SUNDAY WEATHER SUMMARY Weather Headlines Unseasonably mild weather will prevail in most of the central and eastern U.S. for the first part of this week. After a brief intrusion of seasonably cold weather later this week, much above and well above normal temperatures are likely to rebuild in the eastern half of the nation during the 6-10 day period. 6-10 Day Forecast Change 11-15 Day Forecast Change 2-5 Day Forecast (Mon 1/22 to Thu 1/25) Summary PWA: 4.8 Prev*: 4.4 Prev: 6.6 Chng: 0.4 LY: 8.2 5YR: -1.1 YoY: -3.4 Yo5Y: 5.9 *Same Calendar Days Previous Fcst Anomaly Last Year 5 Yr Avg Anomaly Today's Temp Anomalies Today's Precip Forecast Forecast Discussion 6-10 Day Forecast (Fri 1/26 to Tue 1/30) Summary PWA: 3.7 Prev*: 3.7 Prev: 4.1 Chng: 0.0 LY: 2.1 5YR: 0.7 YoY: 1.6 Yo5Y: 3.0 *Same Calendar Days A strong winter storm is taking shape in the Plains this afternoon and it will advance on into the Great Lakes and Northeast during the first part of the work week. Temperatures out ahead of the developing storm are running much above to well above normal for most of the central and eastern U.S., so most of the precipitation from the storm will be in the form of rain. Where it is cold enough for snow, from the central and northern Plains into the Upper Midwest, some heavy snow totals are possible through Tuesday, accompanied by strong and gusty winds that will lead to blizzard conditions in places. Temperatures in the wake of the Previous Fcst Anomaly Last Year 5 Yr Avg Anomaly winter storm will fall off, but only to near or slightly below normal in the Midwest and South, and below to much below normal briefly in the Northeast. Later on this week, another round of unseasonably mild air is forecast to build out from the West into the central and eastern U.S. Much above to well above normal temperatures are forecast from the Plains into the Midwest. 11-15 Day Forecast (Wed 1/31 to Sun 2/4) This next batch of above normal temperatures ifs forecast to continue Summary in the central and eastern U.S. for a few more days in the 6-10 day period. PWA: 2.4 The unseasonably mild weather is forecast to peak during the upcoming Prev*: 3.2 weekend when temperatures for most areas east of the Rockies reach Prev: 2.6 well above to far above normal. A return to more seasonably cold Chng: -0.8 weather is likely for the latter half of the 6-10 day period, with most of the central and eastern U.S. dropping back to near or a little below normal. LY: 2.5 There are some hints in the models that the latter half of the 6-10 could 5YR: 1.0 end up colder for the eastern half of the nation. This morning's run of the YoY: -0.1 ECMWF model is one of the colder solutions and brings much below to 1.4 well below normal temperatures through the eastern half of the nation. For now, our forecast paints modest cold anomalies in the central and Previous Fcst Anomaly Last Year 5 Yr Avg Anomaly eastern U.S. for early next week but this time carries some risk that the forecast could end up colder. For the 11-15 day period, most of this weekend's model guidance indicates that temperatures for most of the central and eastern U.S. will average above normal. A couple of days with much above normal temperatures are possible as well. Below normal temperatures are forecast for the West into the north-central U.S. for much of the period, with few days of much below to well below normal temperatures possible in the north-central U.S. Yo5Y: *Same Calendar Days
Detailed 1-5 Day Outlook Day -1: Sat 1/20 Yesterday's Temp Anoms Yesterday's Precipitation Day 1: Sun 1/21 Day 2: Mon 1/22 Day 4: Wed 1/24 Day 5: Thu 1/25 Day 3: Tue 1/23
Detailed 6-10 Day Outlook 6-10 Day Trends Day 10: Tue 1/30 Day 9: Mon 1/29 Day 8: Sun 1/28 Day 7: Sat 1/27 Day 6: Fri 1/26 Today's 6-10 Day Tomorrow's 6-10 Day Tue's 6-10 Day Wed's 6-10 Day
Detailed 11-15 Day Outlook Day 11: Wed 1/31 Day 12: Thu 2/1 11-15 Day Trends Day 15: Sun 2/4 Day 14: Sat 2/3 Day 13: Fri 2/2 Today's 11-15 Day Tomorrow's 11-15 Day Tue's 11-15 Day Wed's 11-15 Day
2-5 Day Period 6-10 Day Period 11-15 Day Period Forecast Model Comparison Forecast Model Comparison Overnight 00Z Model Runs ECMWF Ens ECMWF Canad. Ens GFS Ens Updated Model Graphs Yet Midday 12Z Model Runs GFS GFS Ens ECMWF Morning 6Z Runs GFS Ens GFS GFS
Recent Weather and Climate Recent Weather and Climate Conditions Temperature Anomalies for the Last 7 Days Precipitation Totals for the Last 7 Days Current Palmer Drought Index Precip Needed to End Drought Current SST Anomalies ( C) Arctic Oscillation Index North Atlantic Oscillation Index U.S. Daily Population Weighted Temperatures and Anomalies for the Last Year 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 2/1/17 3/1/17 4/1/17 5/1/17 6/1/17 7/1/17 8/1/17 9/1/17 10/1/17 11/1/17 12/1/17 1/1/18 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 1/22/2018 Frost/Freeze Outlook Freeze/Snowfall Forecast 1/23/2018 Frost/Freeze Outlook 1/24/2018 Frost/Freeze Outlook Latest GFS 7 Day Snow Forecast NA NA NA Contours are: Frost, Freeze, Hard Freeze, Killing Freeze
Precipitation Summary Past 90 and 30 Day U.S. Precipitation Trends Past 90 Day Precip Anomalies Past 90 Day Year on Year Change Past 30 Day Precip Anomalies Past 30 Day Year on Year Change Above precip maps do not include observed precipitation during the day yesterday. U.S. Forecast Precipitation Summary 2-5 Day Precip Totals 2-5 Day Precip Anomalies 6-10 Day Precip Totals 6-10 Day Precip Anomalies Major corn areas outlined. Yest Sat 1/20/2018 Major soybean areas outlined. Major wheat areas outlined. Sun 1/21/2018 Mon 1/22/2018 Tue 1/23/2018 Major cotton areas outlined. Wed 1/24/2018 Thu 1/25/2018 Fri 1/26/2018 Sat 1/27/2018 Sun 1/28/2018 Mon 1/29/2018 Next 7 Day Temperature & Precipitation Forecast Data Region Avg Hi/Lo* Hi/Lo Anom Highest** Lowest** Fcst Precip Norm Precip Precip Anom Western Corn Belt Eastern Corn Belt 42 F/23 F 46 F/31 F +9/+9F +12/+12F 63 F 62 F 10 F 14 F 0.36" 0.68" 0.23" 0.46" +0.13" +0.22" Western Soybeans 39 F/22 F +8/+10F 63 F 3 F 0.33" 0.23" +0.1" Eastern Soybeans 47 F/32 F +11/+12F 66 F 18 F 0.73" 0.52" +0.21" Northern Wheat Belt 39 F/16 F 0/+1F 61 F 1 F 0.22" 0.1" +0.12" Southern Wheat Belt 55 F/28 F +6/+4F 65 F 18 F 0.03" 0.2" -0.17" Western SE Cotton 63 F/41 F +7/+5F 73 F 32 F 0.82" 1.16" -0.34" Eastern SE Cotton 63 F/38 F +6/+2F 73 F 29 F 0.1" 0.95" -0.85" Florida Citrus 76 F/56 F +3/+7F 79 F 53 F 0.43" 0.56" -0.13" *Avg Hi/Lo are the average forecast high and low temperatures for the next 7 days averaged over all cities in a region. **Highest and lowest forecast temperature is the absolute highest and lowest forecast temperature out of all cities in a given ag region
International Outlook Europe Weather Summary 2-5 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies 6-10 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies 11-15 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies Past 30 and 90 Day Precipitation Trends 30 Day Precip Anomalies 30 Day Year on Year Change Forecast Precipitation Trends 2-5 Day Forecast Totals 2-5 Day Forecast Anomaly 90 Day Precip Anomalies 90 Day Year on Year Change 6-10 Day Forecast Totals 6-10 Day Forecast Anomaly South America Weather Summary 2-5 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies 6-10 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies 11-15 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies Past 30 and 90 Day Precipitation Trends Forecast Precipitation Trends 30 Day Precip Anomalies 30 Day Year on Year Change 2-5 Day Forecast Totals 2-5 Day Forecast Anomaly 90 Day Precip Anomalies 90 Day Year on Year Change 6-10 Day Forecast Totals 6-10 Day Forecast Anomaly Major corn areas outlined. Major soybean areas outlined. Major wheat & coffee areas. Major cotton areas.
Eastern Asia Weather Summary International Outlook 2-5 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies 6-10 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies 11-15 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies Past 30 and 90 Day Precipitation Trends 30 Day Precip Anomalies 30 Day Year on Year Change Forecast Precipitation Trends 2-5 Day Forecast Totals 2-5 Day Forecast Anomaly 90 Day Precip Anomalies 90 Day Year on Year Change 6-10 Day Forecast Totals 6-10 Day Forecast Anomaly Major corn areas outlined Major soybean areas outlined Major rice areas outlined Major wheat areas outlined Australia Weather Summary 2-5 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies 6-10 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies 11-15 Day Forecast Temp Anomalies Past 30 and 90 Day Precipitation Trends 30 Day Precip Anomalies 30 Day Year on Year Change Forecast Precipitation Trends 2-5 Day Forecast Totals 2-5 Day Forecast Anomaly 90 Day Precip Anomalies 90 Day Year on Year Change 6-10 Day Forecast Totals 6-10 Day Forecast Anomaly Major cotton areas outlined Major wheat areas outlined
Regional Average Temperatures New England Southwest South-Central C-N Plains Midwest C-S Florida Southeast Mid-Atlantic Northwest C-N Rockies Regional Daily Temperature and Precipitation Averages Consult Individual City Forecast Product for City Specific Temperature Forecasts Last 5 Days Next 10 Days Date 1/16 1/17 1/18 1/19 1/20 1/21 1/22 1/23 1/24 1/25 1/26 1/27 1/28 1/29 1/30 Avg High 30 30 29 34 46 43 37 47 38 27 29 42 51 47 33 Avg Low 13 23 13 19 29 30 28 33 23 13 12 22 34 29 17 Anomaly -2 2-3 3 14 13 9 16 7-4 -4 8 18 14 1 Avg Prcp 0.04 0.01 0 0 0.05 0 0.08 0.56 0.03 0 0 0 0.16 0.28 0.01 Weekday Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Avg High 35 28 33 42 52 49 53 52 41 36 41 51 57 48 38 Avg Low 20 13 12 21 31 34 39 38 28 22 23 31 39 29 21 Anomaly -3-10 -8 2 11 11 16 14 4-1 1 10 17 8-1 Avg Prcp 0.09 0.01 0.01 0 0 0.01 0.1 0.41 0.02 0 0 0.01 0.3 0.21 0 Date 1/16 1/17 1/18 1/19 1/20 1/21 1/22 1/23 1/24 1/25 1/26 1/27 1/28 1/29 1/30 Avg High 45 35 42 55 64 67 67 61 57 58 60 65 64 56 52 Avg Low 21 18 16 23 34 43 46 42 35 34 38 44 44 35 31 Anomaly -12-19 -17-7 3 9 11 6 0 0 3 8 8-1 -5 Avg Prcp 0.03 0 0.09 0 0 0.01 0.14 0.03 0 0 0 0.23 0.35 0.02 0 Weekday Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Avg High 74 72 54 66 70 75 78 76 71 69 72 76 79 74 66 Avg Low 47 42 28 39 47 57 58 61 55 53 55 58 60 55 46 Anomaly -1-4 -20-9 -3 5 7 7 1-1 1 5 8 2-6 Avg Prcp 0 0 0.46 0 0 0 0 0.02 0 0 0 0.02 0.1 0.18 0 Date 1/16 1/17 1/18 1/19 1/20 1/21 1/22 1/23 1/24 1/25 1/26 1/27 1/28 1/29 1/30 Avg High 14 23 36 45 49 49 50 41 36 41 49 48 39 32 35 Avg Low 1 1 14 24 32 38 35 26 21 22 29 30 23 16 19 Anomaly -19-14 -1 8 14 17 16 7 2 5 12 12 4-3 0 Avg Prcp 0 0 0 0.01 0.14 0.06 0.3 0.07 0 0 0 0.18 0.14 0.03 0.01 Weekday Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Avg High 19 39 49 52 45 37 36 37 40 45 42 34 30 37 40 Avg Low -7 5 19 27 26 24 18 16 15 18 19 13 7 11 16 Anomaly -17-2 11 16 12 7 3 3 4 8 7 0-5 0 4 Avg Prcp 0 0 0 0.01 0.13 0.08 0.05 0 0 0 0.02 0.01 0 0 0.01 Date 1/16 1/17 1/18 1/19 1/20 1/21 1/22 1/23 1/24 1/25 1/26 1/27 1/28 1/29 1/30 Avg High 33 36 46 57 69 69 61 59 59 61 64 65 56 53 57 Avg Low 15 12 18 31 45 53 39 32 32 35 39 41 31 29 32 Anomaly -21-21 -13-1 13 17 6 1 1 3 7 8-2 -5-1 Avg Prcp 0.07 0 0 0 0 0.11 0.04 0 0 0 0.01 0.23 0 0 0 Weekday Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Avg High 62 63 66 66 60 56 59 63 64 62 59 59 62 65 67 Avg Low 45 44 44 44 42 36 36 37 40 41 39 37 38 43 45 Anomaly 4 4 6 6 2-4 -2 0 2 2-1 -3 0 3 5 Avg Prcp 0 0.3 0.31 0.7 0.31 0.01 0.01 0 0.04 0.07 0 0 0 0 0 Date 1/16 1/17 1/18 1/19 1/20 1/21 1/22 1/23 1/24 1/25 1/26 1/27 1/28 1/29 1/30 Avg High 57 60 53 50 52 50 50 50 50 47 47 50 53 53 51 Avg Low 44 45 42 39 38 39 39 38 41 37 35 36 40 40 38 Anomaly 7 9 4 1 1 0 0 0 1-2 -3-1 2 2 0 Avg Prcp 0.11 0.2 0.43 0.4 0.15 0.19 0.13 0.12 0.37 0.11 0.07 0.3 0.19 0.16 0.1 Weekday Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Avg High 46 50 51 48 41 40 40 41 44 42 37 35 39 42 41 Avg Low 29 27 31 30 28 25 25 24 26 26 22 20 23 25 25 Anomaly 8 9 11 9 4 2 2 2 4 3-1 -3 0 2 2 Avg Prcp 0.07 0.04 0.09 0.28 0.12 0.04 0.03 0.01 0.06 0.06 0.03 0.09 0.04 0.04 0.03
es PWA=Population Weighted Average Temp Anomaly YOY=PWA for this year minus PWA for same period last year YO5Y=PWA for this year minus five year average PWA for same period. Regional Temperature and Precipitation Forecast Boundaries 2018 WDT, Inc. All rights reserved. Any unauthorized reproduction, distribution or disclosure is prohibited and may result in account termination and/or prosecution. Information contained in this report is intended solely for use by the recipient and may not be further distributed without written approval from WDT, Inc. Users of this report agree to the following: THE REPORT is provided by WDT, INC AS IS, and AS AVAILABLE WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND TO USER OR ANY THIRD PARTY, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ANY EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OF THE REPORT; ACCURACY OF INFORMATIONAL CONTENT; NON- INFRINGEMENT; QUIET ENJOYMENT; AND TITLE. WDT, INC. SHALL NOT BE LIABLE FOR ANY LOSS, INJURY, CLAIM, LIABILITY OR DAMAGE OF ANY KIND RESULTING IN ANY WAY FROM THE USE OF THIS INFORMATION. THE USER FURTHER AGREES THAT WDT, INC. SHALL NOT BE LIABLE TO USER OR ANY THIRD PARTY FOR ANY LOSS OF PROFITS, LOSS OF USE, INTERRUPTION OF BUSINESS, OR ANY DIRECT, INDIRECT, SPECIAL, EXEMPLARY, INCIDENTAL OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES OF ANY KIND WHETHER UNDER THIS AGREEMENT OR OTHERWISE, EVEN IF WDT, INC. WAS ADVISED OF THE POSSIBILITY OF SUCH DAMAGES OR WAS GROSSLY NEGLIGENT. In any event, WDT, INC. shall never be liable for any amount in excess of the fees paid by the USER to WDT, INC. hereby. Additionally, WDT, INC. makes no warranty that the information provided in this report will be free from errors or omissions, or defects, human or mechanical. Contact Info: Phone: 918-252-7791 Email: sstrum@wdtinc.com