WRF Model Simulated Proxy Datasets Used for GOES-R Research Activities

Similar documents
Applications of future GEO advanced IR sounder for high impact weather forecasting demonstration with regional OSSE

Variational data assimilation of lightning with WRFDA system using nonlinear observation operators

Lightning Data Assimilation using an Ensemble Kalman Filter

LARGE-SCALE WRF-SIMULATED PROXY ATMOSPHERIC PROFILE DATASETS USED TO SUPPORT GOES-R RESEARCH ACTIVITIES

2012 AHW Stream 1.5 Retrospective Results

P1.34 MULTISEASONALVALIDATION OF GOES-BASED INSOLATION ESTIMATES. Jason A. Otkin*, Martha C. Anderson*, and John R. Mecikalski #

Weather Research and Forecasting Model. Melissa Goering Glen Sampson ATMO 595E November 18, 2004


Assimilation of Satellite Infrared Brightness Temperatures and Doppler Radar Observations in a High-Resolution OSSE

3.4 THE IMPACT OF CONVECTIVE PARAMETERIZATION SCHEMES ON CLIMATE SENSITIVITY

ANALYSIS OF THE MPAS CONVECTIVE-PERMITTING PHYSICS SUITE IN THE TROPICS WITH DIFFERENT PARAMETERIZATIONS OF CONVECTION REMARKS AND MOTIVATIONS

Assimilation of water vapor sensitive infrared brightness temperature observations during a high impact weather event

True or false: The atmosphere is always in hydrostatic balance. A. True B. False

Northeastern United States Snowstorm of 9 February 2017

THE IMPACT OF SATELLITE-DERIVED WINDS ON GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECASTS

Transient/Eddy Flux. Transient and Eddy. Flux Components. Lecture 7: Disturbance (Outline) Why transients/eddies matter to zonal and time means?

CHAPTER 8 NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS OF THE ITCZ OVER THE INDIAN OCEAN AND INDONESIA DURING A NORMAL YEAR AND DURING AN ENSO YEAR

CHAPTER 9 ATMOSPHERE S PLANETARY CIRCULATION MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTIONS

THE IMPACT OF GROUND-BASED GPS SLANT-PATH WET DELAY MEASUREMENTS ON SHORT-RANGE PREDICTION OF A PREFRONTAL SQUALL LINE

Numerical Weather Prediction: Data assimilation. Steven Cavallo

Title Slide: AWIPS screengrab of AVHRR data fog product, cloud products, and POES sounding locations.

4/29/2011. Mid-latitude cyclones form along a

Masahiro Kazumori, Takashi Kadowaki Numerical Prediction Division Japan Meteorological Agency

THE INFLUENCE OF THE GREAT LAKES ON NORTHWEST SNOWFALL IN THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS

The Planetary Circulation System

Lecture 19: Operational Remote Sensing in Visible, IR, and Microwave Channels

1. Which weather map symbol is associated with extremely low air pressure? A) B) C) D) 2. The diagram below represents a weather instrument.

School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University. Dong-Kyou Lee. Contribution: Dr. Yonhan Choi (UNIST/NCAR) IWTF/ACTS

New Zealand Heavy Rainfall and Floods

11 days (00, 12 UTC) 132 hours (06, 18 UTC) One unperturbed control forecast and 26 perturbed ensemble members. --

Heavy rains and precipitable water anomalies August 2010 By Richard H. Grumm And Jason Krekeler National Weather Service State College, PA 16803

Chapter 10: Mid-latitude Cyclones Mid-Latitude Cyclones

Chapter 10: Mid-latitude Cyclones

Operational and research activities at ECMWF now and in the future

IMPACT OF ASSIMILATING COSMIC FORECASTS OF SYNOPTIC-SCALE CYCLONES OVER WEST ANTARCTICA

Daniel J. Cecil 1 Mariana O. Felix 1 Clay B. Blankenship 2. University of Alabama - Huntsville. University Space Research Alliance

Examination #3 Wednesday, 28 November 2001

Numerical Experiments of Tropical Cyclone Seasonality over the Western North Pacific

Page 1. Name:

Satellite-derived Mountain Wave Turbulence Interest Field Detection

Summary of November Central U.S. Winter Storm By Christopher Hedge

NUMERICAL EXPERIMENTS USING CLOUD MOTION WINDS AT ECMWF GRAEME KELLY. ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading ABSTRACT

Talking points for Basic Satellite Interpretation in the Tropics

Recent Data Assimilation Activities at Environment Canada

THE FEASIBILITY OF EXTRACTING LOWLEVEL WIND BY TRACING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE OBSERVED IN IR IMAGERY OVER CLOUD FREE OCEAN AREA IN THE TROPICS

Divergence, Spin, and Tilt. Convergence and Divergence. Midlatitude Cyclones. Large-Scale Setting

Fronts in November 1998 Storm

A comparative study on the genesis of North Indian Ocean cyclone Madi (2013) and Atlantic Ocean cyclone Florence (2006)

WRF Modeling System Overview

JASON A. OTKIN. Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies, University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, Wisconsin

The Impacts of GPSRO Data Assimilation and Four Ices Microphysics Scheme on Simulation of heavy rainfall Events over Taiwan during June 2012

4.4 EVALUATION OF AN IMPROVED CONVECTION TRIGGERING MECHANISM IN THE NCAR COMMUNITY ATMOSPHERE MODEL CAM2 UNDER CAPT FRAMEWORK

Weather report 28 November 2017 Campinas/SP

Shu-Ya Chen 1, Tae-Kwon Wee 1, Ying-Hwa Kuo 1,2, and David H. Bromwich 3. University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado 2

Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Structure Changes in relation to Tropical Cyclone Outflow

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast October 2017 Report

Egyptian Meteorological Authority Cairo Numerical Weather prediction centre

Synoptic Meteorology II: Frontogenesis Examples Figure 1

VERIFICATION OF HIGH RESOLUTION WRF-RTFDDA SURFACE FORECASTS OVER MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS

Tropical cyclone simulations and predictions with GFDL s prototype global cloud resolving model

Winter Storm of 15 December 2005 By Richard H. Grumm National Weather Service Office State College, PA 16803

Application and Evaluation of the Global Weather Research and Forecasting (GWRF) Model

Precipitation Structure and Processes of Typhoon Nari (2001): A Modeling Propsective

Science Olympiad Meteorology Quiz #2 Page 1 of 8

Lecture #14 March 29, 2010, Monday. Air Masses & Fronts

Development and Validation of Polar WRF

Using the CRTM and GOES Observations to Improve Model Microphysics

P1.3 DIURNAL VARIABILITY OF THE CLOUD FIELD OVER THE VOCALS DOMAIN FROM GOES IMAGERY. CIMMS/University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK 73069

10B.2 THE ROLE OF THE OCCLUSION PROCESS IN THE EXTRATROPICAL-TO-TROPICAL TRANSITION OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE KAREN

Lecture 5: Atmospheric General Circulation and Climate

Severe storms over the Mediterranean Sea: A satellite and model analysis

University of Miami/RSMAS

Comparison of Diurnal Variation of Precipitation System Observed by TRMM PR, TMI and VIRS

The impact of assimilation of microwave radiance in HWRF on the forecast over the western Pacific Ocean

Mesoscale meteorological models. Claire L. Vincent, Caroline Draxl and Joakim R. Nielsen

A New Numerical Weather Prediction Approach to the NDFD's Sky Cover Grid

D.Carvalho, A, Rocha, at 2014 Applied Energy. Report person:zhang Jiarong. Date:

air masses and Fronts 2013.notebook January 29, 2013

Myung-Sook Park, Russell L. Elsberry and Michael M. Bell. Department of Meteorology, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California, USA

Francis O. 1, David H. Bromwich 1,2

Mid-Latitude Cyclones and Fronts. Lecture 12 AOS 101

Atmospheric Motion Vectors (AMVs) and their forecasting significance

Weather Studies Introduction to Atmospheric Science

ABSTRACT 2 DATA 1 INTRODUCTION

INTRODUCTION TO METEOROLOGY PART ONE SC 213 MAY 21, 2014 JOHN BUSH

Air Masses, Fronts, Storm Systems, and the Jet Stream

Application of Himawari-8 AHI Data to the GOES-R Rainfall Rate Algorithm

Impact of GPS RO Data on the Prediction of Tropical Cyclones

The skill of ECMWF cloudiness forecasts

National Weather Service-Pennsylvania State University Weather Events

Cloud parameterization and cloud prediction scheme in Eta numerical weather model

APPLICATIONS WITH METEOROLOGICAL SATELLITES. W. Paul Menzel. Office of Research and Applications NOAA/NESDIS University of Wisconsin Madison, WI

Final Examination, MEA 443 Fall 2008, Lackmann

Creating Meteorology for CMAQ

Weather Forecasting. March 26, 2009

MET 3502 Synoptic Meteorology. Lecture 8: September 16, AIRMASSES, FRONTS and FRONTAL ANALYSIS (2)

Application of Radio Occultation Data in Analyses and Forecasts of Tropical Cyclones Using an Ensemble Assimilation System

Simulating roll clouds associated with low-level convergence in WRF

Assimilation of cloud/precipitation data at regional scales

Lecture 14. Extratropical Cyclones extratropical cyclone

Transcription:

WRF Model Simulated Proxy Datasets Used for GOES-R Research Activities Jason Otkin Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies Space Science and Engineering Center University of Wisconsin Madison

Outline Describe the end-to-end modeling procedure Generate model-simulated proxy datasets Generate TOA radiances and other products Describe hardware resources Discuss WRF model characteristics and capabilities Present results from case study simulations ATREC FULLDISK OCEAN-WINDS Discuss future plans

End-to-End Processing Use WRF model to generate physically realistic simulated atmospheric profile datasets with high spatial and temporal resolution Simulated fields used by the GIFTS forward model include the surface temperature, atmospheric temperature and the mixing ratios for water vapor and various hydrometeor species Estimate effective particle diameter for each species Calculate total liquid and ice water paths Calculate liquid and ice cloud top pressures

End-to-End Processing Interpolate simulated 3-d data from the model coordinate system to the isobaric levels used by the forward model Use temperature profiles from NESDIS 1200 dataset to fill the levels above the model top Ozone data from the LBLRTM are used to create representative ozone profiles Simulated datasets subsequently passed through the GIFTS forward model to generate simulated TOA radiances

Processing Resources 32 CPU SGI Linux cluster 192 Gb of physical memory 6.4 Gb/sec interconnect 10 Tb of external disk storage Allows us to perform very large memory-intensive model simulations with fine horizontal resolution in a reasonable amount of time

WRF Model Characteristics Integrates fully compressible non-hydrostatic Euler equations cast in flux form Uses a mass-based terrain-following coordinate with vertical stretching allowed Can be run for idealized or real-data cases Options for one and two-way interactive nests

WRF Model Characteristics Employs a 3 rd order Runge-Kutta temporal integration scheme Option to use 2 nd to 6 th order horizontal and vertical advection schemes Minimal implicit and explicit smoothing of data (better preserves high resolution of simulations) Effective resolution is ~ 7 * x

WRF Model Characteristics Uses the Noah land surface model to calculate surface moisture and energy fluxes Somewhat limited choice of parameterization schemes FDDA (analysis nudging) available soon Contains basic 3DVAR and EnKF data assimilation package

WRF Model Benefits Flexible Domain Configuration Geographic location Model output frequency Spatial resolution Dataset Consistency Data available at regular intervals over entire domain (compare to global orbiters or aircraft)

ATREC Extratropical Cyclone Case Intense extratropical cyclone developing over the Gulf Stream Significant cloud shield with extensive region of stratiform precipitation Scattered convection along trailing cold front

ATREC Extratropical Cyclone Case WRF Model Configuration: 1070x1070 grid point domain with 2 km grid spacing and 50 vertical levels Initialized at 00 UTC on 05 December with 1 GFS data and then run for 24 hours WSM6 microphysics Yonsei University (YSU) planetary boundary layer RRTM/Dudhia radiation Noah land-surface model Explicit cumulus

ATREC Extratropical Cyclone Case Cyclone develops along strong baroclinic zone Broad region of warm air advection Weak shortwave trough in the upper levels

ATREC Extratropical Cyclone Case Upper-level trough in western portion of domain Diffluent flow above surface cyclone Cyclone deepened slightly and moved northward along baroclinic zone

ATREC Extratropical Cyclone Case WRF simulation contains a realistic representation of the main cloud features Very fine scale structure evident in the simulated cloud fields

ATREC Extratropical Cyclone Case 11.1 micron brightness temperatures calculated with the GIFTS forward model

ATREC Extratropical Cyclone Case Clear-sky retrievals compare favorably to simulated fields Widespread cloud cover limits retrievals in lower levels Improved coverage in upper levels illustrates importance of above cloud top retrievals

WRF Model Configuration: 1580 x 1830 grid point domain with 8-km grid spacing and 50 vertical levels Initialized at 00 UTC on 24 June with 1 GFS data and then run for 30 hours WSM6 microphysics Yonsei University (YSU) planetary boundary layer RRTM/Dudhia radiation Noah land-surface model Explicit cumulus FULLDISK Simulation

FULLDISK Simulation Thunderstorm complex develops over central U.S. Meridional cloud band over western Atlantic Widespread lowlevel cloud cover over eastern Pacific Tropical convection along ITCZ

FULLDISK Simulation Dry air wrapping into cyclone over central U.S. Dry air over eastern Pacific Cutoff cyclones over eastern Atlantic

FULLDISK Simulation Cellular stratus over eastern Pacific Very fine cloud structures over both oceans Diurnally-driven convection over southeastern U.S.

FULLDISK Simulation Very warm airmass across eastern U.S. Sharp temperature contrast across central U.S. Strong temperature gradients associated with ocean currents Fine structure in mountainous areas

FULLDISK Simulation Amplified flow pattern across North America Weak winds over the tropics Strong jet stream across southern portion of the domain

FULLDISK Simulation Plentiful moisture along the ITCZ Moisture streaming northward into the central U.S. Significant fine-scale structure evident in many regions Dry air present over much of the southern oceans

FULLDISK Simulation Vertically-integrated cloud microphysical content Very fine-scale cloud structure Cellular stratus over the oceans Deep convection over Northern Plains Tropical convection along the ITCZ

FULLDISK Simulation Deep convection along ITCZ and over the Northern Plains Low cloud cover over northeastern Pacific Ocean Mid-level cloud cover over southern Pacific Ocean

FULLDISK Simulation Simulated brightness temperatures calculated using GIFTS forward model Simulated brightness temperatures contain substantial fine-scale detail Simulated cloud features are very realistic compared to the observed clouds

FULLDISK Simulation Simulated top of atmosphere brightness temperatures Water vapor weighting function peaks at successively lower levels

FULLDISK Simulation Simulated GOES sounder TOA radiances

FULLDISK Simulation Simulated GOES sounder band 8 TOA radiances

OCEAN-WINDS Simulation Case study was chosen for its relatively clear conditions over the eastern Atlantic Primary goal was to generate a high quality dataset for AMV algorithm development

OCEAN-WINDS Simulation WRF Model Configuration: 1070 x 1070 grid point domain with 2-km grid spacing and 50 vertical levels Initialized at 00 UTC on 24 June with 1 GFS data and then run for 30 hours WSM6 microphysics Yonsei University (YSU) planetary boundary layer RRTM/Dudhia radiation Noah land-surface model Explicit cumulus

OCEAN-WINDS Simulation Large cut-off cyclone located over western Atlantic Ocean Weak flow field and temperature gradients across most of the domain

OCEAN-WINDS Simulation Band of enhanced moisture to SE of cyclone Fine-scale structure evident in the convective regions Dry air over the eastern U.S.

OCEAN-WINDS Simulation Large clear region along the eastern U.S. coast Scattered convection associated with the cut-off cyclone

OCEAN-WINDS Simulation Mostly clear conditions along the East Coast Cirrus drifting in from the northern boundary Low clouds around the cut-off cyclone

OCEAN-WINDS Simulation Generate simulated AMVs by tracking water vapor gradients A cloud mask is applied Potential targets that have passed preliminary quality control are shown in the top panel Simulated AMVs are shown in the bottom panel

Future Plans Generate additional datasets for various GOES-R AWG and GOES-R3 activities Employ the sophisticated Seifert and Beheng doublemoment microphysics scheme for high-resolution (< 2 km) simulations Includes prognostic equations for the mixing ratio and number concentration of each species Improves parameterization of various cloud processes such as sedimentation and collisional interactions Early results are promising

Future Plans Implement other versions of the WRF model NMM version developed by NCEP Tropical WRF Perform data assimilation studies using simulated GOES-R radiances Most likely employ the Ensemble Kalman Filter method Benefits include flow-dependent and time-varying background error covariances and ease of implementation