Heights and Inundation Heights The runup height of 10 m with the inundation distance more than 5 km into the very flat coastal plain indicate that the tsunami must had a very long wavelength. 10 m 20 m 30 m

Tsunami Runup Heights and Inundation Heights Very large tsunami runup heights (up to 38 m) in the northern Sanriku areas are still comparable with the effects of the 1896 Meiji Tsunami. 10 m 20 m 30 m

Tsunami Runup Heights and Inundation Heights The southern region of Sanriku had not been struck by local tsunamis; hence some of the engineered protections were designed based on the 1960 Chile Tsunami (runup 5 ~ 6 m). 10 m 20 m 30 m

Tsunami Runup Heights and Inundation Heights? and why? 10 m 20 m 30 m

Tsunami Runup Heights and Inundation Heights Very large minimum runup heights are noteworthy. 10 m 20 m 30 m

Summary Lots of things to learn from this natural disaster. especially for the future Cascadia event.

Tsunami Heights and the Heights of Seawalls