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This is the author s version of a work that was submitted/accepted for publication in the following source: Le Friant, A., Deplus, C., Boudon, G., parks, R..J., Trofimovs, J., & Talling, P. (29) ubmarine deposition of volcaniclastic material from the 1995-25 eruptions of oufriere Hills volcano, Montserrat. Journal of the Geological ociety, 166(1), pp. 171-182. This file was downloaded from: https://eprints.qut.edu.au/5296/ c Copyright 29 The Geological ociety of London otice: Changes introduced as a result of publishing processes such as copy-editing and formatting may not be reflected in this document. For a definitive version of this work, please refer to the published source: https://doi.org/1.1144/16-764928-47

1 2 ubmarine deposition of volcaniclastic material from the 1995-25 eruptions of oufrière Hill Volcano, Montserrat, West Indies 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 11 12 A. LE FRIAT 1, C. DEPLU 1, G. BOUDO 1, R.. J. PARK 2, J. TROFIMOV 3, P. TALLIG 2 1. Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris & CR, Case 89, 4 Place Jussieu, F 75252 Paris Cedex 5, France (e-mail: lefriant@ipgp.jussieu.fr) 2. Department of Earth ciences, Wills Memorial Building, University of Bristol, Queen s Road, Bristol B8 1RJ, UK 3. ational Oceanography Centre, Waterfront Campus, European Way, outhampton, O14 3ZH, UK 13 14 15 16 17 18 Corresponding author: Anne Le Friant umber of words of text: 5891 umber of references: 26 umber of tables: 1 umber of figures: 1 19 2 1

21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 3 31 32 33 34 35 Abstract oufrière Hills Volcano, Montserrat (Lesser Antilles), has been erupting since 1995. During the current eruption, a large part of the material produced by the volcano has been deposited into the sea, modifying the morphology of the submarine flanks of the volcano. We present a unique set of swath bathymetric data collected offshore from Montserrat in 1999, 22 and 25. From 1999 to 22, pyroclastic flows associated with numerous dome collapses entered the sea to produce 1 Mm 3 deposit. From 22 to 25, the 29 Mm 3 submarine deposit is mainly from the 12-13 July 23 collapse. These data allow us to estimate that, by May 25, at least 482 Mm 3 of material had been deposited on the sea floor since 1995. We compare on-land characteristics and volumes of dome collapse events, with the submarine deposits and we propose a new analysis of their emplacement on the submarine flanks of the volcano. The mechanism deposition shows a slope dependence with the maximum thickness of deposit before the break in the slope, probably due to the type of the dense granular flow. We conclude that from 1995 to 25 more than 75 % of the erupted volume entered the sea. 2

36 37 38 39 4 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 5 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 6 61 1- Introduction oufrière Hills volcano in Montserrat (Lesser Antilles arc, Fig. 1a), has been erupting since 1995. By April 28, at least 7 Mm 3 of magma had been extruded (MVO internal reports (http://www.mvo.ms/)). The eruption has been characterized by lava dome extrusion, dome-collapse pyroclastic flows and explosive activity. The current eruption has considerably modified some morphological features of the island (e.g. Cole et al., 22; Voight et al., 22; Herd et al., 25). For example, in May 23, the lava dome temporarily became the highest point of Montserrat, reaching nearly 11 m above sea level (Herd et al., 25). Major valleys cutting the volcano s flanks have on occasion been completely infilled by pyroclastic flow deposits and lahars. Mosquito Ghaut which was a major valley on the northern flank and conduit for pyroclastic flows in 1997 (Cole et al., 22) was completely infilled by the deposits from these flows (Fig. 1b). The Tar River Valley has been partly infilled by pyroclastic flow deposits since July 23 when a large collapse of the lava dome eroded the bulk of the recent deposits (1995-23) and parts of underlying older deposits. During the eruption, new coastal fans have been built increasing the size of the island to the east (Tar River) and W (White River) (Fig. 1b, Fig. 2 and Fig. 3), (Cole et al., 22). ince 1997, rain-induced erosion of unconsolidated deposits on the upper flanks has resulted in laharic deposits on the lower volcano flanks, notably around Plymouth and in the Belham River valley, as well as in shallow marine areas off Plymouth and the White River (Fig. 1). During the current eruption a large part of the material produced has been deposited into the sea modifying the morphology of the submarine flanks of the volcano (Deplus et al., 22; Hart et al., 24, Le Friant et al., 24, Trofimovs et al., 26, 28). Hart et al. (24) present an analysis of the discharge of pyroclastic flows into the sea during the 1996-1998 phase of the eruption, using the pre-eruption bathymetry and some data collected off Tar River and White River in 1998. Trofimovs et al. (26; 28) present marine data regarding deposits from 22 to 25, mainly related to the 12-13 July 23 collapse. 3

62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 7 71 In this paper we quantify the fraction of the eruption products that ended up offshore from 1999 to 25. We first present a synthesis of lava dome collapses. econd, we analyse a unique set of high resolution bathymetric data collected offshore Montserrat in 1999 (Aguadomar, R/V L Atalante, e.g. Deplus et al., 21), in 22 (Caraval, R/V L Atalante, e.g.: Le Friant et al., 24) and in 25 (JR 123, RR James Clark Ross, e.g.: Trofimovs et al., 26). Data collection and processing was achieved using the same procedure in order to minimize error. These data allow us to estimate the volume of the material that entered the sea, and to propose a new analysis of the syn eruptive emplacement mechanisms of volcanic products on the submarine volcanic flanks. We also compare on-land data and discuss the errors in the dataset. 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 8 81 82 83 84 85 86 2- Geological setting Montserrat is located in the northern part of the Lesser Antilles arc which results from the subduction of the orth American plate beneath the Caribbean plate (Fig. 1a). Arc volcanism initiated at 4 Ma (Bouysse et al., 199). The arc is divided in two island chains to the north of the arc. The outer (eastern) group is older, with thick carbonate platforms covering a volcanic basement. The inner (western) arc consists of volcanic rocks younger than 2 Ma and includes all the active volcanoes. The island of Montserrat has a distinctive shallow (<1 m) submarine shelf (Fig. 2) interpreted as having been formed through subaerial erosion with a depth controlled by glacioeustatic level (Le Friant et al., 24). The subaerial part of Montserrat consists of three volcanic massifs with ages and degrees of erosion decreasing from north to south (Harford et al., 22). The older centres, Centre Hills and ilver Hills, are deeply eroded extinct volcanic complexes. The active oufrière Hills volcano is located in the south part of the island (Fig. 1b, Fig. 2). 87 4

88 89 9 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 1 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 11 111 112 113 3- Dome collapse events from 1995 to 25 We focus on dome collapse events that occurred during different phases of the eruption from 1995 to 25 period (Table 1, Fig.4), using MVO internal reports (http://www.mvo.ms) and the following articles: Young et al., 1998, Bonadonna et al., 22, Cole et al., 22, parks et al., 22, Carn et al., 24, Hincks et al., 25, Herd et al., 25. - The first phase - July 1995 to March 1998: The first phase was mainly characterized by growth of a lava dome. everal collapses occurred from May 1996 to January 1997 (12 May 1996, 28 July 1996, 17 eptember 1996, 25 June 1997, 4 and 6 ovember 1997) during which a 2-25 Mm 3 total volume of pyroclastic material reached the sea (parks et al., 1998, Hart et al., 24). On 26 December (Boxing Day) 1997, a major volcanic landslide occurred towards the south, producing a debris avalanche with an approximate volume of 4-5 Mm 3 (Voight et al., 22). The event was followed by an energetic pyroclastic density current that transported most ejecta into the sea (parks et al., 22). Lava dome growth resumed in January and ceased around 1 March 1998. - The second phase - March 1998 to ovember 1999: During the second phase, lava dome growth ceased. On 3 July 1998, ~ 2% of the residual lava dome collapsed down the Tar River Valley. Two important collapses occurred on 23 May 1999 and on 2 July 1999 where voluminous pyroclastic flows down the Tar River Valley excavated and enlarged the valley floor. Finally, large amounts of volcanic products were discharged into the sea, for example as the major mudflows caused by the hurricanes Floyd (eptember 1999), Jose (October 1999) and Lenny (ovember 1999). The first oceanographic cruise, Aguadomar, took place, in January 1999, prior to the significant collapses on the 23 May and 2 July, 1999. - The third phase - ovember 1999 to August 23: The third phase began on 27 ovember 1999 with new lava dome growth. By 2 March 2, the new lava dome had grown to a volume of about 32 Mm 3. On 2 March 2, 5

114 115 116 117 118 119 12 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 13 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 a major dome collapse (3 Mm 3 ) generated large pyroclastic flows that travelled down the Tar River Valley and entered the sea (Carn et al., 24). Concurrently, a large lahar occurred in the Belham valley. Immediately after the collapse, a new lava dome started to grow in the same position. Two small dome collapse occurred on 6 May 2 and 25 February 21 which produced pyroclastic flows down Tuiit s Ghaut, White s Ghaut and White river respectively (Fig. 1). By late July, the lava dome had a volume of about 162 Mm 3. On 29 July 21, a second major dome collapse (45 Mm 3 ) occurred with pyroclastic flows observed to flow down the Tar River Valley into the sea. After the collapse, the lava dome immediately began to grow again. mall collapses occurred on 14, 16 October 21, 28 December 21, 29 eptember 22 (2-3 Mm 3 ), 2 October 22 (4 Mm 3 to the east), and the largest occurred on 8 December 22 (4-5 Mm 3 to the south). On 12-13 July 23, the largest dome collapse of the eruption occurred (21 Mm 3 ) with the major part of material (19 Mm 3 ) entering the sea down Tar River Valley (Herd et al., 25; Voight et al., 26). Herd et al. (25) proposed 4 stages for the collapse. tages 1 and 2 (duration: 18 h) involved a combined volume of 3 Mm 3 of volcaniclastic debris. tage 3 (duration: 2h 4 min) consisted of semi-continuous pyroclastic flow activity which removed 17 Mm 3 of material from the lava dome. At peak collapse conditions (duration: 2 min), lava was removed at 6-1 Mm 3 min -1. tage 4 (duration: several hours), the activity declined removing about 1 Mm 3. On land observations show that the July 23 collapse eroded the previously emplaced (1996 to 23) deposits that partly infilled the Tar River Valley, (Fig. 3), (Boudon et al., 27), as well as some parts of the coastal fan. ew lava dome growth started on 21 28 July 23 and then volcanic activity declined in early August. The second oceanographic cruise, Caraval, took place during the third phase, at the beginning of March 22, prior to the largest collapse of July 23. - The fourth phase from August 23 to April 25 6

139 14 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 On 3 March 24, a dome collapse occurred with pyroclastic flows downing Tar River Valley and reaching the sea. From April 25, an increase in the volcanic activity was observed. The third oceanographic cruise, JR123, took place after the end of this phase in May 25. A new phase of lava dome growth began, and continues at the time of writing (June 28). It included a major collapse in May 26 which here is not described. Fig. 4 summarises collapses events from 1995 to 25 and shows that numerous and small events occurred during the first two phases contrasting with the less frequent and yet larger collapses that characterize phase 3. By May 25, approximately 5 Mm 3 of magma had been extruded since 1995, of which more than 3 Mm 3 of material was estimated to have been directly discharged into the sea. 149 15 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 16 161 162 163 4- wath bathymetry data Data collection Marine geophysical data sets were collected around Montserrat during three different cruises, in January 1999, March 22 and May 25. The Aguadomar cruise (December 1998- January 1999, aboard the French R/V L Atalante) surveyed the two flanks of the Lesser Antilles arc from Montserrat in the north to t Lucia in the south (Deplus et al., 21). The Caraval cruise (March 22, R/V L Atalante) completed the Aguadomar survey from Montserrat to t-vincent. During both cruises, we collected imrad EM12D swath bathymetry and backscatter data, as well as magnetic, gravity, 3.5 khz echosounder and six-channel seismic reflection profiles. On the Caraval cruise, we also collected seismic profiles with higher resolution and marine sediment piston cores (Deplus et al., 22; Le Friant et al., 24; 28). avigation was achieved using tarfix differential GP during the Aguadomar cruise and GP with no degradation during the Caraval cruise: both allow ship positioning accuracy of a few meters. For depths shallower than 1 m, the imrad EM12D multibeam 7

164 165 166 167 168 169 17 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 18 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 echosounding system allows an across- and along-track resolution of better than 5 m for the swath bathymetry. The JR123 cruise (May 25, aboard the British RR James Clark Ross) imaged and sampled mainly the eastern submarine flanks of Montserrat (Trofimovs et al., 26; 28). eafloor sampling was accomplished using a Vibrocore system developed by the British Geological urvey. The swath bathymetry was gathered using a imrad EM12 multibeam echosounder. Travelling at 8 knots in water depths of 1 m, using a beam angle of 6, equidistant mode gave an across- and along-track resolution better than 25 m. Predicted depth accuracy for both multibeam echosounding systems is about.1 to.3 % of depth (i.e. between 1 to 3 m in water depth of 1 m), depending mainly on the beam angle. Fig. 5 shows the swath bathymetric data collected offshore from Montserrat during Aguadomar cruise. The same area has been covered during the next two cruises (Caraval and JR123). In all cases, the swath bathymetry was processed using the Caraïbes software developed by IFREMER. Three digital terrain models have been constructed using the same mesh grid parameters. The cell size is 5 m according to the depth of the seafloor surrounding the island (< 1 m) and the lowest horizontal resolution of the multibeam echosounder systems. Depth differences and error analysis Comparisons of the 1999, 22 and 25 bathymetry were performed by measuring the difference between the gridded data sets. ignificant depth changes, up to 5-7 m, occurred offshore from the Tar River Valley. The depth difference values between the different stages contain errors that can be related to positioning accuracy, multibeam echosounder and motion sensor precision, velocity model, tidal variations and sea state during the cruises. We used the same multibeam echosounder (imrad EM 12 Dual) for the both first cruises (Aguadomar, Caraval) and imrad EM 12 for the last cruise (JR 123). One of the most important errors is related to uncertainties 8

19 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 2 21 in the beams positioning at large beam angles. During the cruises we attempted to cover the same area and to follow the same tracks for the profiles located close to the coast to obtain accurate depth changes. To quantify the accuracy of the depth differences, we analysed the values adjacent to the main deposits. The depth difference distributions outside the deposits are shown as histograms on Fig. 6. The two histograms display positive and negative values, roughly centered about zero. For the first histogram (22-1999 depth changes) the mean value is slightly negative, about -1.5 m and the standard deviation is about 4 m. For the second histogram (25-22 depth changes), the mean value is about + 1.2 m and the standard deviation about 3.1 m. In both cases, the mean value is close to zero and the standard deviation is in good agreement with the predicted depth accuracy of the multibeam echosounding systems. Therefore, the areas off the Tar River Valley, where the depth changes are larger than 5 m, are considered as new deposits. 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 5- Results : Results are presented as three bathymetric difference maps showing comparisons between the 1999, 22 and 25 bathymetry (Figs. 7 a,b,c). The key point is that difference maps have revealed significant submarine deposits off shore from the Tar River Valley with thickness up to 46 and 68 m between the 1999 and 22, and the 22 and 25 surveys, respectively. On the other hand, no submarine deposit was observed off White River Valley during these periods. The 22-25 deposit has been described previously by Trofimovs et al. (26, 28). Using analysis of sedimentary core, they proposed that the coarsest components of the deposit were deposited proximally from dense granular flows, while the finer fraction of the flow was elutriated into the overlying water column and evolved into a turbidity current. The turbidity current flowed at least 4 km from the shore forming a thin 84 to 7 cm deposit. Here, we analyse the deposits observed by repeated swath bathymetry, which correspond to the coarsest most proximal component. 9

216 217 218 219 22 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 23 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 24 241 Morphology of the 1999 bathymetry During the eruption, the entrance of pyroclastic flows into the sea created coastal fans at the mouths of the Tar River and White River valleys extending the shelf break and creating more than 1 km 2 of new land on Montserrat, (Fig. 3; Cole et al., 22; Le Friant et al., 24). Hart et al. (24) made a comparison between the pre-eruptive bathymetry and the July 1998 bathymetry. They estimated that about 7 Mm 3 and 22 Mm 3 of material were deposited outside the Tar River and White River deltas respectively from the beginning of the eruption until July 1998. Hart et al. (24) describe the Tar River submarine deposit as two lobes separated by a small channel in the proximal region (Fig. 5). The deposit is located in a submarine embayment, C1, located inside a larger one, C2 (Fig. 5a, see also Le Friant et al., 24) that cuts the flanks of oufrière Hills and outh oufrière Hills between the coastline and the -8 m isobath. The C1 embayment is about 1 km wide striking roughly West-East and its northern rim is 1-6 m high. Areas of deposition from 1999 to 22 The difference map that compares the bathymetries between the 22 and 1999 surveys reveals a significant deposit offshore of the Tar River Valley (Fig. 7a). The deposit extends to 5 km from the coastline as a single morphological ridge. It has a W-E orientation proximally and a W-E orientation distally. The maximum deposit thickness reaches 46 m +/- 4 m in the central part of the proximal area. The region where the deposit thickness exceeds 1 m has a length of about 4.5 km, a mean width around 1 km, and an area around 4.5 km 2. An approximately 5 m thick deposit appears to have spread towards the north part of the lobe, covering an area less than 2 km 2. We have performed lateral transects through the deposit (Figs. 7c, 8). In general, the lateral extent of the deposit is clearly limited by the northern and southern rims of the C1 embayment, with the bulk of the material accumulated in the south of the embayment. 1

242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 25 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 26 261 262 263 264 265 Two depressions, D 1 and D 2, are present on each side of the C1 embayment (Fig. 8, Line 3 onwards). From Lines 1 to 3, the deposit is largely confined by the topography and infills the southern D 2 depression and part of the D 1 depression to the north, accentuating the topographic low in this area. Line 1 shows negative values (locally down to -2, -25 m) on the northern rim of the C1 embayment. These data could be associated with erosion during emplacement of the flow, or to computational difference errors on steep slopes. Lines 4 to 6 show that the deposit generated positive relief, creating two new depressions on either side of the newly deposited material: D 1 and D 2. From Lines 8 to 12, the D 2 depression of the channel is completely infilled by the deposit whereas the D 1 depression persists. In the more distal parts, (Lines 13 to 17), the bulk of the deposit is located in a large, flat depression as an extension of the D1 depression. Line 15 shows that the deposit smooths the topography by infilling the depressions, and forming a relatively flat surface. In the more distal part (Line 18), the deposit forms an area of positive relief where there previously was a depression. A longitudinal cross section of 1999 and 22 bathymetry is shown on Fig. 9a, and displays the thickness of material deposited between 1999 and 22, along line A. The profile is taken from the central, thickest part of the deposit. According to the spacing of the bathymetry isolines (Fig. 7a), we define three breaks in slope on the floor of the C1 embayment at depths of about 6, 76 and 85 m. Their locations are shown on the longitudinal profile displaying the variations in deposit thickness along line A (Fig. 9). We note that local thickness maxima are located just before the breaks along the depositional slope. The thickness of the deposit is greater than 3 m down to the second break in the slope (76 m depth). Beyond this, the slope is less than 5 (Fig. 1a) and the thickness of the deposit rapidly decreases to close to zero 2 km further on. The profile suggests that the flow slowed then stopped when the slope became less than 5. 266 267 Areas of deposition from 22 to 25 11

268 269 27 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 28 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 29 291 292 293 The submarine deposit consists of two main morphological lobes and extends approximately 7 km from the coastline (Fig. 7b). The maximum deposit thickness reaches 68 m +/- 3m in the central part of the northern lobe. Considering the deposits with a thickness of more than 5 m, the lobes (north and south) exhibit lengths of about 4 km. The northern lobe has a mean width of around.7-.8 km. The southern lobe exhibits an irregular margin with variation in flow axis direction, which makes it difficult to determine accurately the width of the lobe. The extent of the deposits is proximally constrained by the C1 embayment (Fig. 5). Cross sections perpendicular to the main flow direction (Fig. 8) were measured at the same location as the 1999-22 profiles (Fig. 7c). Along Lines 1 to 3, the deposit is predominantly located within the northern part of the C1 embayment, where it infills the D 1 depression created by the pre-22 deposits and forms a significant positive relief. Only a small proportion of the deposits is located in the south, where it overtops the southern rim of the C1 embayment. On Lines 4 to 6, to the north, the D 1 depression is completely infilled by the new deposit, although to the south the deposit mantles the topography without filling in the depression D 2. Lines 7 to 11 show that the deposit has completely filled in all of the C1 embayment, flattening the topography with the maximum thickness observed in the area of the previous depression D 1. From line 12, the deposit shows a positive relief profile with fairly abrupt lateral margins. This mound exhibits a maximum thickness between lines 18 to 2 (> 5 m elevation) and the feature is still present at line 22. Longitudinal cross sections through the 22 to 25 deposits (Fig. 9b and Fig. 9c) show the deposit thickness along lines B and C (location on Fig. 7b). The profiles are located over the areas of maximum thickness for the two lobes. For the northern lobe, the thickness profile has a shape similar to the one from the 1999-22 deposits. Deposits are greater than 4 m thick down to the second break in the depositional slope (76 m depth, where the slope decreases to 5 ) then decreases to be close to zero 2 km further on. The thickness maxima are also located before the second break in the slope. For the southern lobe, it is quite different. 12

294 295 296 The major part of the deposit is located at a greater distance from the coastline, downstream from the second break in the slope where the slope is less than 5 (see also Fig. 1b). ote, however, that the thickness maxima are also located just before a third local break in the slope. 297 298 299 3 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 31 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 6- Discussion : - Estimated submarine deposit volume Analysis of our repeated swath bathymetry surveys has allowed us to estimate the volume of the submarine deposits offshore from the Tar River Valley. As previously mentioned, we consider the new deposits to be the areas where depth changes are larger than 5 m. uch assumption therefore yields a minimum estimation for the submarine deposit volumes. For the period between January 1999 and March 22, we estimate a minimum added volume of 13 Mm 3 was deposited in the sea. From cores analysis, Trofimovs et al. (28) observed that the deposit rapidly thins to less than 1 m just beyond the distal part of the proximal fan identified by swath bathymetry. Trofimovs et al. (26) estimate that the volume of the fine grained distal component of the submarine pyroclastic deposits produced from May 1996 to March 22 was minimal. Taking this into account and using the errors from our difference calculations, we can deduce that 1 Mm 3 is a reasonable estimate for the deposits that accumulated on the eastern submarine flank of the oufrière Hills Volcano from 1999 to 22. ote also that our difference maps starts at 3 m below sea-level and do not take into account additional deposits that could be located in shallower water, close to the coastal fan. For the period between March 22 and May 25, we estimate a minimum added volume of 21 Mm 3. The volumes of the northern and the southern lobes are estimated to be 15 Mm 3 and 96 Mm 3 respectively. Trofimovs et al. (28) estimate the volume of the finegrained turbidite facies (which extends ~4 km from the shore) as around 9 Mm 3 and consider that it comes solely from the large dome collapse that occurred on 12 July 23. Using our estimate of 2 Mm 3 for the main part of the deposit and the estimation of 9 Mm 3 from 13

32 321 Trofimovs et al. (28) for the fine part, we estimated 29 Mm 3 for the total volume of the 22-25 submarine deposits. 322 323 324 325 326 327 328 329 33 - On-land correlations On the basis of the synthesis of dome collapses that occurred during all of the eruption (Table 1, and third section), we estimated the minimum volume of material that entered the sea. Accuracy for the subaerial collapse volumes is not available and is difficult to establish. In addition, some collapse volumes are unknown. To compare on-land collapse volumes and marine deposit volumes, we have to take into account the difference in density between the lava dome rock (23 to 24 kg m -3 ) and the products deposited on sea floor (18 kg m -3, measured when dried, (Trofimovs et al., 28)). 331 332 333 334 335 336 337 338 339 34 341 342 343 344 345 The volume of products that entered the sea from 1999 to 22 is estimated to be at least 75 Mm 3, from Table 1. Additional events generated pyroclastic flows that reached the sea, but their volumes estimates were not available. The volume deduced from marine data is about 1 Mm 3, equivalent to 78 Mm 3 using a typical bulk density of 23 kg m -3 for the lava dome and average submarine sediment density (18 kg m -3 ). Therefore there is a good agreement between the volume deduced from on-land data (75 Mm 3 ) and the volume deduced from marine geophysical data (78 Mm 3 ). The minimum total volume that entered the sea from March 22 to May 25 is estimated to be 19 Mm 3 from on-land data, attributed to the major dome collapse of the 12-13 July 23. The total volume of the submarine deposit from March 22 to May 25 (combining the main proximal deposit and the fine grained distal part of the deposit) is estimated to be 29 Mm 3 (equivalent to 227 Mm 3 using the previously mentioned densities). The difference between the on-land volume and the marine volume could be explained by different factors: 1) ome small events, such as the 3 March 24 collapse which entered the 14

346 347 348 349 35 351 352 353 354 355 356 sea, have not been taken into account in the on-land estimation because their volumes were not available, 2) previously emplaced deposits on the sub-aerial part of the Tar River Valley have been eroded by the July 23 dome collapse pyroclastic flows and incorporated into the final deposits. A sub-aerial part of the coastal fan has also collapsed (see Fig. 3), and 3) non volcanic sediments have been eroded and incorporated into the submarine deposits as shown by the presence of biogenic clasts within the submarine deposit (Trofimovs et al., 26; 28). All three factors would increase the volume of the resulting submarine deposits. However, the amount of erosion and consequent addition to the deposit is unknown. There are also possible errors on the volume estimations both from land and sediment core data. For example, due to limited core coverage, errors are introduced into the estimation of the volume of the finegrained part of the deposit, which is too thin to be imaged accurately. 357 358 359 36 361 362 363 364 365 366 367 368 369 37 371 - Emplacement of the deposits In the proximal part of the marine environment, the deposit emplacement was mainly controlled by the direction of the flow. As most of the pyroclastic material that entered the sea came from dome collapses, it is assumed that the main direction of the flow down the subaerial part of the volcano followed the line of maximum slope. For the 1999-22 submarine deposit, the on-land direction of the flows was EE (Fig.3, black arrow on Fig. 7a). When entering the sea, the flow was deflected southwards by the northern submarine rim of the C1 embayment (Fig. 7a). The deposit formed a new depression, designated D1 on Figure 8, which then played a key role in distributing subsequent deposition. In the distal part, the deposits spread out and filled in depressions smooth the topography. For the 22-25 deposits, the successive flows seem to have been channelized within the proximal part of the D1 depression (down to Line 3), yielding a significant accumulation of deposits (Fig. 8). Further downslope, the deposits spread out and smoothed the topography (lines 8 to 11) before forming two lobes separated by a small pre-existing topographic ridge 15

372 373 374 375 376 377 378 379 38 381 382 383 384 385 386 387 388 within the C1 embayment. In the distal reaches, they accumulated to form the southern lobe beyond the last break in the slope, creating a marked positive morphology. The main difference between the deposits is related to the slopes where the emplacement occurred (Fig. 1). For the first deposit (1999-22), the main part of the deposition formed on slopes greater than 5 (Fig. 1a). For the second deposit (22-25), the southern lobe reached a flat area and a large part of the deposition formed on slopes less than 5, perhaps suggesting a greater momentum or flow energy (Fig. 1b). In both cases, variations of deposit thickness can be correlated with local breaks in slope (Fig. 7, Fig. 9) producing some small step-like morphologies. ome work has been done to show that deposition of submarine flow is thought to be dependant on slopes (e.g. Masson, 1994; Mulder et al., 21; Talling et al., 27). Mulder et al., 21 show that deposition from experimental turbidity currents became thicker (due to flow deceleration) just downstream of a slope break. However, in our case, the deposition shows another slope dependence with the maximum thickness of deposit before the break in the slope. This difference could be explained by the type of flow and the fact that the proximal submarine deposit from Montserrat is a dense granular flow (Trofimovs et al., 26) which can have different behaviour to the turbidity currents and cohesive debris flows described by Masson (1994), Mulder et al., (21), or Talling et al. (27). 389 39 391 392 393 394 395 396 397 Trofimovs et al. (28) proposed that the northern lobe of the 22-25 deposit consists of a single deposit and corresponds to the peak phase conditions of the July 23 collapse. The southern lobe, which comprised multiple flow deposits, was interpreted as representing an amalgamation of small volume deposits from the first two stages of the July 23 collapse. We suggest an alternative to this interpretation based on several reasons. First, Herd et al. (25) suggested that the two first phases of the July 23 collapse produced about 7 Mm 3 of material and the third one about 14 Mm 3. The volumes of the northern and southern submarine deposit lobes, 15 Mm 3 and 96 Mm 3 respectively, are not very different. 16

398 399 4 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 41 411 412 413 414 415 416 417 418 419 42 Thus, there is no clear association of one phase of the collapse to one submarine lobe. econd, we observed that deposits from 1999 to 22, which are related to multiple events, form a single axis deposit without multiple lobes. Therefore, the northern lobe of the 22-25 deposit, which consists of a single axis deposit could also be formed by multiple events. Third, and most importantly, is that the flow associated with the southern lobe deposit had the larger run-out distance (more than 7 km from the coast) suggesting it had higher energy and thus more likely to be linked to the peak conditions discharge of the 12-13 July 23 collapse. In addition, the emplacement of the main part of the southern lobe on slopes less than 5 (Fig. 1b) strongly supports the high energy of the flow. Indeed, for the northern lobe and the 1999-22 deposits, the main part of the deposit is located on slopes greater than 5 (see previous section and Figs. 1 a,b). Lastly, the 12-13 July 23 event also eroded the Tar River Valley producing a channel deeper than the pre-1996 valley formed on land (Fig. 3, August 23). The new channel was open to the east and provided a West-East direction for the flows to move towards the sea and continues on to form the southern lobe (south path on Fig. 7b). We thus propose that the northern lobe of the 22-25 deposits resulted from both: 1) a succession of pyroclastic flows that occurred between 22 and 23, and 2) the first stages and a small part of the peak conditions collapse of the 12-13 July 23 event. In contrast, the southern lobe deposit thus resulted from the main part (~ 7 %) of the peak collapse conditions. Emplacement of the southern lobe can be explained by the previous infill of D1, which deflected the material southward and/or by a more southern path for the flow on-land due to the erosion of the Tar River Valley (outh path on Fig. 7b). The 22-25 deposits have formed new topographic ridges within the C2 embayment and they will probably control the emplacement of forthcoming deposits. 421 422 - ummary 17

423 424 425 426 427 428 429 43 431 432 433 434 435 436 437 438 439 44 441 442 443 444 445 446 447 448 The eruption of oufrière Hills illustrates the evolution of submarine pyroclastic deposits from a volcano located on a small subduction zone island. umerous pyroclastic flows entered the sea discharging a part of their material offshore, particularly during periods of intense activity characterised by rapid lava dome growth. On several occasions (2, 21, 23, 26), voluminous lava dome collapses discharged the majority of erupted material into the sea. During the July 23 collapse the entire lava dome was destroyed and most of the older pyroclastic products that filled the Tar River Valley were eroded and deposited into the sea. ubsequently, mudflows and fluvial erosion have also contributed to transporting a significant volume of the pyroclastic products into the sea, both during dome collapse and in the months to years of intervening quiescence. By May 25, ~ 5 Mm 3 of magma had been extruded since the beginning of the eruption (MVO internal reports, Trofimovs et al., 26). According to the analysis of marine surveys, the total volume of the submarine deposits in May 25 was about 482 Mm 3 (22 + 7 + 1 + 29) equivalent to 377 Mm 3 using a typical bulk density of 23 kg m -3 for the lava dome and average submarine sediment density as 18 kg m -3. This value is in relatively good agreement, but larger than the 3 Mm 3 estimated from on-land observations (collapses or pyroclastic flows that have been observed to enter the sea and from which the volume has been calculated). The difference can be explained by the pyroclastic material that has been observed entering the sea without volume estimation and by subaerial erosion of previously-emplaced pyroclastic material. We thus propose that, by May 25, a minimum of 377 Mm 3 of the magmatic material produced had entered the sea, which corresponds to 75 % of the erupted volume. Considering that we have not estimated the thickness of submarine deposits at depths shallower than 3 m (in particular, the material building the coastal fans), the percentage of the total volume discharged to the sea could exceed 8 % showing that most of the erupted material has been deposited into the sea. The fact that the main part of the subaerial pyroclastic products generated by eruptions can end up in the sea has three major consequences: 1) a lot of small eruptions are probably not 18

449 45 451 452 453 454 taken into account in the reconstruction of the history of these types of volcanoes and their eruptive frequency is consequently underestimated; 2) the magma production rate for volcanoes in these tectonic environments is also underestimated and is not taken into account, which has implications in terms of risk evaluation, as noted by Boudon et al. (27); and 3) morphological analysis of submarine deposits has strong implications for understanding the scale of tsunami that may result from pyroclastic flows entering the ocean. 455 456 457 458 459 46 461 462 463 Acknowledgments We thank the captains, officers and crew of both the Ifremer s R.V. L Atalante and the R.V. James Clark Ross. We thank the Aguadomar, Caraval and JR123 scientific teams for their efficient work at sea. We acknowledge the support of MVO in this study for logistic aspects during the marine surveys around Montserrat. We also thank MVO people for their useful reports, available on the website, on the on-going eruption. This study was supported by the CR-IU programme and by a ERC Research Grant (ER/A//22/963). IPGP contribution xxxx. 464 465 466 467 468 469 47 471 472 473 References BOADOA, C., MAYBERRY, G. C., CALDER, E.., PARK, R.. J., CHOUX, C., JACKO, P., LEJEUE, A. M., LOUGHLI,. C., ORTO, G. E., ROE, W. I., RYA, G. & YOUG,. R. 22. Tephra fallout in the eruption of oufrière Hills Volcano, Montserrat. In: DRUITT, T.H. & KOKELAAR, B.P. (eds), The Eruption of oufrière Hills Volcano, Montserrat, from 1995 to 1999. Geological ociety, London, Memoirs, 21, 483-516. BOUDO, G., LE FRIAT, A., KOMOROWKI, J.-C., DEPLU, C. EMET, M.P. 27. Volcano flank instability in the Lesser Antilles Arc: diversity of scale, processes, and temporal recurrence. J. Geophys. Res. 112, B825, doi:1.129/26jb4674 19

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525 526 527 528 529 53 531 532 533 534 535 536 537 538 539 54 541 542 543 544 545 546 547 548 549 MULDER, T. & ALEXADER, J. 21. Abrupt change in slope causes variation in the deposit thickness of concentrated particle-driven density currents. Marine Geology, 175, 221-235. ROBERTO, R.E.A., APIALL, W.P., HERD, R.A., ORTO, G.E., PARK, R..J., YOUG,.R. 2. The 1995-1998 eruption of the oufriere Hills volcano, Montserrat, WI. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal ociety of London eries a Mathematical Physical and Engineering ciences, 358, 1619-1637. MITH, W.H.F. & ADWELL, D.T. 1997. Global sea floor topography from satellite altimetry and ship depth soundings. cience, 227, 1956-1962. PARK, R..J., BARCLAY, J., CALDER, E.., HERD, R.A., KOMOROWKI, J.C., ORTO, G.E., RITCHIE, L., VOIGHT, B., WOOD, A.W. 22. Generation of a debris avalanche and violent pyroclastic density current : the Boxing Day eruption of 26 December 1997 at the oufriere Hills Volcano, Montserrat. In DRUITT, T.H., AD KOKELAAR, B.P.(eds) The eruption of oufriere Hills Volcano, Montserrat, from 1995 to 1999, London, Geological ociety Memoir, 21, 49-434. TALLIG, P.J., WY, R.B., MAO, D.G., FREZ, M., CROI, B.T., CHIEBEL, R., AKHMETZHAOV, A.M., DALLMEIER-TIEE,., BEETTI,., WEAVER, P.P.E., GEORGIOPOULOU, A., ZÜHLDORFF, C., AMY, L.A. 27. Onset of submarine debris flow deposition far from original giant landslide, ature, 45, 541-544, doi:1.138/nature6313. TROFIMOV, J., AMY, L., BOUDO, G., DEPLU, C., DOYLE, E., FOURIER,., HART, M.B., KOMOROWKI, J.-C., LE FRIAT, A., LOCK, E. J., PUDEY, C., RYA, G., PARK, R..J. & TALLIG, P.J. 26. ubmarine pyroclastic deposits formed at the oufrière Hills volcano, Montserrat (1995-23): What happens when pyroclastic flows enter the ocean? Geology, 34, n 7, 549-552; doi: 1.113/G22424.1. 22

55 551 552 553 554 555 556 557 558 559 56 561 562 563 564 565 566 567 568 TROFIMOV J., PARK, R..J., TALLIG, P.J., 28. Anatomy of a submarine pyroclastic flow and associated turbidity current: July 23 dome collapse, oufrière Hills volcano, Montserrat, West Indies. edimentology, 55, 617-634. VOIGHT, B., KOMOROWKI, J.C., ORTO, G.E., BELOUOV, A.B., BELOUOVA, BOUDO, G., FRACI, P.W., FRAZ, W., HEIRICH, P., PARK, R..J., YOUG,.R. 22. The 26 December (Boxing Day) 1997 sector collapse and debris avalanche at oufrère Hills Volcano, Montserrat. In DRUITT, T.H., AD KOKELAAR, B.P.(eds) The eruption of oufriere Hills Volcano, Montserrat, from 1995 to 1999, London, Geological ociety Memoir, 21, 363-47. VOIGHT, B., LIDE, A.T., ACK, I.., MATTIOLI, G.., PARK, R..J., ELWORTH, D., HIDAYAT, D., MALI, P.E., HALEV, E., WIDIWIJAYATI, C., YOUG,.R., BA, V., CLARKE, A., DUKLEY, P., JOHTO, W., MCWHORTER,., EUBERG, J., WILLIAM, P., 26. Unprecedented pressure increase in deep magma reservoir triggered by lavadome collapse. Geophysical research Letters, 33, L3312, doi:1.129/25gl2487. YOUG,. R., PARK, R.. J., APIALL, W. P., LYCH, L. L., MILLER, A. D., ROBERTO, R. E. A. & HEPHERD, J. B. 1998. Overview of the eruption of oufrière Hills volcano, Montserrat, 18 july 1995 to December 1997. Geophysical Research Letters, 25, 3389-3392. 569 57 571 572 573 574 575 Figures captions Fig. 1 : (a) Geodynamic setting of Montserrat (West Indies). Predicted bathymetry from mith & andwell (1997). Contour interval is 25 m, and 2 m isolines are in bold. Volcanic islands are black and sub-aerial coral reef platforms dark grey. The <1 m deep submarine shelves are light grey. Inset: the four major massifs of Montserrat showing the evolution of volcanism from north to south. (b) Topographic map of the south part of Montserrat from the 23

576 577 578 579 58 581 582 583 584 585 586 587 588 589 59 591 592 593 594 595 596 597 598 599 6 61 pre-eruption land 1 m DEM (Digital Elevation Model), air-photo derived (courtesy of Geoff Wadge); contour intervals is 25 m. Place names referred to in the text are marked and ages are from Harford et al. (22). Fig. 2: 3 D view of a 5 m resolution DEM centered on the island and showing the bathymetric context and the shallow submarine shelf around the island. The DEM has been constructed by combining the Aguadomar swath-bathymetry data (January 1999) with the pre-eruption land 1 m DEM. Coastline of Tar River and White River deltas were measured using differential GP by Montserrat Volcano Observatory (Autumn 1998). Fig. 3: Pictures of the Tar River Valley and fan, taken from the East and showing the different stages of erosion of the valley and the fan. a) August 22, photo from MVO, b) August 23 after the major 12-13 July 23 collapse, c) May 25. Fig. 4: Plot of collapse event magnitudes versus time throughout the Montserrat eruption from 1995 to 25. Main phases of lava dome growth are indicated. At the top of the figure, Mm 3 = millions of cubic meters. Data mainly from MVO internal reports (http://www.mvo.ms/) and the following articles: Young et al., 1998; Bonadonna et al, 22; Cole et al., 22; Matthews et al., 22; parks et al., 22; Carn et al., 24; Hinck et al., 25; Herd et al., 25. Fig. 5: Bathymetric map showing the swath bathymetry coverage of the Aguadomar survey, January 1999, the white lines indicate ship tracks, the extent of the deposits identified by Hart et al., 24 is annotated. A similar swath bathymetry coverage has been collected during the two other surveys (Caraval, March 22; JR123, May 25). Fig. 6: (a) Histogram of frequency of the 1999-22 depth difference outside the areas of deposition illustrating that depth differences accuracy is about +/- 4m. (b) Histogram of frequency of the 22-25 depth difference outside the areas of deposition illustrating that depth differences accuracy is about +/- 3m. Fig. 7: (a) Detailed map of the 1999-22 deposit on the sea floor off from the Tar River Valley. Colors indicate the depth difference between the two surveys (Caraval, March 22 24

62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 61 611 612 613 614 615 616 617 618 619 62 621 622 623 624 625 626 and Aguadomar, January 1999). Black contour lines show the January 1999 bathymetry with a 25 m contour interval. The depth profile of Line A is shown on Fig. 9. (b) Detailed map on the 22-25 deposit on the sea bottom. Colors indicate the depth difference between the two surveys (JR123, May 25 and Caraval, March 22). Black contour lines show the March 22 bathymetry with a 25 m contour interval. The depth profiles of Lines B and C are shown on Fig. 9. (c) Detailed map of depth differences between May 25 and January 1999 showing the areas of pyroclastic material on the sea floor. Colors indicate the depth difference between the JR123, May 25 and Aguadomar, January 1999, surveys. The depth profiles of Lines 1 to 22 are shown in Fig. 8. Fig. 8: - bathymetric profiles crossing the submarine deposits with an orientation perpendicular to the main direction of flow. The locations of the profiles are shown on Fig. 7c. The solid line indicates the Aguadomar bathymetry (January 1999), the dashed line indicates the Caraval bathymetry (March, 22), and the dotted line indicates the JR123 bathymetry (May 25). These profiles show the superposition and the evolution of the deposits. The C1 embayment is annotated. The D 1 and D 2 indicate some depressions (or channels) in the 1999 bathymetry, the D 1 and D 2 indicate new depressions in the 22 bathymetry. Fig. 9: Longitudinal bathymetric and deposit thickness profiles along lines A, B and C. The locations of the profiles are shown on the Figs. 7 a,b and are taken along the central, thickest part of the deposits. The horizontal axis indicates a distance in km along the West-East direction. On the depth profiles, the solid line indicates the Aguadomar bathymetry (January 1999), the dashed line indicates the Caraval bathymetry (March, 22) and the dotted line indicates the JR123 bathymetry (May 25). On the thickness profiles, the solid line indicates the thickness of the different deposit. a) Line A: 22-1999 deposit; b) Line B: 25-22 deposit along the northern lobe; and c) Line C: 25-22 deposit along the southern lobe. The previously defined breaks in the slope are also reported. 25

627 628 629 63 Fig. 1: lopes of the sea floor computed using: a) the 5 m resolution digital terrain model deduced from the 1999 swath bathymetry (Aguadomar); b) the 5 m resolution digital terrain model deduced from the 22 swath bathymetry (Caraval). The extents and areas of maximum deposits thickness are shown using the 1 m and 4 m isolines. 631 632 633 634 635 636 637 638 Table 1. ummary of the collapses which occurred during the oufrière Hills eruption, from 1995 to 25, showing the events which reached the sea, and the estimated volumes. Volumes are in Mm 3 (millions of cubic meters). R means that the flow reached the sea but the volume is unknown. PF means Pyroclastic Flows. Data are mainly from MVO internal reports (http://www.mvo.ms/) and the following articles: Young et al., 1998; Bonadonna et al, 22; Cole et al., 22; Matthews et al., 22; parks et al., 22; Carn et al., 24; Hinck et al., 25; Herd et al., 25. 26

1 1 2 1 Figure 1 B to ot ml es sg ha ut 1 Centre Hills 663 ±49 ka 826 ±12 ka Pelican Ghaut 3 High Cliffs 4 55 ±23 ka ATLATIC OCEA 3 1 t oufrière Hills outh (13 ka) oufrière Hills 1 km Gages Peak 1 62 1'W -4 Plymouth Martinique Lava domeso'gar (ongoing eruption) Castle Peak 914 Chances Peak -2 Barbados r 4 ive outh oufrière Hills 1 White River Fan -2 Grenadines 1 km 12 61 W 1 km 59 W 62 2 W 62 1 W 1 62 1'W Landing Bay Grenada 63 W 2 R te hi W 5 3-2 Perches Mt Roche's Bluff oufrière Hills Grenada Basin t. Vincent ney's Ghaut pring Ghaut -2 t. Lucia Tar River Fan Tar River Valley t Ghau aimie Mefr Galway's Mt 5 14 t au Gh 3 CARIBBEA EA t George's Hill 3 Richmond Hill (17 ka - present) m tto Bo e's t i Wh t Ghau Irish 2 2-2 Dominica ha u Garibaldi Hill (95-55 ka) 7 Centre Hills Riv er 3-2 16 45' -4 Guadeloupe 282 ±8 ka 1 Montserrat 2 m Tu itt' sg (26-12 ka) -2 lha Redonda ilver Hills Ghaut Mosquito Be Antigua 954 ±12 ka 7 t. Eustatius t. Kitts evis 16 1 4 2 18 t. Martin t. Barthelemy Barbuda 871 ±1 ka 3 6 Outer Arc 16 45' 4 ubmarine helf (between and -1m) -4 coral reef platforms -6 Inner Arc 7 Anguilla 4 b volcanic islands -2 6 a hoe Rock

Figure 2 Center Hills oufrière Hills Volcano ilver Hills ubmarine shelf ea level Tar River fan White River fan 1 km

Aguadomar Cruise Caraval Cruise JR123 Cruise Figure 4 Collapsed Volume (Mm 3 ) 21 Large 15 Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 4 Lava dome growth Lava dome growthphase 5 12-13 July 23 1 5 25 1 mall Unknown 21 eptember 1997 26 December 1997 3 July 1998 2 March 2 29 July 21 1995 1997 1999 21 23 25

C2 C1 Figure 5 1999 16 44' 5 16 42' 16 4' 16 38' Extent of 1996-1998 deposits offshore from Tar River, from Hart et al., 24 297 46' 297 48' 297 5' 297 52' 297 54' 297 56' 1516 173 983 917 861 89 757 71 636 545 4 m

Figure 6 Frequency Frequency 1 9 8 7 umber of common points = 69763 Mean difference = 1.56 m tandart Deviation = 4.1 m a 6 5 22-1999 4 3 2 1 3 2 1 1 2 3 Differences in meters 1 9 umber of common points = 5916 b 8 Mean difference = 1.17 m 7 tandart Deviation = 3.13 m 6 5 4 3 25-22 2 1 3 2 1 1 2 3 Differences in meters

Figure 7 22-1999 1 km 8 m 46 9 4 16 44' 2 1 3 3 2 5 4 5 m A 15 16 42' 8 6 7 slope break a 297 5' 297 52' 297 54' 25-22 1 km 1 5 m deposit 1 25 m 68 16 44' 2 1 9 B 4 3 4 3 orth path 2 16 42' b 8 5 6 25-1999 7 outh path slope break 297 5' 297 52' 297 54' 5 m C 15 1 5 m deposit 1 25 m 8 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 2 21 22 5 16 44' 4 3 2 1 1 16 42' c 297 52' 297 54' 4