Matthew J. Heaton, Ph.D. Institute for Mathematics Applied to Geosciences Email: heaton@ucar.edu National Center for Atmospheric Research Phone: (303) 497-2884 P.O. Box 3000 Web: https://stage.staff.cms.ucar.edu/users/heaton Boulder, CO 80307-3000 EDUCATION Doctor of Philosophy: Statistical Science; Duke University; May 2011 Thesis: Kernel Averaged Predictors for Space and Space-time Processes Committee: Alan E. Gelfand (chair), David L. Banks, Merlise A. Clyde, and David Holland Master of Science: Statistics; Brigham Young University; August 2007 Thesis: Temporally Correlated Dirichlet Processes in Pollution Receptor Modeling Committee: C. Shane Reese, William F. Christensen, and Scott Grimshaw Bachelor of Science: Statistics; Brigham Young University; April 2006 PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE Assistant Professor; Brigham Young University; July 2013-Present. Post-graduate Scientist; National Center for Atmospheric Research; August 2011-July 2013. Research Assistant to Alan Gelfand; Duke University; Spatial Modeling; April 2009 - August 2011. Research Assistant to David Banks; Duke University; Surveillance Models; April 2009 - August 2011. Research Assistant to Scott Schmidler; Duke University; Adaptive Monte Carlo Methodology; April 2008 - April 2009. Research Assistant to C. Shane Reese and William Christensen, Brigham Young University; Pollution Source Apportionment Models; April 2006 - August 2007. PUBLICATIONS IN PREPARATION Heaton, M.J., Greasby, T.A., and Sain, S.R., Modeling Uncertainty in Climate using Ensembles of Regional and Global Climate Models and Multiple Data Sets under revision in SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification. Heaton, M.J. and Peng, R.D., Extending Distributed Lag Models to Higher Degrees submitted to Biostatistics. Heaton, M.J., Sain, S.R., Kleiber, W., and Wiltberger, M., Emulating and Calibrating the Lyon- Fedder-Mobarry Magnetosphere-Ionosphere Coupled Computer Model submitted to Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C. Heaton, M.J., Sain, S.R., Greasby, T.A., Uejio, C.K., Hayden, M., Monaghan, A.J., Boehnert, J., Sampson, K. Banerjee, D., Nepal, V. and Wilhelmi, O.V. Identifying Vulnerability to Heat-Related Mortality using a Spatially Varying Coefficient Model. Heaton, M.J., Berrett, C., and Katzfuss, M., Constructing Valid Spatial Processes on the Sphere using Kernel Convolutions with Application to Carbon Dioxide Mapping. 1
Heaton, M.J., Sain, S.R., Hayden, M.H., and Wilhelmi, O.V., Analyzing 911 Calls for Dehydration and Hyperthermia to Identify Public Heat Vulnerability. PUBLICATIONS Kleiber, W. Sain, S. R., Heaton, M.J., Wiltberger, M., Bingham D., and Reese, C.R. (2013), Parameter Tuning for a Multi-Fidelity Dynamical Model of the Magnetosphere, in press Annals of Applied Statistics. Heaton, M.J. and Gelfand, A.E. (2012), Kernel Averaged Predictors for Spatio-Temporal Regression Models, Spatial Statistics, 2, 15-32. Heaton, M.J. and Peng, R.D. (2012), Flexible Distributed Lag Models using Random Functions with Application to Estimating Mortality Displacement from Heat-Related deaths, Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics, 17(3), 313-331. Heaton, M.J., Banks, D.L., Zou, J., Karr, A.F., Datta, G., Lynch, J., and Vera, F., (2012) A Spatiotemporal Absorbing State Model for Disease and Syndromic Surveillance, Statistics in Medicine, 31(19), 2123-2136. Zou, J., Karr, A., Banks, D.L., Heaton, M.J., Lynch, J., Datta, G., and Vera, F., (2012) Bayesian Methodology for the Analysis of Spatial-Temporal Surveillance Data, Statistical Analysis and Data Mining, 5(3), 194-204. Heaton, M.J., Gray, S.G., and Gelfand, A.E. (2012), Process Modeling for Contingency Tables with Ordered Categories, Statistical Modelling, 12(3), 211-228. Hartman, B., and Heaton, M.J. (2011), Accounting for Regime and Parameter Uncertainty in Regime-Switching Models, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 49(3), 429-437. Heaton, M.J., Gelfand, A.E. (2011) Spatial Regression using Kernel Averaged Predictors, Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics, 16, 233-252. Heaton, M.J., Katzfuss, M., Ramachandar, S., Pedings, K., Gilleland, E., Mannshardt-Shamseldin, E., Smith, R.L. (2011), Spatio-Temporal Models for Large-scale Indicators of Extreme Weather, Environmetrics, 22, 294-303. Heaton, M.J., Scott, J.G. (2010) Bayesian Computation and the Linear Model, in Frontiers of Statistical Decision Making and Bayesian Analysis, eds. M. Chen, D. K. Dey, P. Muller, D. Sun, and K. Ye, pp. 527-545, Springer: New York. Heaton, M.J., Reese, C.S., Christensen, W.F. (2010), Incorporating Time-dependent Source Profiles using the Dirichlet Distribution in Pollution Receptor Models, Technometrics, 52, 67-79. INVITED ORAL PRESENTATIONS Identifying Risk Factors for Heat-Related Mortality in Houston, Texas using a Hierarchical Spatially Varying Coefficient Model, Brigham Young University Department of Statistics Seminar, Provo, UT, October 2012. Emulating and Calibrating the Multi-fidelity, Spatio-temporal Lyon-Fedder-Mobarry Magnetosphere- Ionosphere Coupled Computer Model using Predictive Processes, - Colorado School of Mines, Department of Applied Mathematics and Statistics Seminar, Golden, CO, April 2012. - Colorado State University, Department of Statistics Seminar, Fort Collins, CO, March 2012. - Brigham Young University, Department of Statistics Seminar, Provo, UT, January 2012. 2
Flexible Distributed Lag Models using Random Functions with Application to Estimating Mortality Displacement from Heat-Related Deaths, Johns Hopkins University, Department of Biostatistics Seminar, Baltimore, MD, January 2012. Kernel Averaged Predictors for Spatio-temporal Processes - Joint Statistical Meetings, Miami Beach, FL, August 2011. - IISA Conference on Probability, Statistics, and Data Analysis, Raleigh, NC, April 2011. - National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, January 2011. - Brigham Young University, Department of Statistics Seminar, Provo, UT, December 2010. A Spatio-temporal Absorbing State Model for Disease and Syndromic Surveillance, International Society for Disease Surveillance Annual Meeting, Park City, UT, December 2010. CONTRIBUTED ORAL PRESENTATIONS Emulating and Calibrating the Multi-fidelity, Spatio-temporal Lyon-Fedder-Mobarry Magnetosphere- Ionosphere Coupled Computer Model using Predictive Processes, - Joint Statistical Meetings, San Diego, CA, August 2012. - ASA CO/WY Chapter Meeting, Boulder, CO April 2012. Kernel Averaged Predictors for Spatio-temporal Processes, - ENAR Spring Meeting, Miami, FL, March 2011. - Joint Statistical Meetings, Vancouver, BC, August 2010. Spatio-temporal Models for Large-scale Indicators of Extreme Weather, Industrial, Mathematical, and Statistical Modeling Workshop, Raleigh, NC, July 2009. Temporally Correlated Dirichlet Processes for Pollution Receptor Models, - Joint Statistical Meetings, Denver, CO, August 2008. - Spring Research Conference, College of Physical and Mathematical Sciences, Brigham Young University, Provo, UT, March 2007. CONTRIBUTED POSTER PRESENTATIONS Quantifying Uncertainty in Climate Using Ensembles of Global and Regional Climate Models and Multiple Observation-Based Data Set CSU Workshop on Spatial Statistics, Fort Collins, CO, April 2013. AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA, December 2012. Efforts in Calibrating the Lyon-Fedder-Mobbary Magnetosphere Ionosphere Coupled Computer Model SAMSI/NCAR Workshop on Massive Datasets, Boulder, CO, February, 2013. Duke University Department of Statistical Science 25th Anniversary Conference, Durham, NC, October 2012. ENVR Workshop on Environmetrics, Raleigh, NC, October 2012. Multi-Fidelity, Spatio-temporal Computer Model Calibration using Predictive Processes, SIAM Conference on Uncertainty Quantification, Raleigh, NC, April 2012. Spatial Process Models for Contingency Tables with Ordered Categories, 3
- MCMSki III, Park City, UT, January 2011. - Spatial Transition Workshop, Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute, Research Triangle Park, NC, October 2010. A Spatio-temporal Model for Large Scale Indicators of Extreme Weather, ENVR Workshop, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, October 2010. Modeling the Spatio-temporal Dynamics of Risk with Application to Disease and Syndromic Surveillance, DTRA/NSF Algorithm Workshop, Chapel Hill, NC, June 2010. Spatial Regression using Kernel Averaged Predictors, ISBA World Meeting, Benidorm, Spain, June 2010. FINANCIAL AWARDS AND RECOGNITIONS Workshop on Environmetrics Student Poster Competition Winner, Boulder, CO, 2010. American Statistical Association Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Student Paper Competition Winner, Vancouver, BC, 2010. American Statistical Association Section on Statistics and the Environment Student Paper Competition Winner, Denver, CO, 2008. James B. Duke Fellowship Recipient, Duke University, 2007. Rothamstead Research Award, Brigham Young University, 2007. TEACHING EXPERIENCE Jan. 2009 - April 2009: Head Teaching Assistant; Department of Statistical Science, Duke University August 2007 - April 2009: Teaching Assistant; Department of Statistical Science, Duke University STA 244 - Linear Models; Instructor: Merlise Clyde; Spring 2009 STA 215 - Statistical Inference; Instructor: Fan Li; Spring 2009 STA 214 - Probability and Statistical Models; Instructor: Scott Schmidler; Fall 2008 STA 290 - Modern Statistical Data Analysis; Instructor: Merlise Clyde; Fall 2008 STA 113 - Probability and Statistics for Engineers; Instructor: Jayanta Pal; Spring 2008 STA 101 - Data Analysis and Statistical Inference; Instructor: Jamie Bigelow; Fall 2007 April 2008 - August 2008: Instructor; Department of Statistical Science, Duke University STA 101 - Introduction to Data Analysis and Statistical Inference January 2006 to April 2007: Teaching Assistant; Department of Statistics, Brigham Young Universtity STUDENT ADVISING EXPERIENCE Devin Francom (2012-Present); Brigham Young University. Kimberly Kaufield (2012-Present); University of Northern Colorado. STATISTICAL CONSULTING EXPERIENCE August 2010 - August 2011: Environmental Protection Agency; Research Triangle Park, NC Developed software for the synthesizing of field observations with computer model output. 4
September 2008 - September 2010: Denver Health and Hospital Authority; Denver, CO Developed statistical methodology for prescription drug surveillance. June 2009 - September 2009: Cormetech Inc.; Durham, NC Developed statistical methodology for steady state detection in time series data. August 2008 - December 2009: Team Member; Statistical Consulting Center, Duke University Advise the statistical analysis of various university research projects. 5
PROFESSIONAL SERVICE Peer Review Referee for 13: Mathematical Geosciences. 12: Annals of Applied Statistics (2 articles), Technometrics (2 articles), Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Statistical Science, Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, Infection and Epidemiology, BMC Public Health. 11: Environmetrics (2 articles), The American Statistician 10: Electronic Journal of Statistics Graduate Consultative Committee Member; Duke University; 2007-2010. Graduate Student Affairs Advisory Committee Member; Duke University; 2007-2010. MEMBERSHIPS American Statistical Association; 2005-Present. Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Section on Statistics and the Environment Institute of Mathematical Statistics; 2008-Present. International Society for Bayesian Analysis; 2008-Present. The International Environmetrics Society; 2010-Present. International Society for Disease Surveillance; 2010-2012. 6