Science Landscape in the 2030's Wide Field Infrared Space Telescope (WFIRST)

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Science Landscape in the 2030's Wide Field Infrared Space Telescope (WFIRST) Neil Gehrels Project Scientist (NASA-GSFC) LISA Symposium University of Florida, Gainesville May 21, 2014

WFIRST-AFTA SDT Co-Chairs David Spergel, Princeton University Neil Gehrels, NASA GSFC Members Charles Baltay, Yale University Dave Bennett, University of Notre Dame James Breckinridge, California Institute of Technology Megan Donahue, Michigan State University Alan Dressler, Carnegie Institution for Science Scott Gaudi, Ohio State University Tom Greene, NASA ARC Olivier Guyon, Steward Observatory Chris Hirata, Ohio State University Jason Kalirai, Space Telescope Science Institute Jeremy Kasdin, Princeton University Bruce MacIntosh, Stanford University Warren Moos, Johns Hopkins University Saul Perlmutter, University of California Berkeley Marc Postman, Space Telescope Science Institute Bernie Rauscher, NASA GSFC Jason Rhodes, NASA JPL David Weinberg, Ohio State University Yun Wang, University of Oklahoma Ex Officio Dominic Benford, NASA HQ Mike Hudson, Canadian Space Agency Yannick Mellier, European Space Agency Wes Traub, NASA JPL Toru Yamada, Japanese Aerospace Exploration Agency Consultants Matthew Penny, Ohio State University Dmitry Savransky, Cornell University Daniel Stern, NASA JPL

WFIRST Summary WFIRST is the highest ranked large space mission in 2010 US Decadal Survey - dark energy - exoplanet census and imaging - NIR sky for the community (GO program) WFIRST-AFTA uses 2.4m telescope from NRO Exoplanet coronagraph part of baseline WFIRST-AFTA will perform Hubble quality and depth imaging over 1000's sq deg WFIRST-AFTA enabled by large format HgCdTe detectors

WFIRST-AFTA Instruments Wide-Field Instrument Imaging & spectroscopy over 1000s of sq. deg. Monitoring of SN and microlensing fields 0.7 2.0 micron bandpass 0.28 deg 2 FoV (100x JWST FoV) 18 H4RG detectors (288 Mpixels) 6 filter imaging, grism + IFU spectroscopy Coronagraph Imaging of ice & gas giant exoplanets Imaging of debris disks 400 1000 nm bandpass 10-9 contrast (after post-processing) 100 milliarcsec inner working angle at 400 nm

Same size and quality telescope as HST 2.5x deeper and 1.6x better resolution than NWNH WFIRST. Highly complementary to LSST, Euclid and JWST. Enables coronagraphy of giant planets and debris disks Use of donated telescope and addition of coronagraph have increased the interest in WFIRST in government, scientific community and public. $66M add by Congress. Used for pre-phase A risk reduction & schedule advancement Funding ramps up in FY18, capturing the JWST funding "wedge" for astrophysics Cost with coronagraph is $2.1B to $2.4B depending on launcher Launch date is 2023 to 2024 Capabilities & Status

IR Surveys Survey Grasp (degrees/arcseconds) 2 10 6 10 5 10 4 10 3 10 2 10 1 1 10-1 B WFIRST/AFTA HLS Euclid Wide J POSS-II IR B B B LSST Y 2MASS K B B B UKIDSS Y B UKIDSS K SDSS-III z 2MASS J WFIRST/AFTA WISE 3µm B SN, Wide B CFHTLS Wide z WFIRST/AFTA B B SN, Deep Increasing Information Content B Euclid Deep J CFHTLS Deep z B B CANDELS Wide J B CANDELS Deep J B HUDF/IR 10-2 10 1 10-1 10-2 10-3 10-4 10-5 10-6 10-7 Flux Sensitivity (mjy)

WFIRST-AFTA vs Hubble Hubble Ultra Deep Field - IR ~5,000 galaxies in one image (60 orbits, 4 days) PI: Illingworth 70,000 galaxies in each field of AFTA survey WFIRST-AFTA Deep Field >1,000,000 galaxies in each image

WFIRST-AFTA Dark Energy Weak Lensing (2400 deg 2 ) High angular resolution Galaxy shapes in IR 400 million galaxies Photo-z redshifts 3 imaging filters LSST Improvement over SDSS AFTA Euclid AB mag 28 27 26 25 24 Supernovae High quality IFU spectra 5 day sampling of light curves 2500 SNe WFIRST Hα 23 Redshift survey (2400 deg 2 ) BAO & Redshift Space Distortions High number density of galaxies 20 million galaxies Euclid OIII

Exoplanet Microlensing Monitor 3 sq deg in galactic bulge

Exoplanet Surveys Kepler & WFIRST M. Penny (OSU)

Exoplanet Surveys Kepler & WFIRST ~3000 planet detections. 300 with Earth mass and below. Hundreds of free-floating planets. WFIRST-AFTA complements Kepler, TESS, and PLATO. M. Penny (OSU)

AFTA Coronagraph Capability Bandpass 400 1000 nm Shaped Pupil Mask Image with Dark Hole Inner working angle 100 250 mas Outer working angle 0.75 1.8 arcsec Detection Limit Contrast 10-9 (after processing) Spectral Res. ~70

Coronagraph Sensitivity 10-3 10-4 Self-luminous planets Known RV planets Solar System planets -8-10 Planet/Star Contrast 10-5 10-6 10-7 10-8 GPI HST JWST -12-14 -16-18 -20 delta magnitude (mag) 10-9 10-10 10-11 Venus Jupiter Earth Saturn WFIRST-AFTA Mars 0.1 1 Uranus -22-24 -26 Angular Separation (arcsec)

Cosmic Structure Formation History Using Observations from the High Latitude Survey and GO Programs Large-scale Distribution of Galaxy Clusters Lensing Mass Function of Clusters Dark Matter Halos of Galaxies Present 1 4 Redshift 5 6 7 8 >10 6 billion years Survey of Emission-line Galaxies 1.5 billion years Detection of Large Sample of z > 7 Galaxies Large-scale Distribution of Lyman-break Galaxies 750 million years <500 million years

Observatory Concept Telescope 2.4m aperture primary Dry Mass 3900 kg Primary Structure Graphite Epoxy Downlink Rate Continuous 150 Mbps Ka-band to Ground Station Thermal passive radiator Power 2100 W GN&C reaction wheels & thruster unloading Propulsion bipropellant GEO orbit Launcher Atlas V 551 or Falcon 9 heavy 15

Wide Field Instrument Layout WF Outer Enclosure Outer enclosure (OE) and optical bench (OB) top panels removed Wide field mirrors; Focal plane assembly (FPA); Integral field unit (IFU) OB Radiator (Blue) Latches WF Radiator Assembly Cryocooler/Electronics Radiator (Red) 16

Coronagraph Instrument Shaped-pupil mask Deformable mirrors (2X) LOWFS camera Fast steering mirror Hybrid Lyot mask imaging camera IFS camera side view end view (from inside) 17

EM Counterparts to GW Sources "Ground-based detectors such as LIGO will detect high-frequency (HF) gravitational waves ( 10 1000Hz). They can detect the merging of binary black holes, and the tidal disruption and merger of neutron stars in black hole and neutron star binaries at 400Mpc and 200Mpc respectively... The space-based mission LISA will detect low-frequency (LF) gravitational waves (0.1-10mHz). It can detect merging binary supermassive black holes (to z 30), their captures of intermediate mass black holes (to z 3), and their captures of the compact objects (stellar mass black holes to z 1, neutron stars and white dwarfs to z 0.1 ) in galactic nuclei." Phinney Astro2010 WP

Notes on EM Counterparts LIGO-Virgo: Most likely early detections will be NS-NS or NS-BH mergers Range is 50 200 Mpc Accompanied by bright GRB and afterglow if on jet axis (1%) Accompanied by faint afterglow, possibly from kilonova nucleosynthetic radionuclides, if off-axis LISA: Most likely detections will be binary SMBH mergers Range is Gpc's Bare BH mergers have no EM radiation. However: - Gas around BHs will be stirred up and accrete forming quasar on years to decades time scales - Stars around BHs will be stirred up and create TDE events on years to decades time scales

Credit: Daniel Price and Stephan Rosswog Swift Finding: NS-NS Mergers Produce Short GRBs

Swift Finding: Tidal Disruption Event Produces EM Transient

Source Localization Errors LIGO-Virgo LISA 3 deg Lang, Hughes, Cornish '12 Mock Data Challenge Aasi+ '13 Group Error (deg) 1 11.6 2 2.0 3 171.0 Babak+ '10

LIGO-Virgo Error Boxes Galaxy Strategy 1000 deg 2 2015 tiling - WFIRST 100 deg 2 2017 10 deg 2 2020 galaxies # galaxies to cover 50% of light WFIRST FoV = 0.28 deg 2 Kanner, Gehrels+ '12

GRB and GW Afterglows GRB Optical/NIR Afterglow NS-NS mergers produce GWs & GRBs long GRBs short GRBs WFIRST-AFTA WFIRST NWNH Kann+ '08 JWST EM afterglows are bright, but short-lived

Summary WFIRST-AFTA is a (now more) powerful mission for NIR surveys and exoplanets - HST imaging & spectroscopy with 100x field of view - First high-contrast coronagraph for imaging exoplanet Jupiters and debris disks - First space microlensing census of exoplanets Coronagraph is descopable, but important scientifically and politically If WFIRST can launch in 2024, substantial funds for new future missions or involvement in missions will become available in ~2023. WFIRST-AFTA will be a useful tool for follow-up of LIGO-Virgo and LISA GW events