Frederic Teubert CERN, EP Department

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* Frederic Teubert CERN, EP Department With my gratitude to the speakers at the LHCb Future Upgrades Meeting in Manchester (6-7) April: Theatre of Dreams: Beyond the LHCb Phase-I upgrade 1 On behalf of the LHCb Collaboration.

v During the HL-LHC era (RUN 4-6), ATLAS/CMS are going to accumulate ~3 ab -1 running at ~5x10 34 Hz cm -2 (visible μ=<140> vs μ up to <50> in RUN 2-3 ). v Belle-II plans to start data taking end 2018 and to take ~50 ab -1 after six years. v By the end of RUN4 (2030) LHCb will have accumulated ~50 fb -1 (visible μ=<1-2>. We are here LHCb (8 fb -1 ) Phase 1 Upgrade (2x10 33 Hz cm -2 ) See talk by Gabriele Simi ATLAS/CMS (LHCb) visible μ= <20-50> (<1-2>) Belle-II Physics Run à LHCb ~30fb -1 Phase 1b Upgrade? LHCb visible μ=<1-2> Belle-II 50 ab -1 HL-LHC à ATLAS/CMS visible μ=<140> LHCb ~50fb -1 Phase 2 Upgrade (2x10 34 Hz cm -2 )? 2 LHCb visible μ=<50> LHCb ~300 fb -1?

LHCb Phase-Ib upgrade during LS3 aims for moderate cost improvements on the Phase-I detector. Possible improvements being investigated which have the potential to extend LHCb physics capabilities: - Improve tracking acceptance for low momentum particles by installing tracking stations on the dipole magnet internal side. - Improve muon acceptance by adding muon chambers around the dipole magnet using the magnet yoke as shielding. - Replace HCAL with a new shielding for the muon chambers. - Innermost ECAL region needs to be replaced during LS3. Rather than using existing spares, use new technologies (see later). - TORCH: as standalone PID detector, or as a timing device, perhaps embedded in ECAL. - SciFi may need some module replacement during LS3. - LHCb Phase-II upgrade during LS4 aims at preparing 3 the LHCb detector to cope with 2x10 34 Hz/ cm 2 instantaneous luminosity. See next slides.

The very rare decay B s àμ + μ - has been successfully observed at the LHC, consistent with the SM. Next target is B d àμ + μ - suppressed by V td /V ts in the SM. By the end of RUN 4 (~2030) CMS (LHCb) expect to have ~150 (70) B d and 1.4k (650) B s candidates with S/B~(1.5-3), allowing for a 30 (40)% measurement of the ratio: R=BR(B d àμ + μ - )/BR(B s àμ + μ - ) σ(r)/r LHCb Phase 1 upgrade LHCb Phase 2 upgrade? 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 8 fb -1 150 fb -1 25 fb -1 300 fb -1 LS2 LS3 LS4 LHCb CMS 50 fb -1 1 ab -1 300 fb -1 0 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 With Phase-2 LHCb+CMS expect to reach σ(r)/r~14% by 2040. B s statistics O(4k) candidates/experiment allows for new observables: effective lifetime, CP asymmetries. 3 ab -1 Year 10 LHCb Phase 1 upgrade 25 fb -1 50 ab -1 LHCb Phase 2 upgrade? 50 fb -1 50 ab -1 BR(τà3μ)x10-9 LHCb Belle-II 300 fb nil bkg 50 ab -1 Better acceptance LS2 LS3 LS4 & bkg rejection 4 1 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 Year Neutrino mass generation mechanism may, or may not be, related to the SM Higgs mechanism. CLFV decays of τ ± andμ ± are extremely interesting measurements. By the end of RUN 4 (~2030) LHCb will reach BR(τà3μ)<10-8. With Phase-2 LHCb+Belle-II could observe BR(τà3μ)~O(10-9 ).

If time dependent analysis are possible with a pileup μ~<50>: V ts phase (~φ s ) expect to be measured with σ(φ s )~9 mrad after RUN4 (2030). Not limited by theoretical or experimental systematic uncertainties. With Phase-2 LHCb expect to reach σ(φ s )~ 4 mrad using only B s àj/ψφ decays. + other LHCb decays + ATLAS/CMS expect to reach a combined sensitivity of σ(φ s )< 2 mrad. B s àj/ψφ ATLAS arxiv:1601.03297 Luca Silvestrini @Theatre of Dreams (April 2016) φ s 2ηλ 2 CMS arxiv:1507.07527 LHCb Luminosity (fb -1 ) 19 20 3 PRL114 041801(2015) Effective tagging (%) 1.5 1.3 3.7 Φ s [mrad] -98±84±40-75±97±31-58±49±6 ΔΓ s [fs -1 ] 83±11±7 95±13±7 80.5±9.1±3.3 V ub phase (~γ) expect to be measured with σ(γ)~ 0.9 after RUN4 (2030) using ADS, GLW, GGSZ and time-dependent B s àd s K decays. Not limited by theoretical or experimental systematic uncertainties. With Phase-2 LHCb expect to reach σ(γ)< 0.4 using all available modes. 5

Search for dark photons (A ) decaying in dimuons, thanks to the upgraded LHCb trigger (~triggerless) and detector resolution! Belle-II With Phase-2 LHCb expect to have best sensitivity for m A <m Φ and competitive with Belle-II in the region m Φ < m A < m J/ψ. arxiv:1603.08926 JINST 10 P06013 LHCb has a powerful b/c-jet discrimination. Assuming this is maintained in Phase-2, there is an interesting potential to search for Hàcc. In particular, if the acceptance (ηcoverage) for leptons from Z/W decays is increased. 6 With Phase-2 LHCb could get very close to the SM sensitivity for Hàcc.

Riccardo de Maria @ Theatre of Dreams (April 2016) Levelled luminosity LHCb [ 10 34 cm -2 s -1 ] Opt fill length (IP1/5) [h] Integrated luminosity ATLAS/ CMS [fb -1 /y] Integrated luminosity LHCb [fb -1 /y] β* IP8 [m] 0.2 (nom.) 9.3 261 10.4 3 9 1 9.1 258 28 3 0.5 1 9 257 37 2 3 1 8.8 256 47 1 6 2 9.1 258 28 3 0 2 8.9 257 41 2 0 2 8.5 253 70 1 2 Levelling time IP8 [h] G. Arduini, Preliminary Integrated luminosity in Atlas/CMS at 5x10 34 Hz/cm 2 substantially independent from LHCb. Preliminary studies did not exclude to reach β*~1m, but needs to be confirmed. 7

IR8 is not designed to host a high luminosity experiment. One of the most challenging projects in HL-LHC is the design of the much larger aperture (150 mm) Inner Triplet quadrupole magnets at IR1 and IR5, as the present ones need to be replaced at ~300 fb -1. In LS2 additional protecting devices will be installed at IR8 (mini-tan and copper mask), but will not be sufficient for 10 34 Hz cm -2. CERN-ACC-2016-0007 Riccardo de Maria @ Theatre of Dreams (April 2016) Towards 10 34 Hz cm -2 at IR8 and beyond: - First compensator dipole could be filled with Tungsten and act as TAS (Target Absorber Secondaries) (still 45 MGy vs 30 MGy design after 300 fb -1 ). - Real TAN(Target Absorber Neutrals) and TCL (Long Collimator) likely to be needed. - Triplet peak doses depends strongly on crossing angle, (studies needed). - F. Cerutti and I. Efthymiopoulos, 5 th HL-Lumi LARP meeting, October 26-30 2015. Already quite impressive progress from the LHC side. So far, no showstopper! 8

The current (Phase-I) VELO design could survive 2x10 34 Hz/cm 2 by increasing the inner radius (5 à11 mm) and increasing the overall length of the detector. IP resolution worse (50% to 100% depending on η). A better solution is to replace the VELO with thinner sensors, smaller pixels, new ASICS, better RF foil and mechanics design. First simplified studies with current (Phase-I) VELO design show that similar IP resolution as in Phase-I upgrade could be maintained in Phase-II. Pattern recognition needs to be tuned. In average 13% of B decays are mismatched to the wrong PV. If the timing of the track hit is known within σ~200 ps, then the mismatch is reduced to phase-i levels (1%). To be evaluated is the radiation damage in timing detectors. 9

Phase-I upgrade SciFi detector limited to 2x10 33 Hz/cm 2 due to radiation and occupancy. Pattern recognition software to be reoptimized. Minimal changes would be to instrument the innermost region with Si detectors. Should we just consider a new full Si tracker for Phase-II, possible a la ITlight study to reduce occupancy from secondaries? R&D quite advanced in internal LHCb study. 10 IT-Light study: Large contribution in the occupancy at x~0 from secondaries.

Current plan is that inner region of ECAL needs to be replaced by LS3 (Phase 1b) due to radiation damage. Possibility to improve detector performance with new technologies: W-Si, W-shashlik, DECAL, etc and maybe time measurement (TORCH?). Improve energy/position resolution by reducing Moliere Radius and size of the cells (granularity). Do we need to replace the whole detector? 1) Replace innermost region. 2) Replace full inner region. 3) Replace full detector. 4) Replace horizontal band (pile-up) It seems possible to improve (x2) position resolution and (x4) on pile-up reduction! 11

LHCb current Muon system design will suffer from a rate too high in the innermost region of M2/M3 at 10 34 Hz/cm 2. Potential solutions include: 1) Reduce rates (~50%) by replacing HCAL by a shielding iron wall. 2) Improve Muon ID algorithm by requiring looser hit coincidences between Muon stations. 3) Replace inner region with new technologies (already some for Phase-1b?): μ-rwell, GEM, etc 4) Increase number of readout channels to reduce occupancy (dead time). 12

At ν=50 occupancies in excess of 100% for central region of RICH1 What could we do with RICH at 10 34 Hz/cm 2? Use photodetectors insensitive to magnetic field (SiPM or MCP) and increase granularity (3à1 mm) pixels, (x10) decrease in occupancies. Improve optical uncertainty by: 1) light-weight flat mirror move into acceptance. 2) reduce mirror tilt. Phase-2 Upgrade Reduce chromatic uncertainty by: Gas tuning, Photodetector shifted towards red, better QE, (Phase-1) Phase-2 (40) Photodetector with RS QE Reduce pixel 1mm 2 (0.58) (0.44) (0.37) Lightweight flat mirror in acceptance 13

HL-LHC can provide up to 2x10 34 Hz/cm 2 without disturbing ATLAS/CMS, and integrate up to 300 fb -1 before requiring to replace the insertion magnets at IR8. The need for extra protecting devices at IR8 seems to be limited and affordable until then. There is a clear and strong physics case for a Phase-II upgrade of LHCb. Very rare decays, or exotic searches, are limited by statistics. Some of the most interesting CKM measurements are not limited by systematics. In particular, time dependent CP asymmetries measurements seem feasible if tracker detectors have timing information (200 ps/track). Some of the improved detector technologies for Phase-II, and other ideas being discussed, could already be implemented during LS3 (Phase-Ib). No doubt LHCb Phase-II upgrade is a challenging project, but so far LHCb has been very successful in beating expectations! 14