TexNet and CISR: An Update on Monitoring and Understanding Seismicity in Texas

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Transcription:

TexNet and CISR: An Update on Monitoring and Understanding Seismicity in Texas Michael H. Young a, Alexandros Savvaidis a, Peter Hennings a, Ellen Rathje b a Bureau of Economic Geology, Jackson School of Geosciences b Dept. of Civil, Architectural and Environmental Engineering, Cockrell School University of Texas at Austin UIC Conference February 23, 2017

Texas Shale Basins, Injection, Seismicity ~50,000 injection wells permitted since 1930 s ~34,000 active injection wells for enhanced oil production ~8,000 permitted UIC Class II disposal wells 2

Seismic Activity in Texas Savvaidis, BEG 3

Activity (>M2.0) in DFW Area (since 1/2013) 4.5 4 3.5 Azle/Reno Venus Magnitdue 3 2.5 2 1.5 Irving 1 N=177 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Year Data source: IRIS

Fluid Injection Volumes Ft. Worth Basin Lemons and Hennings, unpublished

Texas is Geologically Diverse 12+ distinct tectonic areas Anadarko Basin Amarillo Uplift Palo Duro Arch Midland Basin Delaware Basin BEG after Ewing Many known subsurface fault systems that are poorly documented publically Ewing, in press Marathon East Texas Basin Far West Sabine Uplift Val Verde Ft Worth Basin Gulf Coast Llano/Bend Arch Talco/Mexia/Balcones

Known Unknowns Knowledge of subsurface fault architecture 3D seismic data, crucial to understanding subsurface conditions, often maintained in house with operators and services companies and are not public High resolution data on injection volumes and rates currently monthly averaged injection volumes are made available once per year, daily values needed Downhole pressures pressure responses radiate from injection wells. Monitoring wells or monitored injection wells would better define subsurface conditions Sufficient understanding of rock and fault properties (for modeling) including porosity, permeability, offsets, stress states, fault planes, etc.

Public/Media Response to Texas Seismicity

Texas Response to Public Concerns http://www.beg.utexas.edu/files/content/texnet/docs/texnet-report-2016.pdf

TexNet Goals To monitor, locate, and catalog seismicity across Texas, capable of detecting and locating earthquakes with magnitudes M2.0 (aka Backbone) To improve investigations of ongoing sequences by deploying temporary seismic monitoring stations and conducting site specific assessments, especially for Events >M3.0 in or near urban areas, or Events co located where ongoing human activities may be related to earthquake activity

TexNet Integrated Monitoring Network Add 22 additional broadband stations, providing 40 station backbone Include auxiliary sites Deploy up to 36 additional, shortperiod, temporary stations

Portable Station Deployment Plan 2016-17 Permian Basin 2016-2017 - 6 stations near Pecos - 9 at Cogdell Field 2018-9 near Pecos and elsewhere PH C Ft Worth Basin 2016-2018 - 12 stations to be adjusted depending on seismicity trends and availability of other sensors UT-BEG rapid deployment reserve 2016-2017 - 3 stations 2018-3 stations (other deployed portable stations can be repositioned to augment rapid deployment reserve) PB SW EF FW SE NE Northeast Texas 2016-2017 - 0 stations 2018-3 stations Eagle Ford 2016-2017 - 3 near Fashing 2018-6 near Fashing and elsewhere 12

Hardware Setup of Permanent Station Pole mount hardware Installation: 6 Channel Datalogger Wireless Modem 200Ah Battery 150W Solar Panel, and 120sec 3 Component Post Hole Seismometer

TexNet CISR Goals and Stakeholders TexNet Monitor, locate, and catalog seismicity across Texas, minimizing uncertainties, with magnitudes M2.0 using the new backbone network and improve investigations of ongoing sequences by deploying temporary seismic monitoring stations and conducting site specific assessments. Center for Integrated Seismicity Research CISR will conduct fundamental and applied research to better understand naturally occurring and potentially induced seismicity and the associated risks, and to discern strategies for communicating with stakeholders and responding to public concerns regarding seismicity. Public & Educators Government & Regulators Academia Industry

Research Project Integration TexNet and Seismology Geologic & Hydrologic Description permanent and portable seismic networks velocity models stress magnitude characterization (SCITS) EQ locations, calibrated magnitudes, catalog, maps fault system characterization disposal zone geomodels EQ focal mechanisms site to basin fluid budgets advanced source characterization Petroleum Operator Data and Collaboration Geomechanics and Reservoir Modeling static fault sensitivity analysis basin-scale reservoir models for Pp estimation site-specific poroelastic scenario models site-specific reservoir flow models coupled fault rupture and permeability models Seismic Hazard and Risk Assessment Vs30 database and TX Vs map ground motion models seismic vulnerability estimates Seismic Risk Social Science data on risk perceptions of EQs characterization of stakeholder beliefs, values, and reactions to seismic risk communication strategy effectiveness and tools

Longer Term Science and Application Timing State-Wide and General Topics 1. network procurement and installation 2. network management and data stream 3. R&D products to improve network performance 4. EQ compilations and characterizations 5. fault mapping and disposal zone characterizations 6. seismic risk communication and outreach 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Ft Worth Basin Integrated Study 1. local seismic networks and EQ studies 2. basin-scale fluid budgets and pore pressure 3. stress characterization (Stanford) 4. fault characterization 5. 3D basin geo and hydrologic and modeling 6. fault reactivation analysis and mapping 7. reservoir modeling of seismicity mechanics 8. assessment of basin seismogenic potential * Greater West Texas Basin Integrated Study 1. local seismicity base-line studies and analyses 2. *integrated geological characterization 3. assessment of basin seismogenic potential Eagle Ford Operating Area Integrated Study 1. local seismicity base-line studies and analyses 2. *integrated geological characterization 3. assessment of basin seismogenic potential Panhandle Seismicity Study 1. seismicity analysis (existing and TA stations) 2. *integrated geological characterization 3. assessment of basin seismogenic potential *integrated geological characterization 16

TexNet Network Deployment Status (2/12/17)

Screen Shot of Data Streaming Event: Near Pecos, TX 17Feb2017; 12:52CST Mag 2.3

Thank You!!