Monitoring on Subsidence Claims. John Parvin Subsidence Claims Manager

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Transcription:

Monitoring on Subsidence Claims John Parvin Subsidence Claims Manager

Key Milestones Subsidence cover 1972 Surge of claims1989/1990/1991 Project Management 1992 onwards Mitigation Surge 1995/2003 Delegated authority Schemes 2

What are the challenges for the industry in a changing market? 2006 challenges Up to 50,000 notifications and 450 Million Spend Subsidence Notification Frequency 1995 1996 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 3

2009 2005 2006 2007 2008 Actual Claim Figures 2009 2009 subsidence notifications 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 4 Number of claims 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Year

Subsidence Process Commence Recovery Finalise Recovery Fast Track Claim Notification Initial Quality Visit By Loss Adjuster Investigation Mitigation REPAIR DECISION Under take Repairs Network Contractor Finalise Claim Monitoring Tender Initial Schedule 5

Monitoring- Objectives 1. Monitoring to confirm that the cause of damage is not subsidence. 2. Monitoring to establish the cause of subsidence ( incl gaining evidence for a recovery.) 3. Monitoring to establish on going movement 4. Monitoring to check the success of mitigation /remedial action MONITORING IS NOT A MEANS OF DELAYING OR AVOIDING SOME OTHER DECISION 6

But it has a bad reputation Used to be a way of managing surge; When you think about the drivers then it causes delay; Excessive use and delay mean it is very much; monitoring by exception 7

When not to monitor In some cases we should go straight to repairs; Leaking drain and damage less than 5mm. Policyholders tree and damage less than 3mm. On other occasions we should repudiate; If the damage is not consistent with subsidence. 8

How? Traditional Crack Monitoring Demec Studs Take an initial reading Set up the template and ask technician to monitor. 9

Crack Width Monitoring 10

Crack Monitoring Monitoring Services - Results Crack Width Left Hand side mm Months across the bottom For clay shrinkage cracks close in the winter and open in the summer. If it s moving more than 1mm we need to find out why? 11

Alternative Level Monitoring To record foundation movement and assist in the diagnosis (or to prove the absence) of subsidence or heave within the terms of the insurance policy. It is considered a superior method to the use of proxy measurements (i.e. recording crack widths) or predictive assumptions (soils analysis). Required on TPO Tree cases 12

Level Monitoring 13

Traditional Frequency In cases where we suspect seasonal root induced clay shrinkage, the first reading would typically be taken at the onset of cracking between August and the end of September. The second reading will be taken 3 months later November through to mid-december. Further readings will only be taken in contentious or difficult cases, when it is likely they will be supported by site investigations. We need to ensure second visits are not over-looked. 14

Caution There is a potential for erroneous readings if we take the first and second readings prior to, and just after the peak when they could (in theory at least) be similar, suggesting the building to be stable, when in fact very large movements are taking place. Movement (mm) 120 100 80 60 Movement Graph 1998 1999 2000 2001 2 mths 1.5 mths MOVEMENT 3 mths 2.5 mths 2nd readings 40 20 0 jun jul aug sep oct nov dec jan f eb mar apr may jun jul aug sep oct nov dec jan f eb mar apr may jun jul aug sep oct nov dec jan f eb mar apr may jun Timescale - 1998-1991 15

Results Results require interpretation We are measuring deflection rather than crack damage Deflection Ratio - deflection/length = 0.2 to 0.4*10-3 before cracking develops (Burland and Wroth 1974) To more simple souls 10mm at foundations = 1mm crack. 16

Level Monitoring Level monitoring has been costly But it is a very powerful forensic tool. It provides a very clear picture of movement. 17

Example Huge Beech Tree Lots of damage We all agree it s the Beech. Whole house piling? 160,000? 18

Example The Level Survey What does it reveal? 19

Example Low Shrinkage Clay P.I s < 20% R.W. entering ground - not connected to system.? Crack movement of 1.4mm only - maximum. 20

Another Example 3D Presentation - Over Time No expensive deep datum just relative movement Station 15-25.7mm Station 4-15.0mm Station 1-6.7mm Station 5 +0.7mm Station 14-11.6mm Station 3-12.3mm Station 13-1.00mm (extrapolated) Station 7 +1.0mm Station 8 +1.8mm 4th October 1997 2nd September 1998 Station 11 1.0mm (extrapolated) Station 10 +0.7mm 21

Another Example No expensive deep datum just relative movement Station 15-25.7mm Station 4-15.0mm If it goes down and then comes up Station 1-6.7mm Station 5 +0.7mm Station 3-12.3mm Station 14-11.6mm Station 13-1.00mm (extrapolated) Station 7 +1.0mm Station 8 +1.8mm 4th October 1997 2nd September 1998 Station 11 1.0mm (extrapolated) Station 10 +0.7mm 22

Another Example No expensive deep datum just relative movement Station 15-25.7mm Station 4-15.0mm It is vegetation - clay shrinkage Station 1-6.7mm Station 5 +0.7mm Station 3-12.3mm Station 14-11.6mm Station 13-1.00mm (extrapolated) Station 7 +1.0mm Station 8 +1.8mm 4th October 1997 2nd September 1998 Station 11 1.0mm (extrapolated) Station 10 +0.7mm 23

Another Example No expensive deep datum just relative movement Station 15-25.7mm Station 4-15.0mm Station 1-6.7mm Station 5 +0.7mm Station 14-11.6mm Station 3-12.3mm Station 13-1.00mm (extrapolated) Station 7 +1.0mm Station 8 +1.8mm 4th October 1997 2nd September 1998 Station 11 1.0mm (extrapolated) Station 10 +0.7mm 24

Another Example No expensive deep datum just relative movement Station 15-25.7mm Station 4-15.0mm If it keeps going down, it s poor ground/water Station 1-6.7mm Station 5 +0.7mm Station 3-12.3mm Station 14-11.6mm Station 13-1.00mm (extrapolated) Station 7 +1.0mm Station 8 +1.8mm 4th October 1997 2nd September 1998 Station 11 1.0mm (extrapolated) Station 10 +0.7mm 25

Another Example If it keeps going down, it s poor ground/water No expensive deep datum just relative movement Station 15-25.7mm Station 4-15.0mm Station 1-6.7mm Station 5 +0.7mm Station 14-11.6mm Station 3-12.3mm Station 13-1.00mm (extrapolated) Station 7 +1.0mm Station 8 +1.8mm 4th October 1997 2nd September 1998 Station 11 1.0mm (extrapolated) Station 10 +0.7mm 26

Another Example If it keeps going down, it s poor ground/water No expensive deep datum just relative movement Station 15-25.7mm Station 4-15.0mm Station 1-6.7mm Station 5 +0.7mm Station 14-11.6mm Station 3-12.3mm Station 13-1.00mm (extrapolated) Station 7 +1.0mm Station 8 +1.8mm 4th October 1997 2nd September 1998 Station 11 1.0mm (extrapolated) Station 10 +0.7mm 27

Results Results require interpretation We are measuring deflection rather than crack damage Deflection Ratio - deflection/length = 0.2 to 0.4*10-3 before cracking develops (Burland and Wroth 1974) To more simple souls 10mm at foundations = 1mm crack 28

Distortion Surveys 29

Example Cliff Cottage 30

Cliff Cottage 31

Cliff Cottage 32

How do we meet the challenges Innovation Education Collaborative working 33

Innovation - Remote monitoring Movement Graph 120 1998 1999 2000 2001 100 2 mths 1.5 mths MOVEMENT Movement (mm) 80 60 3 mths 2.5 mths 2nd readings 40 20 0 jun jul aug sep oct nov dec jan feb mar apr may jun jul aug sep oct nov dec jan feb mar apr may jun jul aug sep oct nov dec jan feb mar apr may jun Timescale - 1998-1991 Speed, don t miss the peak readings But can it compete on cost? 34

The Power of Real Time Data Clay Shrinkage Seasonal Movement Opening (Summer) Closure Closure (Winter) Kent 35

Site Plan-Landslip 36

Plan of monitoring Locations 37

Crack Damage - Landslip 38

Crack Damage - Landslip 39

Landslip Case Remote monitoring 40

Tilt Sensors 3.30pm, Wednesday, 20th April, the Ash tree made the house move. 41

Level and Time Domain Reflectometry (TDR) Dielectric Sensors SP Monitoring Services have been working closely with the clay research group to evaluate Level and TDR (which measures moisture content in the ground) sensor technology. 42

Remote - The Benefits! Sensor technology enables an early warning system of movement Reduced touch claim handling Accurate reporting and less opportunities for human error Web accessible by all interested parties in the claim process Fewer site visits - less disturbance to Policyholder Greater capability to handle increased volumes.? Tool to validate and compliment desk top risk assessment models Pre-claim applications 43

Collaboration Needs to be an industry wide agreement Subsidence Forum BRE CILA RICS 44